Bryan Glover20:14
Yeah, I think that's a really interesting question. I think our industry is one that's characterized by being a very capital-intensive industry, but I think the other thing that's very interesting about it is the industry has a very, very long history of being, I'll say, extraordinarily effective at utilizing that capital once it's on the ground. So if you look at the average age of a refinery in the world, or even the average age of an operating unit, it's impressive at how asset owners have been able to keep those units vital and active and revenue generators over very, very long periods of time. So the industry has a great track record of once that capital is on the ground, really maintaining it and getting the best out of it. And I think that's the exciting part of this—that in an industry that's traditionally operated like that, the opportunities are very high.
One I've mentioned a couple times already—the ability to take existing hydrocracking or other hydroprocessing units, convert those into renewable diesel, renewable jet units—I think that's a great and relatively low-cost and effective way that people can move into that space. But beyond that, transformation deeper into petrochemical production from a refinery generally requires some enabling bridge technologies. So for instance, a refinery that's maybe very gasoline-based with an FCC unit at its core—there's technologies available today like olefin cracking technology that without a massive refit of that refinery can significantly increase the amount of propylene and to some extent ethylene that's generated out of that FCC without a giant revamp, but also significantly reducing gasoline production at the same time.
Integration of propane dehydrogenation into a relatively large refinery can take propane that's already being produced and may be used as a fuel or simply being sold, and can turn that into a valuable source of income. We look at steam methane reforming—great example. The hydrogen from steam methane reforming, to transition that from the typical gray hydrogen that's produced today where there's no CO2 capture, to a blue hydrogen system where there's CO2 capture—that same steam methane reformer can be used. It's the addition of some additional processing steps that are pretty cost-effective, can be dropped down around that steam methane reformer and then convert it to a far more sustainable operation going forward.
So I think there's a lot of things that can be done. I've really just touched on a few of them, but from our perspective we look at how we can help the customer base out there today with what I would refer to as bridging technologies, right? We know that it's not going to be viable for someone to transform a refinery or an integrated refining-petrochemical plant today by idling significant portions of it and building new. So we're very focused on technologies that can bridge from one to the other by getting a lot of leverage. And so things like olefin cracking, things like technologies we have for molecular sorting—sorting so that we can optimize the feed that might go into a steam cracker versus the feed that would go into a catalytic reformer and generate higher yields out of both, again without significantly transforming the entire refinery or the integrated petrochemical complex, but getting leverage by upgrading the quality of feed to existing units and increasing product slates that way.
So we think that's the approach. We think that's the approach that's going to give people the most flexibility to do step at a time, stage-wise transform towards one, lower carbon footprint, and two, towards higher petrochemical output. And we've been talking about this for quite some time under the banner of Refinery of the Future, where we see an opportunity and a process to really take any existing asset today and on a very customized basis lay out a roadmap that allows, with bridging technologies, somebody to move from where they envision they need to be tomorrow, but then also have the flexibility going forward to change that vision as the times change and not be stuck with a bunch of sunk investment that really can't be recovered. So I think the opportunity is actually pretty bright for people to move forward, but I think the key is really looking at the strategies now and starting to develop those roadmaps and understanding where they can go and what pace they think they need to get there, but then being well positioned to accelerate if the situation dictates, or slow down if the situation dictates as well.