Mikael Bratt5:18
Thank you, Anders, and a warm welcome from my side as well, both to you here in the room and also for all of you those of you that are on our webcast and our phone connections here. So it's a great pleasure to give you an update on our journey towards our midterm targets, and I will start off here with just a brief overview on how we are progressing, and then as Anders laid out here, we will have deep dives throughout the day here from the respective team members here. So let's start here and now and talk about 2023. And as you have seen, we have reconfirmed our guidance for this year across the board here, both when it comes to our opportunity to have a strong organic growth for the year, and here we're talking about 15% on top of LVP growth of around 3%, so an outperformance then of 12% for the year. We have also talked about a range when it comes to our adjusted operating margin, around 8.5% to 9%, with a gradual improvement quarter over quarter throughout the year here, and then an operating cash flow of around $900 million. And this of course is a stepping stone towards our midterm targets, and also here we have reconfirmed that we are, with all the activities we are doing and also the short-term mitigation to offset the headwinds we have been faced over the last couple of years here, heading towards our midterm targets here. So we are reconfirming those as well here today. And here we see the light vehicle production plus the four percentage points that we have talked about up to 2024, and we are looking at adjusted operating margin around 12%, cash conversion 80% or higher, and we have continued focus on a strong balance sheet where we have a leverage ratio of over time of one time. We will of course come back to these different buckets throughout the day here, how we are addressing this. You saw last week our announcement here where we are taking proactive steps towards our midterm targets here and also in line with our strategic roadmaps that we have laid out since a few years back. And what we addressed here in the structural cost reduction, here we are talking about the headcount reduction with the 2,000 positions within our indirect workforce, and you could translate that into the white collar community, and then another 6,000 within the blue collar environment, the indirect workforce. So all in all, 11% of our current workforce when we look at the indirect. We are of course addressing across the board here, so all levels of the organization are in focus here, and we are emphasizing really to identify new structured ways of working here to continue to flatten the organization, making sure that we reduce the non-added value in order to focus on the added value, meaning individuals that are in positions touching the products, the customers, and our deliverables to secure our customer commitments here. We are also focusing on reducing number of sites, and as you saw in the press release here, we are also emphasizing the European footprint here, and the reason for that is basically that that's where we see that we have bigger opportunities as we have the legacy footprint that needs to take into the next level here of efficiency. And we are, we don't leave any stones untouched here as well, so it's really a global approach, but we'll come back to that in the presentation as well. So the path forward is very clear for us. We are holding on to what we have talked about before here in terms of our ambitions to reach our midterm targets. We are holding on to the activities that we have identified as enablers to get there, and we are also taking in further steps here as we need to manage the short-term headwinds that we see in the industry here. We are also seeing great opportunities to continue to develop our business here, and so the future mobility that is our addressable market today provides a lot of interesting opportunities when it comes to widening the scope of addressable markets. And we have talked to you in the past about the adjacent opportunities, here visualized by the two-wheelers, but today we will not focus so much on that. We will have maybe a little bit shorter perspective in time, but that in itself provides a lot of interesting opportunities here. And here we see new ratings and regulations driving content per vehicle. We see the need for new innovations to answer to the requirements coming from the electrification of our industry as well as potential autonomous vehicles here as we see that growing further down the road. But already today, the thinking around autonomous vehicles and the future layouts in the vehicles is already here to launch, extend, and that I'm really excited about to show you here today, both through the presentations from Cecilia and Jordi, but also later on in the tech show here. So despite the headwinds we have seen over the last couple of years, we see that we have continued to strengthen our position, and we have a strong position as we move forward here. And I think it's no news for you here, the different headwinds we have faced as an industry, and of course I would say it was all triggered by the pandemic in early 2020. We have unfortunately faced war in Ukraine also affecting lately here the value chains in '22 and onwards, and of course we also have faced a number of different natural disasters in terms of severe weather, everything from the ice storms in Texas affecting the semiconductor supply to the typhoon in Philippines affecting our own ability when it comes to deliver steering wheels from our plant in the Philippines. And plenty of disruptions then resulting from different phenomena on the supply chain during the last couple of years. And this has translated into component shortage, I would say primarily described through the semiconductor situation, where a number of initiatives have been made to offset this, everything from redesign to working with resourcing and different types of allocations. So not short of headwinds in the last couple of years here. Despite this, we have been able to deliver off our strong order book, and we have outperformed the light vehicle production throughout the whole period here, and we have gained market shares. In 2018 when we started this journey, we were around 40% market share. Last year we reported a 43% market share, so we have gradually moved up, and as we also have said and still valid, is that we're heading towards around 45%. And we also have gone through, and are still working on, price negotiations with our customers. 2022 was very much around raw materials. Today it's the broader scope when it comes to other inflationary consequences, I would say, which we are discussing with our customers here. Of course, this volatile period has been shown in our financial numbers. We see already in 2019 the effects of the volatility coming from the WLTP changes in Europe. We also had social unrest in Mexico here. And then of course in 2020, the pandemic put the whole industry at a standstill in the second quarter of 2020. We saw a strong comeback towards the second half of 2020 and the beginning of 2021, and then we've started to see the consequences of the component shortages, increased volatility, etc. But I think what the good news here is that the team has managed through in a good way, securing the value chain, and we can also see that we have worked hard to offset the negative consequences of this, and we see here that we have been able to protect our industry-leading margin position here, as you can see to the right here. The main consequences of this last couple of years is really a significant lower light vehicle production globally compared to where we were in 2019, and looking forward, and also I would say in 2021 and looking forward, we had very different scenarios to what we actually are looking at today. So I would say here we are looking at the difference between 7 to 10 million vehicles on an annual basis here compared to regular trend. Of course, the inflationary cost pressure is visualized here by the steel curve, but I think the magnitude and the breadth of the inflation impact is seen across the board in all the different categories we are talking about here, but the most challenging, I would say really short-term challenge, is the volatility. And you see here from the graph, and Magnus will come back to this later in his presentation, but the significance of the volatility and the impact it has to run an operation effectively is quite significant here. What it says here is that before the pandemic, we had around 98% pickup rate compared to what the expected volume was, and plus/minus two percentage points deviation. You could see during the 2020-22 here, we went down to 82% of what was requested actually were picked up, but within this we had up to 50% volatility between the short-term periods here. So one week we could get the call on the Thursday saying that next week we don't need anything because our plant is standing still, and the call came from the customer, but the following week when we expect to restock, we need 50% more than what was originally planned. So that tells you a little bit about the volatility seen in the call-offs and which we need to make sure that we could deliver upon effectively. So what have we done during this time period here? Of course, to secure the value chain, making sure that we could deliver to our customers what they expected to get from us, so the customer commitment in being a reliable supplier is critical for us. So all hands on deck from the whole team here to secure the customer's delivery even though the very volatile situation. Of course, our strategic roadmaps here we have held on to, and we have continued to drive digitalization and optimization in order to secure the productivity over time here and utilize the new technology. We have continued with footprint optimization, and here we have worked with optimization both in terms of making it more effective and efficient, but also securing capacity for the future growth that we see in our order books here. And we have worked hard on the capital efficiency program that we talked to you in 2021 at the Capital Markets Day there, and Frederick will also come back and give you some details around that. And of course, the price negotiations has been critical. But we are not stopping here. We are continuing with what we already are doing, but we are also actively continuing to address our cost base, and what I talked about before with the initiatives that we are building into our operations here that was announced last week, so further optimization and further cost reduction in our agenda here. So looking forward, we see here continued potential to growth, and that is because we are working hard to make sure that we have products for the future, and we are seeing also that we are filling our order books to secure the market share that we are gradually growing into. And we see that we have a very strong position with the new EV platforms, and we see that our order intake is representing our market share position. So when we add it all up in the portfolio, we see actually that is slightly stronger than what we have on the total portfolio today, so around the 45% when we look at the order intake here, so significant jump also up from previous year here. We also see that our portfolio, which is I would say very diversified both across the different regions, the different geographies, but also through the different customer bases here, and when we look at the newer OEMs coming up, especially focusing on the EV platforms, we are well represented there, and we can also see that there the portion of newer OEMs representing a higher portion of our order intake last year actually jumped up to 30% from previously 12% of the order intake, so very, very interesting development there, and we are well positioned for a transition which the industry is in. And talking about OEMs and our customers here, we have showed you before where our market share within the respective customers are, and we quite frequently get the question, okay, is there any specific percentage points that is difficult to get to or you can't get to? And I think we can see here that in 2022, we also were seeing significant market share within the top 15 OEMs that we have in our customer portfolio. So you'll see the percentage points here in 2022, and if we look on how this is translating into 2024, you can see here that we are strengthening the position towards the upper end of this scale. So what is all about this? Of course, to deliver on the customer commitments, meaning quality needs to be, we need to deliver superior quality to our customers. We need to make sure that we are a robust supplier when it comes to delivering on our projects leading up to the SOP date of the customer, and then of course in our daily deliveries as I mentioned before, making sure that we fulfill that the order book has all the volumes that has been given, and of course also be price competitive. And I think this shows that we are doing our job in that regard. But with that said, we are not leaning back here. We are really leaning forward here, making sure that we have new innovative products at the cost-effective price from the OEM's perspective and the robustness in our deliveries. So when we look at the sales increases going forward, what are the organic growth I should say? We have talked then about the light vehicle production plus 4% leading up to 2024, and when we look at the first years in that period here, '21 to '22, '22 to '23, we have been above that. And of course here we also have the price increases included, but also if you exclude the price increases, we see here that we have a good traction to over deliver on these targets. And we also see that content in the vehicles, but also our addressable market here, has a great opportunity to grow. And this is just an overview of ratings and regulations coming into play in the next couple of years, and Cecilia will take you through this in greater detail later on. But what it says here is really, which I just would like to highlight here, it is very important that the vulnerable road users that we are addressing and have been emphasizing on since we met at the Capital Markets Day in 2019 is also becoming very visible here from a society point of view. It is for example both in Europe where vulnerable road users and protection for cyclists is on the map, to also higher requirements in China, for example, looking at India also a market that is growing rapidly on the airbag side, for example. And here you know that we have also invested in more capacity to meet this current demand but also future demand. So a lot of emphasis from the Indian government here to make traffic safer in their country. But also in the mature markets, here we see a constant evolution where we need to have more sophisticated products in our vehicles, but also we see additional functionalities coming in. We haven't talked about the four side airbags for example in the last couple of years here as one example, and that is really getting traction. Also the more personalized safety solutions on the seat belt side is one area where we now can consider height, weight, age, gender, for example, in the solutions going forward. So a lot of exciting development in this area. And this in combination with the industry trends where we're talking about connectivity, sustainability, EVs, and autonomous as I mentioned before, driven both by regulations but also as the markets are growing in terms of economic capabilities. And we have talked to you about in the past about how the economic wealth in a country also correlates well with the development of new components. And for us, it's all about making sure that we have the right products for our customers meeting these trends that we see happening here. And you see some examples down here at the bottom end of the slide, but you will see it more in detail later on, so I will not dive into any details here and now. Of course, the margin progression more again towards our midterm targets is critical here, and we are working broadly on that, and a lot of things are happening when it comes to optimizing our capacity across the globe here. And Magnus within his presentation will talk to you more about the different steps that we are making. But as you can see from this slide, we have added capacity in Mexico for our steering wheel operation as we're growing. We have India here as one example with also additional capacity, talking about the airbags I did before. And we are investing in Vietnam for more textiles capacity. But at the same time, we're also optimizing our footprint in Japan, and we're making significant investment there to get closer to the customer. So we are closing one plant and building a new one to have the right type of processes close to the customers for it as one example. And of course we are also working very much with getting from high cost to best cost countries when it comes to, for example, our engineering capacity. So a lot of things going on when it comes to the geographical footprint. Automation, digitalization, as I mentioned before, we are holding on to the strategic roadmaps laid out in 2019, making progress, and you will see later on also here how our coverage or utilizing this new technology inside our own processes here is increasing. And you can see from this chart here also the direct labor efficiency moving in the right direction. Of course, we would like to have seen a little bit higher number, but the volatility I talked about before and the significant lower volumes here is of course putting its mark on this, but we are clearly moving in the right direction. And as we get stability, we expect to see significant leverage coming from that. So in summary, looking at the financials here, adding up the headwinds that we have had and the consequences in our P&L coming from that is well matched with short-term activity as well as our activities on our strategic roadmaps. That is healing that position, and Frederick will also give you the bridge from where we are today to our targets later on. And our focus here is to be a shareholder-friendly company, as you know. And as such, we are focusing a lot on making sure that we can and will return liquidity to our shareholders through the different levers that we have, and that is mainly the direct dividend as well as with buybacks. And as you can see from this chart, we have throughout the last five years here returned more than $1 billion US dollars, and we have then restored our balance sheet so we are well within the range again. And I would say here, great job done in terms of being capital efficient so we can maintain this. So our focus here of course is to maintain a conservative view on our balance sheet because we think that is a very, very important foundation for our future ability to generate shareholder value. So in short, our building blocks are in place for our journey going forward. Of course, a very important foundation of all this is a stable global light vehicle production, and here we have also said in the past at least 85 million vehicles. We are also seeing price compensation as a very important part of the foundation, and here we are making progress, and we made progress last year when it comes to raw material. This year, as I said, is about the broader perspective of inflation here, so labor, freight, energy. So then it's our strategic roadmap initiatives we talk about: footprint, structural initiatives, optimization, digitalization. And with the growth and the outperforming we're expecting to see here, that should take us all the way to the 12% operating margin, but we will come back to the details throughout the day here. And I will end here now, and we'll be getting back here at the Q&A and for the closing remarks later on. So I hope you enjoyed the day here and looking forward to taking any questions later on today here. Thank you.