Jan-hendrik Mohr18:32
I think the mood in agriculture is a very complex mix. Many factors, in my opinion, contributed to these farmer reactions across Europe — there might be some unease worldwide as well. Agriculture ultimately feeds a growing world population. That is absolutely key — key — key. Nutrition is always the very first thing a person needs, and that must not be forgotten. And when an industry — which is ultimately an economic sector, agriculture — is pushed around by all sorts of new laws, there are really only ever increasing restrictions, reporting requirements, and so on. Then come cost factors like the mineral oil tax, and perhaps in a distorted way, particularly European or even German farmers have to bear additional burdens. At some point you reach a point where you give feedback and react.
We at CLAAS have sympathy for the farmers' reaction. Of course it must be democratic — protests should be permitted, no riots, etc. — and that's how it should be: peaceful, solution-oriented. And what happened there has our sympathy. It also had sympathy in the general public in many places. We have to see how things continue. The politicians have promised quite a lot. The diesel issue is one of many — it's a special focal topic where much crystallizes. In Berlin there's supposed to be a ten-point program from the federal government for agriculture. Quite a bit is being discussed. In Brussels, Ursula von der Leyen already announced something last year in late summer/early autumn — also a strategy for agriculture. That has become a bit more intense since the end of January.
And I think what farmers rightfully expect — what I personally also expect as a citizen and taxpayer, and as someone who enjoys breakfast, lunch, and dinner — is that politicians deliver a bit more than just verbal resonance. That actually some relief comes for the farmers. When I talk to my neighbors about it — many of whom are active in agriculture — they say we're running the risk of doing what we did in the solar industry 20 years ago: giving away production capabilities and innovation to other countries. We're actually doing the same thing now.
You already said the agricultural machinery sector is a huge exporter, a massive industry. You could see that at Agritechnica too. We have very good production conditions in Germany, and through various rules — for example land set-aside, very expensive documentation — it leads to farmers having to give up, and the eggs that were previously produced in good production environments in Germany are now coming from abroad in much lower quality. The scenario being presented: we have to be careful that we don't end up getting corn in containers from China. Since I'm also relatively close to the energy sector through my parallel podcast Energiezone, where this is always presented as one of the great strategic mistakes — abandoning a complete industry and then it migrating to China. It's certainly a bit different with food, but I do have a certain sympathy for these parallels.
It is really like that — in Hungary, in Poland, in Bulgaria it's much easier, much cheaper, far less regulated than it is in Germany.
Your last point: there are certainly inhomogeneities across Europe. That's clear. There are countries that are strongly out in front, or when a rule comes from Brussels and is then even more strongly interpreted in local legislation. But otherwise the EU is, I think, fairly homogeneous.
Fundamentally, on the topic of food security: the goal is actually also from the political side — agricultural policy — that countries can be one hundred percent self-sufficient. If you look at Germany, we certainly won't manage that for coffee, bananas, or tea — that would be an illusion. But we can perhaps produce other things so well that we cover even more than one hundred percent of our own needs. And then imports and exports can net out. And I think it's important that Germany doesn't become a net food importer. We live in a favored region in Germany, climatically, and we have many opportunities to produce highly productively and efficiently. I think we have a global responsibility for that.
If, for example, along the Baltic Sea coast in Mecklenburg-Vorpommern, just as in Denmark, southern Sweden, or in eastern England, the highest yields per hectare are possible, then that's a contribution one can make — using these areas accordingly. And then German agriculture can certainly contribute to Germany remaining one hundred percent self-sufficient. There would be a slight net balance. But that means, of course, if we import bananas, coffee, and tea, that we for example export rapeseed and wheat. And we can only do that if we produce large quantities highly productively, as is possible in this favored region around the Baltic Sea, for example.
Today we are net food exporters. I think today it's roughly self-sufficiency with a slight tendency that we may no longer achieve the one hundred percent level. And it's already worth questioning whether that one hundred percent level can be maintained with organic alone. In my opinion, it's always easy to say or claim that one can still be productive even if one foregoes certain aids — genetics, fertilizer, crop protection, etc. These are all things that have helped to significantly increase agricultural production over the last decades. It was a huge success recipe. And if you don't want that anymore but do it differently, the question is to what extent this self-sufficiency is guaranteed. And if we become a net importer, then it must come from other world regions. For example, Brazil — who wants that? These are really points where you have to think very carefully.