Malain22:44
Thank you. Thanks Jan. I'm going to try to keep it interesting. So what I want to talk through a little bit is what does creating an industry standard actually means in terms of numbers? Where do we see the impact? Where does it come from? What does it mean for our EPS growth? And I'm also going to talk a little bit about the early days of industry clusters in our VMS group. So starting with Lumra, obviously that is the industry cluster we have built. What we see for Lumra is organic revenue growth in 2025 was strong with 9%. We expect 20% plus for 2026 and some of that is volume growth with it which is great, people still love to come to Germany which is great. So that obviously adds to revenue growth but more importantly it's a review of a positioning of the three brands. It's a review of the pricing of the three brands. You are in a fundamentally stronger negotiation position towards all your key partners if you double the size. And we also see an increase in the conversion rates. As Jan pointed out, the key products still are blocked account and insurance. And the conversion rate of how many blocked accounts students actually also take an insurance product is increasing over time because we are applying the best of breed approach we see in one of the three brands for all of the companies. So that is kind of the key drivers between organic revenue growth for Lumra in 2026.
And more almost more importantly, this is what we expect in terms of growth. So as Jan pointed out we are putting this into one platform and that means that organic EBITDA growth for that segment we are expecting to jump from roughly 14% to 40%. A lot of this is reduced and focused marketing spend. Immediately, I think three days essentially after signing what the team did shut down is Google ads. All of them were spending a lot of money on winning market share from each other. We stopped that and that is like hundreds of thousands savings per year just by not spending that money anymore. Paying commissions to partners, all these kind of things where they just competed with each other. We can stop that now and that adds a lot of margin. Then also we had to streamline the organization. There were some positions that were just doubled across the group. This is not easy decisions. This is not fun decisions but it's necessary decisions. The team took them quickly, executed on them quickly and also that adds to margin. And then in terms of suppliers, what we realized after closing, other than the accounting system, every third-party supplier solution out there, if there were two options, Fintiva went for A, Expatrio went for B for every single thing they needed. So also there we are obviously consolidating. We can renegotiate contracts. So you just have typical merger synergies that add to an organic EBITDA growth in 2026 of more than 40%.
Now what we want to do is to achieve strong organic growth in the long run. Not only with merger synergies but really over time and that is where the not tip of the iceberg, the bottom of the iceberg comes into play. If you can focus all of your resources and all of your thinking on how do I build the next cool product for my client, what you can actually achieve is long-term volume growth. And you can actually achieve long-term revenue growth. And I think we've built a cluster now with Lumra and we've built a team at Lumra that can actually do this. So creating industry standards is the ambition and I think for Lumra we're absolutely there. For our vertical market software segments it's still really early days. I still want to give you a bit of an idea what are we doing there, how we're thinking about it, what is the effect on the numbers. So many roads lead to Rome obviously. First one is PSE and Hanscom and FA. Both of them in the mobility sector, software solutions for public transport, for bus, for trains, etc. What they also both had in common that they were a little bit of the ugly ducklings in their previous corporate setting, a little bit unloved maybe by the previous management. So we acquired both of them in 2025, merged them into what today is Peak Mobility, and Peak Mobility is becoming the shiny, beautiful thread. Are we there yet? No.
I think most of you have seen it in our numbers. Peak Mobility, the combined businesses, they didn't have a good year 2025. We found a lot of things in terms of processes, in terms of culture, in terms of cost efficiencies that needed to be fixed and the team on the ground did a fantastic job in doing this. And I want to point out a few examples and give some numbers in order to give you an idea of what the extent of this can actually be. So the first one is a super easy one. We did a corporate merger. They moved into one office. We save a lot of rent. This is a really easy decision. Everyone loves it. The new office is nicer. It's more modern. If you want to have a laugh, ask Jan about his first experience in the old PSE office. So that's the easy one. The not so easy one is the pricing review and the value-based pricing project we are currently executing on. This as an investor actually as headquarters this sounds so easy. They haven't raised prices for ages, you're adding value, and you just have these talks with the clients and you tell them how great they are and you go and then there are clients and they hate it if you raise prices and they have lawyers that actually say that the contract doesn't really allow for that and they push back and then they start complaining about what you didn't deliver in the last year and how the hell are you willing to raise prices? So this one is really really hard to execute for the team on the ground because they are having these uncomfortable conversations. I'm seeing the numbers. They are having the uncomfortable conversations and therefore 2026 alone and this is not the end of it we will probably see an impact on EBITDA of almost a million euro. And then the most difficult one obviously is the part on team size. So as said both companies came from a corporate setting and there's a certain way of working in these old corporate settings that I wouldn't call efficient necessarily. And that also means that you have a team that is bigger than needed and that also the people on the team are not always the ones that you actually need for the new era. So the team took the very tough decision on really downsizing the team. And again, this makes perfect sense but there are uncomfortable conversations not just with the people but with everyone, a lot of lawyers involved. So this is really hard to execute on and this is what the team did over the past 6 to 9 months and this is tangible EBITDA effect in 2026 alone of 3.5 million, 3.6 million with additional measures adding to that. So we are expecting Peak actually to become profitable in 2026.
No. Now you might ask, isn't that what's industry standard about this? Isn't that just your good old manuscript method playbook you should do with every company? Yes, it is. It is the groundwork that we need in order to actually build an industry standard. You can't start adding businesses or products to something that isn't running like a well-oiled machine. So this was needed in order to move to the next phase, which is strategic M&A in the mobility sector. This is four deals in the mobility segment. All of them are in due diligence. All of them with a closing date expected for 2026 and all of them have some link to Peak Mobility. They provide the same product but in a different geography. They provide an additional feature that would actually help. So all of this is really not just great deals on a standalone basis but it actually really adds to the value of the industry cluster in mobility. And then the second thing that we are going to do is become an innovative player in the sector. Again, your competition is they've all been around for a very long time. They all are doing things the way they used to do. And we now can do things differently and we now can actually think about what products are missing for our client. So what the team is currently working on and Leonard is here today and will give you a bit more detail on that as well is a software solution for essentially fleet AI powered fleet management which is particularly important when you have electric vehicles like actually Hamburg has driving around Hamburg. So this is something that can put us in a position where we become the product leader, the innovative leader in a very specific vertical.
Many roads are leading to Rome. The other example I want to give is our ecosystem in the emergency response solutions. So in 2023 we did two acquisitions in Austria. Both of them were providing or still are providing software solutions for fire departments. Cybos is an ERP solution for fire departments. And Blau list is an alarming solution. So essentially instead of having that good old thing on your belt, you can get an alarm on your iPhone. And that is an additional solution with Blau having a super strong position in the Austrian market. So we acquired both of them in 2023, did a corporate merger. They are now called Zolaris. Again, this is not that much of an industry standard. Now it becomes interesting with the acquisition of DVA in 2024. DVA is an alarming solution for fire departments and other emergency response providers that has a very strong position in Germany. So now we have a very strong position in Austria in the alarming solution. We have a very strong position in Germany with alarming solutions and we have an ERP software for firefighter departments. Three products all in the same industry. So, it's a little bit because we're in Hamburg, we figured we take a Hamburg example. Hamburg is now a client. This is a project that started by both companies in 2022. That's four years ago. What Hamburg wanted was essentially a combined product combining Cybos as their ERP solution with DVA as their alarming solution. Now you need an API and all the connections etc. You need a kind of real product. It's very difficult to work on something like that if you're still competing for alarming clients with the rest of your business. So it took ages. Now they are a client and that is what we really like. They have a prototype they presented at Intuitz 2026 as one team, one product. And can now we have something to sell to new clients. And the cherry on top, we saved probably 35k or so in expenses for the fair because we only paid it once.
Now what we are thinking here is building out an ecosystem, adding solutions for industrial alarming, adding solutions for dispatch centers. So anything that is emergency response related that could add to that industry cluster and we are looking for targets in that specific niche. So very short back to the jungle of numbers. I think and that has always been our complication. Two things are difficult for us. We know that M&A will happen. We don't know when M&A will happen. Just the other day we signed a deal. It's a fantastic deal actually. It's signed. We were ready for closing. And now the EU Commission has to approve the deal because it's so mission critical that the European Union has to confirm that we can be the buyer. That's three to four months until closing. I think it's great because not only the software is mission critical, but the end market is so mission critical that the European Union has to confirm. But it's three to four months adding to the timeline. So when M&A will happen is super difficult for us to predict and it's also and that leads to it being a bit difficult to predict what will happen in 2026, 27, 28. I think on the long-term effects we have a very good view on how the model can actually work. Now this is the M&A pipeline. These 11.4 million will stay on signing for a little bit longer than we expected. And we currently have 110 million in deal volume under due diligence that the teams are working on. Now, not only is that a lot, but we also really like the quality of these deals. We are looking at bigger deals than we used to look at. We are looking at deals that are adding to an existing industry cluster. We are doing very focused M&A in fantastic niches with really really nice companies that we are looking at that also meet our criteria on revenue, recurring revenue, that are ready for an AI featured world. So it's really really good quality of deal. So that makes us really exciting but makes this one a little bit harder.
So everything I'm going to tell you now is before M&A because frankly I just don't know what is going to happen. But a few effects of building an industry cluster on our numbers. So what you probably have noticed is that our entry multiple or the multiple of capital invested compared to EBITDA jumped quite a bit from 2023 to 2025 from 6 to 11 and a half. That is a lot of that is driven by Lumra. That is a transaction where we paid more than our average 6 and a half to seven and a half. But what we do see looking at the long-term plan is that we will very quickly go back to a multiple below six because we essentially operate it down. What you've also probably noted is that the share of adjustments in our EBITDA was fundamentally higher than it used to be this year. Again, a lot of this is driven by transactions like Peak, by transactions like Lumra. They have been dear to the people working at Lumra because this is a huge change for them. You need to make sure that the team on the ground is actually satisfied. There have been a lot of adjustments in relation to Peak because we need to turn that ugly duckling into a swan. So it has been a lot. It has been unusually high this year. We do expect this to normalize back to normal levels in 2026 again. And I'm going to make the big disclaimer of and whatever happens in terms of M&A because that might change things. Now, we also had negative earnings per share in 2025. This is essentially down to the fact that while we adjust for all these one-off effects in EBITDA, they are in the operating results. We don't adjust for that. This is really a number where we adjust for all the accounting stuff like goodwill depreciation etc. But this is really a number that is net income of all the companies belonging to the group multiplied with our share in it and then we add it up. So 2025 has been an exceptional year. What I presented last year that for 2027 we expect a range of 80 cents to 1.10 per share in 2027 and that expectation has not changed. Now what has changed is our view on organic growth. You saw we updated our guidance and last year I presented this.
Sensitivity table and I've put 10% organic growth in there, and I felt really bold. I felt really daring. It's like okay. And we saw then that obviously organic growth is the oxygen for our earnings per share. And that hasn't changed. What has changed is that I actually dare to do a sensitivity analysis with organic EBITDA growth above 10%. And what you can see here, and this is a five-year period 2027 to 2032, what you can see here is the organic growth we can achieve is so fundamentally important to our growth of earnings per share. Much more important than the entry multiple we pay. Much more important than the entry multiple we pay. If we can find great businesses with fantastic growth profiles, we can pay a higher multiple because that operates down very quickly. Now, you don't have to get worried that we'll get crazy and start buying at 13 times all the time. Mark will never allow that. But I think it goes to show how important organic growth and hence how important building industry standards is to the entire model. Now, Jan gets the fun part of telling the story. I get the hard part of telling the numbers, I always say. Now, the really hard part is to get to the 20%, because all of this makes sense in Excel and it's a complex Excel model, but it's Excel. Someone actually has to get organic growth on the street, and that is not us. That is our platform teams, and that is in particular Mark and the COO team and the CTO team that are supporting our platform teams where they can to actually get to those numbers. So over to Mark who's hopefully going to tell us how we get to 20% per year.