Guillaume Faury38:26
Thank you, Mr. President. Regarding the financing of the social model and funded pensions. This is not my area of expertise, so I will be extremely cautious. My field is business management, aeronautics, and defense. Nevertheless, what seems important to me? First, we must be careful that this is not a voluntary or involuntary way to increase taxes on companies. If it is a way to increase taxes and invent a new mechanism that adds to others or avoids doing what we have to do on pay-as-you-go pensions, it is not a good solution. So there is already the aspect of how it affects business competitiveness. The second remark is that funded pensions, the model seen in the United States, is a virtuous circle that we lack. It is a virtuous circle of innovation financing. Over decades, this model has enriched itself and become self-sustaining in the US. I am not praising the US system; there are many things we want to do differently. However, we must recognize that innovation financing from risk-taking and the use of funded pension money for innovation and business is extremely powerful in the US and increases the wealth gap between the US and Europe. So we must ask how to catch up or set up a system that creates the same positive effects as where funded pensions work very well for innovation and investment. If we set up funded pensions that do not allow this engine of the economy, we would miss one of the stakes of funded pensions beyond finding other financing methods. I believe we must not rush into funded pensions without addressing the rebalancing between the cost of the social model and wealth generation by companies and economic activity, which is the main imbalance to be resolved urgently.
Regarding working together, I think we must be clear that it is not a solution to all problems. Grouping together to succeed together works when economies of scale are a key success factor and we manage to create them by working together. We need to do what I call demand consolidation and supply consolidation at the same time. If we group together at the industrial level to continue making products and developments that are as dispersed as what we did separately, we are not necessarily better together. And if we consolidate demand only to then distribute it among a very large number of actors, we also create complexity that is not necessarily a success. So we must manage to make together objects and systems that will be used by those who group together. I am speaking mainly about defense when I say this: we need to agree on what we want to do together, states must agree on what they want, and it should be roughly the same thing so that we can share investments, come together, and play as a team rather than alone. There is an expression I like: alone we go fast, together we go far. Sometimes we need to go fast on small-scale things and it is very good to do it alone. But when we need very large investments over time and amounts of technology, know-how, and skills that must be sought in several places, federating makes success.
You asked me whether what is valid in the civilian sector is also valid in the military. Well, yes, we have examples where it works in the military. The Eurofighter has clearly worked very well. It is an aircraft quite comparable to what we have in France with the Rafale. They often compete abroad, in any case. But unfortunately we are not in the same generation of aircraft and we have not at all put the same amounts of investment among Europeans as the Americans put into the F35. So today we are in a situation where, looking just at Europe, more countries choose the F35 than the sum of countries choosing the Eurofighter and the Rafale. So we can always ask whether the Rafale or the Eurofighter is better, whether some were right to go alone or others to go together. But when we look at what the Americans have done with economies of scale in a program that also has partners—let's not forget it's not just the US—the impact, the firepower, and the money mobilized, which is roughly ten times more than what we mobilized for either the Rafale or the Eurofighter, leaves no doubt. So cooperating, yes, if we manage to create economies of scale. That also means when the countries that will be the customer countries, the European countries, agree on what they want to do together. That is not always the case. And when it is not the case, I do not necessarily recommend doing it together. However, given the very large investments we have to make today in Europe to rearm and re-equip ourselves with sovereign capabilities, where we have left enormous development to the US and the US has spent much more money than Europe, we must recognize that today they are much more advanced on the systems they have, and often Europeans buy from the US because we have not taken the time, money, or capacity to come together to realize these systems. So yes, if we want to rearm Europe in a sovereign way, Europe will have to spend more money, spend more European, spend better—that is, spend more together to avoid fragmentation and dispersion of investments, so that we have impact and efficiency. It is not easy to do. Cooperating is much more difficult than working alone. I am not saying that. However, when we succeed, global leaders emerge. Once again, we would not be a global leader at Airbus if 40 years ago politicians, engineers, and entrepreneurs had not decided to bring together German, French, then British and Spanish forces to be where we are today. If there were a French aircraft manufacturer, a German aircraft manufacturer, a British aircraft manufacturer, and a Spanish aircraft manufacturer today, there would be zero because none would have the economies of scale or sufficient size to seriously compete with Boeing. So I am not saying it is easy; I think it is difficult. However, I think it is indispensable for a number of large space and military systems ahead of us, on batteries, semiconductors, hydrogen. When we call something an Airbus of something, it means we want to make it a European project and we set out to cooperate and make it succeed. I have no opinion on these particular Airbuses because they are not subjects I know. I praise the intention, if it existed. We must not forget that we fundamentally need to address the right market with the right technologies and the right level of competitiveness. I think some of these projects have had difficulties because of competitiveness.
So yes, if we want to rearm Europe in a sovereign way, Europe will have to spend more money, spend more European, spend better—that is, spend more together to avoid fragmentation and dispersion of investments, so that we have impact and efficiency. It is not easy to do. Cooperating is much more difficult than working alone. I am not saying that. However, when we succeed, global leaders emerge. Once again, we would not be a global leader at Airbus if 40 years ago politicians, engineers, and entrepreneurs had not decided to bring together German, French, then British and Spanish forces to be where we are today. If there were a French aircraft manufacturer, a German aircraft manufacturer, a British aircraft manufacturer, and a Spanish aircraft manufacturer today, there would be zero because none would have the economies of scale or sufficient size to seriously compete with Boeing. So I am not saying it is easy; I think it is difficult. However, I think it is indispensable for a number of large space and military systems ahead of us, on batteries, semiconductors, hydrogen. When we call something an Airbus of something, it means we want to make it a European project and we set out to cooperate and make it succeed. I have no opinion on these particular Airbuses because they are not subjects I know. I praise the intention, if it existed. We must not forget that we fundamentally need to address the right market with the right technologies and the right level of competitiveness. I think some of these projects have had difficulties because of competitiveness.
Regarding supply chains, there is much to say. We suffered a lot during Covid. We were obsessed with avoiding supply chain breaks at certain points. We worked enormously as a team. We came out better than we feared at the beginning of the crisis. We were not always good in the diagnosis we made. We put tools in place that sometimes worked well, sometimes less well. I think we should have no regrets about those that worked less well because at the beginning we did not know very well what was needed and we tried, and overall we succeeded. Our European supply chain held up much better than the US supply chain during the crisis, also because we protected jobs, protected know-how, and perhaps we were also a bit lucky to have a product cycle that was rather favorable while our main competitor, if I speak of Airbus versus Boeing, had its star aircraft, the 737, grounded at that time, so it was perhaps more vulnerable than us. Overall, some things worked, others less well. I have a rather positive judgment on the handling of the crisis. I can be more critical on certain aspects not related to aeronautics, but I will not dwell on that here. What is difficult today in the supply chain are certain hard points. The overall supply chain has largely recovered its ability to ramp up, and we are limited by a few particular crises. We are limited by engines, currently CFM engines, which in the short term are clearly CFM engines, and in the long term are Pratt engines. So in both cases, we are affected by US supply chain issues on the A350 and A220 by the difficulty, the inability of Spirit to ramp up. So we signed a few days ago the acquisition—we have not yet closed, as they say, but we signed the acquisition of a large number of Spirit activities that are for Airbus. So the activities in the US, France, and Great Britain to take back ownership of these activities that really need investment, skills, and know-how in production processes to allow us to ramp up. We have other difficulties, but I think we are moving from the Covid difficulty to the tariff difficulty. And so I come to your last question.
What are you writing there? Ah yes, thank you. I will perhaps deal with it later, it is a good point I forgot to mention. On the subject of tariffs, we are clearly entering a new crisis, and it is multidimensional and global, since tariffs have been imposed by the United States on almost all of their trading partners, with very high amounts of import taxes on China. So when we look at what we are exposed to, I will perhaps be a bit long but I think it is important to understand. We are exposed in several ways. First, if we assume no change in the production and delivery program, we are impacted by the mechanical impact of tariffs. That is, typically, I have a factory in the US that assembles aircraft. So a large part of production is done in Europe. So I export from Europe to the US components, subsystems, large fuselage sections. When they arrive in the US, they are taxed. They are taxed at 10% for now, with a prospect of rising to 20% after 90 days. So I pay import taxes on all these equipment. If they come from Canada, it is not 10% but 25%. So this greatly increases the cost of my activity in the US. This aircraft assembled in the US will then be delivered to a US customer. He buys from the US, so he does not pay import tax, but it increases my production cost in the US. However, it has another effect: when I produce aircraft in Europe and deliver them to the US, those aircraft are subject to 10% import tariff in the US. It does not cost me anything, but it costs my customers 10%. And 10% on an aircraft is considerable relative to the economic equation of an airline; it is really very critical. So they do not want to be in that situation. In the short term, we need to find mechanisms or solutions to avoid it. So not deliver the aircraft, deliver them elsewhere, or potentially agree at some point to deliver to other customers. But for these airlines, it is a loss, either by paying the tariffs—some do—or by refusing to pay the tariffs, thus refusing to take delivery of the aircraft, thereby defaulting on the contract in theory. Then we sit down with them to try to find solutions, but it is obviously not at all a comfortable situation. And then potentially much more serious, there is the entire impact on the supply chain, particularly in the supply chain between the US and China, because 145% or 125% import tax could stop the flow of parts in one direction or the other. So we could find ourselves at some point with production stoppages or delivery stoppages in our supply chain, and then suddenly we are no longer able to make any aircraft. You have to keep one thing in mind: when a supermarket has 3 million references and is missing three, it continues to deliver the other 29,997 references. For me, on an aircraft that has 3 million parts, if three parts are missing, I do not deliver the aircraft. If I do not deliver the aircraft, I stop all other suppliers. So I close the supermarket. Three missing parts, we close the supermarket. That is why we are obsessed with supply chain management and dealing with all these issues. What I am telling you is also true for my American colleagues, my American competitors, who are actually even more exposed to these risks than we are. These tariffs are first and foremost a huge risk for American industry. It is a way of shooting themselves in the foot that is quite surprising. According to the figures I have, in 2023, US civil aviation exported $120 billion and imported $20 billion. So it exports six times more than it imports. So there is no logic for an American to impose tariffs on American aerospace. Yet that is the situation. So our objective, like that of my American colleagues and competitors, is to return to a situation without tariffs, which is the 1979 agreement that greatly benefited the Americans and also the Europeans and Airbus in its ability to serve the whole world with competitive bases, since we exchange a huge amount of goods across the Atlantic. So the situation today is difficult. We are very, very mobilized on the supply chain to avoid supply chain disruptions. This is something we already did with Covid and we think we are capable of doing, but we really need to tackle this subject very seriously. We are fairly well stocked at the moment, so we see no short-term risk, but it is very important that all actions taken, whether by industry in the US, Europe, or other actors, lead back to a situation much more favorable for the entire aerospace sector, including the European aerospace sector. And if we cannot achieve that through negotiation, we will have to, as five years ago, impose symmetrical tariffs on American aircraft and helicopters, so that it becomes so lose-lose, in quotes, that the best thing to do will be to sit around the negotiating table and return to a situation that is more win-win than lose-lose. But I hope we will not have to go that far, since it is quite obvious that today American industry is suffering enormously from the taxes that have been imposed. So we are indeed in a context of multidimensional economic warfare. We are a very important player for Europe, with a significant economic, technological, employment, and prosperity contribution to Europe. We have somewhat regionalized our activity by establishing assembly operations, and not only that, in the US and China. So we are already a bit regionalized, but a world that would be very deglobalized may require us to continue going further in that direction to continue serving American markets, perhaps also Chinese markets, in an environment with very high customs protections. That has potentially quite strategic implications for us, and it is important in this economic warfare context to be attentive to capital and to the sovereignty of a number of technologies, know-how, and companies. So the mechanisms that allow us not to be naive and to protect ourselves at a time when technology plays a very important role are also important subjects for us. We look at them carefully, and we are also one of the actors, meaning we strive to take as suppliers for extremely strategic subjects either ourselves or actors we know we can count on in the long term. But there are areas where today, if we want to be very competitive, we still have to rely on American technologies, particularly in the digital domain. If we have very great fragilities, it is probably in digital vis-à -vis the US, and then in raw materials and electronic components for which European supply chains are not sufficiently robust. But it is clear that digital is a very important concern because it entails not only dependence on American actors but also risks on data, data management, and these are complicated subjects in constant evolution. And when we are also in military activities with customer requirements that are very important for data protection, not only for industrial property issues but also for sovereignty issues, it makes the use of the best IT tools much more complicated, and thus the loss of competitiveness that goes with it. So we are constantly in this tension between finding the right level of protection without losing too much competitiveness, and it evolves very, very quickly, and we never make the best choice. We are always finding compromises and then correcting them if we are not happy with what we have done. There, I try to answer your questions as best I can. I will stop there. I am very precise. Sorry, go ahead, sir.
So our objective, like that of my American colleagues and competitors, is to return to a situation without tariffs, which is the 1979 agreement that greatly benefited the Americans and also the Europeans and Airbus in its ability to serve the whole world with competitive bases, since we exchange a huge amount of goods across the Atlantic. So the situation today is difficult. We are very, very mobilized on the supply chain to avoid supply chain disruptions. This is something we already did with Covid and we think we are capable of doing, but we really need to tackle this subject very seriously. We are fairly well stocked at the moment, so we see no short-term risk, but it is very important that all actions taken, whether by industry in the US, Europe, or other actors, lead back to a situation much more favorable for the entire aerospace sector, including the European aerospace sector. And if we cannot achieve that through negotiation, we will have to, as five years ago, impose symmetrical tariffs on American aircraft and helicopters, so that it becomes so lose-lose, in quotes, that the best thing to do will be to sit around the negotiating table and return to a situation that is more win-win than lose-lose. But I hope we will not have to go that far, since it is quite obvious that today American industry is suffering enormously from the taxes that have been imposed. So we are indeed in a context of multidimensional economic warfare. We are a very important player for Europe, with a significant economic, technological, employment, and prosperity contribution to Europe. We have somewhat regionalized our activity by establishing assembly operations, and not only that, in the US and China. So we are already a bit regionalized, but a world that would be very deglobalized may require us to continue going further in that direction to continue serving American markets, perhaps also Chinese markets, in an environment with very high customs protections. That has potentially quite strategic implications for us, and it is important in this economic warfare context to be attentive to capital and to the sovereignty of a number of technologies, know-how, and companies. So the mechanisms that allow us not to be naive and to protect ourselves at a time when technology plays a very important role are also important subjects for us. We look at them carefully, and we are also one of the actors, meaning we strive to take as suppliers for extremely strategic subjects either ourselves or actors we know we can count on in the long term. But there are areas where today, if we want to be very competitive, we still have to rely on American technologies, particularly in the digital domain. If we have very great fragilities, it is probably in digital vis-Ă -vis the US, and then in raw materials and electronic components for which European supply chains are not sufficiently robust. But it is clear that digital is a very important concern because it entails not only dependence on American actors but also risks on data, data management, and these are complicated subjects in constant evolution. And when we are also in military activities with customer requirements that are very important for data protection, not only for industrial property issues but also for sovereignty issues, it makes the use of the best IT tools much more complicated, and thus the loss of competitiveness that goes with it. So we are constantly in this tension between finding the right level of protection without losing too much competitiveness, and it evolves very, very quickly, and we never make the best choice. We are always finding compromises and then correcting them if we are not happy with what we have done. There, I try to answer your questions as best I can. I will stop there. I am very precise. Sorry, go ahead, sir.
If we have very great fragilities, it is probably in digital vis-Ă -vis the US, and then in raw materials and electronic components for which European supply chains are not sufficiently robust. But it is clear that digital is a very important concern because it entails not only dependence on American actors but also risks on data, data management, and these are complicated subjects in constant evolution. And when we are also in military activities with customer requirements that are very important for data protection, not only for industrial property issues but also for sovereignty issues, it makes the use of the best IT tools much more complicated, and thus the loss of competitiveness that goes with it. So we are constantly in this tension between finding the right level of protection without losing too much competitiveness, and it evolves very, very quickly, and we never make the best choice. We are always finding compromises and then correcting them if we are not happy with what we have done. There, I try to answer your questions as best I can. I will stop there. I am very precise. Sorry, go ahead, sir.