Klaus Zellmer1:12:48
I was in a management conference conducted by Dr. Diess for VW group top managers in Igls in Austria, and we had Elon Musk in our management conference, and he asked him exactly that question: what car manufacturer will survive the disruption that is currently happening in transforming the industry? And Elon Musk said: 'How many horse carriage producers are now car producers?' How long is that ago? That's two years ago. So how many companies producing horse carriages are now selling cars? Actually, if we dig deep, I'm sure we will find the roots of some car companies in that, but this is a sentiment that provokes. Now the question was also: have we been too slow, have we missed the train? I think you can always look down on somebody and say 'Hey, you failed.' You have to see that a greenfield approach, and this is the benefit of startups, this was also the benefit of Tesla, and I have all respect for Tesla, I'm not saying I don't have respect, but it's easier. A greenfield is easier: you start from scratch with software, you start from scratch with everything. A car manufacturer today, we have Skoda, 45,000 people working for Skoda. You can't start on a greenfield. If you're responsible for 45,000 people, you have to start with what you have, and to change what you have into something that you want is a lot more demanding and complicated and slower. Now the big question is today, I think there's enough potential for us to use internal combustion engine technology to make money and then transform, but the challenge is huge and it's a difficult task. I don't know how many car manufacturers will survive or not, no idea. I hope we will survive, and I think we have a good plan, and I hope you saw that we're heading the right direction. We have a navigation system with a strategy. I think we're doing the right things. Big question again is speed: are we fast enough to then hit the market? If you look at BYD, you can read that in the Chinese party program that they released 10 years and 5 years ago that they will skip internal combustion engine development cycles for actually going straight into battery electric vehicles. You could read it, we read it, we knew they're going to go full steam into that direction, and they're doing so because they don't have... or they're more radical about that. BYD started off as a battery manufacturer, they have mines, so they have the rare earth, they know how to produce batteries, and then they started bringing that into cars, and they're doing a great job. We have respect for them. I think there's also similarities to the academic business. When we were starting off, we felt the burden. Now there is a university next to us with 5,000 employees, faculty, staff, administration, management. How in the world if you start off with one or five or 25 or 125 employees, how could you make a contribution which the other 5,000 are not doing? Then you step by step found out it's about agility, it's about innovation, it's about understanding a market, it's about whatever, and you do not perhaps have the asset yet, but you do not have the burdens on your shoulders. Absolutely.