Koos Bekker7:18
I think there's always an element of luck and circumstance. I went to New York, to Columbia University, New York — clueless at 22, it sounded exciting — did an MBA. And while I was there, I discovered that the industry of pay television was being born in the US. No other country had it, it was totally new. I studied it and in one of my papers at the university tried to anticipate whether you could launch this abroad. The problem is abroad didn't have cable, so could you take this technology, encrypt it and send it over the air, and would it still work? And after I did the paper, I thought maybe we could. The only country I knew was South Africa, so I came back — which I hadn't planned; I left South Africa not to come back — came back. So that was a lucky break. We ran for six years, and then in 1991, one of our executives, a guy called Ian Wilkinson, went to America, and he came back and he said, 'You know, there's something you can put in the boot of your car and you can make cell phone calls to your secretary. This is wonderful stuff.' That led to MTN. We started the planning in '91 and we got it in '94. We took about three years to establish, and of course all our calculations were wrong — we estimated 300,000 subscribers went empty, and peaked. And now South Africa has more than 100% cell phone coverage — we have more cell phones than people. So we were totally wrong. And then again in '97, we had built up this pay television business in Europe, and French company Vivendi offered us $2.2 billion for the business, which was totally overvaluing it — it wasn't worth near that. So you should have sold.