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Michael Roman
Chairman & Chief Executive Officer, 3M Company

3M Company Q2 2026 Earnings Call | Operational Restructuring Efficiencies Expand Operating Margin

🎥 Jul 21, 2026 📺 i101 ⏱ 60m 👁 3 views
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About Michael Roman

During 3M's second quarter 2026 earnings call on July 21, 2026, Michael Roman discussed the company's progress in operational restructuring and new product innovation. He stated that new product introduction (NPI) cycle times had decreased substantially from two years prior, with the company aiming for a 20% reduction in overall cycle time by 2027. Roman noted that while the company was launching more incremental "class 3" products, it was pivoting toward "class 4" and "class 5" products, which he described as entering adjacent markets or creating entirely new product categories. He said the impact of these products would become more meaningful in the second half of 2026 and into 2027, and that the team was focused on "design to cost" to both add features and reduce costs.

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Transcript (86 segments)
O
Operator0:02
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the 3M second quarter earnings conference call. During the presentation, all participants will be in a listen-only mode. Afterwards, we will conduct a question and answer session. At that time, if you do have a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. As a reminder, this call is being recorded Tuesday, July 21st, 2026. I would now like to turn the call over to Chiman Trivedi, senior vice president of investor relations and financial planning and analysis at 3M.
C
Chiman Trivedi0:40
Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our quarterly earnings conference call. With me today are Bill Brown, 3M's chairman and chief executive officer, and Anurag Maheshwari, 3M's chief financial officer. Bill and Anurag will make some formal comments, and we will take your questions. Please note that today's earnings release and slide presentation accompanying this call are posted on the home page of our investor relations website at 3m.com. Please turn to slide 2 and take a moment to read the forward-looking statements. During today's conference call, we'll be making certain predictive statements that reflect our current views about 3M's future performance and financial results. These statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Item 1A of our most recent form 10-Q lists some of the most important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from our predictions. Please note, throughout today's presentation, we'll be making references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures can be found in the attachments to today's press release. With that, please turn to slide 3, and I will hand the call over to Bill. Bill.
B
Bill Brown1:59
Thank you, Chiman. Good morning, everyone. We delivered strong performance in Q2, including organic growth of 5.4%, operating margin of 24.9%, up 40 basis points, earnings per share of $2.40, up 11%, and free cash flow of $1.3 billion with 107% conversion. We returned $1.4 billion to shareholders in the quarter, including $400 million in dividends and $1 billion of share repurchases. Since 2025, we returned $8.6 billion to shareholders against our commitment to return $10-plus through 2027. Given our strong first half performance, we're raising our guidance for the year for sales, EPS, and free cash flow. Our results today exceeded our expectations, demonstrate the progress we're making to build a higher performing company, and continue to give us confidence we're on the right path forward. The strategy we put in place 2 years ago is delivering results, and we're building momentum in executing against our strategic priorities. Commercial excellence initiatives continue to drive results through improved sales force effectiveness and stronger account execution supported by AI-enabled tools that enhance planning, prioritize opportunities, and accelerate productivity. Cross-selling continues to outperform expectations with $110 million of opportunities booked and another $120 million in the pipeline, up over 40% quarter over quarter, and putting us ahead of the goal we set at our investor day. We're rebuilding the innovation engine at 3M and significantly accelerating our pace of new product introductions. In the quarter, we launched 92 new products, up 44% versus last year, bringing our first half total to 176 launches, and putting us on track to deliver more than 350 new products this year. The benefits are showing up in our results, and I'll talk more about our innovation journey in a moment.
Our focus on operational discipline and productivity improvement continues to create value across the enterprise. Cost of poor quality improved 60 basis points year-over-year, while overall equipment effectiveness improved 140 basis points. As asset utilization improves, we're able to consolidate production into fewer assets, optimize our manufacturing footprint, and retire older and less efficient equipment. While overall utilization remains a long-term opportunity, there are pockets in our manufacturing network today where capacity is constrained and short of demand. One example is our new Ohm facility, which produces cable accessories for electrical markets, a product that's facing high and increasing demand. Here, the team ran a multi-week sprint that set a disciplined operating cadence against a locked production schedule, improved material flow, eliminated process bottlenecks, and focused the team on rapidly resolving the underlying constraints holding back output. As a result, the work center achieved record production levels in June, delivering $13 million of incremental revenue, or nearly 50 basis points at the SIBG level. The actions taken across commercial execution, innovation, and operations are part of a broader transition at 3M from a holding company to a more integrated operating company model. The next step in the journey is around transformation, simplifying and standardizing core processes, reducing complexity in our factory and distribution network, and reshaping our portfolio. Today, many of the activities and support functions like finance, HR, and customer service operate independently across regions and business units, creating unnecessary complexity, inefficiency, and duplication. We're bringing these activities together into a single global service delivery model and partnering with an external provider to run them at scale using automation and AI. This move will increase agility, accelerate technology adoption, and sharpen our focus on the capabilities that are most critical to driving growth and long-term value creation. We're also continuing to enhance our portfolio. On July 1st, we closed on the acquisition of Madison Fire and Rescue, consolidating it with our Scott SCBA business into a new majority-owned joint venture, and receiving $700 million in cash as part of the transaction. This JV generates revenue of $800 million, growing at high single digits, and with margins above our company average. This is a clear example of how we're reshaping the portfolio towards higher growth, higher margin businesses, strengthening a priority vertical, while keeping a capital allocation discipline. Another priority vertical is data centers, and I want to touch on an exciting announcement we made last week. We entered a strategic partnership with Microsoft, who will become the first hyperscaler to deploy our patented expanded beam optics or EBO technology in the Azure data centers. This is a powerful proof point of how we're applying 3M's innovation to one of the fastest-growing markets in the world. Our connectors install faster, hold up far better to dust and handling, and help customers stand up AI capacity more quickly. We're rapidly scaling production capacity both internally and externally and engaging the broader ecosystem of suppliers, partners, and customers to support standardization and industry adoption of EBO technology.
On slide four, we show that the positive momentum in Q1 in several growth areas carried into Q2, driving strong performance in the first half for cross adhesives, abrasives, aerospace, electrical markets, and safety. We continue to see a couple places with pressure, including consumer electronics, auto and auto aftermarket, and US consumer spending. We're clearly outgrowing the market in aggregate through better commercial execution, including increased cross-selling and improved customer retention, and faster pace of innovation. Overall, our first half performance positions us well for continued momentum in the second half of the year. Innovation has always been one of 3M's greatest competitive advantages, and slide five highlights a significant inflection in launches and new product sales beginning about 2 years ago. Our goal is to restore that advantage at an even higher level by combining our unmatched material science capabilities with greater speed and better execution. Over the past couple of years, we've taken deliberate actions to increase rigor, accountability, and focus within our R&D organization, what we've been calling our R&D factory. As a result, we're beginning to see meaningful improvements across the innovation pipeline. We're increasing the pace of innovation and on track to nearly triple the number of new products introduced this year versus 3 years ago and launch more than 1,000 products by 2027, while reducing development cycle time by about 20%. We expect performance to continue accelerating as we leverage AI to move more quickly from idea generation to development and production. These efforts are translating into commercial results with 5-year new product sales reaching about $4 billion this year and new product vitality index climbing to the mid-teens this year and 20% next year. The right side of the slide highlights several next-generation innovations and showcases the breadth of our portfolio and ability to address emerging customer needs. From developing new products for new markets like EBO for data centers to adapting existing technologies to new applications like Nextel high-performance fibers for fuel cells and light reflective films for space satellites. These products demonstrate how we're applying technology to unlock new growth opportunities. Slide six pulls it all together. Over the last couple of years, we've moved from a decline of 4.4% in 2023 to positive growth of 3% on a trailing 12-month basis through the first half of 2026, while at the same time expanding margins by about 500 basis points. This is 3M excellence at work and demonstrates that we can both grow the top line and increase margins simultaneously. Our performance is increasingly outpacing underlying end markets with our growth-to-market multiple improving from roughly in line to 2x and with businesses that declined in 2023 turning solidly positive in 2026. While we're still in the early innings of our journey to create value, the momentum is building. I'm encouraged by the progress we're making and confident in our ability to continue to deliver above market growth and sustainable margin expansion over the long term. With that, I'll turn it over to Anurag to share the details of the quarter. Anurag.
A
Anurag Maheshwari11:39
Thank you, Bill. Turning to slide seven, we exceeded expectations across all financial metrics in the quarter. Delivered mid-single-digit organic growth, margin expansion, double-digit earnings growth, and robust free cash flow, all reflecting strong progress against our strategic priorities. Starting with top line, in an unchanged macro environment, the organic sales growth of 5.4% was driven by successful execution of our commercial excellence initiatives and increasing contribution from new product launches supported by a strong operating tempo. Coming into the quarter, we had expected sales conversion from the Q1 order strength to accelerate revenue growth to over 3% in the second quarter. With the sustained order momentum in the quarter, combined with good supply chain execution, we were able to grow above expectations. This puts the first half organic growth at 3.3%, comfortably outperforming macro. By geography, we saw broad-based growth across all five regions. China grew double digits with strength in industrial adhesives, safety, and auto films as we executed on our key accounts and local NPI strategies leading to share gains. US and Canada industrial businesses grew mid-single digits, partially offset by softness in consumer and auto aftermarket. It was encouraging to see Europe return to growth, up mid-single digits despite a muted auto market. And in Asia, we saw double-digit growth led by India, a trend that has continued for seven straight quarters as a result of increased sales coverage in a growing economy. Q2 adjusted operating margins were 24.9%, up 40 basis points with the business group operating margins up 70 basis points, partially offset by expected corporate headwind of 30 basis points. Operating profit increased $110 million or 16 cents, including a $240 million benefit from sales growth and broad-based productivity, partially offset by $30 million of investments and $110 million from tariff impact and strata cost headwind. We have not received any tariff refunds to date. The 24 cents of EPS growth in the quarter is driven by 16 cents of operating profit growth and 8 cents primarily from lower share count as we continue to return capital to shareholders. The benefit from tax timing and lower pension cost was offset by a prior year gain on investment. This earnings growth was also reflected in the unadjusted results with Q2 GAAP EPS of $1.78, growing 33% year-over-year. This included the impact of cost from ongoing transformation actions, exit of certain PFAS manufacturing assets, and gain from change in value of our Solventum ownership. Free cash flow was robust at $1.3 billion or 107% conversion as we benefited from strong earnings and working capital management including 7 days improvement over last year in inventory. We returned $1.4 billion to shareholders via dividends and gross share buybacks. For the half, we generated cash flow of $1.9 billion and returned $3.8 billion to shareholders, including $0.8 billion in dividends and $3 billion in share repurchases. Turning to the next slide, I will provide a quick overview of our growth performance for each business group.
Safety and Industrial delivered a standout quarter with 8.2% organic sales growth driven by the continued expansion of commercial excellence initiatives and the ramp-up of new product launches. We delivered double-digit growth across the four industrial businesses: electrical markets, industrial adhesives and tapes, abrasives, and industrial specialties. This growth was driven by targeted commercial initiatives to reduce customer churn, strengthen sales coverage and effectiveness, and increase cross-selling. Safety grew high single digits on the back of new product launches and continued international expansion. It was encouraging to see roofing granules return to growth and we expect that trend to continue in the back half on a recovering market and easy compares. For the half, SIBG grew 5.7%, demonstrating sustained acceleration over the last 2 years. Transportation and electronic sales grew 5.9% in the second quarter from the expected backlog conversion combined with stronger commercial execution and account management. The first half growth of 2.9% reflects strength in approximately half of the business segments more than offsetting end market weakness in the other half. Semiconductor, aerospace, and data center business segments comprising approximately 20% of sales grew double digits as we gained traction from new product introductions and commercial branding. In transportation, which is about a third of the business, grew approximately 5%. On the other hand, auto was flat in a soft market and consumer electronics was down low single digit, performing better than the broader consumer device market. SIBG and TBG, which together represent 80% of our business, delivered 7% growth in the second quarter and approximately 5% growth for the first half. Finally, consumer, which makes up the remaining 20% of our sales, was down 2.1% for the quarter and 1.7% for the half. Point-of-sale growth in the US remained healthy and has been positive in 18 of the 26 weeks year-to-date, which is seven positive weeks in all of last year. However, tightening of inventory levels at several key retailers in the second half of June more than offset this positive momentum. The second quarter performance caps a strong first half, including organic sales growth of 3.3%, operating margin of 24.3%, and earnings growth of 12%.
Giving us confidence to raise our full year guidance across all the financial metrics on slide nine. We are raising our organic growth expectations from 3% to greater than 3.5% for the year. This is a result of strong commercial momentum in our industrial businesses supported by increased sales contribution from new product launches, which will more than offset the slight weakness in consumer business. EPS guidance is increasing from a range of $8.50 to $8.70 to a range of $8.80 to $8.95, or a growth of 9% to 11% year over year. This increases both the low and high end of the guidance and reflects about a 27 cent increase at the midpoint. The increase in earnings versus the prior guidance is coming from stronger sales growth, productivity gains, and a capital deployment strategy. We now estimate oil inflation to be $150 to $175 million from $125 million previously. This impact is expected to be fully covered by the price actions we implemented in Q2. Though oil price cost is dollar neutral, it impacts margin rate by 20 basis points, which we will mitigate through higher volume and better productivity, resulting in operating margin expansion in line with our prior expectations. Given the higher earnings growth and progress in working capital, we have increased our free cash flow guidance by $100 million to a range of $4.7 to $4.9 billion, implying conversion greater than 100%. The updated guidance implies second half organic sales growth of high threes or better, over two times macro, and margin expansion of about 100 basis points from the prior year, resulting in EPS growth of approximately 30 cents at the midpoint. Sequentially, we expect operating profit to follow typical seasonality with similar phasing between the halves, while earnings will see an impact from tax timing. Turning to slide 10, I want to take a minute to highlight the progress we have made since our Investor Day last year. We are at the halfway point and with the strong 2025 foundation and the updated 2026 guidance, we are tracking ahead of investor day commitments across all metrics. Our growth trajectory continues to accelerate from commercial excellence and innovation and is on track to exceed the $1 billion above macro commitment. Along with growth, we're seeing good operating margin expansion and are tracking ahead of the approximately 25% margin rate by 2027. For earnings, we're trending to a double-digit CAGR reflecting strong operational improvements coupled with below-the-line efficiency. And on cash, we expect to continue the strong trajectory exceeding accumulated cash commitment and $10 billion returned to shareholders. Overall, we are pleased with the progress we are making and want to thank the team for their relentless focus, determined pace, and strong execution to drive long-term value for our shareholders. With that, let's open the call for questions.
O
Operator22:08
Ladies and gentlemen, if you would like to register a question, please press star 1 on your telephone keypad. If your question has been answered and you would like to withdraw, please press star 2. If you are using a speakerphone, please lift up on your handset before entering your request. Please limit your participation to one question and one follow-up. Our first question comes from the line of Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research. Please proceed with your question.
J
Jeff Sprague22:39
Hey, thanks. Good morning, everyone. Hey, nice to see the top line here. Bill, I was wondering if you could just even unpack this a little bit more. There's some great detail in these slides, but just kind of looking at the new product launches and the like, closely on track to what you thought, right? But the revenues are coming in better. So do we have a combination of just upside and new product revenue relative to plan that sounds like cross sells a little bit better? And then maybe what role reduced churn is playing in all this. And I guess really what I want to get to at the end of the question is, you know, an algorithm of roughly two times macro. Do you view that as sort of a sustainable model for 3M going forward?
B
Bill Brown23:24
So, good morning to you guys. That's a great question. Thank you for that. Yeah, we're very confident in where the growth happens to be. We came in stronger than we had expected in the quarter. It really is a combination of both commercial excellence and innovation excellence. The journey that we've been on for 2 years that is maturing very rapidly. It's not really macro tailwind. Macro on the industrial side looks pretty good, but there's some headwinds in the marketplace. It's mostly just internal performance. And when you look at just the quarter, it was a little bit better than we had expected. Over the last 12 months at 3%, it's clearly trending above the macro. We think it's pretty good. Mostly driven in the first half from commercial excellence activities. A lot of the things we've laid out in the past around sales force effectiveness, better performance at the front end, pricing governance. We're pushing a lot with our channel partners, joint business plans. Cross-selling is much better. And on loyalty, we are getting better on attrition. We have been tracking this very carefully over the last couple of years. We've seen about 200 basis points improvement in attrition, primarily coming out of our SIBG business. And which would take some time for that to turn, but it's starting to turn. It's still too high, but it's actually making some good improvements here. As we look to the back end of the year, we do see the innovation engine contributing even more in the back half, and even greater into 2027, based on the momentum we happen to be building here. So we feel pretty good this year. We think we'll be about $450 million above macro in the full year, a little bit better than we thought last quarter, around $340 to $350 million. And that's largely on the back of good commercial excellence, but the machine churning faster on innovation. So all good signs, and we're really pleased with the performance in the quarter and we expect the momentum to continue.
J
Jeff Sprague25:25
Great. And then maybe just unrelated follow-up for Anurag. Madison not included in the guide, although it's closed. Is there some peculiarity we need to work through before we dial this in? Just curious on why that wasn't included and we're looking at a lower tax rate for the year. Thanks.
A
Anurag Maheshwari25:43
Great. Well, thanks for the question, Jeff. No, we just wanted to provide an apple-to-apple guidance from our last earning call so that we can see how our organic performance has impacted our revenue, EPS, and cash. We have a page at the back of the webcast that has the revenue margin and other information on Madison. It does not have a material impact to the EPS guidance range or the numbers and we'll incorporate that in our third quarter call. And just for tax, we still plan to be around 20% for the year.
J
Jeff Sprague26:13
Great. Thank you.
O
Operator26:19
Our next question comes from the line of Scott Davis with Neely Research. Please proceed with your question.
S
Scott Davis26:26
Hey, good morning, guys. Good morning, Sandeep. This expanded beam optics thing seems interesting, but I'm trying to get a sense of a couple things. One is really materiality and how that scales out, and it looks like it was launched with Microsoft as the partner. So is there an opportunity to scale across more hyperscalers? And how do you think about that? I'll just leave that as a little bit of an open-ended question to help us understand where the upside is in that market.
B
Bill Brown27:01
So, Scott, thanks for the question. Yes, it's getting quite a bit of excitement and we're excited internally as well. It's been a technology that's developed several years ago. In a nutshell, it's a very durable, dust-resistant, vibration-resistant fiber optic connection technology. We've proven with a hyperscaler that it can reduce by about 85% the time to revenue, time to install circuits in a data center. We've got about 100 patents in this space, 50 pending. So it's very well protected and we're very excited about this. It's been in testing for several years with Microsoft. We're very pleased that they have qualified us as a technology for the Azure data centers. That's very encouraging. The revenue this year was in the $40 to $50 million range. We do think it will scale over time. Could be four or five times that or even more over the next several years depending upon our progress here as well as the adoption of optical technologies in data centers as that transitions. A couple of things are happening here. One, as we continue to develop the technology, each hyperscaler has some uniqueness in the architecture, so that's got to be developed. We've got to scale it both internally and externally. Earlier this year, we announced that we would double our capacity on EBO this year and another doubling over the next 18 months. But even that isn't anywhere near the volume demand in the marketplace. So we're also working with various contract manufacturers. We're pretty developed on one. The third item is that we will not be successful as a sole provider here. This is about enabling an ecosystem of partners. So we formed a multi-supplier agreement. There are 44 players in this agreement all throughout the ecosystem: multiple hyperscalers, chip manufacturers, connector manufacturers. And it's about how do you enable the whole ecosystem. So all of those things are in place. We're deep in the trials with other hyperscalers. I won't say much more about that. But the TAM this year for EBO technologies is around a billion dollars. We think it'll grow to $2 billion by 2028. It could be beyond that over time. But again, we've got to be very successful on how we scale this product and make sure we've got good quality, deliver on time, all those basic pieces. But we're very encouraged about the progress that we're on, the results that we're seeing. The team's done a great job here, and we're optimistic about the growth in the space.
S
Scott Davis29:30
Okay. That's helpful. And then I just a quick follow-up. I'd kind of given up on China, but it sounds like China could potentially be a growth engine for you guys again. Is that an exaggeration or how do you view the short, medium, long-term China market today versus maybe when you took over the job?
B
Bill Brown29:51
Yeah, so good question, Kevin. Look, we've been pretty consistent that China's been a very special market for us. We're just performing really well. We've got a great team on the ground. We've organized a little bit differently and uniquely there as well as in India. Sort of a hybrid organizational model. We have global business groups, but we stood up a team focused on China, based in China. Same thing in India. And we're seeing the results. In the second quarter, we had double-digit growth, first half about 8%. A lot of the performance there, keep in mind again, we're 50/50 between domestic production and export. The domestic economy from an industrial perspective remains pretty solid in China, and we're performing well. A lot of it is localizing NPI, and a lot of it is commercial execution on the ground. The team is doing a fantastic job. We have more than 5,000 people there, six factories, and again, we're developing more localized technology. The export is the other 50% of the business. That part of the economy is done pretty well.
And we feel pretty good about the results, and we'll continue to press it every quarter as we are in Q3 in the back end of the year, but long-term, we like our position in China. We like the team that's executing in China, the strategy, and we're pretty optimistic about the future in China.
A
Amit Mehrotra31:08
That's good. Best of luck, guys. Thank you.
B
Bill Brown31:10
Thank you.
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Operator31:14
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with UBS. Please proceed with your question.
A
Amit Mehrotra31:22
Thanks. Morning. Bill, Anurag, I'm just hoping you get a little bit more color on NPI in terms of when you typically expect these new products to sort of really inflect. I'm sure it takes a few quarters or maybe a year or two. And then anything within the NPI in terms of are these truly new products or increasingly selling new products or I know what you call class three products or refresh products. Any thoughts there? And then I think there was this expectation that maybe $600 million of outgrowth next year on year three of the plan. Is that still the way to think about the outgrowth from a lot of these actions? Thank you.
B
Bill Brown31:59
So, on a bunch of good questions. First, on the last piece around the outgrowth next year. Look, this year, we originally said we would be a billion over the macro, 125, 326 and 627. And clearly last year we did a bit better than 100. This year we'll do more than 300, around 450. So that continues to ramp. So we'll come back early next year and talk about next year, but clearly we're performing better than macro. And it's both commercial excellence as well as innovation or NPI. Look, on NPI, the progress has been fantastic. The chart that we put into the webcast is a very important one. It shows this very deep inflection and we're clearly on the right track here. We typically would launch a product from the beginning of development to launch in about 250 days. It's down substantially from where it was 2 years ago. By '27 it's going to be around a 20% reduction in overall cycle time, but there are some slight nuances in the data. We're launching more class 3s which are shorter in duration, more incremental. But the company is pivoting more to what we call class 4s and class 5s. Class 4s move into adjacent markets and class 5s are completely new products for new markets. The team is focusing more on the 4s and 5s. You'll see more impact in the back half of the year as those products that we started working on a few years ago start to launch this year and become meaningful in the back half. They'll be even more meaningful into 2027, but the engine is moving, the momentum is really building, and the team is executing fantastically well across all these various dimensions. We're launching more, but there are more ideas coming into the front end of the funnel. So the health of the pipeline is very good. I think this will continue to build momentum in the back half and into next year. This is what we're known for, material science, driving using material science to make differences in the world, and I think we're doing a good job with that.
A
Amit Mehrotra34:04
Okay, thanks Phil. And just as a quick follow-up, when we started, I remember at the analyst day, the story originally was really about getting the gross margin from the low 40s to the high 40s where you guys used to be. And obviously with tariffs and all the developments that have happened, you've still been able to move the needle on the operating margin line much to your credit despite gross margin being stuck in the very low 40s. Is there an opportunity, do you think, structurally at least, with all that we know now, we can still get back to the high 40% margin on gross margin? If you can just talk about that, given all the structural dynamics that have occurred over the last couple of years.
B
Bill Brown34:44
Look, on margins, you see the chart. Up 500 basis points from a couple of years ago. So we are making really strong progress here. And it's both gross margin, but also importantly in SG&A, in IT, and other kinds of expenses, indirect costs. We've talked about that quite a bit. There was more to squeeze in that area, more costs to take out than we'd anticipated. We've done a good job. On gross margins, we're tracking close to mid-40s right now. The company has done a good job. Productivity is really solid. We had great core productivity in the quarter. We continue to build momentum. I give you the metrics around that. We are reducing our costs per quality; that came down again. Our operating equipment effectiveness is coming up. We're driving hard on procurement. We're seeing net savings even after inflation. Four-wall spend, we've doubled the number of Kaizen events inside the company. There is a ton of opportunity here just running the network and distribution side better than it exists today. The next step as we transform is simplifying, standardizing, automating more of our processes both on our SG&A side, which I talked about in the prepared remarks, but also on the factory side and network side. There's plenty of headroom in front of us. We see ourselves marching ahead with the ability to hit the high 40s over time. The road map is relatively clear, along the same lines we've been laying out and talking about over the last couple of years. As we get into transformation, we'll see margins continue to expand. So we feel good about the performance and optimistic about the future of margins.
A
Amit Mehrotra36:26
All right. Thank you very much. Appreciate it.
B
Bill Brown36:31
Thank you.
O
Operator36:32
We'll go next to the line of Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research. Please proceed with your question.
N
Nigel Coe36:38
Thanks. Good morning, everyone. So quarter different. I think Bill or one of you mentioned last quarter started off quite weak and it got better through the quarter. I'm just wondering how the 5.4% looked from April through June. We started off stronger, got weaker, any color there? And any updates on how orders and maybe backlog exited the quarter?
A
Anurag Maheshwari37:05
Yeah, hey, good morning, Nigel. Hey, it was quite good throughout the course of the quarter. It was more linear than we've typically seen. We ended started the quarter with very good backlog. If I look at April and May, it was probably 600 basis points better relative to the first 2 months of the prior quarter. So it was quite good as we went into the first 2 months of the quarter. And June, the auto momentum kind of sustained as well because we added price increases which came with effect from May 1st, but just through the course of the quarter, we saw very good linearity and the team executed very well to post the 5.4% growth. We did see similar auto momentum in the second quarter as the first quarter which strengthened the industrial side of the business. So our orders were up about 10% for the quarter and backlog about close to 20% up year-over-year. So as we get into Q3, we feel good about visibility for Q3 and the second half of the year. Obviously, 75% of our business is booked and shipped, so we have to monitor as we go along, but so far the first 2 weeks, orders and backlog look good.
N
Nigel Coe38:15
That's great. That's really encouraging. And my next question is really you mentioned the consumer channel destocking in the second half of June. So just wondering how long do you think this destock will happen? Any intel on how inventories look for 2019 products? And any color on how inventories are looking in SIBG and TNE? Selling versus sell-through color would be helpful as well.
A
Anurag Maheshwari38:42
So, inventory levels in SIBG and TEVG are normal. There's no discernible trend one way or another. Not a concern. On CBG, look, I think what was encouraging is to continue to see the point of sale growth or sell-out growth around 2.5% in the quarter, which was very positive. We felt good about that. It was really isolated to a couple of retailers and we saw them step back a little bit in the US channel, step back a little bit in terms of weeks of supply. It was about a one-week delta. As you come into July and into Q3, we think this will normalize here, especially as retailers stock up for back-to-school season. But we'll keep monitoring it and communicate with investors as needed, but we feel it's going to normalize here and help us in the back half of consumer to be flat up slightly is what our expectation would be in the back half of the year.
N
Nigel Coe39:35
That's great. Thanks, Phil.
O
Operator39:40
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chigusa Katoku with JP Morgan. Please proceed with your question.
C
Chigusa Katoku39:48
Morning. Congrats on a great quarter and thanks for taking my question. My first question is on organic growth. So you raised your organic growth guidance nicely, but it still implies some deceleration in the second half from the strong second quarter levels. I think pricing should come through and you got some maybe a delivery schedule on the back end. So what's driving this? Is this consumer and electronics or the timing of deliveries or is this prudence?
B
Bill Brown40:17
Chigusa, thank you. Look, it's a good question. The fact is the second half will be accelerating from the first half. You mentioned specifically Q2, but it does continue to accelerate. There are some positives here. We continue to see good momentum in general industrial safety. We see semis, data center, A&D remains pretty strong. I don't have to communicate about the roofing granules business; it's not very big, but we see some improvements in the back half on easier comps. And we do see some tailwind on pricing. For the year we'll be at about a point and a half, which implies about two points in the back half. So all those things give us encouragement in the back half. But the watch items are, number one, going to be consumer electronics. The market data indicates a deteriorating production volume of devices, PCs, tablets in the back half of the year, expected to be down high teens as lower said it was in the first half. So that's a watch area. Auto is stabilizing in general for us, but it's still expected to be down on the build rate year over year in the back half. The auto aftermarket business, we still think is going to be soft. Repair claims are still expected to be down in the back half of the year. And look, the US consumer remains cautious. As I just commented, we do expect flat up growth in consumer in the back half, but the consumer remains cautious and value focused. So those are the things that we're more cautious about, but at the end of the day, we had anticipated being above three in Q3; we came in above five in Q2 rather. We do expect good momentum going into the back half of the year.
C
Chigusa Katoku41:57
Great. Thank you so much for the color. Then as a follow-up, I was wondering if you could give a little bit more color on what drove the strength in margins this quarter. Is it mix, price, cost, or productivity? You're pretty much at your 2027 margin target right now in the second quarter. So when should we expect to hear about updated targets?
A
Anurag Maheshwari42:17
Okay. Hey, thanks for the question. So, we finished the quarter at 24.9% margin, which is the highest we've ever been. And this was 40 basis points higher than we thought where we would be. A large part of it was the volume performance relative to the 3% came in over 5%, but it was also continuation on the productivity side, a combination of both G&A and on the supply chain, which had actually very good productivity for the quarter. So I would say it's broad-based between volume and productivity.
C
Chigusa Katoku42:48
Okay, great. Thanks for the color.
O
Operator42:52
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Chris McNider with Morgan Stanley. Please proceed with your question.
C
Chris McNider43:00
Thank you. I wanted to follow up on the data center conversation, specifically the EBO opportunity. I think you said that this could be a $2 billion market by 2028. I'm just kind of curious, what is the competitive environment here? As we try to think about what share of that $2 billion market could accrue to 3M. It feels like a new technology that I would think the company is well positioned from a share perspective, but any color on that. Thank you.
B
Bill Brown43:33
Yeah, Chris, look, it's a good question. We do play today inside the data center in a couple of ways. We play on copper networking with our twin ax product sold into data centers. There is a gradual transition from copper to fiber that's happening across the data center, across the racks, and eventually will start to move down to the chip, which today is mostly copper-based solutions. So we've been playing on the copper side, and optics is going to become a bigger share over time of networking in the data centers. Typically, fiber optic connections are point-to-point. It's very difficult to do that; the ends have to be polished, it's specialized labor, it takes time and effort. And when you think about billions of individual fiber strands being connected in data centers, the market is looking for better solutions. EBO connections allow them to do this more quickly, seamlessly, and more reliably. I think that's an important differentiator. As I mentioned earlier, we've got substantial patent protection around the technology, 100 patents today with another 50 pending. But we are prepared and we will continue to license other ecosystem players to manufacture that EBO expanded beam optics technology, because that's required by hyperscalers. There is no one company or supplier that will provide all of the demand for these hyperscalers, whether it be servers or chips or racks, including EBO connectors. So that's the path we're on. We've got a small share today, again it's in the $40 to $50 million range of a billion dollars. But over time, given our technology and the momentum we think we're building here and our ability to scale, we think our share in that segment will grow materially, and that's what we would expect.
C
Chris McNider45:30
Thank you, I appreciate that. And then maybe if I could follow up on price cost. I would imagine there was some lag on Q2 price cost just given how quickly the commodities inflated. And then when we think about the timing of your price actions in April and May, can you maybe just kind of talk about price cost in Q2? And is it fair to assume that price cost gets better as we look into the back half just with the incremental price coming through, while commodity inflation is still certainly persisting, but a lot of these petrochemical inputs have eased a bit versus what we saw earlier in the spring. Thank you.
B
Bill Brown46:07
It's a great question, Chris. Q2 our price was at 1.6%, so it was about in line with what we'd expected in the first half. It was around a percent. We started the year a little bit lighter. We do see that increasing in the back half of the year to about 2%. As Anurag mentioned in his commentary, the cost impact for us this year embedded in our year is $150 to $175 million from oil-based increases. That is up from where we were earlier in the year at $125 million. So to your point, there is a bit of a lag rolling through the system and we're being adaptable here. We're adjusting as we go. We are all trying to offset that dollar for dollar. It will impact margins, but we do expect we'll offset the higher price of oil on a dollar-for-dollar basis through pricing. We are executing it a little bit better, we got on it faster this time earlier in the quarter. We're being very careful to watch volume here, but at the end of the day, I think we're capturing it. So price cost on oil is sort of neutral overall. With the other price increases, it'll be slightly positive from where we stand today.
C
Chris McNider47:22
Thank you, Bill. Appreciate all that.
B
Bill Brown47:24
Sure.
O
Operator47:28
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Nicole De Blase with Deutsche Bank. Please proceed with your question.
N
Nicole De Blase47:35
Yeah, thanks. Good morning, guys.
B
Bill Brown47:37
Good morning, Nicole.
N
Nicole De Blase47:39
Maybe just on productivity and stranded costs and growth investments, did anything shift at all in that outlook and anything major to highlight as we consider the cadence in those items between the first half and the second half?
A
Anurag Maheshwari47:55
Yeah, overall, Nicole, I would say nothing has changed significantly in terms of the cadence. What's gotten better is productivity, which I'll come to in a second. Just on the strategic cost, we said $150 million for the year, more in the second half versus the first half. And on investments, we said we're going to be $225 million, and the investments are spread over growth, productivity, and foundation stuff of about $225 million. $75 million in the first half, $150 million in the second half. So I wouldn't say anything has changed on those two items. But clearly on the productivity side, earlier mentioned on supply chain, it's definitely better than what we have seen through the course of the year.
N
Nicole De Blase48:35
Okay, got it. Thanks, Sanjeev. And then just I think you guys did like $3 billion of buybacks in the first half, and the prior guidance was for $2.5 billion, so you've already exceeded that. How are you thinking about buyback cadence if there is any in the second half of the year?
B
Bill Brown48:50
Listen, we'll continue to be opportunistic in this environment in this overall capital allocation framework. As you correctly said, we started the year at $2.5 billion. We found the opportunity to buy more stock. We've done about $3 billion at an average price of about $153 for the first half, and we'll just continue to be opportunistic going forward.
N
Nicole De Blase49:10
Thank you. I'll pass it on.
O
Operator49:15
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Piyush of Citi. With Citi. Please proceed with your question.
P
Piyush49:22
Good morning, guys. And thanks for letting me ask a question. I wanted to focus on safety and industrial segment. Growth in 2K was very strong. Maybe if we can dig in a bit deeper on the drivers, like how much is heavy in markets versus your own commercial excellence and innovation initiatives. Not sure if there was any pull forward. Ultimately, I want to get a sense of second half dynamics. Comps get slightly tougher, but do you see a path to sustaining this high single-digit growth?
B
Bill Brown49:53
So, just in a nutshell, look, ITI is running around 1.82%. US is a little bit less than that, around just over 1%. So clearly we're growing well above the macro. I believe it's the performance of the organization both in terms of commercial excellence as well as innovation. Anurag went through some of the underlying drivers across the divisions of SIBG. It was pretty broad-based. It was strong across all of what they're in except for auto aftermarket, which was a little bit light. Again, it's a big business so they've had to overcome that, but I think the momentum there is pretty good. As you go into the back end of the year, there's nothing that indicates the industrial market is getting softer. We feel pretty good. As Anurag said, the orders in Q2 were pretty strong. SIBG was up mid-teens. So the order growth rate there is pretty good. Backlog is up year-over-year. So I think the momentum continues. And again, it really is just a balance of really good commercial excellence. Keep in mind, that team jumped on commercial excellence very early in the process early in 2024 and have made great progress. I commented earlier about attrition coming down or churn coming down, which has been great. Working hard on the sales force, providing sales AI tools which makes them more effective and efficient. A lot of work on cross-selling that's dropping through the bottom line. So I would characterize this as a lot of really good back-to-basics hustle that's happening in SIBG but also in other businesses. So we feel good about the momentum and even with the tough comparables, we think second half will be pretty strong growth as well.
P
Piyush51:33
How's full year build? And maybe taking a step back, any additional color on how we should think of 3Q and 4Q in terms of top line growth and operating margin based on your 2026 guidance? Should we expect normal seasonality? Not sure if there are any other dynamics that we need to be aware of.
A
Anurag Maheshwari51:50
Sure. Let me take that question. You should see the normal seasonality through the course of the year as well. Our guide says we're going to be over 3.5% for the year. The first half is 3.3%. So clearly there's going to be acceleration in the second half. You should see a lot more coming from productivity as well, both in the supply chain as well as in the transformation projects that we have undergoing. We'll see the benefits of that come through. And both of them will more than mitigate the pick-up in stranded costs and in investments that we are going to make to ensure that this is sustainable for the future. So I would say it's normal seasonality with the EPS going by 30 cents in the back half equal between Q3 and Q4.
P
Piyush52:32
I appreciate the color on that. Thank you.
O
Operator52:37
Thank you. Our next question comes from the line of Dean Dray with RBC Capital Markets. Please proceed with your question.
D
Dean Dray52:46
Thank you. Good morning, everyone.
B
Bill Brown52:48
Good morning, Dean.
D
Dean Dray52:50
Significant upside in free cash flow especially compared to your 5-year average. Can you talk about any one-timers? There was a reference to benefit of tax timing but also some nice improvement in days in inventory days. So is that also sustainable and you have some targets that you can share?
A
Anurag Maheshwari53:13
Yeah, thanks. It is a very strong cash flow just on the back of very strong operational performance. We obviously have good earnings and the cash conversion cycle continues to do better on the back of lesser inventory. Our inventory has improved by 7 days year over year. So it's just fundamental good operational performance that's driving the free cash flow.
D
Dean Dray53:34
Great. And you didn't call it out exactly but can you reference any of the impact on memory chip pricing, availability and how's that rippling through your consumer electronics?
B
Bill Brown53:47
Well, the consumer electronics was down low single digits in the quarter and we do expect the market in the back half of the year to be down, I think it was like high teens. And I think that's largely related to memory shortages, the high cost of memory. So that's rolling through the marketplace. In the quarter we're performing better than the macro, again down low single digits versus where the market happens to be. We expect outperforming in the back half of the year, but the market is getting weaker because of memory.
D
Dean Dray54:16
Great. Thank you.
B
Bill Brown54:17
You bet.
O
Operator54:20
Thank you. Our next question comes from Bret Lindsay with Mizuho. Please proceed with your question.
B
Bret Lindsay54:28
Hey, good morning all. My question's on utilization and footprint rationalization. There's a bit of a tug-of-war here, right? You've got the secular and cyclical accelerating, but some other areas a little bit more cautious. What's your current capacity utilization across the footprint? And as you look at some of the organic growth potentially accelerating here in the back half, how are you balancing rationalization versus expansion? Are you thinking there's further actions as we look into '26 and '27, or are you revisiting some of the plans currently given the improvements?
B
Bill Brown55:03
So, look, on the way we measure utilization across about 300 assets across the organization, we can keep continuing to increase that. We're systematically tracking more than half our volume. It's running around 63.5% to 64%. So there's plenty of upside capacity across the overall network in aggregate. As I mentioned in my remarks, there are certain assets in our network that are constrained. I mentioned one in particular in New Orleans, there are others. New Orleans makes electrical net connectors; that volume is spiking. So we've got to find ways to unlock capacity, and a lot of it's kind of basic in how you run the lines and the workflow and material flow. Over time, there might be some capital there, but overall, utilization is an upside opportunity for us. Fundamentally understanding utilization, how it's measured across individual assets across the 100 plants we have in the network, allows us to then start to look at how you consolidate between individual assets, cells within a factory, and factories themselves. That is the unlock of what we call transformation that's going to occur over the next 3 to 5 years. It's a longer-term journey, but clearly, as we start to wring out capacity, increase capacity utilization here, we have an opportunity to rationalize the network as well.
B
Bret Lindsay56:27
Understood. Thanks. And then just to follow up on the new product launches, so 92 in the quarter on pace for the 350-plus, what portion is incremental share or TAM expansion versus replacing or cannibalizing existing SKUs? Is there a metric you guys are looking at that looks at net new contribution internally versus gross NPI that might help us bridge some of the opportunity here over the next couple years?
B
Bill Brown56:53
Yeah, Bret, let me look. When we talk about growth above the macro, a lot of it is going to be net new growth, and that's sort of what we articulate. But class three for us is running around 75% of the launches. Class fours and fives, which is more new adjacent markets or new new, if you will, new products for new markets, that's running around 25%. Over time, that will go up to 30, maybe a little bit better than that. It'll be a little bit higher in the industrial side, so we do expect TVG and SIBG to get to 40 or beyond 40% class fours and fives, but we're still running as a company around 25% today.
B
Bret Lindsay57:32
Thanks, Bill.
B
Bill Brown57:33
You bet. Your thoughts on the quarter.
O
Operator57:37
Thank you. And our last question today comes from Lauren Alexander with Jefferies. Please proceed with your question.
L
Lauren Alexander57:45
Can you give a high level testament of the margin profile in the new product mix relative to your core businesses? Used to be that was a significant gap. And I'm curious if the gap is stable as your overall margins are rising, is the margin embedded in the new products pipeline also rising? Or should we think about it more as over time you're having a mix shift where the higher mix is what's driving the margin lift, but eventually those two would converge to some equilibrium.
B
Bill Brown58:19
Look in a nutshell, we expect and we do see that margins on new products over time raise the overall margin threshold. As they start, they launch at lower volumes, so you'll see just absorption or maybe they may not come in at the higher margin, but they do over time because new features can drive better pricing. Also, new products can come into the marketplace at lower cost. One of the things the team is really focused on is design to cost. So we are looking to both bring new features which help us drive price, but also drive cost down in the designs themselves. That combination should allow us to unlock and does allow us to unlock margins through new product introductions.
L
Lauren Alexander59:06
Thank you.
B
Bill Brown59:13
Thank you.
O
Operator59:15
This concludes the question and answer portion of our conference call. I will now turn the call back over to Bill Brown for some closing comments.
B
Bill Brown59:23
Well, thanks everybody for joining us today. And thanks again to all the 3M for really truly delivering another outstanding quarter of great execution and delivering value for our customers and our shareholders. I want to thank them all for all their efforts. Thank you for joining the call and have a good day.
O
Operator59:48
Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference call. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your line.