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Dan Ives
Managing Director & Global Head of Technology Research, Wedbush Securities

Big Tech Earnings Could Validate AI, Ives Says

📅 Oct 19, 2026 Bloomberg Television 9 MIN 413 VIEWS 21 SEGMENTS · 2 SPEAKERS
Dan Ives, partner and senior managing director at Yorkville, Ives, and Company, says the upcoming earnings from major technology companies will be an important test of confidence in AI. He also talks about giving investors a chance to invest in private ai companies. -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: https://tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9 Visit http://www.bloomberg.com for business news & analysis, up-to-the-minute market data, features, profiles and more. Connect...

What Dan Ives said

Written from the verified transcript and checked against it. Every figure links to the moment it was said.

Dan Ives said the upcoming big tech earnings are a 'validation moment' for AI, with hyperscaler and enterprise demand set to prove the trade. He cited a 13-to-1 demand-supply ratio for memory chips from his Korea trip, and argued the AI build-out is in year three of a 10-to-12-year cycle. Ives distinguished hyperscalers like Microsoft, Amazon, and Google from neoclouds, saying some will lose out in a 'game of musical chairs,' and he is cautious on Oracle due to debt and cost cuts. He noted his new $200 million fund has not yet invested in Nscale, but named Anthropic, OpenAI, and Figure AI as targets. He said he would turn less bullish if capex slows or demand deals fail, and estimated a $5-$6 multiplier for every dollar of big tech capex, with $3-$4 trillion in total spend ahead.

Key takeaways

  1. Memory chip demand-supply ratio is 13 to 1, based on Ives' Korea trip.
  2. AI build-out is in year three of a 10-to-12-year cycle.
  3. Ives is cautious on Oracle due to debt and cost cuts from hyperscaler ambitions.
  4. For every dollar of big tech capex, there is a $5-$6 multiplier across tech, with $3-$4 trillion in total spend ahead.

Numbers and commitments

FigureWhat it refers toTypeAt
13 to 1 Demand-supply ratio for memory chips metric 1:32
year three of a 10 to 12-year build-out AI infrastructure build-out phase timeline 2:17
$200,000,000 Fund raised for Ives Ultra AI Opportunities commitment 5:02
5 to $6 multiplier Capex multiplier across tech for every dollar from big tech metric 6:22
3 to 4 trillion dollars Total AI spend over coming years guidance 6:22

Chapters

  1. 0:00Earnings as AI validation moment
  2. 0:49Korea trip and memory chip demand
  3. 2:10AI trade nervousness and fundamentals
  4. 3:02Neoclouds vs hyperscalers
  5. 4:57Ives AI fund and private investments
  6. 6:16Conditions for turning less bullish
  7. 7:03Market scrutiny and burden of proof
  8. 8:26Cautious on Oracle and losers

Questions asked in this interview

9
  1. 1:12But what did you glean from what you saw and heard?
  2. 2:10And, yeah, just how important is this week in terms of just restoring confidence, really, in the AI trade?
  3. 3:02So do you have a feeling on neoclouds versus maybe the hyperscalers in terms of their security and their role longer term?
  4. 4:57Can I just ask you, are you invested in Nscale in your... Yes?
  5. 5:09Or I guess you can... Can you tell us?
  6. 5:37So a name like Nscale is what you would want in that fund?
  7. 6:16Dan, what would you actually need to see in these earnings to make you less bullish on the AI trade?
  8. 7:03Can you talk to us just about the burden of proof that we're now expecting essentially out of these big tech firms?
  9. 8:26What company is a loser that you're like, oh, okay, maybe this is a sign of something that could go wrong? What company in particular?
Bloomberg Host 0:00 ↗
We also like to keep tabs on our next guest. As we start to get a gut check on the AI spend, the AI narrative, the valuations, a lot of big tech players starting to report earnings this week and then in the next few weeks. Our next guest is out with a research note calling this week a validation moment for AI. Let's get to it. Good to have back with us on Bloomberg. Dan Ives, he's partner and senior managing director at Yorkville, Ives and Company. There's also the Dan Ives Wedbush AI Evolution ETF, which has some $885,000,000 in assets, up more than 20% year to date. And then there is the just launched $200,000,000 publicly listed closed-end investment fund called Ives Ultra AI Opportunities. It invests in private VC-backed AI companies. He's always a busy man, but he always finds time for us. Dan, good to have you back. Out there in New Jersey. Yeah. How are you?
Dan Ives 0:49 ↗
Good. No, it's... Look, it's obviously been... You know, it's been exciting but turbulent last few weeks. We were in Korea last week trying to get a better sense in terms of memory and what demand looks like there. But, look, it all comes down to this week and next week in terms of earnings. I mean, that... That's, I think, ultimately, what the street engine needs to see in terms of the hyperscalers and big tech.
Bloomberg Host 1:12 ↗
What did you, though, glean from your time in Korea? Obviously, an important point. And we've seen their markets under extreme pressure, and there's a lot of names, obviously, that play into the semiconductor space that seem to be pretty vulnerable last week, as were US semiconductors. But what did you glean from what you saw and heard?
Dan Ives 1:32 ↗
Yeah. No doubt nervousness, but demand supply 13 to 1 for memory chips. So I just... Look, as me and you and we've talked about on the show, you know, over the years, like, we're gonna go through these narratives. Go back to SaaS apocalypse earlier this year. Look what's happening here. I'm not saying that there's validity. Of course, there's validity in terms of nervousness, what we saw with the bonds and CDS spreads. But the reality, this acceleration's happening in terms of demand on chips, hyperscalers, use cases. And that's where I think earning season's gonna show.
Bloomberg Host 2:10 ↗
And, yeah, just how important is this week in terms of just restoring confidence, really, in the AI trade?
Dan Ives 2:17 ↗
I think it's very important because in the vacuum, when you don't have numbers, you could have different narratives, different reports, you know, and I think that sort of could dictate sometimes. And I think it... Look, it gets investors off their game because there is nervousness. We're going into the midterms. There's always a lot of volatility around this period of time. But at the end of the day, it comes down to fundamentals. What does demand look like on chips? What are enterprises doing relative to the hyperscalers? And what do use cases look like? Palantir, Snowflake, you know, ServiceNow, and so many others. And that is what would dictate if stocks go higher. And I still believe we're in year three of a 10 to 12-year build-out.
Bloomberg Host 3:02 ↗
What do you then... You know, what does it mean if we're in year three of a 10-year build-out, Dan, and you've got, you know, Nscale... We had a headline cross: Nscale, Anthropic in talks for a $45,000,000,000 cloud computing deal. So basically, Nscale would be selling computing power to Anthropic, and this deal could be worth $45,000,000,000. What's interesting is, and it could be finalized in the coming days, according to our colleagues Dina Bass, Brody Ford. But it comes after we just had a story about how Nscale's valuation is being questioned, this $30,000,000,000 valuation, investors against the backdrop and concerns about AI, especially the neoclouds, that maybe it's worth about half of that. So do you have a feeling on neoclouds versus maybe the hyperscalers in terms of their security and their role longer term?
Dan Ives 3:53 ↗
Yeah. I think hyperscalers, they're in a total different world relative to not just their balance sheet. Now... And then you look at the enterprises in terms of where they sit, how they're positioned in terms of these strategic build-outs, as well as on the data center build-out. And that's why I think Microsoft, Amazon, Google continue to be in just a different stratosphere. Oracle is a good example of trying to be a hyperscaler, but there's pain with that, right, when you take on the debt, they've had to cut costs. When you close out CoreWeave, Nebius, those are gonna be the sort of champions relative to what we see on neoclouds. But I think you have to separate it out. And look, in the game of musical chairs, will there be some without a chair? Of course. But I think relative to where we are today, it's so early. And if you look at the demand and you look at ultimately capacity and where it's gonna go, even if you haircut some of the data centers that don't ultimately get built out, I still think the street's underestimated numbers massively over the next one, two years.
Bloomberg Host 4:57 ↗
Can I just ask you, are you invested in Nscale in your... Yes?
Dan Ives 5:02 ↗
So we just raised. So that $200,000,000 was just raised. We haven't made an investment yet from the IPO.

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Cite this transcript

APA, MLA, BibTeX
APA

Ives, D. (2026, October 19). Big Tech Earnings Could Validate AI, Ives Says [Interview transcript]. Bloomberg Television. CEOInterviews.AI. https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/3095594/

MLA

Dan Ives. "Big Tech Earnings Could Validate AI, Ives Says." Bloomberg Television, 19 Oct. 2026. Transcript, CEOInterviews.AI, https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/3095594/.

BibTeX
@misc{ives2026_3095594,
  author       = {Dan Ives},
  title        = {Big Tech Earnings Could Validate AI, Ives Says},
  howpublished = {Interview transcript, Bloomberg Television. CEOInterviews.AI},
  year         = {2026},
  month        = {oct},
  url          = {https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/3095594/},
  note         = {Speaker-attributed transcript with timestamps}
}