Kenneth Gunderman1:58
Chip, thank you for your comments. We're thrilled to be here. I've realized I know about 50% of the people in the room, Chip, so I want to rethink opening up questions to the audience. I'd rather not do that. But great to be here among friends in the industry. It's always fun. Super excited to be invited up here today. Please read our forward-looking statement. It'll knock your socks off, I promise, but I have to tell you to do that for the lawyers. You can find copies of this later. We were last asked to give the keynote here back in 2017, right on the heels of our acquisition of Southern Light at the time. There's a table full of former Southern Light employees here today: Eric Daniels, Ren Landers, Kelly McGriff. Kelly's probably passed his card out to everybody already this morning. They are now contributors to Uniti; they have been for seven or eight years. We're very excited about that transaction. Chip mentioned Windstream; we're very excited about that combination. Is Joe Scaria in here somewhere? There he is in the back. He won't stand up, but he raised his hand. Joe runs the wholesale business at Windstream, and we look forward to seven or eight years from now looking back at an equally prosperous and mutually beneficial transaction there. But the lesson is: if you want to be the keynote at Encompass, you have to do an M&A deal. That's what gets you invited up here. Back in 2017, I thought what might be interesting today is to go back and look at what we said in 2017 and compare it to what actually happened, because we did some forward-looking comments. But then I went back and looked at our presentation and thought, nah, maybe we don't want to do that. We weren't right on everything, but there were a few things we were right on. One of those was that we thought emphatically that fiber was going to become the next mission-critical communications infrastructure asset. We said it emphatically, and we were right. We were right about that. Everybody in this room knows that we're in the epicenter of a lot of the themes Chip just mentioned: hyperscaler demand, AI demand, generative AI, waves, fiber to the home, convergence. So couldn't be more excited about where we are in the industry, couldn't be more excited about the fact that fiber is mission-critical and that we've got an expansive fiber network at Uniti. But despite that, when I travel around and talk to investors in the industry—whether it's public, private, strategic, or financial—we at Uniti still get the question a lot: 'Why is the fiber industry better today than it was back in the 2000s?' Let's face it, as an industry in the early days, we made some mistakes, and there are still people who remember that. So we get that question a lot, and frankly, I love the question because we've got a lot of great things to say about why. I wanted to spend a few minutes on that today and maybe have a conversation about it later in Q&A. Number one, and it really boils down to three things: number one, it's just a much more rational competitive landscape. We're not overbuilding as much; there are much more targeted capital investment models today. Number two, there are a lot more of what we call on-ramps—all those last-mile, high-broadband feeders of capacity onto networks. Back in the 2000s, we were building a lot of long-haul fiber, just not a lot of on-ramps. Number three, as a result of those first two, back in the 2000s demand was on the come. We were building things with demand on the come. Today, we are awash in broadband demand. It's terrific and awesome. So I wanted to spend a few minutes talking about each of those topics. I can't really see the slides from here, but I've looked at them. As Chip said, I joined the telecom industry back in 1998, a couple years after the Telecom Act of '96 was signed by fellow Arkansan Bill Clinton. No connection. Trip down memory lane: there was a lot of excitement about the industry, a lot of capital chasing the industry. Everybody wanted to be a CLEC, and there was this huge excitement about the broadband demand that was on the come. Capital was chasing business models, and long-haul business models in particular. So you can see there's a lot of logos on here that are familiar to people in this room, and you can see that the majority of the fiber being built was long-haul in nature, and just a handful of companies were starting to really focus on last mile. Fast forward to today, and many of those long-haul networks—big, beautiful networks, terrific infrastructure—they were just empty 20 years ago. Fast forward to today: much more rational industry. A handful of competitive long-haul providers with networks that are full of capacity, full of traffic. And along the way, there's also been a lot of investment made in fiber to the home, metro fiber, and fiber to buildings. As you can see, the increase of long-haul fiber from 700,000 to 1.4 million, but a massive increase in last-mile fiber. That's the sign of a much more rational industry. And all those logos in the bottom right are not overbuilding; they're not building the same tier-one long-haul routes. They're building unique fiber in unique markets. Largely, there's some overbuilding, but not nearly as much. Much more rational. This is a great page. I love this page. So what is all that fiber being built mean? If you look at the bottom left, back in the early 2000s there were a few thousand fiber-to-the-home customers. Today we have 80 million fiber-to-the-home passings and growing at a substantial rate, because there are still many homes in this country that don't have fiber to the home. And the business model for fiber to the home works today. You can build fiber to the home at a level and have a clear line of sight to penetration and ARPU, and therefore the returns work. Back in the early 2000s, it didn't work. There were still people using dial-up in the early 2000s. Anybody in here remember dial-up? It was awesome and it sucked at the same time. It was all we had. But man, today compare that to a 1-gig fiber connection into the home. There's no comparison. It takes 375 years to download the Library of Congress on a dial-up connection; it takes a matter of hours on a 1-gig fiber home connection. So that bottom-left bar chart shows the number of passings, but it doesn't begin to capture the amount of demand that fiber to the home is going to generate. That's only part of the equation, though. Back in the early 2000s, cell phones were starting to be used, and I remember people saying, 'Eventually we're going to have these single handheld devices where you can check the web, check your email, and talk on the same device.' I remember thinking that's crazy, there's no way. But today, not only do we have cell phones, we've got these supercomputers. We can all go to the moon because these are better than what NASA had to get to the moon in the late '70s. Massive amounts of capacity running through all of these supercomputers, and again, that doesn't work without fiber. The middle bar chart: huge increase in towers and small cells that enable us to use cellular phones and smartphones. None of that stuff works without fiber. In the early days of towers, a lot of people in the room remember Ron Mudre from Tower Cloud. A lot of those initial towers were T1 or even microwave. That doesn't work today. Today you need 1-gig fiber connectivity, 10-gig fiber connectivity, 25-gig right around the corner, and so on. So if you put a demand curve next to the number of cell sites, it's exponentially higher than just the number of actual sites. Again, just tremendous amounts of demand. Number of lit buildings: same thing. Roughly 300,000 lit buildings with fiber in early 2000. Today, Uniti—the new Uniti—is going to have over 800,000 near-net, on-net fiber-fed buildings alone. Just us. Now I don't think that's exactly apples to apples to the 300,000, but close enough. The point is, there's just been a huge increase in getting fiber to enterprises in addition to individual consumers and homes. The social media point: not really an on-ramp, it just shows how many more of us today are using the internet than we were before. You all know that, but I think it's super interesting to show. It's not a communications infrastructure presentation unless there's an up-and-to-the-right demand curve. So here's ours. This one comes from our friends at Cisco. We've used it in some of our investor relations material. I think it's interesting. We could spend time on each of these bars. Digital transformation: that's the phase we're moving out of, according to Cisco, and I agree. I don't call it the digital transformation phase; I kind of call it the COVID phase. Pre-COVID, post-COVID. To me, COVID, as terrible as it was—set aside politics, whether it made sense for us to be separated for social or political reasons, it doesn't matter—we were, and it would not have worked had we not been able to stay connected virtually. I think as a result, COVID has really accelerated the focus on fiber as being mission-critical, and it's really accelerated people's views of all the different things that fiber can bring to us. I think without COVID, AI generative AI would still be five, six, seven years out. But these hyperscalers, who are very smart and have lots of capital, they see COVID, they see the opportunity it brings, frankly they see what it meant to their business models, and now they want more. That's leading us to that far-right phase. Again, massive increases in demand, and these are driven by AI, yes, but it's also driven by a lot of other use cases. I'm not a technologist; I don't understand a lot of these things on the granular level. But as an infrastructure guy, I understand that you're going to need a lot of fiber to support these use cases. A couple weeks ago, Elon Musk rolled out his 'We, Robot' strategy, I think it's what it's called. He showed his autonomous vehicle fleet, and he also rolled out what he's calling the Optimus robot, which basically emulates human beings' voice, actions, dexterity. He predicted that the Optimus robot will be the single biggest product ever sold in the world, and it retails for $30,000. So I thought, okay, there's probably a bunch of us that want one of those. There's probably a bunch of people who would prioritize other things over a robot for a while, at least. But let's say he's 5% right or 10% right. That's a lot of robots that get connected via wireless back to towers that traverse a lot of fiber. That kind of thinking is awesome and terrific, and we've got a lot of really smart people with a lot of capital out there thinking about those use cases on our behalf, because we benefit from that not only as consumers but as communications infrastructure providers. So this page just shows a progression of our customers as infrastructure providers. Back in the early 2000s, there weren't really a lot of customers for fiber. There were wireline customers, there were wireless customers, a few large enterprises were acquiring fiber. Good customers. Many of those businesses are still customers today. But when you fast forward to today, there are a lot more customers of fiber than in the past. If you think about it, everybody from the largest corporations to the largest government entities—we do a lot of work for the US government, the military—down to individual single consumers have access to fiber, either directly or by one step removed through a smartphone or a cell phone. That is a tremendous amount of distributed demand and opportunity to feed our networks. In addition to that, it creates a greater opportunity for us to build fiber more economically. We need anchor customers to build fiber, but if you have a lease-up strategy on top of it, you can make those anchored customer opportunities work, and you've got an exponential increase in the number of customers you can sell to. Those lease-up models work a heck of a lot better than they did back in the 2000s. They're a lot easier to make work today. I think that's how I wanted to say it. So I'm about to wrap up, but the point of a lot of that is the promise of the demand of the early 2000s is here today. All of those connected on-ramps, all of those customers, all those use cases are driving massive amounts of demand onto these long-haul networks. So the new Uniti: we're going to have a big 200,000 route mile network. I mentioned Joe Scaria. Is Greg Hotel in here? Greg's not here. Greg runs the wholesale business at Uniti. I see a bunch of Uniti salespeople and support people. Go find them today; they'll tell you all about that big, beautiful network. We're selling waves, we're selling dark fiber. Tremendous amount of opportunity. I think for other wholesale long-haul providers, their networks are going to benefit from a lot of these same trends and themes. So a much more rational and healthy market today. In addition to that, we're very excited at Uniti to have all of these distributed endpoints, all of these on-ramps. We're going to own ourselves 5 million connected endpoints through Kinetic and fiber to the home, through our enterprise business and connected buildings, through connected towers, connected small cells. Again, all of those endpoints driving traffic onto our wholesale network. Importantly for us, and like a lot of communications providers, our endpoints are in relatively unique positions. We're not really competing with overbuilders; we're not overbuilding others. We're targeting white space where fiber doesn't exist today. In our view, if you're first or early to build fiber into unique locations, you have a right to win many years into the future. So we're very excited about where we're positioned from a Uniti point of view, and super excited about where we're positioned from an industry point of view. I think the more we stay focused on rational business models and deploying capital in a smart way that actually generates returns, we're going to continue to do well and prosper. So Chip, I think that's all I had. I'm ready to take any questions.