Salvatore Giosuè35:09
I'll tell you how we are facing it, because those are the dynamics. I think it's not easy. In my opinion, behind this crisis there is a geopolitical clash at a global level involving the factory of the world, China. China is probably making its role as global factory weigh. Unfortunately, especially in Italy, industrial policy has been somewhat abandoned, thinking we could live on services. So our production chain has shortened a lot; many commodities and products are no longer made in Italy or Europe. Just think of the masks at the beginning of the pandemic: Europe in crisis for a mask worth a few cents. So there is a problem of industrial policy that hasn't been done. Some thought we could live on something else, moving manufacturing and certain productions to the Far East. Today, fortunately, some thinkers and economists are beginning to reason about bringing productions back to Europe. The cost of labor in China is growing, transport costs are reducing the gap of convenience that was certainly in favor of China. Just think that a container from China used to cost, say, $1,000; today you can't find one for $10,000 for the same 40-foot container in Europe, with the related times. So on one hand, there was the production halt due to the global pandemic, and the recovery in tight times thanks to vaccines—which, I'd like to remember, are giving excellent results—so we probably weren't ready for such a rapid restart. So there is this misalignment. And probably someone is speculating on raw materials, holding them in warehouses and not putting them on the market, waiting for them to worsen. So, as always when there is a storm, several factors contribute to that storm. This is my view; I don't know how correct it is, but it's a vision of a series of factors that come together. For us, so far we have managed to significantly reduce the impact because part of the higher cost we have been able to pass on to our client, since contractually we had a few percentage points on the sales value that helped absorb the cost of raw materials. On procurement, by making purchases in advance, we have not had a significant impact. So until the end of the year, we should have no impact on this year's forecasts. Certainly, looking at 2022, if there is no change, we have some concerns. We have concerns because prices are rising, and because maybe we won't find materials. If it persists, we will have to go talk to our clients, invoke force majeure, and reach an agreement, as has always been done in these cases. So this is certainly a problem, but the problem is global, so I mean, there is no single company that is not impacted.