Shashi Tharoor3:40
Well, there's been amazing changes, no question about it. And so if we had to trace the story back to 1947, there'd be too many ups and downs that would confuse everyone. So if you just take the recent changes we're looking at a time in which the British government, and particularly we've had a succession of conservative prime ministers, have all consistently showed a tremendous amount of interest in strengthening the India-UK relationship. Each one of them has said so, even though the Cameron government had been somewhat more rosy-eyed about China than any of its successors, nonetheless, in recent years, there's been the so-called tilt to the Indo-Pacific that the US helped the UK tilt towards, and there's been, interestingly enough every UK prime minister, including Sunak after they come to office, an obligatory, seemingly, reference to strengthening relations with India. At the same time, there are complications from the Indian diaspora here, some of whom are well represented in this audience and some of whom have tended to import, shall we say, some of the political challenges back home into UK politics in a way that quite hasn't been seen before. There's also been this transformation of the Labour Party from a party that was seen as unfailingly pro-Indian to one that is increasingly seen as infallibly anti-Indian because of the dependence of I'm told 35 Labour MPs upon a significant Pakistani vote in their constituencies, who knows. Whereas the Tories, who started off being the other way around, have now become seen as more reliably inclined towards good relations with India. And of course, we now have a Tory prime minister of Indian descent whose background and his marriage seem to have cemented if you like, a personal interest in India as well. So all of these things have converged. We're in the middle of negotiating a free trade agreement. That too has had its ups and downs. There was a time when it was thought it might be concluded a couple of years ago. COVID slowed down the negotiation, but then other difficulties arose. And now the talks are going on. Every time you talk to somebody, you tend to get encouraging noises. No one says the whole thing's off or going down the tubes. Last summer, when I was here, I heard that there would be delays. But this summer, all I'm picking up is that the momentum is there. We might have even cheaper Scotch whisky in India to drink. But you know, the other side of it does tie into education, Sanam, and that is what's the quid pro quo. We know England has a lot of things we want they can sell us. What can we give them? And unfortunately, one of the things that we are good at giving people is human resources, is talent, is students, and is workers. And we went through I mean, I remember coming to the UK. I manage a visit every year, more or less. And I was lobbied intensely a few years ago about the fact that Indian students could only stay on for 2 weeks after they graduated, whereas Chinese could stay on for 2 years. And that this was the truer indication of British government priorities than their rhetoric. And indeed, there were a couple of MPs who approached me saying that I should make as much of a noise about it there and here as they were making. And I must say that I'm pleased to hear that that's been settled. And now Indians and Chinese both get the same 2 years, right? So that's all going well. But the problem is, of course, that immigration is becoming an even more inflammatory issue in British politics. And inevitably, there might be a backlash towards India if some of the situations here get out of hand. I've heard about some of the new decisions coming out of the Home Secretary dependent visas and of course, the question of transferring from a student visa to a work visa. All of these things. As an Indian, I want to see these bright Indian students come back. In fact, today I was speaking at the LSE, and at the end of the talk, I asked the students, 'How many of you are from India and intend to go back to India?' And I'm pleased to say about 90% of the hands went up. So I don't know if we have to worry that much about vast waves of emigration to the UK as some people in the UK government seem to worry about. But that has been a sticking point as well in the free trade negotiation. Overall, one final sort of data point, when I went to graduate school, I went to the States in the mid-'70s. And the Indian students in the States kept going up, and the Indian students in the UK kept coming down, partially because of more scholarship availability in the States, and partially tighter visas and costs here. That's now beginning to change around. And though the levels in the US remain high it was amazing that the last figure I read for ending June 2022 was 118,000 visas given to Indian students in the UK. That's an astonishing number, because just 5 years before it was down to 35, 36,000. So this is a huge improvement. And that must mean that any worries we might have had about the people-to-people relationship can be put aside, and people are happy to come.