PB Balaji4:13
Yeah, let me split the whole JLR approach that we're having into four buckets. That is product, geography, cost, cash, balance sheet. Because typically if I address these four things, the JLR question invariably gets answered. As far as product is concerned, they have a pretty rich product pipeline coming through. We have the Evoque coming in, the new Evoque launches just now. Then you have the Defender coming in subsequently. We have the full year of I-PACE coming in, we have the full year of the model year enhancements of the Range Rover and Range Rover Sport coming in. And therefore the product pipeline is absolutely full. We will then over the next three to four years move to 16 nameplates from the current 12, and by 2020 we have all the SUVs available on some electric option or the other. When I move to geography, this year we'll probably meet, barring China, every other market will meet our numbers in terms of our total growth. This is despite diesel taxes, despite Brexit, despite tariffs, everything. China is where we have an issue, and China is basically where we are resetting our priorities as to how we go to market. From a push strategy of pushing volumes, starting around the middle of this year we have flipped and said we would love to do more of a pull kind of strategy, where we are a premium OEM. It's only fair that we focus on branding, we're focusing on profitability of our dealers, and we're focusing on exclusivity. And you do that, then automatically volumes start coming in. We are confident that with this China should start delivering for us. And that's the reason we have taken the hit on our chin in terms of the volumes and the growth rates in that market. But that's absolutely what the doctor ordered as far as China is concerned, and it is fully aligned within the entire business from Ralph all the way down to us. But this is not going to—the market is going to get even more tough simply because there's Brexit that we need to deal with. There are still more clouds on the horizon. US has had a peach of a ride. No one knows whether US will get more sanguine. An inverted yield curve is not something anybody would like. In that situation we need to be clear that come what may, demand is likely to be challenged. We have our plan of action ready. We need a Plan B as well, which is the reason why Project Charge got launched. And when Project Charge got launched, one of the key focus areas is cost and cash. Every line of the P&L is being looked at, identical to what the turnaround plan in Tata Motors is about. We delivered in CV, we delivered in PV, we'll deliver in JLR as well, there's no debate about it. Project Accelerate, which has been launched, is all about fixing their capability issues. So if you notice, the theme is almost similar: sales activation, cost outs, and capability builds. And capability builds for them is on three fronts: timing of launches, quality of launches, cost of launches. If you get these three right, JLR is fundamentally fixed for the pieces related to their capabilities. So I think we have a pretty clear plan of action on costs, and we have put out that over the next 18 months we want to take out two and a half billion out of that place. One billion coming out of capex. So this year we will deliver the four billion, next year also we'll deliver four billion of capex, from the four and a half we'll reduce that to four. That's committed, will happen. We will improve working capital by at least 500 million, that's a bare minimum number. That alone is one and a half billion. And then this year, in the next 18 months, one billion of cost will come out of the place, be it on material, be it on VME, FME, other indirects, the whole works. So identical to what is happening in Tata Motors. With this in place, if two and a half billion cost comes out, you then have your threshold EBITDA margins, which is now sitting at about 10%, moving to about 14%. And then we are committing that going forward, 11 to 12% is what our capex is, which means fundamentally I become a cash-accretive business thereafter. When I become a cash-accretive business, you don't have an issue of balance sheet, you don't have an issue on borrowing. And they go back to their heyday. So you'll notice that we're not touching a single product that we want to launch, everything is there. With this four billion of capex, you'll have all the MLA Medium, MLA Low, MLA High architecture products going in. We will have every one of the products on the 16 nameplates we want. We would have completed ADAS, we would have completed electric. So I think we have a comprehensive plan of action in JLR ready, and those executions are happening methodically. Take even yesterday's sales, you'll notice that the reorientation of us more towards Land Rover coming out of Jaguar is happening as well. So I'm getting more and more confident that our strategy is working on the ground with respect to JLR.