Unterlauser Gespräche: Bernhard Zimniok (ehem. MdEP) zu Gast bei Franz Bergmüller, MdL

We want to have competence and spread it, to be able to counter this madness that is currently unfolding. Nothing is impossible anymore. I used to think they wouldn't dare, but today it's possible. We have to think about all kinds of restrictions on freedom, taking money from citizens, and we need to arm ourselves. That's why the citizens' protest must be articulated. People don't dare to go public anymore. That's the failure, or just accepting what's coming at us. So each of you is called upon to show your flag in your circle of acquaintances. And today we have a special topic: the security situation. Who could speak better about that than Bernhard Zimni? I think you can introduce yourself; I don't need to do it beforehand because you are eloquent enough to say everything that distinguishes you, so you can have a political say. We are excited to hear your words, dear Bernhard. I'm looking forward to it.

It's always difficult when the bar is set high, but let's see what we can make of it. I'll introduce myself very briefly, my life story, to really underpin why I stand before you, and that I'm not like an Islam expert I once experienced who gave a lecture on Islam while reading a paperback book, 'Islam Pamis', and thought he was an expert. No, I'm not like that. I've read an enormous number of books and tested everything in practice. I learned a profession in television technology, worked at Siemens, was in the Bundeswehr, then rose from private to lieutenant colonel in the airborne troops, so I can distinguish a bit between what is dangerous and what is less dangerous. Then I had a serious accident, a parachuting accident, became a diplomat, was in Syria, in Pakistan during the hot phases, Afghanistan is not foreign to me. I sought out every dirty hole, spoke to every scumbag that exists there. Then, at my own request, I left the diplomatic service because I experienced some things there that I simply didn't like. I had no reason to leave. Then I chose the private sector, founded my own company, and I also know the suffering that taxes mean for an entrepreneur. That's one thing. Then came my final professional decline: I became a member of the European Parliament. And I will touch on a few points today, and you will admire me afterwards that I'm not standing here depressed with a therapist next to me. I'll only briefly touch on that, because it would be a program that would fill an evening, where you would oscillate between laughter and depression. For that reason, we want to focus today on points not about Islam and not about migration, which was also my main activity, but I will today move to another area that I covered in the European Parliament: security policy, foreign policy, and development policy. These things are interlinked. I was the spokesperson for the group for development policy, and many dirty tricks were associated with that. I was often the only one there, alone in foreign policy, and completely alone in security policy, and I had to take the heat for the group every time. I developed a mental callus. So, enough of that. Now let's see what we're actually doing today. I don't want to give a frontal lecture where I just talk at you. Instead, I will do the following: we will look at the situation in Europe and Germany, we will break down the relations of the great powers and sort them, then look at the crisis hotspots that are currently important for us. There are many crises in the world, but the ones important for our future. We will talk about the Indo-Pacific, the Antarctic, Ukraine, and the Middle East. Then we will bring in a short point, I have to include it, after all I was involved in it for many years: the impact on migration from the Middle East for Germany. Then we will discuss it, and you can take the time. Everyone can make a statement, everyone can ask me questions, and we will work it out, because this is an extremely complicated situation we are currently in. It's not like 5 years ago, where we politically had a straight road from A to B. Anyone with a bit of experience in foreign policy could stack it like building blocks and roughly predict what would happen in the medium term. I cannot do that today, I have to say that right away. And I am not the expert who presumes to read the coffee grounds. It's well known that nothing is more difficult than looking into the future, especially when the future is as confused as it is now. We have an absolutely chaotic state, probably unprecedented in the last century, and that's what makes it difficult. For that reason, I think at the end, when I have given my opinion and statements, we can discuss it, and everyone can express themselves or not, and we can talk about it. So let's start. Yes, we have a situation after Trump. I've written down a few points for those who might understand me less; they can also read them. In the entire European community, we did not count on Trump's re-election, which is absolute insanity and, from a diplomatic craft perspective, a shot in the knee. You have to reckon with all options, but they were firmly convinced that the good woke world would also fix things in America, and we would continue to run around with our colorful threads and hop over the flower meadow. That was an absolute misjudgment. This primarily took place in Brussels and Berlin. The other countries, like Italy and France, from what I heard from colleagues, had already thought about options and considered how we could... Italy is currently not doing so badly. We were simply blind, I have to say. We really believed, when I say 'we' I don't mean us here, but our government, really believed Trump would go under. Trump did not go under, and the people are behind him. And now one more thing: they didn't reckon with one thing: Trump holds a grudge. He received many wounds in this fight, and he won't let that slide. We have to assume that there will be massive setbacks. When a bull is poked, like with the torero, watch out. And this is not the end of the game; we are starting the game. This is the overture we have now. I firmly assume that he demonstratively supported the AfD via Musk during the election. We must not now believe that the AfD loves him. Of course, those who fall for this nonsense take the opportunity to strengthen themselves. They use the social channels, and that is recognition. It was done to make it clear to the old government: a different wind is blowing for you. That's what it's about, and nothing else. And with all the euphoria that was also experienced in one's own party, please let's not get carried away. You always see, before we jump into the fray, take a step back and look again. The good soldier slept on it for 24 hours. Today, with social media, it doesn't work. You have to take a mental step back, go to the toilet, drink a beer, and then you write. You get carried away live. Some let themselves be permanently carried away by Putin, others permanently by Trump. Where is Germany, damn it? I only let myself be carried away by Germany, but it's not carrying yet. You kicked me out before, voted me out, otherwise you would have someone. No, we must not make the mistake of talking ourselves into a Putin euphoria from Lisbon to Bratislava, nor should we latch onto Trump. We must always look, and that is the core point of diplomacy: it's a tough business that I did for 10 years, 9 and a half years exactly. It's a bone-hard business. There are no friends, only different interests. If we both come closer somewhere in common interests because we can't stand this or that one, then we are great media friends for the moment. That's different tomorrow, because tomorrow I have the friend. So please don't let ourselves be carried away by these things. And I also don't want to give a lecture that includes this. I only see one focal point: Germany. And I also go left or right where the advantage for our country lies, and nothing else. Now we have Trump, and he has an advantage for us, so I look positively at him with one eye, because he is currently smashing organizations like USAID, which is a catastrophic organization. Anyone who knows it, I experienced it in development policy, terrible. And he is smashing all the woke institutions, the woke thinking that prevails there. That is something I applaud, because that is exactly the intersection where I say that's exactly my thing. We have 100% agreement there. On other points less, but we'll see that shortly. Then we talk about Putin. Putin is also being built up big by some of us, I have to say. He is being courted. People travel to Russia at times when you should stay home and warm your feet by the fire. That was not the time, in my view. I made that very clear, and I also made many enemies within the party, but I don't care. We have to see that a situation is currently developing, and it is getting stronger, reminiscent of the times of Corona in the media. Huge dangers are being built up: Corona, we all have to die. We'll come back to that briefly to illustrate. And here something is being built up: we have war in 202? I read it this weekend: we will experience the last peaceful summer. So we are escalating, we are talking war, we are talking war into being. Nonsense, all nonsense. We still have to look coldly at what is happening. How can we use the situation? Currently, due to our mistakes in the past, we can only put ourselves in the role of the spectator with Trump, and not in an armchair, but on a small stool, watching the film of what is happening. Yes, we in the EU, Germany especially, will bleed, no matter how the story with Ukraine and Putin turns out. And we will bleed in the way that we pay. I will also mention a few figures that were already circulating during my departure. So let's come to the situation of the EU. Here you can see what it's really about. The member states in Europe are not a federal state like America. In Europe, we pursue particular interests, and in an extreme way. And money is the glue that holds this union together, nothing more and nothing less. We have so many diverging interests. I experienced that myself. Even within our own group, we fought over things where we had 180°, or 360°, different opinions. But that's how it is. And we must not delude ourselves when we say we speak of the European Union, where 'Union' implies something common. It's like having a sack full of balls, and you throw in loud balls that just want to get big and fat. When you open the sack, it's empty. There's no single structure inside, just many small balls, more or less fat. And we waste money in this union, and I say waste as if there were no tomorrow. A year before my departure, the European Union was de facto broke. Everything had been spent, with commitments up to 2027. Those are expenditures. We'll look at a few points so you understand what we're talking about. And always remember, folks: 27% of the sums I know are your money, our tax money. So I always said a third, that gives you a rough idea. That's what we, or our children or grandchildren, have to pay. And that's also non-existent in foreign policy. We only exist when it comes to money, yes, and otherwise not. Because you won't believe that a Frenchman abroad... I experienced it myself in practice. The EU delegation was there, and the French, the British, the Germans were all there. Basically, we always only represented the good opinion. The French, hard as nails, the British, hard as nails, represented their interests in that country. And that's how it's done, period. The German always nodded. That's why I sometimes had difficulties with my ambassador because he thought my choice of words was too clear. But sometimes you just have to say: stop, girls, that's it. We are not your milking cows. You do that, period. And surprisingly, in these autocratic countries, they love that. They expect that from a German. A German officer who comes from far away will not be accepted. Just so you know: the head of state, the second most powerful man in this military dictatorship, invited me twice. No military person had had that honor before. He said he didn't believe the German army still had backbone, because he only knew the army that does ASIF in Afghanistan, parks its cars, does waste separation. Those were our features. We must not forget: we collected cans. That's how we were recognized, or not recognized. Yes, then we got clear signals from the USA with the so-called SignalGate. With that chat group, the leadership made it clear what they think of the Germans: nothing. To put it diplomatically positively. And then the reconstruction of Ukraine... I'll say a house number with what was officially handled in the EU: 300 billion. But in the committee, we spoke of a trillion. A trillion. Now you can imagine. Always remember your share, it comes on top. Now you also know why we need so much debt. And then I'll give you a small example of European foreign policy, so you can see how weak it is. And when it comes to security policy, it's also about foreign policy and strength. That was our specialty. Look at this list. Excuse me, that was a foreign policy prank, I have to say. I was involved in it, but on the side alone, and I said it was madness. It was about the fact that because the world was going to die, not just Germany or Europe, no, the whole world was going to die, we had to put money into it. That's the solution: we put money into it, as much as possible, to achieve as much as possible. So first, we took 16 billion in hand, clap hands, and now pay attention: unconditionally, with a watering can, distributed across the world. I've picked out a few things. For example, I'll just give them: Mongolia 37 million, Thailand 9, Vietnam 12, Afghanistan 103, Bangladesh, Bhutan 12, and even Greenland, with 55,000 scattered inhabitants, got 50 million. This page you see is just a small excerpt. I have the original from my session. And there is no country on earth... Tonga, the Tonga Islands, countries you've never heard of, Solomon Islands, all of them got millions, unconditionally, so they wouldn't have to let their economy crash. Now imagine you are an autocrat in some backwater and you get 100 million in your hand. So I'll buy myself a winery in Italy. Yes, so here you see. And this went from 16 billion to 24, to 26, 48, and then, thank God, the Corona era ended, we were at 56 billion that we squandered. And we believed that with this symbol of love and help, we would gain recognition worldwide as a power. They laughed, the laughter echoed in Brussels, because they said: how can you be so stupid? Everyone gets money. That's Europe, and not Europe, that's the EU. That's the Ursula. I once had it in a hearing, it's burned into my memory. It was about whether we should let 56 billion or 53 billion benefit the world. But I would like to know: what need was determined by whom, when? Where does the money go? Are there control mechanisms to ensure it doesn't go into dark channels? Then only a left-wing, young, unattractive woman, leftists are always unattractive I think, got up and screamed: we need 70 billion. I said, let's say she has never worked and probably can't even count the zeros in these huge sums. Tell me what you want this money for. Nazi, Nazi, racist. That was the answer. No one could tell me. I asked these questions to the commissioners in hearings: what do you want with the money? Why do you send two plane loads to Africa every week, without even saying where, bringing ventilators, bandages, masks, and so on, while people are dying in supposedly northern Italy? We send the stuff we urgently need and don't have to Africa. Where in Africa? Where do the planes land, twice a week, the jumbos? No one knew. Who determined the need? I have the passport here. Not a single one died down there. They die with us. The flies... that's only because they aren't reported; they are buried immediately. Were you there? No. But you know what goes on in Africa. Okay, so you see that this is... you always attack it: how can you be so stupid? But stupidity has a system. That was also a real clanger. A year before I left, we were invited to a big breakfast in the breakfast room of the Ursula in Belmond, very chic, very fine. I didn't eat anything that day because I thought there would be a shitty breakfast, and an MEP has to save where he can. And yes, unfortunately I didn't get to eat because my jaw dropped so much after what I heard that I couldn't eat anything. Then I asked the questions afterwards. It was about: look at these points. The fatter a point, over 10 billion, 5 to 10, 1 to 5, and so on. Now look at this map. With these funds, they didn't even know where to get the money from, because as I said, we were already broke. It was about 300 billion euros for these infrastructure projects worldwide: building ports, building railways. There was nothing. There was one down in Angola for the railway. It's madness. We would have built the railway for goods that other countries get. We would have had zero, zero success. I said: we have railways, we have airports, we have bridges, we have I don't know what else, all infrastructure. What is the plan behind it? What are we pursuing? A side street? I see no possibility here where you make a side street from A to B. I see no connection at all. The commissioner explained it to me: how can you... what secret is behind it that I can't fathom? That was the answer I got. So not. And what happened? We were seven dwarfs, I always call them. We were seven coordinators, the spokespersons of the groups. Trained applause that we take so much money in hand and build up the world and make everything beautiful. Then you would be powerful. I said to one: what is the end when all bridges, all ports, all airports are built? What does Europe get out of it? What do we want to achieve? Zero, zero. Nazi. Or they didn't speak to me at all. Can anyone explain why here 10 billion is given, why I have to invest 5 to 10 billion in a railway line that goes through Angola? I was down in Luanda and wanted to know from the ambassador: what the hell advantage do we have if we build this railway line? Yes, then the ores and food will be transported from there to there. Where to? What do we get out of it? Do they come to us? No. Do we get a profit? Do we get percentages? No. So these are your tax money. Just think about how long it takes to scrape together a billion in tax money. Every average family in Germany pays about 5000 euros. For those who are a bit savvy, they will say: oh, that's a lot. A Green will say: well, that's a few. I've had discussions where someone said, after I presented it, 'we only get 1% from that.' I looked at it. He said: 0.5, 0.1. Stay at home, these Greens. I don't even demand that they can calculate. It's like this with numbers: these people can't do anything with them. But there were also former ministers from European countries among the coordinators. So I was the smallest, so to speak, who was not a minister. But that's Europe. We applauded, not us, but the masses applauded, where I say: please give me a reason why we do this. No. I still can't find a reason today. I couldn't read anything about it. But I will tell you something else briefly about how such things work. I want to teach you a bit about the foreign policy of the European Union, show you what's going on. Kenya, an interjection. I know a reason that is now emerging: the election of Baerbock. That's the money. No, that was back then, except Baerbock wasn't there then. But do that stuff afterwards. I'll give you an example from Kenya so you can see how Europe's decision-makers are being fooled. That means we, the coordinators, travel down to Kenya, Mombasa. Okay, in the fourth year, two months before, okay, one month before: where is the program? I want to know what we are doing there, when are we traveling, how are we traveling? I'm interested in the hotel now, I'm interested in who we are talking to, what is the intention? Time jump: everything booked, hotel booked, costs $3,400 a night, flights booked, over 10,000 euros, everything. Three days before, we still didn't know the program: who are we meeting? Then I called myself and said: tell me now who we are meeting, or I'll cancel. On the second day before departure, the list came: European Union, the EU ambassador, EU bank, EU representatives, aid organizations, EU. I looked at it and said: I don't see a single one. I lied. Then we discovered: there is a 'courtesy call by a secretary of the minister of unimportant'. So a courtesy call means you squeeze in a term. The idiot comes, you have to receive him, he pops in, drinks a coffee, is friendly, and is out again so I don't see him anymore. And that's exactly how we were treated. Then that evening I wrote: I'm staying, I'm not going. Yes, then 10,000 euros in the room. That's not my problem, I said, that's your problem. Now, God knows, maybe I became seriously ill, I don't know how it was booked. Anyway, I didn't go. And then I posted a nasty post afterwards and shared it with both colleagues. That was Easter, it just occurred to me. The day before the holidays, when we were flying back. But there are pretty girls and boys down on the beaches in Mombasa. I understand why no one asks why we have no one to talk to. Yes, that also didn't win me any friends. But that's how it is. OACPS, let's leave that. That's a community of all the representatives of the Africans. Two MPs from each parliament are always sent. From the European Parliament, there were about 20. And then the following situation arose: a joint future meeting was agreed, sometimes in Brussels, sometimes somewhere in Africa. Then it unfortunately turned out that each of the coordinators had one minute of speaking time. Then he can wave and say: I love you all, oh I'm so happy, I never thought, beautiful, great. That's how the speeches are. Write that down, it's really catastrophic. And then it turns out that my colleagues, even those from the other groups, not a single one comes in the afternoon. And then they spoke, and I was sitting there all alone, my row was empty. Then the representative comes and says: yes, what do we do now? They all didn't show up. You had one minute of speaking time, now you have five minutes of speaking time today, or five times in a row, we don't know how the president decides. So I sit there and wait for my signal. It says on it: everything documented on the internet. And then the president says: now it's your turn, you have five minutes of speaking time. So out of my pocket, yes. Then I gave a speech that was met with absolute silence in the room, which holds about 7-800 people. Absolute silence, you could hear a pin drop. No one made a sound. I was amazed. Then all the Europeans who were in there, who were not friendly to us, came up to me and insulted me, especially one said: you'll mess up the process again. I said: don't disturb the process. And then I thought I would get a lot of backlash from the Africans because I said that things look bad for us now, you don't need to send people anymore in terms of flight, because we are collapsing Europe, especially Germany. We have to bring companies back together, we have so many bankruptcies, this and that and that. And I said: you will see and understand that you don't need to come, and those who are here, send them back to you. And they had understanding, and that we won't pay any more development aid, we need it ourselves. I'll put it friendly, diplomatically, but as hard as the silence was, I was really heavily insulted afterwards. I'm sitting at the airport in jeans and a t-shirt, sitting on my suitcase, when someone in fine clothes comes up to me and says: you are the representative of the AfD, right? Yes. He said: I liked your speech. Who are you? He introduced himself, he was also an African, an MP. He said: you spoke the truth, you spoke the truth. I said: why didn't you applaud? He said: they are afraid for their money that they won't get from us anymore. Yes, so the people abroad are very well aware that it can't go on like this. You see that now in Zambia. But here in Europe, there is an incredible milking cow, so big, but with such a teat, you can still suck. We are ready to be sucked dry. Folks, I just wanted to tell you that our values that we have, that we carry around like a monstrance, the gender stuff, everything possible, they are not taken. Only our money is taken. You have to be clear about that. We have no influence, zero. We are political dwarfs. We have dwarfed ourselves. And then we wonder. So they look at our political will-o'-the-wisp with amazement. I get calls from Pakistan, where I know people, and they say: what is wrong with you? The once crazy people of engineers who invented cars, invented fire, are doing such nonsense. Exactly, they said: you drive us crazy. But that's how it is. And in this situation, Trump comes and shows even more the European impotence in foreign policy. Absolute impotence. We have nothing except our rainbow flag and our Ursula. I said I would insult more. I just paid 1800 euros last week. I said: you should always be careful when you speak clearly. That's why it's being recorded, thank God. Don't leave the path of virtue. And so that we also see that we are a will-o'-the-wisp, that in Europe we don't speak with one tongue. We always speak nicely with one tongue. We don't want Russian oil. The Germans were the loudest. But look: we take more oil than the USA, but probably via India. It doesn't matter where it comes from, the stuff comes from Russia. Where it comes from, exactly the path, I didn't say. We can go directly, or theoretically with Nord Stream 2, or via India, everything becomes more expensive. And that is exactly the point. That is the perfidy where we really believe we go with our monstrance and say we don't want Russian oil, but the media always claimed Putin gives us no more oil. That's a lie. Yes, yes. We had the most heated discussions, all recorded, and you can access them. You get insulted until a doctor comes if you say we should come back to the path where we say: we are currently waging a war, however, like a beer, a proxy war with Ukraine. But diplomacy always runs parallel to wartime. These channels are always open. We closed them because we said we want to destroy him. And now we get the whip for it. So, and now we come to that. That was just to show how weak Europe is. I could talk about it for hours, and then I would fall into depression. The food gets cold, the beer goes bad. We actually have three big players here: the USA, Russia, and China. I deliberately made Europe smaller. Politically, yes. I only did that so the arrows could go there, so you can see we are affected, but we have no power to act. We have to see it like this: the USA, after the fall of the Iron Curtain, had world power, a unipolar world. Then slowly China crept out of the corner and wanted to re-establish its old power. We're not talking about Erdogan, who is also crawling out of his cave. We're talking about these big players. And the Russian bear also slowly woke up, found its national identity again, and also wanted to play a power. Now we have it that the USA and China are great economic rivals. That manifests itself in the Pacific in various points. I will also go into where the rivalries are. I deliberately made it this way. So we have difficult relations. Hostile, for example, I have drawn Russia and the EU, because what we are doing through our support has nothing to do with neutrality and assistance for a country. We have long since left this path. We are a war party. I had two Swedish jurists, one was a consultant for the Swedish military on legal questions of international law. He worked for me. He had worked for four months in the Swedish army and the rest for me. I gave him the task to analyze when one becomes a war party. And I can say: we have been a war party for at least two years, for various reasons. There's not just because you deliver a tank. If you deliver a tank, you are not a war party. If you deliver a tank or something else, you are not a war party. But as soon as you deliver reconnaissance targets, as soon as that is there, where the enemy... if you have a tank, it drives around and eventually shoots a few Russians. But if you deliver reconnaissance results and say: over there is a position, there is a position, and the Ukrainians shoot precisely at these positions, then through your active support you are responsible for the death of these people, not randomly because a tank drives around and shoots and a few fall, but you go there, there, there. And that makes you a war party internationally. I have also made that known. However, that is not seen that way in the European Union, because as long as we don't send soldiers, we are not a war party. You should look into that a bit, then we might find something. I think so. Then we have the relationship USA-Russia. Now, after Trump, after Trump, we have a difficult situation. And we have, I would say, a purpose-bound, purpose-bound... let's start. The light blue is because both have an interest in ending the conflict in Ukraine. Russia wants to conserve its forces, wants to keep the territory it has conquered. And Trump wants to get rid of this millstone around the neck of NATO, which he has been supplying until now, so that he can devote himself more to this difficult relationship here. He wants to go into the Pacific and deal with this big problem China. Russia is small change. I should have drawn Russia smaller, but I left it big so many don't misunderstand. We also have a difficult relationship because Russia naturally also has expansion plans. Russia is not an easy partner for the Americans. And they also have interests in the Arctic that the Americans don't like. I only go into that to show that these are the conflict points that are still to come.

I am convinced that in the medium term they will come, but for now they are still finding Ukraine. We will defend Ukraine until the last Ukrainian soldier has fallen, that can be said. Because as long as Ukraine is fighting, from a European perspective, Europe will not be able to attack. These are proxy wars, we call them that normally. And the European Union, yes, if we look at the USA, I would cautiously say a difficult relationship is emerging. Because Europe is not recognized, Europe does not even sit at the cat table, Europe stands outside. You are either invited to eat, then you eat with them, or you are invited to be eaten. We are in the situation where we are being eaten, we are licking the plate. And China is a neutral, difficult relationship, economically neutral, politically. We have fewer opportunities to project our power there as German Europeans, but we have economic dependencies that will become even more difficult in any case. So that is a brief overview so that one can simply see it, untangle it without emotion, just say these are the players. There are smaller players, I think Turkey and so on, but these are the most important points on which the world will orient itself in the coming decades, and these are the problem zones, the conflict zones that are emerging. I deliberately chose this area, it's all Pacific, Indo-Pacific. Now you say, what do you want now? Now you are already in Africa. It is evaluated differently in individual countries. China considers it from Beijing to San Francisco. The American says from Hollywood to Bollywood, so to here. The Japanese and others say it means this, so everyone has their own definition. There is no single definition of the conflict zone Indo-Pacific. Don't let anyone tell you otherwise. You just have to ask a Chinese, a Japanese, or an American, you'll get completely different answers. These are the points we need to talk about, and we will see where these conflict zones emerge, who has which interests. I'll just touch on them because time is running out, and let's focus on this Indo-Pacific region. We have various interest situations here. I've taken China, USA, and also German interests out to see how we act. China is expanding and declaring. China sees itself as the power in that area, and in a large area up to... let's say, it's difficult because they have already declared the South China Sea as their territory. They massively threaten Taiwan. They do not recognize any of their actions where they build bases in the South China Sea, military bases. They do not recognize international arbitration courts, that's all the same to them, to put it in German. And they say we build this and we do that and we are there and we are the Chinese, we are the power. And they have succeeded in Asia and also in Africa, but especially in Asia, that many states are heavily indebted through this world, their side street. That means they have taken away their political room to maneuver. That's why China comes out even stronger. You must not forget all that. These are all situations that don't happen overnight, but have been prepared over two decades. We are now in a situation that is very explosive, especially regarding Taiwan. If we now look at the USA, turning our attention, first due to this situation, they are more oriented towards the Pacific, Bollywood, Hollywood, and are trying to contain China, also economically. The shipping routes are the fairways. I'll show you what that means. Then we also have Germany. I've taken Germany out because Germany has always had something, that's why I took it out. The Frigate Bayern was already sent to the South China Sea, yes, like Konik to Morocco, to Tunisian sides as well. The only stupid thing was that the Chinese let them dock to refuel. Stupid, they had to see where they could get fuel for their ship. And now here it comes: Baerbock was in Palau and there she made climate protection the center of the European Union's and German interests' actions. You have to let that sink in. Yes, I mean, these are interest justifications. These are real power interests being shown. Because one should have looked at it: we get 62% of our semiconductors, which we need for our industry, automotive industry, whatever, from Asia. 23% alone from Taiwan, and they are not compensable, not even with a lot of money, because this technology that they have in Taiwan is not yet available in other countries. Period. That's why, of course, you send the frigate Bayern there. I mean, that makes an impression, of course. And now you see how it looks with the trade routes, and that's why you also understand why this is so dangerous. All these routes, they are massively going in this area, Indo-Pacific. Cutting them off through a conflict is like cutting off our economic lifeline. We are already cutting off oil as one foot, but here we would lose the second foot. And when you see what flows through here, it is basically the largest part of Europe's needs overall. So now you also know why this will become a conflict. And as soon as the Chinese find it right to annex or attack Taiwan or whatever, we have a problem, but a big problem. These are the effects of this big politics where we Europeans, Germans, have nothing to say at all anymore. We can only stand by, just like now in the treatment of Ukraine. We stand there and watch which crumbs fall from the table. That's how it goes. As I said, I'm going through a bit of a pig's calendar, but the map is roughly drawn up there. Everything continues. There is more here, but technically it can't be done differently. Also an important point, but no less important for Germany, for Europe. By the way, Baerbock hadn't been there yet, and no other German representative. It's simply too small. They also don't know what to do with the ice, even though it's a highly interesting ice. Because this ice has great significance. There are very, very important shipping routes in it. We have the Northeast Passage, which lies near Russia, going around. If we go back briefly, it goes over here, and the other goes higher over the side. And that's why it's important because Russia sends its raw materials over this passage to China. The Northwest Passage, which is near Canada, is economically less significant, so basically it's unimportant. But a new route is now emerging that goes right through the pole, the so-called Transpolar Route. It is assumed that in the next ten or however many years, this ice will continue to melt, and thus this route will be navigable and economically good to use. And we must not forget, if the ice continues to melt, we have incredibly many mineral resources. It is assumed that about 13% of the oil that has not yet been extracted, i.e., discovered, lies under there. We have 30% of the gas reserves. Now you can imagine what capacities those are. That's why it is of course important to stake your claims there in time. We don't do that because we don't know the word claim. We always let others go first. Militarily, it is very important because up there, the routes of the rockets, the warning times from A to B, from USA to Russia and whatever, are very short. That means you have almost no warning time. You get one on the head before you can even look. That's it. And that's what makes the Arctic important, and that's why one of the focal points is now being set there. They are fighting for it. When we then look at what Norway, Canada, Denmark, and Europe have done there so far, I really made an effort to research, also used ChatGPT and everything. The result: the economic interests are fishing and mineral resources. But I couldn't find anything that was being exploited. And one thing was very important, we always emphasize: we want to protect the environment in the Arctic and we want to protect the indigenous peoples. The three reindeer herders who are running around there with their sled dogs are of interest to us. I couldn't find a single point, I swear, I couldn't find a single point where I could say, there the Norwegians, there the Germans have invested and said, we drill a hole and we want to have gas there or something. Zero. We don't do that. No. We have to be good, we are dumb as night. And these are the interest situations. If you look at that now, these are the interest situations. We have Canada here, we have the various territorial claims here. You see, all of them: Denmark, Russia, Canada, Canada, Canada, USA, USA, Russia, Norway, Russia, Norway, Iceland, Denmark. So the claims are quite limited. It's about the continental shelf. I've already presented to you what the continental shelf is, how it works under international law. In any case, the Russian wants the biggest chunk, we can say that simply. The American doesn't like it, because he already sees, he wants Greenland, we all know that. You will come to us, he says. So he's already looking at the area where he wants to put his vacation home. They take it that way, he thinks. Let's not forget that in Greenland, as I already said, about 55,000 people live. 956% of them are Danes, people with Danish passports, and the rest are Sri Lankans, a few Americans, a few Germans, whatever is hopping around there, companies. That's it. A small community and foreigners, and the rest are Danes. But they don't want to belong to Denmark either, they don't want to belong anywhere else yet. I am of the opinion that Trump certainly hasn't unpacked his entire magic box yet. I could imagine how I would do it, what he would come up with. That might also be an interesting slide, insofar as I have now looked at where the military bases are already now. From the Americans, nothing is to be found on the internet. I treated myself to another half day yesterday and searched everything about American bases. Nothing. Zero. But we get all the Russian ones, thank you Google. Where does Google come from? That's an interesting point you might not have heard yet. We always talk about when the evil Russian comes, then first the Suwalki Gap will be conquered, that is here in the Baltic states, and there the war will begin. That's the big scenario. The Americans say, I also looked at that again. Here is this point at Spitsbergen. This is the point where we will have the litmus test after the Ukraine war with Trump, with Putin. This small community of 400, 500 Russians who work there, they don't belong to him, yes. And if he, one assumes, finds a pretext and seeks to protect these people, then the war begins here. So remember, Spitsbergen is more important than this flank where we are all now rushing with our tank brigades and preparing for war. The Americans think completely differently. Here is the point. This might be a false report, I can only follow it. I read the whole reasoning, the whole page, and I found it quite interesting and plausible. Maybe I fell for a report, I don't know. Good. Ukraine, the hotspot at the moment. People are dying, bleeding, fighting, and money is being wasted. If we look now, that was a short excerpt. These are just the impacts, the battles, the areas where they have hit. You can see it's already lively. It's still a heavy war. Negotiations are happening, but shooting continues. And that's the point, despite this so-called ceasefire, it continues. So it's not that it's permissible. It wasn't in the negotiations. It's still going on, and it will continue. Either today, I just heard on the way here, Trump is not satisfied with the result with Putin, because Putin will continue to play his cards. He has the advantage, he has already made large territorial gains. He is advancing further, slowly but he is advancing. He has thrown all the Ukrainians out of Kursk. And now Trump comes and desperately wants to end this costly war because he wants to go to the Pacific. So he currently holds all the trump cards in his hand, if you consider it a card game. Trump is very loud and will say I will do this and that, and he can bluster as much as he wants. The Russian will now, I would lean back now, if I were working there, I would lean back, get a cold drink, and let him rage for a while. And then we will slowly present our conditions. And when the gas runs out, he will, in any case, they will make very large territorial gains. Ukraine will bleed. Ukraine will continue to bleed. Trump will take back some of their war aid. I read the latest ideas he has today. It said that Trump is giving them 100 billion, and everything above that, he hasn't quantified, the Ukrainian has to pay back in kind, up to a sum that was not quantified. The sum is not quantified, and Ukraine still has to pay 5% or something interest on it. And then, when everything is paid, the Russian, the American, and the Ukrainian will get 50% each. That's the plan. Putin says, so and so. And that's it. And in this way, whether it turns out like this or a bit different, Ukraine is lost. You must not forget that. And in the EU, we have hectic, helplessness. You have to imagine, do you know the scene from The Fifth Element? I wanted to bring it, but it didn't play properly. In The Fifth Element, there comes some colorful, with a rainbow you could say, a pop star who behaves exaltedly and all women fall into ecstasy, and he moves around like some female dog or cat. And then Bruce Willis comes at the end and looks at him, and then he goes over and fiddles a bit, and his answer was, he takes him by the collar and lifts him up, and then he wiggles and then it's over for him. That's exactly how it looks. The EU is wiggling around, hectic, helpless, doesn't know what to do, and takes even more money in hand, of course. You have to do something. But we won't do anything right. Nothing at all. We are dwarfs, as already said. Neither Ukraine nor we are sitting at the negotiating table. Not even the cat table is provided. They will negotiate everything and then give us a paper, Europeans, that says you now have to pay a trillion for the reconstruction of Ukraine, for example. I'm just saying, that's roughly how it will go. Just so you know, I wanted to show you the power relations at the beginning. Everything has completely shifted. If someone says it will look like this tomorrow, in four weeks, in eight weeks, in a year, then you can accuse me of lying right away, because no one can do that under these conditions at the moment. The world is not in one place in one movement and the other is still. You can do that when both are in motion. We have multiple poles, and that's why it is extremely difficult in this constellation to make a prediction that has a shelf life until midnight tonight. You can only guess. I know because we have often written reports about what will happen in the next four or eight weeks in their country. We could do that because I spoke to 50 people and I knew, aha, they want to go there, they want to go there, the probability is that it will be so. Here, we are at the mercy, we are cut off from information, we know nothing. And then the big question is this war rhetoric. It reminds me a bit of Corona, what is being manufactured here in Germany. Above all, we are creating war hysteria. We are really working ourselves up. Tomorrow the Russian will be at the door, and the day after tomorrow he will be over us and atomic bombs will come and whatever. I think the game doesn't work that way. The game only works to frighten people, to unsettle them, and that's what it's about, like with Corona. Just lay out all the mechanisms that ran during Corona and lay out the war rhetoric next to it, and then look at the timeline of how the hysterias grow, the fear that is stoked every day. The Russian temperature 29, 28, 27 will attack. And now we are already, as already said, in autumn he will attack. I heard this autumn because this is the last peaceful summer and we should all enjoy it. I recommend that to you. Now you understand it. You don't make politics like that. You don't make politics like that. Please forget that. So that has to be said. You just have to learn that. But very important for us Europeans and Germans, since we are only pushed into the payment function, what happens after the agreement? That is the crucial point for us. That Ukraine is basically a victim and is divided between the bear and Uncle Sam. I think we should go in that direction. That is the only direction that makes sense. But who cleans up the mess? Who clears away the dirt? Who pays? Who rebuilds? Germany. That is also a thing. You see, we have already agreed on that. And now another situation comes. The EU and the Germans, we will desperately try to deliver more weapons. We are now giving military aid this year, 7 billion, like a country that is already basically negotiated. So I ask myself, does the EU or Germany want to continue the war against Russia, or what do we want to fight alone? It's like this: we have nothing in our pockets. All the modern equipment or whatever we had, we don't even have a troop that knows how such a thing looks. It goes straight from the factory to Ukraine, not even trained. No training, it's a special fund. Yes, I'm already getting upset because this is our money after all, it has to come from somewhere. So this willing, cheap front that Macron and Starmer have opened up, it has also gone from 200,000 soldiers to 100,000 to 30, 20, now we still have 10,000 that we plan to send there, and that is west of Kyiv. The task there is deterrence. Deterrence. You have to imagine, on one side, on both sides, there are about one and a half million soldiers and they are shooting at each other, and behind them stand 10,000 who are deterring. I thought, hallelujah, I really paid attention in tactics class. So, what effects does it have specifically on Germany? We have already touched on it a bit, but now we have to. So we have now provided a total of 17 billion in support, unilaterally, not just through the EU, because the EU provides extra, there we are again 27%. Our exports to Russia have fallen by 60% due to the sanctions. I voted against it until the 12th sanctions package, then I left the EU. Now we are at the 40th sanctions package, I think. But it brings nothing. It brings nothing. All the sanctions packages have only brought us economic losses. I remember once we had a sanctions package and the Bavarians were not allowed to deliver milk products and milk to Russia. Terrible, right? Terrible for the Bavarian farmers. Because this milk industry never recovered. The Russians, within a year, with a German entrepreneur who became self-employed there or whatever, compensated this entire dairy industry through their own production. And today you find no Bavarian milk in supermarkets in Moscow. That's now completely normal Russian milk. But we gave it to them, right? Morally, we were there. We have 1.1 million refugees, of which only 23% work. It's really a minus, a minus record in Europe. We have a housing shortage, we have certain energy prices, and we still refuse, even if something happens, when America actually negotiates that we repair Nord Stream 2, open it up, we really stand in front of it with brutal force and say, leave the pipe there, we don't want your gas. Putin won't give us gas. We will still say that. Putin won't give us gas, and we hold the knob in our hand, and inflation rises. That's how it comes. Now it continues. Now comes the Middle East. That's my topic because I lived there for a few years. I know the region like the back of my hand, and I also know that what you read in the newspaper is usually nonsense. Because what you get does not reflect reality. We have interest situations there, the Palestinians, we have interest situations there, the Israelis. Although I have to say on that point, I also said in parliament once: only a good Hamas terrorist is a dead Hamas terrorist. I agree with that. They must be eradicated with blunt instruments. But what Israel is doing is also something one could call a depopulation of this Gaza Strip. That means we will, in any case, they will carry out their plan, and America, Trump supports them. We will assume that there will be large movements of the Palestinians. They will go abroad. Now you have to know the opponents and say, Jordan, they have their noses full up to here, not up to here, but up to here. Because they have, I think, seven tribes or six tribes, they are already long in the minority due to the reproductive enthusiasm of the Palestinians. They take their jobs away, they take their apartments away. They have taken in Syrians. The Syrians live there, by the way, not as we are always made to believe, in tents, poor things, you see a small tent camp where the poor souls live. No, the Syrians all live in apartments and also take the apartments away from the Jordanians, and thus inflation and housing prices rise, and they are fed up. I worked a lot with the Jordanian ambassador. The Lebanese ambassador, it's a failed state, they have the same problem. They have Hamas there, they have Hezbollah there, so they have everything there that destroys their state. That means nothing will go there either. The Turks will absolutely not take any. The Egyptians don't want any either. They are now being kneecapped by Trump, whether he can do it, I don't know. It's about 4 billion that he always wants to give them. But Europe stands with open arms. I just want to say that. And if you bring in the Palestinians, by the way, the Palestinians, I said in one of my lectures that the Palestinians are not an Arab state. The Palestinians, there was a scream in the hall. So I would be terrible. How can I say something like that? Then name me a state that takes in the Palestinians or likes them. There was a Palestinian underneath who said, come on, Yusuf, go out, give it to him, give it to him. They said, then I said, yes, give it, I say, and who likes you? Yusuf, finally say something, tell them. I say one thing: they hate you, right? They hate you like the plague. But you come to us and claim everyone loves you. Stay where you are loved. So I am a bit clear in my language, but people should also understand what I mean. If you pussyfoot around too long, I pussyfooted for 10 years too much as a diplomat. I now allow myself to also clearly call things as they are. So that is now the core point we have. We have Syria here, Assad has been overthrown. Now we will witness the installation of a democratic state with Sharia and all that. Baerbock was already there, 300 million, that we say, then we take money in hand and then we will see, yes, the new regime will be supported. At the same time, we already have half of Syrians in the country, give them money, and take more with us. There I have to say, now I have to lay out the thread of action a bit more. What is our goal? Do we want to completely absorb Syria now and support the rest, or what do we actually intend with the Syrians? And there we already have the fragile states around. That is an incredible mix, extremely dangerous, extremely dangerous, I can say. Because I mean, it's far away, as they say, behind Turkey, what does that have to do with me? But these mass flights that will come will then affect us very much. They are currently really poor devils. There will probably be a cleansing, I suspect. Cleansing means they want to, the military calls it Quadon Sanitaire. So cleansing means there will be no more Palestinians, only rubble and ashes. And the question is then where to put the people. A new authority has already been created in Israel for these cleansing measures. I know the name but it's not known, not known to me. Turkey, we have an internal political situation there at the moment. And if you look at the next slide, we will see that it will also have repercussions on us. What is happening in Turkey at the moment, I have also dealt with Turkey for a long time. I was in Turkey a lot, also officially, and I think I have a bit of a feeling for what is going on there. The SPD now wants only 500,000 migrants, they said before the negotiations, they would like to have that. Funny, yes. Less. If we now look at what effects such insane plans have on Germany. If we now please look at this number. It doesn't always say 3 to 350,000 or 1 to 1.2 million. I looked it up on so many different websites that I always knew what the trump card was. Because some say they are in the country, others say no, they are not registered yet. There are different levels where the ordinary citizen says, I give up. So I asked my friend ChatGPT, the deep thinker, the really intensive one, and they also failed and spat out these numbers. You can see how the employment rates are. That means it is a social burden. It imposes a social burden. You don't need any numbers actually. Look at the numbers of where they work, how you want to have that, and then I will tell you it's a loss-making business. And if we now look, this is also funny because it is always said, yes, the numbers are going down. Yes, people, election campaign times. Borders, we don't let anyone in anymore, we send them back, and so on. We will not register them, especially not officially. We register them, but we don't start asylum procedures. And these are the procedures that are running. That means I will correct the numbers downwards, even though normally the numbers would have to go up here. Simple number games. This is 25. Look at this red arrow here. Why can every politician from the SPD, the CDU say, yes, with our border closure, we have managed it. Exactly, you have managed it. You just haven't led them as asylum seekers yet. That's what it's about. And how does it look with housing? Franz is more knowledgeable about that than I am, but I calculated it myself. Simply as I am, as an engineer, I said to myself, I have here a number of apartments that are newly built, the official figures from the construction industry, not from our building ministries. So these are the official figures of what was built. And these are the estimates of how far it will go down until 2026. And these are if you have the current state, not the 500,000 that we get per year. Then the curve looks like this. Then at some point it goes like this. You can go back and forth. I back up everything I can. The free gymnasiums, everything that is there, I build container settlements there. None of that falls under it. Then this point only shifts halfway to here. But at some point, the last available meadow is also built on with containers. There are no more containers. They can't build anymore. What happens then? The people are there. Now they are already there. Then the old ideas will be brought out again, like in 2016 with expropriation. That already happened in Hamburg in 2016, but even in the stuffy Hamburg, it caused protests after they expropriated an object. They stopped then, otherwise they would have continued. And they didn't stop at private apartments. What do you do with an old single-family home like mine? I live with my wife on 150 m², alone, child moved out. For me, a 40 m² apartment would be enough, or 20 maybe, or so. Yes, so these are the discussions being held. Red-Green, these are the numbers, and they are not lies, they are official numbers. So we have now just an example of effects in Munich, where I just came from. Costs for migrants: 165 million migration-related expenses, so integration courses, swimming courses, flirting courses, hiking courses, whatever there is that you need. Migration-related expenses, unemployment share 46%. 800 million migration-related social expenses. These are the hard costs for housing and for the other stuff. And crime, yes, they are well represented with 47%. Then 52% of suspects in violent crimes. I mean, that's something, right? Or over 1000 violent crimes in the last 5 years. Yes, that's the thanks for feeding them. And if you look now, these are from the Süddeutsche Zeitung, a left-wing newspaper. These are the luxuries. You can see that. They started and had how much, 4 billion they had once, also a piece after they sold all social housing, the idiots. Then they had 4 billion. We were the richest city in Germany, somewhere around there. And then it rose. Look here, now we are at 8 billion this year. 8 billion official state debt. It's written there exactly, it's set in the budget. 8 billion for a piddly city like Munich. And the only growth we have to record is steep, and this money has to come from somewhere. And I had the fear that we would massively increase the property tax assessment rate. Can we do that? No. Why? Stop. Exactly. But I have, Munich has doubled the property value, but not the assessment rate. The standard rate. We are talking about the assessment rate. But basically, it has remained almost the same for everyone. There are outliers. If you have an undeveloped property, you have doubled it. There is a friend of mine, they doubled it. There are cases with tenfold. No, that can't stay that way. The city of Munich has to get the money from somewhere. Period. And by the way, the mass of this debt, where it comes from, it doesn't come from the Africans or the Arabs. We have buildings that we have to renovate to the latest standard. We thought it would be cheaper to tear down these old buildings and build new ones instead of renovating them for this price. And that is crushing Munich. And it won't just be Munich, there are other cities too. Demographics, whoever wants to do it can look it up if they want a sleepless night. Germany 2005, 2022 share. I had the young people here, under 50%. You can look, before they were the cities with the Mercedes, Ruhr area. And now we will simply be, no matter what we do, we will be overpopulated. So I took the trouble, I am a financial mathematician, so from insurance, not numbers I made up. I looked at an algorithm, life tables from the German life tables and birth rates of foreigners and so on, averaged them, and then got this number. Then I got a complaint filed with the Office for the Protection of the Constitution because I had expressed myself racist. Because I said that we are being overrun by foreigners, and that's why I said the word, I speak it now even if it's ugly, with remigration. In the meantime, the CDU has overtaken me twice on the right before I even changed the word. So, and that looks like this. That would be basically the share of migrants in the population of Germany. If we stop migration now at 100,000, stop, and reduce it by 100,000 every year, then it would result in the share still rising percentage-wise, but it would be stabilized at about 22%. I don't have the numbers with me, I didn't want to bore you. If you do it like it continues today, you can look it up on my website. It boggles the mind. Because then we have approximately here, that means this red area, the share of migrants is approximately there if you do nothing. And if you imagine, you add another 500,000 every year according to the SPD's and Greens' wishes, then we have no air left. I just have to tell you, there is no place to live, and who is supposed to pay for it? Their things are not thought through. And they act completely irrationally, and that makes me angry. So that was Ramadan. I always liked that too. Because I have to tell you, Ramadan is a family celebration like Christmas in Islamic countries. And of the 56 countries, I know, I think, 23 or 25 or something. Nowhere is Ramadan celebrated publicly on a street. Nowhere in the world. I have often been invited to Ramadan. They eat like pigs, you can't imagine. They stuff themselves as if there were no tomorrow. But then it's a security question for me. Some celebrate Nowruz, New Year of the Kurds, they celebrate their public Ramadan here. And we let ourselves be forbidden the Easter bunny, we let ourselves be forbidden Carnival because we cannot meet the security requirements. Who meets these requirements? No one. Because the Muslims don't do anything to each other, I'll just say. So these are also animals against green, against right. I would never have dared that, but it's from the green side, so it can be used freely. Animals are against right. What is this? Which animal has not called these people animals? So, and now we can talk about these things. Bye, thank you.