Wolfram Diener18:13
There has been a lot of media coverage during the pandemic that physical trade fairs or physical events overall will decline sharply or some fairs will vanish due to the development of virtual media. That already became apparent last late autumn from initial reactions of industry players and people who participated in virtual events. But first of all, in Düsseldorf, we have overwhelmingly—over 90% of our value creation—capital goods and machinery fairs. I think it's easy to see that a heavy machine or an entire plant worth several million euros is not bought online and can hardly be presented in a virtual showroom. What always benefits a trade fair is innovation, trends, new exhibitors or visitor segments, especially for higher-priced items as opposed to mass products. Conversely, if you have a consumer good that sees little or no innovation, is cheap, easily imitable, a mass product, you don't necessarily need a trade fair. But those are mostly products you don't see at Düsseldorf fairs. So long story short, what many people saw as a looming threat to physical fairs, we turned into a virtue. I believe very strongly. We have a strategy I'm 100% convinced of: we will continue to have physical fairs. Not everything will be as big as in the past, but that has less to do with the pandemic—I'll come back to that later—there are other trends. The important thing is that we use virtual media, especially networking or matchmaking opportunities, web sessions or web conferences, social media, a news blog—the latest gossip of the industry—that entices people to go to the platform. Also, but with some limitations, a virtual showroom. That only partially works. You sit in a black room and wait for people to come in. If they don't come, you perceive nothing. At a physical fair, all your senses are addressed. You can see a nice person walking past a booth, they smile at you. You can chat with someone over a coffee. You can eat Wiener sausages at a neighboring booth. None of that is stimulated at a virtual fair. But the most serious argument why virtual fairs in the much-praised form of last year cannot work for our events in Düsseldorf is this: imagine an extreme case. Medica was done virtually last year, very successfully, but still. If you have a fair with 5,000 or 6,000 exhibitors and many different product groups, it's so complex that it cannot be mapped in a user-friendly way virtually. That is simply a fact. I don't say it's forever. People's behavior changes, technology evolves. Maybe someday, but not in the medium term. A virtual event works for a niche topic with 100 or 200 different products or suppliers and maybe 2,000 or 3,000 visitors. But the biggest insight—we hired someone to look into it—is that fair people always think in terms of runtimes. A fair takes place from Tuesday to Friday or Friday to Sunday. What we all—not just Messe Düsseldorf, all organizers worldwide—did at the beginning of the pandemic was say, okay, we have to switch from physical to virtual. And then we took the same old runtime, those four or six days, and said we'll make a virtual event now. But if you lean back for a moment, you immediately realize it's completely bizarre, utterly absurd, to expect a global community of, say, 30,000 or 80,000 people to all entertain themselves for four days on command. That is ridiculous. From a user perspective, you sit in front of a screen. Who sits from 9:30 AM to 5:30 PM in front of a screen listening to various presentations? That's absurd. And then there's time zone differences because people don't travel. That's right. I am a strong advocate of what we call an omnichannel approach, serving different channels to offer a service to our community. That way you have a kind of digital background noise that goes all year round. If you imagine it as a wave diagram, with a yearly fair you have one big spike—the physical fair. But from January 1 to December 31, you have a carpet underlying everything. There are little spikes when we invite a keynote speaker over lunch—not the whole day, but from 12:30 PM to 2 PM—a great topic, and we invite the community. Or we do networking sessions, or we publish industry news. And then we build up a huge wave toward the physical event. This digital background noise continues even during the physical event, and it goes all year. Before, you had zero over the whole year. And the problem was also that virtual events hardly made any money. Last year, many events that I won't mention were celebrated as great virtual successes. But if you look at their income, you see it's a breadless art. It was really just a gap filler. Now we believe we can offer people in our communities—exhibitors, visitors—a digital offering for an annual fee. That could be purely digital, or it could include participation in the fair plus a digital annual program. In combination, it's hybrid.