Back
Kenneth Vecchione
Chief Executive Officer, President & Director, WESTERN ALLIANCE BANCORP

Western Alliance Bancorp WAL CEO Kenneth Vecchione on Q1 2020 Results

🎥 Apr 19, 2020 📺 Daily Earnings Calls ⏱ 83m 👁 74 views
Watch on YouTube

About Kenneth Vecchione

Kenneth Vecchione, CEO of Western Alliance Bancorp, discussed the company's response to the COVID-19 pandemic during the first quarter 2020 earnings call. He stated that the bank began assessing risks in mid-January and accelerated plans in mid-February to prioritize asset quality, capital, and liquidity management. Vecchione noted that the bank dedicated over a quarter of its workforce to the Paycheck Protection Program, approving over 2,600 applications totaling $1.5 billion. He described the bank's approach to loan modifications as seeking to partner with clients by asking them to contribute liquidity, capital, or equity. Vecchione reported that the bank generated $163.4 million in operating pre-provision net revenue for the quarter, up 10% year-over-year, and recorded a provision for credit losses of $51.2 million. Vecchione stated that the bank had no direct energy or large retail mall exposure and that its construction and land development portfolio was under 9% of its loan book. He noted that the bank had direct dialogue with all borrowers with over $3 million in exposure, covering 86% of the portfolio. Vecchione expressed that his outlook had become more pessimistic since early March, citing the recent unemployment filings, and said he believed the downturn would be "deeper than I've ever experienced." He also commended the federal government's passage of the CARES Act and the Federal Reserve's actions to support liquidity.

Source: AI-verified profile updated from Kenneth Vecchione's recent appearances. Browse all interviews →

Transcript (101 segments)
O
Operator0:02
Today everyone, welcome to the earnings call for Western Alliance Bancorporation for the first quarter of 2020. Our speakers today are Ken Vecchione, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Dale Gibbons, Chief Financial Officer. You may also view the presentation today via the webcast through the Company's website at www.att.com/biz. After 2:00 p.m. Eastern, April 17th, 2020 through May 17th, 2020 at 9:00 a.m. Eastern, by dialing 1-800-455-1052. Risks, uncertainties, assumptions, and changes in circumstances that may cause our actual results to differ significantly from historical results and those expressed in any forward-looking statement. Factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from historical or expected results are included in this presentation, the related earnings release, and our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as required by law, the company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements. Now for the opening remarks, I would like to turn the call over to Ken Vecchione. Please go ahead.
K
Kenneth Vecchione1:51
Good afternoon and welcome to Western Alliance's first quarter earnings call. Joining me on the call today are Dale Gibbons, our CFO, and our Chief Credit Officer, Tim Bruckner. I will first provide an overview of Western Alliance's response to the coronavirus pandemic, then Dale will walk you through the bank's financial performance. Afterwards, we will open the line to take your questions. I'll begin by laying out Western Alliance's approach to the COVID-19 and economic crisis. First and most importantly, I hope that everyone on the line is doing well and that your families and loved ones are safe and healthy. These wishes are especially extended to all the care and safety workers actively putting themselves in harm's way to protect our communities. At Western Alliance Bank, our people remain healthy and engaged, and despite the vast majority working from home for the last month, continue to go above and beyond the call of duty to serve our customers and the communities we operate in. To navigate this challenging time, our business continuity plans have been working as anticipated, and I am proud of the entrepreneurial spirit our people continue to demonstrate to get the job done and develop unique solutions for our clients. First, I'd like to lay out the business actions Western Alliance has taken in light of the evolving environment. Although we did not anticipate the widespread severity and duration of the virus, we did start assessing potential risks and mitigants as early as mid-January. As the breadth of the pandemic became apparent, we accelerated implementing plans in mid-February to prioritize asset quality, capital, and liquidity management. We have since divided the business into appropriate risk segments led by senior managers with deep credit and workout experience to monitor and force early engagement with our borrowers and begin the necessary credit triage process. For example, Robert Sauber is leading the hotel franchise group, while I am leading the warehouse lending and gaming groups. Dale has corporate finance, and Tim Bruckner coordinates, oversees, and directs all credit activities. Our overall risk management approach is focused on establishing individual borrower-level strategies in which we are proactively engaging in customer conversations to evaluate and agree upon financial plans focused on liquidity management to conserve resources in anticipation of an elongated economic downturn. To date, we have had direct dialogue with all borrowers with over $3 million in exposure, or 86% of our portfolio, and substantial dialogue below this level. We assume that all borrowers will have some level of COVID-19 impact and are focused on evaluating our borrowers' remediation efforts, access to capital, and contingency plans. We are also very pleased that Congress and the entire federal government came together to expeditiously pass the CARES Act and stimulus measures a few weeks ago. Additionally, we applaud the Fed's actions to reduce interest rates, support liquidity in the financial markets through quantitative easing for a wide variety of asset classes, and provide support for small and medium-sized businesses through its innovative new lending programs. We recognize that the SBA has a large task in front of them, and I'm extremely proud to say that our people worked tirelessly with them so that we could successfully process the PPP program loans on the first day. We have dedicated over a quarter of our workforce to avail our clients of this important program and have successfully approved over 2,600 applications totaling $1.5 billion to date. We anticipate funding approximately $150 million per day. As part of our broader risk management strategy, we have prioritized implementing the PPP program as the most expedient method to quickly get incremental liquidity to our clients. Furthermore, we believe that the newly initiated Main Street lending program, when implemented, provides incremental liquidity for our larger clients as well as PPP participants. Our approach to loan modifications and deferment requests is to look for resourceful ways to partner with our clients, along with assessing their willingness and capacity to support their business interests. We are asking our clients to work hand-in-hand with us for long-term solutions to a hopefully short-term challenging environment, whereby our clients contribute liquidity, capital, or equity as an integral component to loan modifications. Our longer-term solutions-based approach distinguishes us from industry-standardized 90-day deferral programs. Our approach collectively uses the resources of the borrower, government, and the bank's balance sheet to develop solutions that extend beyond the six-month window provided for in the CARES Act. This negotiation process has likely slowed our modification pipeline, as approximately $400 million has been processed to date. We learned during the last downturn that when both the borrower and the bank use their resources to bridge the gap, it generates a mutually favorable outcome. With all this as the backdrop, I'd like to walk through the financial performance for the quarter. Despite a uniquely challenging operating environment, I am proud to report that in the first quarter, Western Alliance generated $163.4 million of operating pre-provision net revenue, up 10% year-over-year and 3% quarter-over-quarter. We continued with the adoption of CECL accounting changes this quarter, which resulted in a provision for credit losses of $51.2 million for the quarter, 47% of which was driven by our robust balance sheet growth. Dale will go into more detail on how the unique features of CECL drove provisions, but our ACL to funded loan ratio now stands at 1.14%. We generated net income of $84 million, or $0.83 per share, and tangible book value per share was $26.73. This quarter, we produced an NIM of 4.22% and had net recoveries of $3.2 million, and continue to improve our operating efficiency even with our increased vigilance. Organic balance sheet growth continued to be healthy in Q1 for both loans and deposits. Deposits grew $2 billion to $24.8 billion as we gained market share and saw strength in our key business lines, as well as traction in one of our recently launched deposit initiatives which added over $400 million. This highlights the continued strength of our diversified funding channels and overall deposit franchise to generate stable, low-cost liquidity irrespective of the macroeconomic environment. Continuing on our strong momentum from 2019, total loans increased $2 billion to $23.1 billion. Approximately $1.5 billion of this was through organic loan growth from new client projects, and another $500 million was credit line drawdowns, of which approximately half was redeposited into the bank. Let me take a moment now to make a few high-level comments on Western Alliance's loan portfolio. We believe that our well-diversified business model and purposeful decisions made over the past decade regarding conservative underwriting criteria and sector allocations have positioned the portfolio to withstand the current economic environment. At quarter end, asset quality was stable with a decline in total adversely rated loans and OREO to assets of 1.2% from 1.27% in Q4. Western Alliance has no direct energy or large retail mall exposure. We stopped making loans to the quick service restaurant sector several years ago, with current exposure of only $150 million. Our construction and land development portfolio is now under 9% of our loan book. In our institutional lot banking business, which makes up 30% of the CLD portfolio, we have not received any deferral requests at this time. Single-family residential construction, which comprises another 27%, was still experiencing positive absorption trends through March; however, April's traffic has fallen off. Our lot banking portfolio is extremely well positioned coming into the pandemic and right now is performing as expected. We are especially focused on monitoring and engaging with our clients in our hotel franchise finance and technology and innovation segments, which will be reviewed in more detail later in the call. During the quarter, we repurchased 1.8 million shares at an average price of $35.30. Additionally, consistent with our 10b5-1 plan, we repurchased 270,000 shares thus far in Q2. However, given the rapidly changing environment, we have now paused our share repurchase activity. Finally, Western Alliance rises at this crisis in a position of strength, uniquely prepared to address what's ahead. We remain well capitalized and highly liquid, with a CET1 ratio of 9.7% and ample liquidity resources of over $10 billion. Dale will now take you through our financial performance for the first quarter.
D
Dale Gibbons11:17
Western Alliance generated net income of $84 million, or $0.83 earnings per share. Net income was reduced by a $51.2 million provision for credit losses driven by the adoption of CECL, balance sheet growth, as well as the change in the economic outlook through the pandemic. Strong ongoing balance sheet momentum coupled with diligent expense management drove operating pre-provision net revenue to $163.4 million, up 10% from a year ago, which we believe is the most relevant metric to evaluate the ongoing earnings power of the company. Net interest income and NIM remained relatively stable, producing net operating revenue of $285.3 million, primarily a result of lower yields on loans which was partially offset by lower rates on deposits and borrowings. Non-interest income declined $10.9 million to $5.1 million from the prior quarter due to a mark-to-market on preferred stock holdings of primarily large money center banks of $11.3 million, partially offset by a $3.8 million equity investment gain. To date, of the $11.3 million mark, $3.5 million has been recovered. As credit spreads widened during the last quarter, the yield on preferred stocks followed, impacting valuations. We do not believe this represents a permanently reduced valuation and that preferred stock values will continue to recover over time. Finally, non-interest expense declined $9.3 million as compensation and other operating expenses declined. Regarding implementing CECL and our allowance for credit losses, in our 10-K we disclosed the adoption impact of $37 million: $19 million attributable to funded loans, $15 million for unfunded commitments, and $2.6 million for held-to-maturity securities. This resulted in a combined January 1st allowance of $214 million. During Q1, loan growth drove an additional $24 million of required reserves, and another $30 million was driven by changes in the economic outlook as a result of the pandemic. In total, the reserve build during the first quarter was $91 million, an increase of 50% from year-end. The reserve at quarter end, ACL of $268 million, was 1.14% of funded loans, up 30 basis points. Provision expense for the quarter was $51.2 million, which is over 10 times the average quarterly provision during 2019. As of March 31st, the reserve build reflects our best estimate of the future economic environment, including the impact of government stimulus programs. We utilized an assimilation to various Moody's macroeconomic outlook scenarios to capture the most likely economic outcomes and a more severe scenario for potential tail risks. As the economy continues to change, we will adjust our ACL modeling accordingly. Turning to net interest drivers, net interest income for the quarter declined a modest $3 million from the prior quarter to $269 million, as there was one less day during the quarter compared to Q4, and margin compression was offset by loan and deposit growth. Investment yield showed a modest improvement of 2 basis points from the prior quarter to 2.98%. However, on a linked quarter basis, loan yields increased 31 basis points due to the lower rate environment. The average yield of our portfolio at quarter end, or the spot rate, was 5.02%. Interest-bearing deposit costs increased 18 basis points in Q1 to 90 basis points as a result of immediate steps taken to reduce our deposit costs after the FOMC cut rates twice in March. The spot rate of total deposits at quarter end was 29 basis points. Total funding cost decreased 11 basis points when all the company's funding sources are considered, including non-interest bearing and borrowings. Through the transition to a substantially lower rate environment during the quarter, net interest income was $269 million, a decline of 1.1% from Q4. Continued strong balance sheet growth and immediate steps taken to reduce the cost of interest-bearing deposits counteracted the decline in prime and LIBOR. Net interest margin declined 17 basis points to 4.22% during the quarter, as our earning assets repriced lower, partially offset by a 19 basis point decline in deposit costs. With regards to our asset sensitivity, our rate risk profile has declined notably as the majority of our variable rate loan portfolio has flipped to a fixed rate as floors have been triggered in the declining rate environment. Presently, 82%, or $8.1 billion, of variable rate loans with floors are at the floors. With the addition of our mix shift primarily to fixed-rate residential loans, $16.2 million, or 70% of loans, are now behaving as a fixed-rate portfolio. This has reduced our interest rate risk in a 100 basis point parallel shock lower scenario to 3% at March 31st from 6.5% one year ago, and assumes that rates are held flat at zero across the term structure. Turning now to operating efficiency, on a linked quarter basis, our efficiency ratio decreased 200 basis points to 41.8%. As mentioned earlier, the improvement was attributed to decreases in compensation and other operating expenses while our revenues increased modestly. As a core component of our strategy, we continue disciplined expense management to sustain industry-leading operating leverage and profitability. Our core underlying earnings power remains strong, as pre-provision net revenue ROA was 2.38%, flat from the prior quarter, while return on assets was down 70 basis points to 1.22%, directly related to our provision expense in excess of charge-offs of $54.4 million. As Ken mentioned earlier, our strong balance sheet momentum from 2019 continued into Q1. During the quarter, loans increased $2 billion to $23.2 billion, and deposits also grew $2 billion to $24.8 billion. The loan-to-deposit ratio increased to 93.2% from 92.7% in the fourth quarter. Our strong liquidity position continues to provide us with balance sheet capacity to meet funding needs. Shareholders' equity declined by $17 million as dividends and share repurchases were matched by net income. Tangible book value per share increased $0.19 over the prior quarter to $26.73 per share as our share count declined. We continue to believe our ability to profitably grow deposits is both a key differentiator and a core value driver to our platform's long-term value creation. Q1 is a seasonally strong deposit quarter, and coupled with the rollout of our deposit initiatives, deposits grew $2 billion. The increase was driven by growth of $1.3 billion in non-interest bearing DDA, primarily from market share gains and our mortgage warehouse operations. Additionally, HOA continues to perform well and contributed $330 million of low-cost deposits during the quarter. The relative proportion of non-interest bearing DDA grew to nearly 40% of deposits from 37.5% on a linked quarter basis. Turning to loan growth, in line with the industry, the vast majority of growth was driven by increases in C&I loans totaling $1.8 billion, followed by $107 million in construction and land development, and $92 million in residential loans. Residential loans now comprise 9.7% of our portfolio, while construction loans decreased as a relative proportion of the portfolio to 8.9% from 9.2% in the fourth quarter. At the segment level, tech and innovation loans grew $626 million, with $124 million from capital call and subscription lines and $176 million from existing technology loan draws, in turn bolstering technology-related deposits by $383 million. Corporate finance loans grew $408 million, which was primarily due to line draws, two-thirds of which were from investment grade borrowers, bringing utilization rates to 38% from 13% during the prior quarter. Mortgage warehouse also contributed loan growth of $550 million. Approximately 50% of which was due to line draws. Across the bank, about $500 million of our net new loan growth was driven by drawdowns on existing loan commitments from the beginning of the quarter. In total, loan growth of $1.2 billion for the quarter was fully funded by deposit growth of the same amount. Overall asset quality was stable during the quarter, with total adversely graded assets increasing $10 million during the quarter to $351 million, while non-performing assets comprised of loans on non-accrual and repossessed real estate increased $27 million to $97 million, or 0.33% of total assets, and is now held for sale. Within these categories, we had migration from special mention to substandard, and some of the normal investor funding was delayed in tech and innovation as a precaution. When remaining liquidity declines below six months, we bring those loans into either special mention or substandard for enhanced monitoring and engagement. This quarter, we also saw the cumulative impact of our efforts of managing certain special mention and substandard loans as several resolved in our favor with no losses. $100 million of adversely graded loans resolved during the past quarter: 37 loans, or $50 million, paid off in full, while the other $50 million were upgraded to pass. As Ken mentioned in his introduction, we are well positioned entering this economic cycle. We only incurred $100,000 of gross credit losses during the quarter, which was more than offset by $3.3 million in recoveries, resulting in net recoveries of $3.2 million. We typically have one or two one-off credit charges every quarter; however, highlighting the strength of our loan book, we didn't experience any of these in Q1. We believe early identification and conservative management helps mitigate losses on these assets. The ACL to funded loans increased 30 basis points to 1.14% in Q1 as a result of CECL adoption and the resultant provision expense related to Q1 loan growth and changes in the economic outlook. We continue to generate capital and maintain strong regulatory capital ratios, with tangible common equity to total assets of 9.4% and a CET1 ratio of 9.7%. In Q1, our reduction of TCE to total assets was mainly driven by a $2.3 billion increase in tangible assets due to our significant loan growth, while tangible common equity was affected by the $54 million of provisions and excessive charge-offs due to CECL adoption. In spite of reduced quarterly earnings and the payment of quarterly cash dividends of $0.25 per share, our tangible book value per share rose $0.19 in the quarter to $26.73, and is up 15.2% in the past year. Our diversified deposit generation platform and access to significant liquidity resources is critical in times of economic stress. Overall, we have access to over $10 billion in liquidity, primarily through our $4.7 billion investment portfolio, of which $2.7 billion is investment grade, readily marketable, and not pledged on any borrowing base. Additionally, we have $7 billion in unused borrowing capacity with the Fed, Federal Home Loan Bank, and correspondents. Our strong capital base, access to liquidity, and diversified business model will allow us to address any credit demands in the future. I'll now hand the call back to Ken to conclude with comments on a few of our specific portfolios.
K
Kenneth Vecchione23:42
Thanks, Dale. Regarding our hotel franchise finance business, we believe our focus on the select service sub-segment, conservative loan-to-cost underwriting discipline, and strong operating partners sets us up for maximum financial flexibility to weather the duration of the crisis. Like most hotels in the country, our clients have seen a dramatic reduction in occupancy rates over the last month, and senior management is involved in active dialogue with each borrower to evaluate remediation efforts and contingency plans. Going into the pandemic, 75% of the portfolio had an LTV under 65%, and more than 73% had a debt service coverage ratio of 1.3 times. Additionally, we only partner with experienced hotel operators with significant invested equity and resources to support ongoing operations. Fully 66% of the portfolio is with large sponsors who operate more than 25 hotels, and 90% operate 10 or more properties with top franchisor flags. Based on our ongoing constructive dialogue, we believe that sponsors view this as a temporary event and want to continue to maintain and support these properties over the long term given their significant equity investments. We are actively working with them to appropriately utilize the PPP program, the Main Street lending programs, along with their own liquidity as a helpful financial bridge to arrive at a longer-term solution. Based on the mutually developed financial action plans, we will selectively implement loan modifications along the lines we previously discussed. This is a prime example where both parties contribute to a comprehensive solution. Now regarding our tech and innovation business, we primarily finance established growth technology firms with a strong risk profile, mainly companies classified as Stage 2 with an established business model, validated product, multiple rounds of investment, and a path to profitability. This provides greater operating and financial flexibility in times of stress. 99% of the borrowers have revenues greater than $5 million and have strong institutional backing, with 86% backed by one or more VC or PE firms. During the quarter, the portfolio grew $495 million to $2 billion, or 8.8% of the total portfolio, which was attributed to $175 million of existing line drawdowns in the technology division and an additional $124 million from capital call lines, a product that historically has had zero losses. Tech and innovation commitments grew $284 million in Q1, and utilization rates increased to 60% from 49% in Q4 2019. The portfolio was fairly granular with an average loan size of $6 million, and these borrowers are generally liquid with more than a 2-to-1 deposit coverage ratio. Additionally, since 2007, warrant income has covered cumulative net charge-offs two times over. Currently, 14% of technology loans, or $64 million, have less than 6 months remaining liquidity, which is in line with historical trends. Although some fundraising has been delayed, we were pleased to see several investment rounds closed over the last several weeks and days with strong continued sponsor support. In conclusion, we see increased cash generation driven by our balance sheet momentum going into the quarter end, as well as continued loan growth from the PPP distributions. We expect pre-provision net revenue to continue to grow through Q2, with the ability to absorb any necessary future provisions. Given uncertainty surrounding the likely duration of the virus and the evolving economic environment, we will continue to reassess our outlook as health and economic facts warrant. Regarding asset quality, our proactive risk management approach is institutionalized throughout the company. We are actively working with our borrowers to develop mutually agreed-upon financial plans assuming an elongated economic downturn that leads to long-term solutions. Our strong collateral positions and little unsecured or consumer lending should serve us well in mitigating potential risk of loss as we navigate these uncertain times. We stand ready to implement the likely next phase of PPP and the Main Street lending program to assist our clients and communities. Finally, Western Alliance has assembled a seasoned management team that has weathered several economic downturns and is applying the lessons learned from the Great Recession to face these uncertain economic times. With that, we'll open up the line, operator, and we'll take everyone's questions.
O
Operator28:42
We will now begin the question and answer session. To ask your question, you may press star then one on your touch-tone phones. If you are using a speakerphone, please pick up your handset before pressing the keys. To withdraw your question, please press star then two. The first question today comes from Jason Hare of Jefferies. Please go ahead.
J
Jason Hare29:01
Thanks. Good morning, guys. Just a question on the reserve build. Obviously, it's a tricky proposition here, but trying to get a sense—you guys mentioned you used a bunch of Moody's scenarios. Could you just give us some color on how much weighting was given to the Moody's adverse scenario, what kind of recovery you guys are assuming, how much government help, the stimulus stuff that the government is doing, is offsetting it, and the duration? I know that's a lot, but just trying to get some color as to the magnitude of the reserve build here.
D
Dale Gibbons29:49
So we primarily used the baseline case as of March 31st, and then we looked at S1 and we looked at S3. S3 is the kind of the adverse scenario, which is obviously more critical and a longer recovery period. We do struggle with what the timeline of this type of thing is and how much things come back. We do think that the institutions and the plans done by the federal government, both on the Congressional side as well as the FOMC, have an effect in terms of being able to mitigate this and draw a bridge to when we can start to turn the economy back on. I don't have a timeline for you in terms of when that is going to be, but we will look at this. We fully reserved as of March 31st, and we'll look at this again at the end of the second quarter.
K
Kenneth Vecchione30:45
Yeah, I would just add and say we did factor in some impact with the PPP program, but as we were processing, we didn't know what that sign-up number was going to be. So having 2,600 participants over $1.5 billion looking to go out is going to be very helpful. I don't think it's been fully factored into our reserve calculations, but that $1.5 billion will help cover $6.7 billion of commitments in our company, or $4.6 billion of current outstanding loans, which means that's about 20% of our current portfolio.
J
Jason Hare31:28
Okay, great. And just following up on the loan modifications, if I heard you right, I think you said $400 million to date. This is just specifically—what exactly are you guys doing there? And then any color as to how much you've improved upon that $400 million as of April 17th here?
K
Kenneth Vecchione31:49
Yeah, by the way, that $400 million is the April 17th number. In terms of color, I think we caught a lot of our clients by surprise, all borrowers by surprise, when we said early on this is going to be a longer-term problem and let's have a longer-term solution rather than the standardized cookie-cutter 90-day P&I deferral. And by the way, that took a lot of getting used to from our client base, and we had to go back to them several times as we've had that conversation. You can see that our viewpoint is more likely than not going to be correct. We don't know how long it's going to go, but we said let's sort it out through the end of the year, and because of that, we need you, the borrower, to contribute something—more equity, more collateral, more liquidity to the project—and then we will help you along with a deferral as well. We took each loan on a case-by-case basis, so we didn't make broad proclamations that said we'll just do 90 days here. Every loan is different, and I assume as we get into questions about different books of business, I'll give you some stories behind each one. But we think getting out there and dealing with our clients on a one-to-one basis is going to be helpful. And by the way, the same lessons we learned in the Great Recession—that getting there early, having conversations for the longer term, helps our clients survive, but more importantly, they know that we'll be there when they start to see growth opportunities. The combination of their growth opportunities and the ability to get through this gives them the ability to prosper longer term, and that's our approach when we sit down and talk to our clients.
J
Jason Hare33:38
Okay, great. This last one for me. Clearly prioritizing the PPP program for loan growth. Just a question: how are you guys funding this? Just trying to get a sense for what the margin, the incremental NIM might be, and how willing you are to go much higher on the loan-to-deposit ratio as well as on the TCE ratio.
D
Dale Gibbons34:07
So you may have noticed our ending balances—our loans and deposits were significantly above the average balance for the first quarter. So we had $1.7 billion more in loans and $1.5 billion more in deposits. Two-thirds of the deposit number was DDA, which gives us good momentum in terms of expanding PPP and NIM into Q2. You layer this $1.5 billion on top of that, and we have a myriad of ways to fund this. One is we think we have additional deposit opportunities. Two is the Federal Reserve has said they'll advance 100% on these loans. And three, we have another $10 billion of liquidity that we could get elsewhere. So we're not really concerned about funding that. The cost is going to be something around 25 basis points if we put it to the Fed; it's 35 basis points to do that. So again, I think that shows you that we expect continued balance sheet growth into the second quarter, primarily driven by these PPP notes.
J
Jason Hare35:09
Okay, so if I'm understanding the PPP, it comes on at around 2% with the fees associated, so it looks like about a 175 incremental margin?
D
Dale Gibbons35:23
Yes, our weighted average on the $1.5 billion we've done is 2.4%. And these loans, the preponderance of this is fairly short term—we're going to call it six months—but for the part that isn't forgivable, that has the tail that goes out two years, the actual loan rate on the entire program is 1%. So you get 2.4% on the entire bucket, and some of that is going to be accelerated in terms of recognition based upon the short-term nature of the forgivable element.
J
Jason Hare36:00
Great, thank you. I'll step back.
O
Operator36:05
The next question today comes from Aaron Seguinovitch of Citi. Please go ahead.
A
Aaron Seguinovitch36:10
Thanks. I was wondering if you could just talk a little bit about working with the customers. I appreciate all the commentary. I guess I just want to have a better understanding of what proportion of your customers are actually getting deferrals now and how those are categorized relative to the modifications that you're discussing.
T
Tim Bruckner36:37
Thank you. This is Tim, the Chief Credit Officer. I think this is a nice follow-on to the discussion we've just had. The prioritization of the customer conversation, that dialogue, is of top priority. That started for us back in February. We've got two parts to this that have come into our common language: there's the trough, and then there's the recovery and stabilization and a new normal. As a bank and as a business, we know that the better we do and the better we help our borrowers through that trough in terms of proper planning, the better that asset stabilizes in the new normal. So the conversations are actually going very well, but there are obvious differences between borrowers and industries and businesses, and so necessarily there are different conversations and discussions. But what that lets us do as a business is then monitor that cash and liquidity through the trough and be best positioned in the recovery and stabilization and normal, whatever it is for their business. So it's really a dialogue that started in February and it'll continue throughout this entire process. PPP is just part of it.
K
Kenneth Vecchione38:07
This is Kenneth. Let me just—it's an interesting question as you ask because there's not one singular answer for the entire portfolio. It depends which portfolio you're talking about. But maybe some color behind the portfolios would be helpful here. For example, we're talking to everyone in the hotel book, right? That's HFF, that's $2 billion. Well, 50% of those clients have already made their P&I for April, and 80% of the remaining 50% are in deep conversations with us where we hope that we'll have something tied down in the next couple of weeks in terms of a modification program, and then they'll make their payments at that time, or maybe it will extend first and then we'll get some payments after that. So that's the hotel book, and that's how the conversation is going there. The conversation in lot banking is quite different. We're actually getting inbound calls, and people are asking us, 'Are you going to be there when we find opportunities?' And our question is, 'Well, are you looking for a deferment?' And we've had a couple of clients call and say, 'I'm not going to ask for anything. I'm looking at the future. I need you to stand with us.' So those are just two different ways the book is different. Our gaming book is completely different from what's happening. We think our gaming book, other than five or six small deferrals that we made on principal, we think our overall gaming book has enough liquidity to survive into the summer, which makes the conversation there a little bit different. We can take a little bit more time. We can see how the Main Street lending facility can be accessed because gaming companies could not access the PPP program. So every segment of our book has a different conversation. And that's why, if I could reiterate, Tim was very early on this. In the second or third week of January, he just stood up and said, 'Okay, we're going to have senior leaders be in charge of books of business across the entire company that have workout experience, heavy credit experience, have been through something like this, and therefore we can tailor each discussion differently.' That's what helped. For example, Robert running the hotel—Robert was born with hotel business in his veins. Why wouldn't he take that on and run with that? So we look for different strengths to match up against the portfolio. I'm sorry, that's a longer answer, but I hope it gave you some color as to how we're managing our conversations with our clients.
A
Aaron Seguinovitch41:06
Yeah, that's very helpful. I appreciate it. Thank you.
O
Operator41:14
The next question today comes from Brock Vandervliet of UBS. Please go ahead.
B
Brock Vandervliet41:22
Thanks. Good morning. A bigger picture to start: do you think this is going to be a mild or severe recession, and the scale of recessions that we've experienced in the past?
K
Kenneth Vecchione41:42
My answer keeps evolving as information evolves, and I try not to be tick by tick, but certainly more pessimistic than I was in early March, given 22.5 million people have recently filed for unemployment claims. So I think it's going to be deeper than I've ever experienced. But I think our approach was one that anticipated it was going to be longer than what people thought. We just didn't think the severity of what we're seeing was going to be that deep.
B
Brock Vandervliet42:26
And more specifically around investors' real concerns here for the hotel book, what percentage of properties would you say go bankrupt in an average recession?
K
Kenneth Vecchione42:39
So we went back and we looked at the GE—this was originally the GE business we bought from GE in 2016. So we went back and looked at their performance from 2007 to 2015. During those eight years, total losses amounted to $52 million, average charge-offs of 60 basis points, with peak losses coming in 2010 at 3.3%. They had a portfolio of about a billion dollars in size. What's important is their portfolio was completely different than the model that we constructed. Their portfolio was more of a shotgun approach. They had weak flags, we do not. They had small operators, we do not. They had weak sponsors, we do not. And they had LTVs of 75%, and our LTV, as I said earlier, are about 60%. So we have a different model than what they had, but that's our best look back to get a gauge of what may happen going forward, adjusting for the difference in our models.
T
Tim Bruckner44:02
I just want to add one thing to that. I think if you really look at our sponsorship and sophistication of investor composition, it's a lot different than that legacy portfolio as well. We really have the larger operators, the higher level of sophisticated investor. When we have these dialogues and say, 'Come on, we're solving for something here that isn't 90 days,' we have folks that understand why and how we can work together and do that. And that's going to keep the leverage down on this portfolio. How we do on that puts us in the position in the rebound that we want to be in.
B
Brock Vandervliet44:53
The debt service coverage ratios that you show on page 20, are those as of Q1 or those through April? Because clearly hotel performance has gotten worse.
K
Kenneth Vecchione45:06
Brock, we wouldn't have that information that quickly for April.
B
Brock Vandervliet45:13
Got it. Okay, all right. Thanks for the color.
O
Operator45:19
The next question today comes from Brad Milsaps of Piper Sandler. Please go ahead.
B
Brad Milsaps45:28
Hey, good morning, guys.
K
Kenneth Vecchione45:28
Morning, Brad.
B
Brad Milsaps45:28
Ken, I think you gave the stat on the tech book that 14% of the companies had cash on hand six months or less, which was pretty consistent with history. I was curious if you could give that same kind of stat for the hotel book. Obviously, I know the PPP program is having an impact there as well, but just want to get any kind of sense on a forward look on debt service coverage for that book if you could look at it in a similar way as you look at the tech book.
K
Kenneth Vecchione45:59
Well, I don't have the stat on what the collective liquidity is for the hotel book. That is one of the single most important questions we ask our clients, and we're gathering that information as we speak. They generally don't run with a lot of liquidity. However, if you are a recently opened hotel, which we have a couple, they have liquidity because they haven't had to put it on their balance sheet yet, getting ready for the opening. If you're a hotel that was building up your reserve to do a PIK, you have some of that liquidity. If you're a hotel that's been operating for a while and distributions have gone back to your investors, you have less. And therefore, we have to talk to you to go to the investors, get a capital call to come in, get some deferral. So it's a little bit different, and that's why I keep repeating: case by case, individual hotel by individual hotel, individual property throughout the whole book of business.
B
Brad Milsaps47:20
Okay. And just maybe a follow-up to follow-ups: one, how large is the gaming book? And secondly, I think at the end of last year you had about $8.5 billion of unfunded commitments in total for the whole loan portfolio. Can you talk about the potential for those to be drawn down, where you see those going, and implications of that on capital?
K
Kenneth Vecchione47:43
Let's take the easy question and then I'll flip it over to Dale for the other. The simple answer is $500 million on gaming.
D
Dale Gibbons47:49
So the most significant draw we've ever had on unfunded has been 8% of that amount, which frankly got close to where we were with this drawdown. We're not seeing any more additional draws at this time. In fact, we've had some repayment of some of those draws. So we don't see a lot of these draws. I mean, there are these commitment lines, but we don't think they would really ever be drawn down in terms of the structure behind some of these credits. So while we have these unfunded elements to them, and we did have a drawdown in March predominantly, we're not seeing anything else subsequent to that.
B
Brad Milsaps48:42
Okay, great. Thank you, guys. I'll hop back in queue.
O
Operator48:48
The next question today comes from Chris McGratty of KBW. Please go ahead.
C
Chris McGratty48:55
Great. A quick question on the balance sheet trajectory given the comments about the growth and the draws. Any thoughts on adjusting the resi mortgage strategy in light of the capital and liquidity?
K
Kenneth Vecchione49:08
The purchase of resi mortgages may be far more opportunistic right now than we've ever seen, as some of our clients are selling their mortgages at significant discounts, which will allow us to buy at higher yields than we bought in Q1. So we're going to look at that. The key—where we used to use our share repurchase opportunistically, same thing here. If we can get the right risk-reward trade-off, in fact, there are mortgages available that have better or lower LTVs, lower DTI, and higher FICO scores that are selling for much higher yields than we recently purchased at the end of 2019. So we'll look at that, and we're going to take advantage of it. I think an important thing on this program, as well as on the hotel book, is collateral. I mean, we are in strong collateral positions such that it would take considerable sustained valuation declines to ever pierce where we are in terms of risk of loss.
C
Chris McGratty50:34
Okay. And just if I could follow up, Dale, in terms of the CET1 or the tangible common equity, obviously this quarter had a big jump down just because of the growth. Where do you comfortably run those ratios in this environment over the next few quarters?
D
Dale Gibbons50:47
Well, we saw a decline in those. Now with the PPP program, that could pull down our TCE, but it really won't have an effect on CET1 because those are all 0% risk-weighted as SBA-backed. But we can see this number come down into the 8s.
C
Chris McGratty51:08
Okay. And then maybe the last one, if I could. The color on the hotel history of losses is great. Could you do a similar run-through of the tech book in terms of peak losses? I think when you didn't own it, they were kind of in a mystical digit, but blended I think there were around 2-3%. Any color would be great.
D
Dale Gibbons51:28
Your recollection is correct. I don't have those in front of me, but we'll pull them up. As you know, they're available on SNL. A lot of times I looked at it, and it was a while ago, and it wasn't for this particular situation. As I said in my prepared remarks, there was a two-times coverage of warrant income to credit losses. And as you know, credit losses come early and warrant income comes later, but when you look at it overall, the warrant income that we get has covered the cumulative credit losses.
K
Kenneth Vecchione51:59
I think it's also notable that our mix has changed since then. So now, a significant portion of our growth has been in these capital call and subscription lines. It's not something that Bridge was engaged in as a standalone enterprise, but something that we entered in as part of our risk mitigation strategy essentially last year to lend into areas that have had zero to no losses historically, not just for us but for other participants in this space. Let me give you some color as part of our review. Every Monday at my senior operating committee meeting, we set the tone for what we're going to try to accomplish that week, that month, that quarter, and so forth, depending on the circumstances. Then we run two senior loan committees on Tuesdays and Thursdays. Basically, we're not really approving senior loan packages, but we are reviewing large credits that are being worked on for modification. And Tim holds individual weekly meetings with each one of our risk segments. So we are daily talking to a segment and getting live information. On the tech and innovation segment, which is as live as I can get it, I was asking the credit officer there last night how he would describe our book of business, and the way he said it was, 'I see rating turbulence, but I don't see large losses.' So things can move around in terms of ratings, but not past due. At this point, the book is behaving well.
T
Tim Bruckner53:48
I might add one more point to that. We've seen the support from the sponsorship. We're in these transactions at a low loan-to-value with a number of rounds in front of us before we're in. So what we're seeing is, if anything takes a hit here, it's a hit on valuation before it impacts our loan. So the rounds are clearing, the funding is occurring, the valuations might be slightly lower, but the capital is still flowing in this segment, and that gives me some comfort.
C
Chris McGratty54:33
Great. Thanks for the color.
O
Operator54:37
The next question comes from Sameer Baisiwala of Morgan Stanley. Please go ahead.
S
Sameer Baisiwala54:41
Hi, good morning. Maybe for Dale first. You have indicated that you're starting to see some of the utilization come back. Is that in the technology book as well, or are those utilization rates still increasing?
D
Dale Gibbons54:59
The utilization rates are fairly stable for where we are right now on both sides, both on the tech and innovation as well as in the corporate finance area.
S
Sameer Baisiwala55:15
Okay. And of the 14% of the tech loans which have six months or less liquidity, have any of those been funded up in the last couple weeks, or was your commentary in the prepared remarks for other relationships?
D
Dale Gibbons55:30
No, they have not been funded up. We had a couple of sponsors put money into a couple projects right before the end of the quarter, which was helpful to us. But overall, that number has been relatively steady in Bridge's history. However, we are encouraged by what we're seeing away from us with sponsors completing their rounds. We actually had a credit that wasn't in any trouble in our life science group yesterday that got a substantial amount of sponsor financing. So we're not seeing the sponsor financing run away from us or run away from the industry.
S
Sameer Baisiwala56:15
Okay. And then just one more on the loan modification. It looks like at least through quarter end, the majority of it was within your Arizona and Nevada portfolios. I guess what's driving that? Is that forbearance on residential loans, or why such a high number out of those two geographies?
T
Tim Bruckner56:37
It's really the pace and cadence of those customer discussions. The discussion results in an assessment of liquidity. Liquidity necessary to bridge the trough. In some cases, that liquidity already exists. The solution, which may include some form of modification, is tailored to the liquidity gap. So it's really just the pace and cadence of those discussions.
S
Sameer Baisiwala57:08
Okay. And then last question for me for Ken. With your commentary that you're a little more pessimistic now than you were in mid-to-late March, I'm just wondering how that correlates with using the baseline Moody's assumption for allowance. Do you see another take higher for adjustment on the existing portfolio, or at this time are you still comfortable with the $30 million that was provided for the existing book?
D
Dale Gibbons57:33
I'm comfortable with the provision that we provided at quarter end based on everything we knew at that time.
K
Kenneth Vecchione57:46
Obviously, this seems to change almost by the hour in terms of what the expectations are. Since then, we've had some worse news—north of 20 million people file unemployment. We maybe got teased with some good news last night with a treatment that looks like it's going to be proved to be efficacious in the next 75 days. My guess is there's going to be a lot more news, and so we're going to reassess this at the end of June in terms of what that looks like. If we can get things back on some track upward again in terms of the economic outlook, I could see things getting better. If that's not the case, if we're still in this lockdown phase, I think we're probably looking at additional provision in the second quarter. Can't really say right now. I think what's going to be surprising to folks is that the pace of charge-offs is going to be pushed out and elongated because of the PPP program and because of the Main Street lending facility. I think investors will be surprised that there aren't heavy charge-offs coming early on. Maybe on some of the smaller businesses you would expect to see them, but on some of the larger credits, I don't see charge-offs coming until the back part of the year, if they come at that time. So add that to Dale's comment: depending on how quickly the country opens up and the speed of the pace, that will determine what we need to do as we look forward at the end of Q2.
S
Sameer Baisiwala59:43
Good commentary. Thank you.
O
Operator59:47
The next question today comes from John Ostrom of RBC Capital Markets. Please go ahead.
J
John Ostrom59:58
Thanks. Good morning, guys.
K
Kenneth Vecchione59:58
Hey, John.
J
John Ostrom59:58
Thanks for that comment, Ken. I was just going to ask about that, but maybe we'll go at it a different way. In the provision, Dale, what you're saying is if things are a little better by late June, early July, that $30 million incremental in the provision would go away for Q2? That's the right way to think about it?
D
Dale Gibbons1:00:17
Well, I wouldn't necessarily say that that $30 million would be reversed. If the outlook at the end of June is similar to what it was at the end of the first quarter, I think that there's no additional amount given for deterioration of credit conditions. So I think that holds with that $30 million. For that to be released back into income, I think we probably have to get to a further period down the road and say we actually are well on our way toward reducing our unemployment rate, bringing people back in, and so the outlook is better than what the base case for Moody's was at the end of the first quarter. And when we have which you know that has an extent of return, I think some of that really is held down through the end of 2021. If you get back to something that resembles more of a V or U instead of a lazy U or an L, I think there's a possibility that you could release that. What Ken said was we're not really expecting to experience charge-offs, and if and when they come, it will be after these periods of the PPP program, the Main Street lending program, as well as the rules allowing for certain types of restructurings that can be done in the midst of this pandemic. That's going to push out recognition of loss at least a couple of quarters.
J
John Ostrom1:01:56
That makes sense. And I'm not saying reversal, I'm just saying it doesn't show up again in Q2. The other question is on margin. It appears like you're set up reasonably well from a margin perspective. I appreciate all that disclosure, but give us an idea of some of the near-term and longer-term puts and takes. How are you thinking about the margin?
D
Dale Gibbons1:02:23
We have a lot of clients that are at their floors, we talked about that. I would say competitively at this point in time, spreads have widened out as rates came down and uncertainty rose. If that settles in, you could see that maybe some of the spreads would actually come down over time, which could put pressure on earning asset yields on a more longer-term basis. I think that assumes that things are getting better economically. If things are getting better economically, maybe the Fed is then inclined to look at where we are on the zero bound and start putting rates back up. So you could have a scenario where you actually don't see rates coming down in terms of loans generally because at the same time spreads are declining, maybe overall base rates start to rise because people are comfortable with the recovery of the economy. But those are two dynamics that I really don't know how to gauge. However, we are at the zero bound here. I don't see things getting lower. The Fed has come and said that they're against negative rates, and I think that would certainly be a mistake to go there. So you may have this kind of overall lighter compression over time, but as of right now, that's certainly not the case. On the residential side in particular, we actually have seen rates rise, and in fact, spreads in residential loans have increased in some cases and really haven't participated in terms of the rate cuts that have taken place.
J
John Ostrom1:03:54
Okay. And then Ken, maybe one more for you. You talked earlier about $1.5 billion in organic loan growth, and maybe a third of it was drawdowns. You talked a little bit about the quality of that growth. How do you think about that? It seems like still a big number for a lot of uncertainty in the economy. So maybe just bigger picture, broader talk about the quality of the growth and maybe some of the drivers of that.
K
Kenneth Vecchione1:04:25
So the loan growth was $2 billion. The credit drawdowns brought it down to what would have been $1.5 billion, which was our estimate early into the quarter when we started to see some opportunities build. Now, where that growth came from: capital call lines, an industry that has never had a loss; warehouse lending, we've had that business 11-plus years, we've never had a loss; and RISE-like financing, not only have we never had a loss, but the team that's been running that business for 35 years has never had a loss. So if you can forget about the pandemic for a second and go back to our approach in 2019, we started talking about de-risking the balance sheet. CLD was coming down, which it has, and we were upticking where you saw the uptake in our residential book of business, our warehouse funding, our capital call lines, and RISE financing. So those businesses are zero or very low risk loss businesses. I would expect the volume for Q2 to match what we did in Q1 on an organic basis, but I would expect the growth to come in those business segments that I just mentioned.
J
John Ostrom1:05:54
All right. Thanks a lot, guys. Appreciate it.
O
Operator1:05:59
The next question today comes from Tyler Stafford of Stephens. Please go ahead.
T
Tyler Stafford1:06:06
Hey, good morning, guys. Maybe just to start on that last question there or last comment, Ken, can you talk about the balance sheet growth expectations this year? Obviously a strong start here in the first quarter. You mentioned some of the drawdowns on the lines, but just how do you actually think about both loan and deposit growth for the remainder of the year relative to that prior kind of $600 to $800 million range? Thanks.
K
Kenneth Vecchione1:06:31
I'm not going to put a number out there. There are just so many moving factors. I have a little more visibility around Q2. I think I would plan, absent the PPP loan portfolio, I think I would plan on the lower end of that range: $500 to $600 million on deposits, $500 to $600 million on loans. And if we surprise to the upside, then great. We put in on the deposit side a number of different programs that we hoped could be successful, or maybe take some market share from our peer group. We'll see if we can make that happen for the rest of the year. But I think towards the lower end of that range would be the right thing to do. And don't forget, when we spike in Q2 and have some of that spike hold on to Q3 because of the PPP loans, they're going to just fall away towards the back half of the year.
T
Tyler Stafford1:07:38
Fair enough. Fully recognized there's lots of moving parts. Thanks. The rest of my questions have been asked.
O
Operator1:07:46
The next question today comes from David Chiaverini of Wedbush Securities. Please go ahead.
D
David Chiaverini1:07:54
Hi. I want to follow up on the hotel book. You mentioned that loan modifications are going through at the end of the year. Hypothetically, if hotels remain empty until a vaccine is developed, which could be 12 to 18 months from now, at what point and under what scenario would you move to foreclose on a hotel property?
K
Kenneth Vecchione1:08:15
David, if it came across as the end of the year, I meant the end of the quarter or during the second quarter. What we're looking for are solutions that combine capital contribution from the borrower with our ability to give them a deferral or some relief in a modification that takes this beyond three months, beyond six months. We see a lot of other competitors just handing out three-month deferrals and saying, 'Let's address this again in June or July.' We're not doing that. We're trying to bridge to a longer timeline in terms of what this looks like. These borrowers have obligations, and we're going to be able to give them some relief, but a lot of them have considerable resources to draw upon. Is there a situation whereby some of them become very stressed and we see migration down to special mention, down to substandard? I think that's certainly the case. What is it going to take for us to foreclose on one? We have a value, we have our shareholders that we need to respond to, and we're going to be accountable to that. That's why the loan-to-value is so important here. If somebody doesn't want to be able to continue or has to throw in the keys, as long as hotels overall haven't fallen by more than 40% of original value, we probably have very nominal risk of loss because of where we are on the strong LTV.
D
David Chiaverini1:10:00
That's helpful. Thanks for that. And then shifting gears, you mentioned about how the Main Street lending program should benefit some of your larger customers. I was wondering, will you be able to swap out your existing loans for the new loan under the facility and essentially transfer the risk to the government?
K
Kenneth Vecchione1:10:14
No, the program doesn't allow for that. When you issue a Main Street lending program loan, it has to be a new disbursement. It can't pay off something that's already outstanding.
D
David Chiaverini1:10:32
Okay. And do you believe the program is big enough to make a difference? Because looking at the SBA PPP program, those funds were exhausted fairly quickly.
K
Kenneth Vecchione1:10:40
Well, they were exhausted fairly quickly, and I guess it remains to be seen whether they're going to reauthorize that for another $250 billion. I'm not sure that the process for the Main Street lending program is going to be as complicated a pathway as it is to the Federal Reserve. You don't have to have two different parties from opposite ends of the political spectrum unite on something and agree. You have to get the FOMC, the Governors of the Federal Reserve System, to agree on this. So I don't know. I think it remains to be seen what that demand is. They put it out there at $600 billion; that seems like it's got some room to go. It obviously goes to much larger enterprises—$2.5 billion revenue, 10,000 employees. So we'll see about what that looks like. But I haven't heard anything about that. I think they want to get it going and see what the demand is before they go on from there. But again, we expect to be early. We were early in the PPP. We've got $1.5 billion. If you look at the proportion of what we did in PPP relative to our size to the overall banking community in the country, we had a much higher penetration than most institutions.
D
David Chiaverini1:11:52
And the last one for me. In the slide deck, you mentioned about 82% of the variable rate loans with floors are at those floors. Can you remind us what the average life or average stated maturity of those loans is?
D
Dale Gibbons1:12:06
The average life of our loan book is just under four years, and it's going to track pretty closely with that.
D
David Chiaverini1:12:11
Thanks very much.
O
Operator1:12:17
The next question today comes from Gary Tenner of D.A. Davidson. Please go ahead.
G
Gary Tenner1:12:24
Hey, thanks. Good morning, guys. I wanted to ask a technical question on the PPP. Dale, I think you mentioned that as those get funded, they'll be on the balance sheet for up to six months. I thought the timeline for when the bank or borrower could apply to have the loan forgiven was about seven weeks. Is there something different there?
D
Dale Gibbons1:12:46
Let me clarify a little bit. You would obtain a PPP loan, and the portion of that that is forgivable—i.e., that's used to cover employee compensation, certain elements of rent and other basic expenses—that's the part that can be forgiven by the SBA. That is going to be a shorter timeline. The actual PPP loans themselves are two years. So what we see is, somebody gets a loan for X amount. What is the usage? About two-thirds of the amount used for these loans has been for something that should be ultimately forgivable because those funds are going to be used to support those particular items identified in the legislation. The remaining third is something that isn't forgivable, and so that's going to be more of a term structure for two years.
G
Gary Tenner1:13:41
Okay, thanks. And the fees on that, you'll be recognizing them as income or is that what? Obviously, it'll go through spread income and it'll be front-end loaded because of the odd nature of how these loans are going to amortize with payment forgiveness and then the borrower responsible for the rest, right? So it would artificially inflate the margin in the second quarter and then have a lesser impact as it gets paid off beyond that.
D
Dale Gibbons1:14:04
Yes, that's correct.
G
Gary Tenner1:14:10
Okay. And then just a follow-up in terms of the paydowns. Ken, I think you mentioned some paydowns from those loans that were drawn in March. You've seen some repayment. Can you maybe quantify what you've seen in terms of the repayments on some of those lines?
D
Dale Gibbons1:14:30
It's been modest. What I meant to say is we're not seeing additional draws of any significance, and there's been some modest payments. It seems to have stabilized. And that echoes what I'm hearing from other institutions. I think the Fed made a particular comment about this. But if you look at where these corporate finance loans are, the indicator is JP Morgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo—it's larger institutions. And I think what we're seeing really mirrors what they're talking about.
G
Gary Tenner1:15:11
Thanks.
O
Operator1:15:11
The next question comes from Michael Young of SunTrust Robinson Humphrey. Please go ahead.
M
Michael Young1:15:20
Hey, thanks for taking the question. Maybe just to follow up, Ken, on your comments about net charge-offs and when they'd be realized. I guess maybe in particular, could you just talk about high level where you think those will come from at this point? It sounds like maybe you don't expect as much from hotel given the collateral base there, but would it be more tech and life sciences businesses with less collateral base, or some of the C&I categories, in particular shared national credits or anything like that that maybe we're not seeing or focusing on right now?
K
Kenneth Vecchione1:15:53
I think I took a little bit of a step out there saying I just think charge-offs will be a little bit later. My crystal ball isn't as clear to say which group it is. We are going to have charge-offs, and I don't feel comfortable really putting that out there at this time. I just don't. Things are changing so quickly that I would clearly be wrong, and I'd rather hold back my intuitive feel on that. But I do feel generally that charge-offs will come later in the year and not as early as people think.
M
Michael Young1:16:33
Okay. And then maybe just on the shared national credit book. I think that was a strategy that you guys had pursued on a small basis, and maybe it got to about a billion in outstanding at one point. Can you just tell us the balance at this point and anything that we should be looking at there in terms of mitigating factors?
D
Dale Gibbons1:16:48
We're probably at about a billion. Most of the draws that have come down have come down in SNCs. And as we've talked about in the past, this is a low investment grade portfolio. The indicators are, as I just mentioned, the large banking companies that we participated in. We've at times tried to do so that we can augment our ability to push for deposits from some of these enterprises that are in our markets, and so we've taken a little piece of them.
M
Michael Young1:17:31
Okay. And then maybe just last one for me. Just on expenses, obviously a pretty even step down this quarter, unrelated to lower comp expectations. But is that kind of a new run rate that we should base growth off of from here, or are there any other factors that may have shifted meaningfully with everyone working from home, etc.?
D
Dale Gibbons1:17:52
I think we're on a lower trajectory from where we were with this step down. We're continuing to do the necessary investments in technology to make sure our platform continues to support what we're doing today, which is basically executing on our business resumption continuity programs.
M
Michael Young1:18:19
Okay, that's all for me. Thanks.
K
Kenneth Vecchione1:18:27
Okay, well, it looks like we've exhausted all the questions. So we ran longer. We thank you for spending time with us. We look forward to talking to you again, and we wish you a good weekend, health, and safety out there for everyone. We'll be in touch. Thank you all.
O
Operator1:18:49
The conference is now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.