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John Ketchum
President, CEO & Chairman, NextEra Energy

$NEE NextEra Energy Investor Day 2025

📅 Jan 28, 2026 EARNMOAR 171 MIN 211 SEGMENTS · 18 SPEAKERS
12/08/2025 NextEra Energy, Inc., through its subsidiaries, generates, transmits, distributes, and sells electric power to retail and ...

Questions asked in this interview

12
  1. 1:29:01Remember that optimal piece of land?
  2. 2:07:01So just maybe how do we think about that?
  3. 2:16:12What could that 8% plus look like?
  4. 2:22:26How much of that is embedded in the 90 to 100 billion of capex that you laid out today and how much would sort of be upside?
  5. 2:25:26And then on terms of your dividend policy as you look out beyond the forecast time horizon, are you assuming that that growth rate continues to be less than the EPS growth rate?
  6. 2:28:20... to this all the above kind of energy approach but just are there, is this about just selling down stakes in existing projects like many renewable developers do or are there specific businesses that you're targeting to kind of get out of?
  7. 2:31:10Why pose it as sort of two phases even though it's the same number?
  8. 2:38:03And do you guys then have kind of a preferential treatment because you're able to deploy things quickly and they're able to capture the LTSA agreement?
  9. 2:39:59Is this going to be more traditional where you're just supplying the power generation or are you involved on the data center side at all and any more color on just timeline for when it could come online and when it could be more formalized?
  10. 2:44:57What strategies are you using to hedge that out over the long term?
  11. 2:45:21Yeah, listen, we're looking at toll-type structures, right?
  12. 2:46:41Same way we're going to if we see someone who wants to, who is a better owner of some of our assets and that's accretive to what we're trying to achieve, we're going to do that, too. Right?
Narrator 0:01 ↗
For the last 100 years, NextEra Energy has been leading America's energy transformation. We've been innovating, building, and leading the way forward. Today, we're entering a golden age of power demand. Data centers and electrification and new industries are driving unprecedented growth. And no one is better positioned to meet that challenge because there's no one else who can do what we do. Our playing field is all 50 states and we have many ways to win. At Florida Power and Light, we are building and operating the nation's largest electric utility. We operate America's largest gas-fired generation fleet. We're the world leader in renewables, the world leader in energy storage. We operate one of America's largest nuclear fleets. We have America's largest transmission and distribution system. We co-developed the last multi-state natural gas pipeline in the US. We're powering America's technology infrastructure. We are the industry leader in data, AI, and technology. We have a customer supply business that gives us unique market insights into power and gas. We can deliver the right solution for every customer, everywhere, reliably, affordably, and quickly. No other company can say that. As America enters this golden age of power demand, NextEra Energy is ready to lead. There's literally no one else who can do what we do on a national scale. And as proud as I am about what we've built over the last 100 years, I'm even more excited about what's ahead because we're just getting started.
Mark Idleman 1:49 ↗
Please welcome to the stage Director of Investor Relations, Mark Idleman. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that today's presentations will include forward-looking statements and references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the cautionary statements and risk factors as well as the non-GAAP reconciliations including the appendix of today's materials and in our recent SEC filings. After John's opening remarks, Scott Bores will lead our discussion of FPL. We'll then take a short 15-minute break. Following the break, you will hear from Brian Bolster of Energy Resources and then Mike Dun will provide an overview of our financial outlook. Our full executive team will then be available to answer your questions. Now, let's begin.
Narrator 2:45 ↗
They put their shoulders to it, brought backs and hard, squaring off against whatever comes next. They defied the law of gravity and went faster and farther than any one of them had ever imagined. They learned what it takes to power a dream. Someone before them had discovered America, but they discovered what it means to be an American. And the thing about discovery, it has a beginning, but no end. The next era belongs to those who discover again what it means to be an American. Those who have the resourcefulness, the ingenuity, and the grit to ensure the next energy to power our dreams will be American energy. This is our era. This is America's energy era.
Mark Idleman 3:43 ↗
Please welcome to the stage Chairman and CEO of NextEra Energy, John Ketchum.
John Ketchum 3:54 ↗
All right. Thank you, Mark. And good morning everyone. We are thrilled to be in New York during an unprecedented time in the energy sector. There is so much to share with you today. Let me start with why NextEra Energy is positioned to win in this environment. We're the world's largest power company. We're America's only all forms of energy infrastructure company with a national footprint. Nobody has our scale. Nobody has our scope. And nobody has our track record of execution and the balance sheet to build all forms of energy at scale. You name it, we develop it, build it, and operate it better than anyone in America, including gas generation, nuclear, electric transmission, gas pipelines, and of course, renewables and storage. I don't say this to boast. I say it because this country is at an inflection point. America needs affordable and reliable power now and require all forms of power generation to get us there. The stakes couldn't be higher.
Most of you know NextEra Energy well. We are anchored by two world-class businesses: the nation's largest rate-regulated utility and the nation's largest developer and builder of energy infrastructure. We are built to win in any environment, focused on building what our customers need when and where they need it. We're a big developer. We're a big builder and we do it all, which is exactly what America needs to be dominant in energy and meet power demand today. We've also done the work securing land and transmission interconnection positions while mitigating permitting risks, leveraging the scale and strength of our robust global supply chain to navigate trade policy and secure equipment at what we believe are the best prices. Our customer supply business gives us market knowledge and unmatched expertise in power and gas markets. We use next-generation AI tools to cut through complexity and provide our customers with tailor-made solutions. In many cases, we know their system better than they do. I'm not just saying that. Google put their stamp on it. As you'll see today, we're teaming up with them to launch an AI partnership across our sector, which I believe will be nothing short of transformational for our company and the power sector. Bottom line, when you've done what we've done for decades, you accumulate something that can't be acquired. It takes scale, skills, and a wide scope of capabilities across the energy value chain to meet the complex needs and create ready-now power solutions for our customers. Simply put, there's no company better positioned to capitalize on this golden age of power demand. And that's what I'm so excited to talk to you about today.
When I'm done, you should be left with four key takeaways. Takeaway number one: the large load marketplace is quickly evolving. Let me walk you through it. Recontracting with existing merchant assets is getting more difficult due to affordability concerns. We are seeing this play out in PJM right now. It's a similar story for utilities. That's because much of their excess generation is now spoken for and building new generation can prompt affordability concerns absent a well-structured large load tariff. That's why we think more of the opportunity will be where the market is quickly moving to, and that's bring your own generation, or BYOG as we like to call it, and it makes sense given affordability concerns. Hyperscalers can solve that problem by bringing and paying for their own power generation and infrastructure. That could be through a well-structured large load tariff, a power purchase agreement, or a behind-the-meter solution. It can also result in new generation coming online even quicker with an experienced partner. We are positioning our company around BYOG and we are uniquely positioned to win here. Energy Resources is doing this throughout the US, working across markets with both hyperscalers and utilities, municipalities, and cooperatives to build new generation in their service territories. And we are working on behind-the-meter solutions that come with front-of-the-meter optionality over time. Our renewables and storage portfolio provides us with a speed-to-market solution to get the initial phase of a data center off the ground and built. We can then follow that up with new gas-fired generation. A good example of BYOG is Duane Arnold, where Google entered into a power purchase agreement with us to recommission the plant in CIPCO's service territory. Google is paying for the plant so Iowa customers don't have to, and that also brings significant jobs and economic growth to that region. Basin, which I'll talk a little bit about later this morning, Brian will as well, is another example where a hyperscaler is expected to support the commissioning of a new gas plant. NextEra Energy is the ideal partner for both hyperscalers and utilities, municipalities, and co-ops for BYOG. And given our deep, long-standing relationships with all three, we are in a terrific position to deliver for them. We bring the skills, supply chain, construction expertise, a balance sheet that no one else in this industry can match.
Takeaway number two: gas-fired generation will play a large role in BYOG and addressing the demands of large load customers, and we are making excellent progress in our development efforts here. Our gas generation pipeline has now eclipsed 20 gigawatts. We have a new origination channel for large loads. We call it data center hubs, which we expect to largely support our gas-fired build forecast. I'll talk more about that in a few minutes. We recently secured gas turbine slots with GE Vernova totaling 4 gigawatts as we advance our gas build. We have several announcements today that highlight our progress in gas generation. If ultimately successful, these announcements alone could satisfy our gas generation build assumptions of 4 to 8 gigawatts through 2032 and contribute to our target through 2035. We have a lot of experience building gas-fired generation. In fact, no one has built more gas-fired generation in this country over the last 20 years than NextEra Energy. And nobody has a development platform quite like ours, a platform that transcends all technologies.
Takeaway number three: we are America's quintessential all forms of energy company. There's simply no one else positioned better to do what we do in every part of the country, with every technology, in every part of the energy value chain, with our unmatched development platform and operating expertise. Not to mention the balance sheet required to back it up. We have the development platform, the supply chain, and the skills, scale, and scope to meet the needs of just about any customer.
Takeaway number four: we have a very strong financial outlook backed by our two world-class businesses. We normally only provide financial expectations four years out. Not this time. We have 10 years of financial visibility. We expect to grow adjusted EPS at 8% plus through 2032 and are targeting the same from 2033 through 2035. All off a 2025 base. That's because we have more than a dozen ways to grow. Almost all of our cash flows come from regulated and long-term contracted investments at premium returns. This provides diversification, visibility, and what we believe is one of the best risk-adjusted investor value propositions not only this decade but the next. Let me say we didn't arrive at this conclusion lightly. We have spent significant time on our 10-year forecast and feel very good about what we're going to share with you today. In fact, we will very clearly and concisely lay out our assumptions. And as you will see, they are very consistent with the performance we've had over the last 10 years. At the conclusion of our presentation, Michael will walk you through the building blocks that underpin our financial assumptions through 2032, which have been painstakingly built up bottoms-up after detailed review, reflecting our experience across markets with each technology. Our strategy is simple and straightforward. It fits on one page and we have more than 12 ways to grow and the entirety of America is our playing field. I'll be making some new announcements today, proof points so to speak, to make all this very tangible as we're already making terrific progress against our plan. There's no company quite like NextEra Energy. There's no better team in the industry and there's never been an opportunity quite like this and we are ready to seize it and I couldn't be more excited to tell our story.
We're in a golden age of power demand and NextEra Energy is leading the way. We're doing it as builders. Not a day goes by when we're not building energy infrastructure somewhere in this country. And it's going to take a builder to get this done. I'm not telling you anything you don't already know. America needs more electrons. New electrons can't get on the grid fast enough. Demand for new electricity in this country over the next two decades is forecasted to be six times higher than the previous two decades. Hyperscalers will tell you this is their biggest issue in building new data centers. Without more electricity, America can't win the global AI race. All that said, here's the reality. Data centers and AI grab all the headlines, but hyperscalers are competing for new electrons. That's because demand for electricity is coming from across the US economy. Demand is coming from the residential sector and commercial and industrial customers as well as we re-domesticate manufacturing back into the United States. About a fifth of demand is coming from the transportation sector. Importantly, this isn't power demand that's coming someday. Power demand is here today and we don't see it slowing down anytime soon. Simply put, America needs all forms of energy from renewables and storage to gas and advanced nuclear. In fact, ICF projects more than 500 gigawatts nameplate capacity is needed on the grid by 2032. That's a 60% increase over the next seven years compared to the prior seven. And we believe there's no margin for error. Many regions of the country are projected to be dealing with capacity deficits as we approach the back half of the decade. Even when you factor in plans for more generation, here's what matters. If all these projections are right or even somewhat right, there is no time to waste. The moment to build new power infrastructure in this country is here right now. America needs all forms of energy. It's not an either-or proposition. Here's how we approach it. We build what our customers want. We're clear-eyed with them about what technology is available right now and what needs more time. We also show them what technology is available and at what price point it comes at. We're finding customers are combining all forms of energy, renewables and storage to meet immediate demands today and next decade as these technologies will still be competitive, and then other technologies like gas-fired generation and potentially nuclear down the road when they're ready. In fact, this is at the core of how we serve hyperscalers, building side by side with them as they grow. Here's what's important. We believe that competing for new data centers is all about building new electrons, not trading around existing assets. We believe this is the future of our business. And we're the only company that can do this on a national scale right now. This is complex for customers. That may be confusing. That's where our AI tools come in. And here's exactly what we show our customers.
Narrator 18:38 ↗
In today's complex energy ecosystem, with multiple sites and asset types, disparate data sources and utility bills, local regulations, tariffs, and variations in market prices, businesses are finding it difficult to generate a comprehensive view of energy, making it challenging to make real progress against the significant demand. NextEra 360 comprehensive energy management software was created to address these very challenges. NextEra 360 uses a combination of hardware and software solutions with AI-powered and machine learning technology to deliver the energy our nation needs. With over 15 years of experience in energy optimization, data science, forecasting, and analytics, we analyze more than 500 billion data points daily with more than $200 billion in total assets. With NextEra 360, we bring that experience, the intelligence, and the tools to customers all across America to build the right energy infrastructure in the right place at the right time.
John Ketchum 19:47 ↗
I'm going to talk to you much more about how we're using technology across the country. Many of you have seen our AI tools in action during our development days in Florida. Simply put, we cut through all the market complexities so customers don't have to. This is not some data set that you can just buy off the shelf. It's massive. We're collecting more than 500 billion pieces of data a day, accumulated over decades of developing, building, and operating projects. And we have used this data to design a number of tools beyond 360, including TerraGrid and Ratify. Truly, to say this is remarkable would be an understatement. It has completely changed how we originate and absolutely blows customers away. When you put it all together, it's easy to see why NextEra Energy is the industry leader.
NextEra Energy is America's leading energy infrastructure company. No one invests more in American energy infrastructure than we do. We develop and we build new power generation, gas pipelines, and electric transmission. We are powered by two world-class businesses, Florida Power and Light Company and NextEra Energy Resources. FPL is the nation's largest rate-regulated utility and offers what I believe is the best value proposition of any utility in America. NextEra Energy Resources is America's largest energy infrastructure developer. We build regulated linear infrastructure through electric and gas transmission and we build generation and deliver that power through long-term contracts. The opportunity set for Energy Resources is enormous. Our ability to be both nimble and fast while solving complex problems with affordable positions is what positions us to win. For us, our opportunities are not limited to a single service territory. That's because we serve America. We do business in 49 states, all but Alaska. We work in competitive states. We work with municipal utilities and cooperatives, which, as you can see, take up a gigantic geographical footprint from coast to coast. We have really strong relationships with munis and co-ops, many of whom have not had to build for growth in a very long time and value our skills, our capabilities, and our balance sheet, making us the perfect partner. We also work with investor-owned utilities across the country with whom we have very deep relationships. It's why when you look at where we have infrastructure, you'll see it's practically everywhere. No matter what the market, no matter the customer, we have what it takes to build energy infrastructure, get electrons on the grid, and move them around the country to serve new load.
Importantly, FPL and Energy Resources leverage a shared platform, creating an unmatched competitive advantage. Just look at how extensive this platform is. Our operating scale and supply chain are massive. We have global banking relationships. We have one of the largest and strongest balance sheets in the sector. We leverage technology and data unlike anyone else in our space. Our culture of never settling for the status quo is contagious. FPL's century of experience running a rate-regulated utility helps Energy Resources offer solutions to customers across America including investor-owned utilities, municipalities, co-ops, CNI, and hyperscalers. Energy Resources drives FPL to use analytics and AI to lower cost and FPL customers get the benefit that come with a combined scale of the two businesses. Bottom line, you'd be hard-pressed to find anyone in our space who can replicate that platform. That's because we've been building it, refining it, and optimizing it for decades. And we've done it by developing, building, and operating all forms of energy. For years, NextEra Energy has been the world's largest renewables and storage company. We also own and operate the largest rate-regulated utility in the country. We own and operate the nation's largest gas-fired power plant fleet. We have one of the largest nuclear fleets in America that's about to get even bigger with the Duane Arnold restart. We own one of America's largest transmission and distribution businesses. We co-developed the last multi-state gas pipeline. And we're a leader in artificial intelligence and technology, making ourselves even better.
Some companies trade around their assets. Not us. We develop, we build, and as you can see, we build a lot. In fact, from just 2020 to 2024, we built more than 33 gigawatts of new generation. That's more than the next 20 largest utilities combined. Nobody has our scale, nobody has our scope, and nobody has our skills. And it translates into exceptional value for our customers and for our shareholders. On the right-hand side of the slide, just look at how much we bought over the last four years. As you can imagine, this means incredible buying power. It's why our supply chain has long been one of our core competitive advantages. Simply put, our buying power reduces business risk. Building everything I just showed you is only possible with a robust supply chain and a team that's always thinking several steps ahead. It's why we've secured a domestic battery supply to meet our expectations through 2029. We've secured solar panels to meet our expectations through 2029 as well. And we're making really good progress on solar and batteries through 2030. The majority of wind components are sourced here in America. We've secured 4 gigawatts of gas turbines with more to come as we look to advance our gas-fired generation efforts. We purchased switchgears, breakers through 2029 and transformers through 2030, so we're not late bringing projects online on time or on budget. And we're advancing bridge power solutions including aero derivatives with GE Vernova. We've safe-harbored for tax credits and we've safe-harbored for FERC compliance. Let me tell you, no one else can do this quite like us. I don't believe anyone else has done this like us. On top of this, we've secured one and a half times of our project inventory against our forecast, which provides us with permitting protection.
We also have a track record of delivering on our expectations. About 18 months ago, we had our 2024 investor conference. You can see the results. We've grown adjusted EPS at 8% plus and maintain our credit rating and our strong balance sheet. We continue to offer the best utility value proposition in the country at FPL with a rate case outcome that's constructive for customers and for shareholders, providing another four years of certainty. Energy Resources is breaking origination records year after year and is also building a large transmission utility from within and serving hyperscalers. In fact, we've secured $5.1 billion in new transmission rate base with even more on tap. To be clear, I'm pleased with our performance, but there's so much more for us to look forward to. Nothing differentiates us more than our team. Our people are our greatest asset. Our people and our culture drive these results. You can see the numerous awards, including Fortune's Most Admired almost every year for the last two decades. I'm grateful our team is being recognized. But we're not here for individual accolades. We're in it to serve America and to make a meaningful difference in people's lives. And we do it by staying true to what we've always done and what we'll always do: making decisions with data and analytics, running the business with financial discipline and with operational excellence. Moreover, we have a culture of innovation with a team that never settles and is always working to be the best.
Our current generation portfolio is unmatched. It's massive. But what's even more impressive is that we operate it better than anyone. This is because of our people. It doesn't matter the technology. Our team performs better across the board. Just look at the numbers. We aren't just better than top decile. We are in a category all by ourselves. In fact, we're using remote control technology to help our fleet, which no one else is doing. The platform we built gives us an enormous operating scale advantage. And scale matters more than ever in this industry. It allows us to get operating data in real time. Here's why this matters. We take every piece of data from our operating assets and we use it to not only enhance how we operate but also how we develop future projects. No one else has this type of data to guide future development and operations. NextEra Energy's credit rating has remained consistent no matter the challenge. And there have been many, from a great recession, countless hurricanes, and a global pandemic, just to name a few. We don't take this for granted. It's not the same across the industry. Many of our peers have not maintained the same credit quality. This matters because the industry requires real investment to drive growth unlike any we've ever seen before. And the only way to do that is with a strong balance sheet. And hyperscalers are taking notice. Here's what our experience tells us. Hyperscalers aren't about to spend capital at a 4:1 ratio to our investment unless they have the confidence a developer can deliver. That starts and ends with a strong balance sheet. When you put it all together, you can see why hyperscalers want to work with us. We have 28 gigawatts of origination and projects we are otherwise advancing with the top hyperscalers. Again, companies investing tens of billions of dollars in technology infrastructure. They don't have the time to take a chance on a failed project. They simply can't afford to. They need a trusted partner, one with a national footprint, experience, capabilities, and a balance sheet. We check every single box.
Through it all, we've consistently delivered strong cash and adjusted earnings per share growth. Again, our track record shows that we do what we say. We understand what it takes to get the job done. It's all about execution. And we believe there's never been a more important time to invest and execute in the energy sector than right now. Think of it like this. Our competitors are just now trying to do what we've been doing for well over two decades to drive shareholder value. When you buy NextEra, you are buying a team, a strategy, and an opportunity set. A company with an unmatched track record in our sector that plans for what's next.
So, how do we do it? Let's talk about how we're growing America's premier energy infrastructure company. We have three core growth areas. First, we have Florida Power and Light Company, America's largest electric utility. Second, we have an electric and gas transmission business within Energy Resources. Importantly, both of those businesses are rate-regulated. Third, Energy Resources has long-term contracted power generation and storage business. While these are not rate-regulated in the traditional sense, they largely mimic it through long-term power purchase agreements. Tying it all together is a leading customer supply business with a hand in every part of the energy value chain, providing unmatched insights and market knowledge. When you put it all together, it's clear we are built to win in any environment. We have a national footprint. We have more than 12 ways to grow. We have scale. We have the skills. We have the scope. And we have the track record and the vision to stay ahead of the competition. Think about it. Some companies focus on one technology or one region. In a lot of cases, they are either new to the game or haven't built in a while. We develop, build, and operate practically everywhere. And we develop, build, and operate practically everything and every part of the energy value chain because we've done this for decades. We skate to where the puck is and once we get there, we rarely miss. Bottom line, we believe NextEra Energy is well positioned to deliver strong growth over the next decade.
This is our strategy on one slide. It's straightforward. Here's what's important. Some areas of the business are driving growth today and have for a long time. They're the ones you see up here right now. Talking about Florida Power and Light Company and our renewables and storage business outside of Florida. To be clear, they will continue to drive growth. We're also investing in other parts of the business right now, areas that will start to drive earnings as we near the end of the decade and move into the 2030s. We will talk you through each of these areas this morning. We're going to explain how we plan to grow while prioritizing and maintaining our regulated business mix. We are already executing our key growth strategies. Look at what we've done in just the last two quarters with a lot more that we're advancing that's not even listed on this page. In fact, you can expect off-cycle announcements from us moving forward. FPL gained approval on a rate settlement agreement a few weeks ago which included a large load tariff. In fact, FPL has already received more than 50 large load inquiries. Energy Resources' regulated business continues to grow. NextEra Energy Transmission continues to win bids in PJM to meet demand, including one we'll talk about today. On the gas side, we're acquiring Symmetry Energy Solutions, adding their portfolio and skill sets to our gas team as we grow our pipeline business. We also intend to exercise our right to buy part of KED's ownership interest in MVP. And Energy Resources continues to deliver long-term contracted power generation projects. We're doing it in the renewables and storage space with Meta. We're partnering with Centaurus Resources to build gas. We're teaming up with Google to restart Iowa's only nuclear plant, build three new data center hubs, and collaborate on advanced nuclear. We're also combining forces with ExxonMobil and with BASF to serve large load. And the Exxon partnership includes CCS. And we're recontracting expiring PPAs to maximize the value of our existing assets. And as we'll talk about later, we have a transformational partnership with Google in the AI space. Almost half the announcements on that slide were large load.
As I mentioned a bit earlier, when you think about large load, here's what you need to know. The market is heading towards bring your own generation. At the end of the day, someone must pay for new power plants. Relying exclusively on recontracting or using existing or new utility power plants could be faced with affordability concerns. We're already seeing this across the country. BYOG is a big opportunity for Energy Resources and it's low risk for hyperscalers. Working with a company like us means working with a company that has a track record and balance sheet to get the job done. So this morning I'm pleased to announce our new goal to place and service 15 gigawatts of new generation for data center hubs by 2035. So what exactly is a data center hub? It's exactly what it sounds like. It's a power generation complex that can scale over time, leveraging all forms of energy. Brian is going to walk you through this later this morning, including how delivering quick solutions acts as a hook with hyperscalers and unlocks the opportunity to build out a data center hub. Back to our goal, we believe our 15 by 35 target is fairly conservative. It's what's baked into the financial expectations we're sharing with you today. Quite frankly, based on what we're seeing today, we'll be disappointed if we don't do more. We've already identified 20 potential hubs, and we're working to double it to 40 by the end of 2026. The data center hubs announced today alone could get us a long way towards our 15 gigawatt goal by 2035, if they're successful. That's why we feel there's real upside here to double that goal and get to 30 gigawatts by 2035. All that said, you're not going to see large load as a separate line item in our expectations. Instead, think of large load as a new origination channel to meet our other targets like new gas build. I think data center hubs will help us get the majority of the 4 to 8 gigawatts of new gas built in our forecast through 2032 and considerably more through 2035.
Finally, let's talk about how we're leveraging technology across our business. Embracing new technology is in our DNA, making us more responsive to our customers, allowing us to work smarter and faster. Just think about how we built state-of-the-art power plants in the 60s to launch America into space from Cape Canaveral and then tore those plants down in the early 2000s. We did it because better technology was available. Building new plants has saved customers more than $16 billion in fuel we haven't had to buy. We are pioneers in wind, then solar, and then battery storage. We also pioneered smart grid technology including smart meters, improving day-to-day reliability and speeding up our storm response. We bought a supercomputing business in 2006 and now we've leveraged that business to design AI-driven tools to help customers determine what energy infrastructure they need and when and where they should build it. For us, it's all led up to this moment where electricity is required to power a new economy driven by technology. You might say the energy industry and the tech industry have been on a collision course for quite some time. Well, I'm here to tell you the time has come for both sectors to work together like never before. Technology is disrupting every industry, including ours. New technologies require more electricity to power industries and homes. As a matter of fact, this new industrial revolution is powered by electricity. Now, we talked much this morning about how much power demand we need in this country, but what can't be overstated is how technology is also powering our business and changing our industry. Power and technology are converging. We use data and technology every single day to reshape how power is generated and delivered. As we discussed this morning, our data set is enormous and constantly growing, a major competitive advantage that cannot be replicated. And we use our data and technology to constantly refine how we site, develop, construct, and ultimately operate our projects. For us, data and technology is synonymous with our company as technology is the next frontier of power. It's how we challenge ourselves to think differently and work more efficiently. It's how we deliver for our customers all across America. Being a leader in artificial intelligence is a very logical and natural next step for NextEra Energy. For us, this is simply a continuation of what we've always done: embrace new technology and most importantly, use it better than anyone else to redefine our business and our industry. We're already doing it with tools like Ratify, TerraGrid, Discover, NextEra 360, Contracts.ai. And we're on a mission to use AI not only to transform how we operate, but also to reimagine it. Reimagine how utilities operate. Take a look.
Narrator 43:37 ↗
Built on 100 years of innovation and expertise, NextEra Energy is more than an energy company. We're a technology company that delivers energy. For decades, we've led from the front, driving cost leadership, capabilities, and service through company-wide efficiency programs. We were the first to deploy smart meters and the first to build a smart, self-healing...
John Ketchum 44:03 ↗
We were early adopters of data analytics and AI. Our investments in technology and talent give us a massive head start as generative AI reshapes every industry. Today, we're taking the next leap. We're building on our foundation of technology leadership and relentless efficiency and supercharging it with the transformative power of generative AI to launch Rewire, our effort to reinvent the way we work, the work we do, and how we deliver energy and services to customers. And here's the most exciting part.
NextEra Energy is teaming up with Google to accelerate AI growth and transform the energy industry. Together, we'll combine our world-class energy expertise with Google's best-in-class technology, including their groundbreaking Gemini models. Through Rewire, we will collaborate to enhance NextEra Energy's AI solutions and to accelerate joint go-to-market activities to modernize the energy sector, creating a more reliable and resilient grid across the country. With Google as a partner, we won't just transform NextEra Energy with Rewire. We'll also reinvent the utility industry. NextEra Energy, powering today, building tomorrow.
This is a game-changer, again, not just for the entire energy sector. Our partnership with Google exemplifies this singular moment when energy and technology are becoming inextricably intertwined. By combining NextEra Energy's unmatched skills as America's leading infrastructure builder and operator with Google's world-class technology expertise, we are aiming to transform and literally reshape the energy sector. Google is going to help us drive and accelerate NextEra's own enterprise-wide digital transformation.
This collaboration will help us accelerate our industry-leading technological innovation and AI deployment. We will also work with Google to accelerate revenue growth for NextEra Energy's software-as-a-service business, platform growth for Google Cloud, and further establish both as leaders in energy AI solutions.
The partnership with Google Cloud will be built on Rewire, NextEra Energy's enterprise-wide AI transformation. Rewire is the evolution of Project Momentum, Accelerate, and Velocity. Through those, NextEra has achieved over $3.3 billion in cumulative annual run-rate savings in 2013. And now with Rewire, which is a completely new initiative, we expect to reimagine our work processes and accelerate innovation and unlock growth on the top line.
Rewire's objective is to transform NextEra Energy's business landscape, leveraging AI to drive measurable efficiency and productivity at an unprecedented scale. Rewire will also serve as the product development platform for our Google technology partnership, and its goal is to drive significant cost savings across the business.
We will use the Google Cloud platform to build differentiated AI-first products that can be offered to the energy sector through NextEra Energy's software-as-a-service business. NextEra Energy and Google will collaborate to enhance NextEra Energy's AI solutions and to accelerate joint go-to-market activities to modernize the energy sector.
But there's more. We plan for our technology collaboration with Google and our software-as-a-service offerings to also serve as yet another origination channel that will help tap into new opportunities to put more gigawatts on the grid. So we expect to not only be paid in cash but to be paid in more gigawatts.
We're designing the future of energy technology and intending to set a new standard for innovation in the energy sector. We're going to take some moonshots, and we're not just looking to build solutions. We're planning to use them across the entire energy value chain.
By leveraging both companies' reach and reputation, we are looking to address the most pressing challenges facing utilities. Our focus is on selling real impact and unlocking growth in the energy industry, helping customers see how our tools drive efficiency, security, and resiliency in their operations.
We plan for our first products to help enable dynamic AI-enhanced field operations in a more reliable and resilient grid. We'll help companies better predict equipment issues so they can proactively respond, and they will have better insights into system optimization opportunities. Our aim is for our first commercial product to be available in the Google Marketplace by next year, supporting both Google's and NextEra Energy's ambitions to partner and to lead in digital innovation and transformation.
We've walked you through our strategy and our proof points this morning. So, what does it all mean for you? We expect to continue our long track record of creating value for shareholders. In fact, we expect to grow adjusted EPS at 8% plus through 2032 off of 2025 base. We're also targeting some more growth for 2033 to 2035 off our 2025 base.
Very few give a 10-year financial view. But we are doing this today because we believe our growth is visible and diversified as we are investing in our key growth areas right now. If you believe we can achieve our expectations through 2032, you should believe in us to do the same through 2035 because the same market share assumptions underpin our plan, as Mike will walk you through.
While past performance doesn't guarantee future results, we believe it's a pretty good indicator when the road ahead looks a lot like the road we've already traveled. Remember what we've done every single year in every changing macro environment. NextEra Energy's financial performance has been the constant. We have consistently delivered year in and year out while others have not. It doesn't matter what time period you look at.
Not many other companies can say this. It's why I'm so excited for what's ahead. Importantly, our forecasted growth is visible and balanced between our regulated and long-term contracted businesses. That's important considering that we have more than 12 ways to grow. We expect about 10% regulated growth through 2032.
FPL's rate case outcome provides four years of expected certainty, and FPL's large load tariff positions FPL for additional regulated growth opportunities we haven't had before. Transmission and gas pipelines are expected to grow capital employed more than 20% through 2032.
On the long-term contracted front, renewables will continue to be a major growth driver while we rapidly expand storage. We are also advancing our gas generation and our nuclear businesses. We're introducing a multi-gigawatt data center hub strategy and a new origination channel to capture that growth opportunity. And again, we're announcing an AI partnership with Google. All of this is expected to result in 8% plus adjusted EPS through 2032, and we are targeting the same from 2033 to 2035. And we'll do it all with one of the sector's strongest balance sheets.
What I want you to take away from all this is not the art of what's possible. Instead, you should understand that we have a track record of doing this, and we are poised to make the expectations that we've laid out a reality.
There has never been an opportunity like this, and there has never been a company quite like NextEra Energy. We are a technology company that delivers electricity through all forms of energy. The Google announcement is just one example of that. At our core, we are a large energy infrastructure developer and builder that invests across the energy value chain, helping power Florida and our country. This is a unique moment in our sector, and there is no better team to lead for America.
There is no one else who can do what we do at our scale in every corner of this country. We have the scope and the skills to deliver where and when it matters most. I personally put almost 24 years of my own blood, sweat, and tears into this company. I promise you, we're not about to stop now. You have my commitment. No team will work harder for our customers or for our shareholders.
With that, let's dive into Florida Power and Light. Before I turn things over to our new FPL president, Scott Bores, I want to say a few words about him. You've all had a chance to see him in action at our development days and prior analyst days. He is wicked smart, has a terrific financial and strategic mind, knows our business inside and out, and was instrumental in helping lead FPL through its last rate case. He puts customers first and is an outstanding leader. You have a chance to get to know him better. We'll undoubtedly see what we get a chance to witness every single day. Scott, come on up.
Scott Bores 55:08 ↗
Thank you, John. Good morning. It's great to see so many familiar faces here in the audience. And for those who I do not yet know, I look forward to getting the opportunity to meet you. I'm honored to step into the role of president of Florida Power and Light and lead this terrific team forward. Before I get into the FPL remarks, I wanted to take a moment to introduce myself and walk briefly through FPL's objectives.
I have roughly 20 years in the energy industry. The first six of those years were on the unregulated side at an independent power producer. The last 14 years have all been on the regulated side at FPL. At FPL, I've spent most of my career in financial roles, but with roles that have afforded me the opportunity to engage with the operating business units and really drive the strategy for FPL. I've been a part of FPL's last four successful rate case outcomes, and I've testified in front of our commission more times than I can count.
We recently received approval for our settlement agreement, giving us four years of rate certainty. This stability will enable us to continue making smart, disciplined investments to support customer growth and maintain reliability across the country. Affordability is a major concern. At FPL, that will not be the case. Our bills remain well below the national average, and maintaining that advantage is our number one priority.
We are continuing to focus on improving our best-in-class operating cost performance. That is why Rewire is going to be very important to our success and a real focus area of mine. We're really good, but we can always improve and get better. That culture of continuous improvement is what truly differentiates FPL, embracing efficiency and adopting new technologies to make the business better and deliver more value to our customers.
Florida has always grown, but today's demand tailwinds are stronger and more diverse than ever. We are in prime position to capture significant large load opportunities from data centers to advanced manufacturing. We have developed a compelling new tariff for large load customers. It leverages our low-cost, reliable, clean system and positions FPL as one of the most attractive destinations in the country for large energy users. This represents meaningful growth later this decade and beyond.
With regulatory stability, a strong culture, disciplined execution, and a unique growth runway, FPL is exceptionally well positioned for the future. And I'm really excited to lead the team in delivering value for our customers.
Before we dive in, I want to point out the bar going along the top of the slides. As John talked about, we have more than 12 ways to grow. The tabs along the top are going to change colors as we move throughout the presentation, so you can follow along and know exactly which growth driver we're talking about.
Now, let's talk about FPL, America's largest electric utility, where we serve over 6 million customer accounts all across Florida. Our scale and infrastructure are substantial. We own and operate more than 36 gigawatts of generating capacity. We have over 91,000 circuit miles of transmission and distribution lines. This extensive network positions us as a critical engine for Florida's continued economic growth.
What sets us apart is not just our size, but our fuel diversity and operational excellence. FPL has the largest natural gas fleet in America, ensuring dependable 24/7 base load generation to power Florida's growing communities and businesses. Florida's long-standing, constructive, and stable regulatory environment allows for continued smart investment to support customer growth and maintain our top-decile reliability.
I don't know the last time you all had a chance to visit Florida, but let me tell you, it continues to grow. Florida remains one of the fastest-growing states in the United States with no signs of slowing down. Florida's population continues to grow. The state is expected to surpass 26 million residents by 2040. Businesses also continue to pour into the state, which is no surprise given Florida's long-standing attractive business climate.
Today, Florida is a $1.8 trillion economy, the 15th largest economy in the world. If Florida were a standalone country, it is forecasted to grow 140% in just the next 20 years.
As we've done for a century, FPL powers that growth, and we do it by constantly planning ahead. Our relentless focus on operating efficiency has delivered non-fuel operating and maintenance costs that are greater than 70% below the national average. That results in $3 billion in annual savings for our customers compared to the average utility.
Our customers also care about reliability. Our reliability is top-decile, 68% better than the national average. And we make smart investments that benefit our customers over the long term. That's why our bills today are 20% lower than they were 20 years ago when adjusted for inflation. This is a proven formula, one that we keep using to serve a growing state and deliver exceptional value for our customers.
FPL's rate settlement builds on this proven formula. Affordability is a big deal across the country. It's a great place to be sitting in right now to have a rate case behind us and four years of rate certainty. Our 4-year rate settlement agreement enables us to continue our track record of keeping bills low and our reliability high. The plan starts in January of 2026 and runs through the end of 2029.
Under the terms of the settlement, we can earn up to an 11.95% return on equity, and our equity ratio remains unchanged at 59.6. As they have done in prior settlement agreements, the commission has approved a non-cash mechanism that allows us flexible amortization over the 4-year period. For our customers, this is a huge win. The typical residential bill is going to grow at just 2% annually from 2025 through 2029. That is how you neutralize an affordability concern.
The settlement also includes a large load tariff. It strikes the right balance, provides hyperscaler speed to market at a competitive price, but just as important, it protects our general body of customers. Four years of rate certainty means four years of being able to stay laser-focused on how we operate. For us, this means continuing to drive cost out of the business by leveraging artificial intelligence. As John pointed out, this is not new for us.
At FPL, we relentlessly drive costs out of the business by embracing innovation and operational excellence, which keeps bills low for our customers. In 2024, we avoided 44,000 truck rolls by leveraging AI algorithms. And our AI-powered smart grid helped us prevent 2.7 million customer outages. Now, with Rewire, we're excited to transform our business even further. A key focus area for us is reinventing how we operate the grid.
Optimizing every step from generation dispatch to transmission to fuel procurement and maintenance. This end-to-end approach means greater efficiency, smarter operations, and even more cost savings we can pass along to our customers. At FPL, innovation isn't just about technology. It's about delivering real value for our customers.
Florida's pro-business tax climate, growing workforce, and strategic access to global markets makes Florida an attractive place to do business. Florida is growing differently than it has in the past. We have always had strong residential customer growth, and we expect that to continue. But in addition, we're seeing new growth, and that growth is being driven by a diverse set of high-growth industries.
Florida leads the nation in a number of key economic indicators. We're number one in income migration, number one in manufacturing job growth, and number one in corporate headquarters relocations, just to name a few. The state expects to add 1.5 million new jobs by 2034. And over the last six years, Florida has added 3 million new businesses. This is high-quality economic development with high-wage jobs and innovative industries creating unprecedented energy demand.
Florida stands ready, or FPL stands ready to serve, and our smart infrastructure investments help make this economic transformation possible. Together, Florida and FPL are ready for large loads and data centers. And what's not to like? We have low bills, high reliability, low latency, one of the biggest population clusters in America in one of America's most pro-business states.
We have the tariffs in place to serve. And it's important to note there is no limit. While our first tariff is limited to 3 gigawatts in specified zones, we have a second tariff that allows us to serve incremental demand at a contracted formulaic price. FPL brings superior service and reliability along with the ability to develop, build, and operate all forms of energy.
An FPL system has the flexibility to meet this large load demand. This is not the case for other utilities across the United States who do not have the same efficient base load fleet as FPL. The drumbeat of our system, it's our efficient natural gas and nuclear, accounting for roughly 90% of our energy mix. This has allowed us to layer in cost-effective solar and battery storage. And you can see how they work together in an integrated system.
Charging the batteries when the demand is lowest and at the lowest marginal cost. Then discharging that to the grid when the batteries and the electrons are needed most. Together, this diverse energy mix gives us the ability to optimize how we're dispatching our assets and accommodating large load.
All this to say, hyperscalers understand the need to be in Florida. It is such a compelling proposition. A competitive price, an efficient and dependable generation fleet, and superior reliability. There is significant interest. We've already had more than 50 inquiries representing more than 20 gigawatts of power. And importantly, we have the ability to quickly build the generation infrastructure needed to keep supporting that kind of demand as it continues to grow.
Here's a simple way for you guys to think about it. Every gigawatt of large load is equivalent to roughly $2 billion of capex opportunity at FPL. And that capex for large loads earns the same return on equity and has the same equity ratio as all other FPL capex. As I mentioned, Florida is already a top state to do business, and a law passed earlier this year gives qualifying data centers a 10-year sales tax exemption. When you put it all together, you're looking at an opportunity to bring data centers to Florida on top of the growth that you traditionally expect from FPL.
FPL was very thoughtful in designing its tariff. We wanted to ensure it would achieve the right balance. One that will attract large load customers but at the same time protect the general body of customers by ensuring these large load customers pay their fair share of costs. Again, this is not the same elsewhere in the country where affordability and rising utility bills are becoming a major concern.
As I mentioned earlier, FPL bills are consistently well below the national average for a reason, and we intend to keep it that way. That's why we've designed our tariff to make sure our customers are not footing the bill. And we've done it while still offering the hyperscalers a competitive price along with all the other benefits of being an FPL customer like high reliability and unmatched storm response and outstanding customer service.
And you can see the progress we're already making. As I mentioned, we have more than 20 gigawatts of interest. Roughly 8 gigawatts are in active origination. So think of that as the early stages of doing a deal, doing their due diligence. We have 9 gigawatts in advanced discussions. These are customers who have completed an engineering study, and we believe we can begin serving as soon as 2028.
All of this is really exciting. But here is what's so important to understand. FPL has been growing regulatory capital employed at close to 9% for years. We expect that to continue moving forward. That's because Florida is a growing state which requires continued investment. The difference is that we now have so many more ways to do it, including large load.
Powering a growing state while keeping reliability high requires sustained, smart capital investments. It's why we expect to invest $90 to $100 billion at FPL and grow regulatory capital employed at a 9% compound annual growth rate through 2032.
This is going to require continued investment in our transmission and distribution system. We're also going to continue to make the storm hardening investments as we see those benefits. As Florida continues to grow, we're going to need to continue to invest in new generation assets. Right now, that's solar and batteries, which are the perfect complement to the backbone of our system, nuclear and natural gas.
This is likely to change as we start to add large load to our system in 2028 and beyond. In the near term, it's likely going to mean more battery storage, but eventually FPL is going to need to add new gas generation. Bottom line, while technologies may shift, the need to invest in more generation and support growth in Florida will not. FPL's commitment to smart, sustained investments ensures we're ready to power Florida's continued growth.
As we look at Florida's remarkable growth and the opportunities ahead, I want to emphasize what truly sets FPL apart. Our commitment to putting customers first. The virtuous cycle. It's not just a concept. It's the foundation of everything we do at FPL. It's how we create lasting value, enabling us to continue making smart investments to keep bills low while maintaining our high reliability.
Our unmatched scale, deep experience, and technology help us deliver on this commitment. And we will continue to take the long view as we've done for our entire 100-year history, making smart long-term capital investments that will benefit both our customers and our shareholders. Our track record positions us as the ideal partner to meet Florida's expanding large load growth and power the state's next wave of economic transformation. I could not be more excited about our growth opportunities and to lead this great FPL team.
Now, it's time for a short break. After the break, we're going to bring Brian up to talk through energy resources. Please welcome to the stage president and CEO of NextEra Energy Resources, Brian Bolster.
Brian Bolster 1:12:24 ↗
Yeah, get that picture off me as quickly as possible. So, good morning and welcome back from the break. I'm thrilled to walk you through the enormous opportunities we have ahead of us at Energy Resources. So, let's start with the regulated side of the business.
The golden age of power isn't just about generation. This country needs new transmission infrastructure. Electric transmission investments are expected to double in just 12 years. The country also needs more gas pipelines. The gas distribution network in this country was already constrained before demand took off. Now natural gas demand is expected to jump 25%. The US needs to expand the current natural gas infrastructure, and this need is a major opportunity for us.
On the electric side, we have a great starting point. NextEra Energy Transmission has a total installed and secured rate base of $8 billion. That is a small utility that's about to get a whole lot bigger inside of Energy Resources. To put that in perspective, NEET is about twice the size of Gulf Power when we bought it back in 2019.
But this small utility has access to proprietary and cutting-edge technologies like Terra-Grid and Ratify. Many of you have seen that technology in action at our previous investor events. It gives us a huge competitive advantage, and it helps us play in every region in the US and in Canada. Today, we're finding investments in this business across multiple channels.
First, there's new build opportunities. That's both competitive and greenfield projects. Second, we can partner with people who've developed their own projects. We're seeing a lot of interest from municipal utilities, co-ops, and investor-owned utilities. Finally, our existing footprint generates system upgrades. This is built-in growth that will compound as our footprint scales.
When we put it all together, we think we can grow this $8 billion utility to $20 billion by 2030 and then to the mid-$30 billion by 2035.
This is a recent win on the new build development side. Marl is a 105-mile, 500 kV line in PJM. This represents $500 million of future capex, and this project is critical to this region. It unlocks bidirectional power between West Virginia and Virginia, and it also facilitates 4 gigawatts of import capacity to PJM. It's an example of new power demand creating new opportunities for NEET.
PJM also just recommended NEET to build out a 765 kV transmission line in partnership with Exelon. In fact, that news just came out last week. This is $1.7 billion of capital investment opportunity. By the way, that represents 20% market share on this $10 billion tranche that was awarded by PJM last week. This line will serve as a catalyst for economic development in the region. It will also facilitate more than 7 gigawatts of power generation. Again, new power plants need new transmission. They go hand in hand.
Turning to natural gas, we have a massive national footprint. Today, we have 1,000 miles of FERC-regulated pipelines, and our pipeline capacity stands at 3.5 BCF per day. And together with Symmetry, which I'll talk about in a minute, we transported about 4,900 trillion BTUs. We talk a lot about being a big consumer of gas. I hope this picture makes it very clear. We have a very sophisticated understanding about how to move gas around this country.
Our announced acquisition of Symmetry Energy Solutions is a perfect addition to this footprint. Symmetry does business in 34 states. It has 5,500 CNI customers. With Symmetry, we're expanding our core competencies and adding more customer relationships in the gas space. In a world where we're adding gigawatts of gas generation, understanding how to move gas around the country is a skill set that cannot be underestimated.
Symmetry is another way we're able to distinguish ourselves from our competitors in the current market environment.
As we look to grow our gas business organically, we don't have to look farther than our existing footprint. We're a big player in natural gas in the Southeast. I'm confident we're going to see new projects in this region. Just look at the demonstrated demand for natural gas. It's going to create new opportunities for us. It's also going to allow us to expand our existing assets. MVP by itself has multiple ways to grow. It's an obvious path to bring competitive Marcellus gas further down into the Southeast. That strategic value is why we intend to exercise our option to acquire ConEd's ownership interest in MVP.
Overall, when you look at the market and our positioning, you have to get excited about our prospects in this business. Putting both opportunities together, this is what our regulated business looks like over time. We expect to grow regulatory capital more than 20% per year over the next seven years. Our national footprint, our balance sheet, and our deep domain expertise are going to allow us to create another major utility outside of Florida. And we'll do it by working with the same customers in the same regions that we've worked with for decades. No one else can replicate the breadth and depth of opportunities that we have, and we look forward to delivering on the growth in front of us.
Now let's move to our generation, storage, and customer supply business. We have a lot of ways to win, as you can see on the screen. These are all businesses that we understand very well, and these are businesses that play to our strengths. So let's dig into them one by one.
We have never been better positioned in renewables and storage. You can see it in the scale and growth rate of the backlog. And I'd like you to look at the blue line that's on the page. That's capex. That's what drives earnings. We get paid to put capital to work. And our growth rate in capital is over 20%. And one of the benefits of the capital intensity per megawatt increasing is we can be picky about which megawatts we choose to develop. We are focused on getting the best returns on our capital. And you can see how we've protected that backlog. We've protected our tax credits. We've mitigated our tariff exposure. We've largely domesticated our supply chain to address FID. And we've hedged interest rates. And we have an inventory of backup projects that is one and a half times our backlog. And that's why we're winning in the current environment. We are very well positioned. It is what is becoming a seller's market.
An increasing percentage of that backlog is storage. So I want to spend a couple minutes on that topic. The opportunity in storage is really hard to overstate. Nearly every region in the country needs capacity. Energy storage is the only capacity resource available in scale through the end of the decade. You can see the clear advantages for energy storage versus a gas peaker that are on this page. And it's not just cost. You can charge a battery with all forms of energy. You can put it pretty much anywhere you want. And you're certainly not waiting for a gas pipeline to hook it up. That's why energy storage is the fastest-growing part of our backlog.
Three years ago in 2022, we added 1 gigawatt of energy storage to our backlog. That represented about 12% of that year's backlog. Over the last 12 months, we've added 4.7 gigawatts of energy storage. That now represents about a third of that period's additions. We're clearly a market leader in energy storage.
We're seeing success because we attack it from so many different angles. Based on our national footprint and our massive land position, we can work with nearly every customer in every market on standalone storage. But we can also take advantage of our existing footprint by co-locating storage where we already have connections to the grid. Our in-depth understanding of the grid also allows us to create opportunities by offering solutions to grid operators. And those traditional use cases are being supplemented by others. We're seeing emerging customer demand to add more storage to existing sites to double capacity at that site. And while it's early innings, we're looking at long-duration opportunities.
Let's spend a minute on this emerging expansion opportunity. The beauty of it is you're on an existing site already permitted and connected to the grid. You have the existing assets on the backbone infrastructure. Expanding is as simple as hooking into the existing inverter from the initial project. Again, the land is there. The interconnection is there. We have speed to market. No land or upgrade costs. It's a cheap and fast way to supplement capacity.
Bringing all those markets together, here's our expected battery storage pipeline through 2032. If you look at new and co-located assets alone, we have a 95 gigawatt inventory. If you assume we can ultimately expand each of these sites, we could literally double our backlog. It's a huge position in a market that's showing amazing demand. We're an advantaged player in an advantaged market, and we expect to put a lot of capital to work here.
All right. Well, we love our storage position, but don't discount solar and wind. Solar and wind are competitive today, and that's going to be true into the future. We think that's going to be true even after tax credits go away. But the expiration of tax credits should create a major market opportunity for us. Listen, the reality is we've seen this movie before. As we get closer to the end of tax credits, people will be scrambling for the remaining inventory. And that's going to be a great time to be us.
Look at how the market is setting up. Electricity demand isn't slowing, but the pool of developers that are actually able to have inventory in 2029 and 2030 is pretty thin. Remember, very few people have the ability to safe harbor equipment. Fewer still have the supply chain expertise to deal with tariffs. And no one has the inventory that we have. For us, this market should allow us to secure premium returns. And in fact, I'm hopeful to take market share in this market. It's not in our base case, but I wouldn't bet against us picking up share at this time.
So, what does it mean for the business? We're going to build a lot of generation. The scale is unprecedented for the company or the industry. And I don't think anyone else can do this. We're the only national power company. Our existing backlog gives us a huge head start. Our existing footprint creates a lot of proprietary opportunities, and we're the biggest player in storage, which is the biggest part of the market. We are firing on all cylinders in what many consider to be our most complicated market. We have never felt better about our market position.
By the way, you don't have to take our word for it. Look at what Meta is doing with us. We're now up to 2.5 gigawatts of agreements with them, and we're working with them in multiple markets on multiple deals. In New Mexico, we're using solar and storage to power a data center, but we have over 10 deals with them, and they keep coming back to us because we're truly a one-stop shop for them. Remember, we're not trading around assets. We're building what they need where they need it. And I'm proud to say together we're going to create nearly 200 construction jobs and bring meaningful economics to each of these regions.
Okay, let's move to gas generation. This is not a new market for us. We've been doing it for decades. In fact, no one has built more gas-fired generation over the last 20 years than NextEra Energy. NextEra Energy owns and operates the largest gas fleet in America. As America looks to add gas generation, we are clearly the partner of choice, and our pipeline shows it. We have about 20 gigawatts of new gas generation opportunities in 11 states.
Some of these are at our hubs, but many are standalone opportunities to serve native load. We've secured 4 gigawatts worth of turbine slots from GE Vernova to support that pipeline. And that's just to get us started. We know as we move forward, we're going to have access to more turbines when we need them. We'll talk about some of these projects in a little bit, but as we sit here today, we're confident our existing pipeline alone has us positioned to deliver against the expectations we're laying out today.
All right. While the gas opportunity will start to deliver at the end of the decade, the nuclear opportunity actually starts now. Point Beach just received its subsequent license renewal to operate for another 20 years, and we're seeing real interest for that capacity. Case in point is our recent PPA with WPPI for 14% of that plant's capacity. This deal alone contributes 3 cents of EPS. If you were to extrapolate that to the rest of the plant, you get 21 cents, which is a meaningful premium from the current attractive contract that we have. We're also seeing similar interest at Seabrook. And between the two of them, we have 1.7 gigawatts of available capacity we're offering to the market. Our experience at these plants as well as Duane Arnold tells us this is a premium product, and we're exploring a lot of interest from hyperscalers.
John Ketchum 1:26:37 ↗
It checks the box on additionality and it's carbon-free. And don't forget each of these sites has space for multiple gigawatts of SMRs and we're laser focused on developing the SMR opportunity. We're spending time digging in with the various OEMs. We're also making sure when we move forward, we have the right risk sharing in place. We know that's important and this is time that's well spent. We know hyperscalers like the product. We have 6 gigawatt of collocation opportunities at our nuclear sites and we have the ability to build at greenfield sites in our land positions throughout the country. The market has huge upside for us and we're well positioned to develop it.
Okay, let's turn to capturing large load. Our experience has shown that you need to offer more than just a bunch of megawatts. Speed matters. The ability to unlock sites with transmission and market solutions matter. Unlocking that first gigawatt is the key. Once you show the party that you can bring solutions to the table, the opportunity to add scale really comes into focus. And at that point, you're creating some very interesting opportunities. But multi-gigawatt opportunities don't just fall in your lap. To get multi-gigawatt sites, you're going to need to be able to deliver the total package. And here's a video which brings that idea to life.
Jessica Morris 1:28:00 ↗
Hi, I'm Jessica Morris and I'm a developer at NextEra Energy Resources. Today, I'll explain what we mean when we say that we're powering data center hubs. To do that, I'll show you how we map it with our customers. Then, I'll bring it to life. Our first job is to understand what our customers need. In this example, we need to build out 6 gigawatt to power a series of planned data centers over the next 10 years. This is where NextEra 360 technology comes in. What you're seeing is exactly what I show my customers. We took our data and built a digital twin of the US transmission system and key infrastructure. We combined transmission network constraints, fiber connectivity, gas pipeline capacity, and thousands of other data sets to score every parcel of land. In this example, we zeroed in on an area close to existing electric and gas transmission infrastructure. With our location locked down, we then start to optimize how we'll deliver power through all forms of energy.
Our integrated system planning capabilities can solve for energy and capacity needs while simulating how power would flow on the local power grid. Whether the area is served by an investor-owned utility, municipal utility, or cooperative, we rapidly go through thousands of iterations to find the optimal, lowest cost solutions. Once we do that, we can show our customers the future. In this example, we need to build all forms of generation to power 6 gigawatt of planned data centers over the next 10 years. Here's how it plays out in the field. Remember that optimal piece of land? Here it is. You can see the existing electric transmission lines and the gas pipeline. Construction quickly begins and you can see how fast we bring solar and storage online. This is so critical to hyperscalers. It's what allows us to quickly energize the first phase of a data center hub, serving our customers in the near term, even as we continue building a long-term solution like gas-fired generation. In other words, our customer doesn't have to wait. We don't see data center hubs being built overnight. Instead, we intend to grow alongside hyperscalers.
Building generation alone isn't enough. So, we need more linear infrastructure, transmission lines to connect our new assets to the local grid and a gas lateral pipeline to fuel the new gas-fired plant, which comes online in 2030. Taking full load enablement to 3 gigawatt. We continue to build even after the gas plant comes online, bringing small modular reactors to the grid by 2035. Bottom line, delivering for customers means leveraging big data and artificial intelligence. And when you combine it with decades of experience, our robust supply chain, and our land positions across the country, you can see why no one else really looks like us. That's because no one else can do what we do. And that's why customers choose us time and time again.
John Ketchum 1:31:10 ↗
Our Duane Arnold restart is the perfect example of delivering a near-term solution and building on it. In the short term, we've increased our plant ownership to 100% and locked in a 25-year PPA with Google. We expect the 615 megawatt plant to be online no later than Q1 2029 pending regulatory approvals. And this would be a huge win for Eastern Iowa. We're going to create more than 1,600 jobs and inject more than $9 billion into the economy. But there's more to the story. As we talked about on our last earnings call, Duane Arnold establishes a scalable data center buildout over the next decade. It's also facilitating a national conversation with Google and today we're announcing that we're building on our partnership with Google through a new JDA. This is separate and apart from the technology partnership that John discussed earlier. Together the companies will partner to develop three already identified gigawatt-scale data center hubs. By the way, these are just the first three. We are certainly looking to do more with them. And our expectation is that these sites will each create multiple gigawatts of incremental generation opportunities over time.
Our recent collaboration with Comtock represents another potential path to developing a data center hub by working with Comtock to secure land and create a path to near-term power. We're demonstrating the viability of a multi-gigawatt site. We think we can build 8 gigawatts at this site to support data center development. Here the hook is being able to deliver multiple gigawatts at scale in two to three years. We're currently in negotiations with a hyperscaler to be the anchor tenant at this site. And that combination of scale and speed to market is what drew that party to this site. We hope to be able to talk more about this opportunity in the first several months of next year.
We have a similar story in North Dakota. Here we're partnering with the local co-op Basin. We think this region is going to be very attractive to the hyperscaler community and by working with Basin we're able to show them a path to grow in the region. The plan is to develop a 1.5 gigawatt combined cycle plant to anchor the site. There's also an opportunity to expand with incremental renewables, storage, and gas in the region. We think there's a lot to like about this opportunity and are actively engaging the market in partnership with Basin.
All right. With ExxonMobil, we're testing hyperscaler demand for gas generation paired with carbon sequestration. We think decarbonization is important to hyperscalers and we are very excited to partner with ExxonMobil here. The partnership takes Exxon's sequestration expertise and pairs it with our power development expertise. We have 2,500 acres secured and advantaged access to high-voltage transmission. We'll jointly market this 1.2 gigawatt site to hyperscalers in Q1. Based on our work with hyperscalers to date, we think this is going to turn out to be an attractive site. And there's more to come with ExxonMobil if we're able to prove out demand at this site.
Our ability to meet hyperscalers exactly where they are today and grow with them over time is what sets us apart. It's clear one size does not fit all. So we are pursuing multiple different paths to offer compelling solutions to some of the most sophisticated customers in the country. And these initial hubs are primed to grow significantly as we continue building to meet demand. No one can put together a portfolio like this because no one can offer the variety of solutions that we can. And these examples are just a few of the opportunities that we're working on with hyperscalers. Hyperscalers are a massive channel for us and we're in a class of our own. As a result, we have a big backlog of alternatives beyond the deals that we've highlighted today. As we sit here today, we have 50 gigawatts of opportunities in various stages of readiness. That puts us in a great position to meet our expectations.
All right, let's move on. Not every source of growth requires us to develop new assets. The optionality in our existing footprint is also expected to drive meaningful shareholder value. We expect about 6 gigawatts of repowering through 2032 and about 7.5 gigawatts of recontracting opportunities over the same time period. The PPAs for these projects were signed about a decade ago. I'll point out the obvious. It was a much different pricing environment at the time. As those PPAs start to expire over the next several years, recontracting will command a much higher price.
Similarly, our customer supply business is a great source of capital-light growth. This is a business where we get paid to move gas and electrons for customers and we do it at scale. We are a top-three player in both markets. We have more than 1,000 enabling agreements with power and natural gas entities. The team actively manages roughly 40 gigawatts of generation for energy resources and third parties, and the team delivered more than 220 million megawatt hours of physical power in 2024. As demand for power grows, we will expect to move more molecules and more electrons.
What's really interesting about this business is what it does for our other businesses. For example, we get a real benefit from customer supplies. We develop data center hubs. It puts us in every market and creates relationships with nearly every market participant. You add that market footprint to our ability to help supply services in the early stages of a project and you create a real competitive advantage. For example, we can procure gas to enable expansion. We can deliver power before the assets are even in place. The bottom line is our customer supply business can help us provide a comprehensive energy solution nationwide.
All right. Finally, like the rest of the enterprise, Energy Resources is all in on our new ReWire initiative. This is a path to improve our processes, drive our explosive growth, and cut costs. We're targeting $150 million of savings out of this process at Energy Resources. More importantly, I firmly believe we're going to make the best team better. We are just scratching the surface on what AI can do for us.
So that's our opportunity set at Energy Resources and I wouldn't trade our position for any energy company in the country. We're the only national power company. We're the only company in the country that can respond to every aspect of the golden age of power. Energy Resources has an unmatched platform that can stand toe-to-toe with every customer that's in this market. Our expertise spans technologies and geographies. Our solution orientation allows us to innovate, execute, and lead in an era of American energy dominance. With so many ways to win, it is hard to express how fortunate I feel to be leading this amazing team. With that, I'm going to hand it over to Mike, who will walk us through our financial outlook. Mike, the stage is yours.
Mike Dunn 1:38:41 ↗
Thank you, Brian. And good morning everyone. I'll spend time walking through how the enormous opportunities in front of us translate into long-term strong financial performance. And as John mentioned at the outset, we have 10 years of financial visibility. We expect to grow adjusted earnings per share at a compound annual growth rate of 8% plus through 2032. And we are targeting that same growth through 2035. All off a 2025 base.
We are tightening our 2025 adjusted earnings per share expectation range to $3.62 to $3.70 per share. And we are raising our 2026 adjusted earnings per share expectation range to $3.92 to $4.02 per share. Importantly, we are targeting the high end of our adjusted earnings per share expectation ranges in both 2025 and 2026.
And what provides us that confidence? We start with our history and the capabilities that we have developed to meet this moment. Despite the industry having limited to no load growth, we have consistently grown adjusted earnings per share above 8% over the past 20 years. It doesn't matter what time period you pick. The result is the same. Earnings per share growth above 8%, while our peers have averaged less than 3% earnings growth over that same 20-year period.
But load is growing and many peers in our industry have increased their expected earnings per share growth rates. Historically, one company has delivered. From 2021 to 2024, NextEra Energy exceeded consensus earnings estimates by 2.5%. We are the only company to outperform. Why? Because there is no company that matches our core strength of building America's energy infrastructure. And today there's an opportunity set that perfectly matches our skill set. We have multiple ways to grow, stable earnings and stable cash flows across both our regulated and long-term contracted businesses. I'll provide an overview of those growth drivers and then provide the building blocks that underpin our forecast.
Now, in the near term, when customer affordability is in focus, FPL offers certainty, a 4-year commission-approved rate case settlement that allows for smart investments while keeping customer bills low. Energy Resources continues that certainty with a 30 gigawatt backlog of investment opportunities. To put that in context, 30 gigawatts is roughly equivalent to FPL's current generation fleet and represents $45 billion in visible investments. Now, we are investing and originating today for the projects that will be our earnings drivers in 2028 and beyond, turning three key earnings drivers into more than a dozen. We're not dependent on any one earnings driver, but this balanced approach creates multiple paths for success.
We believe that this balanced approach will also allow us to maintain our 70% regulated business mix for the next 10 years, with 90% of our cash flows coming from our regulated and long-term contracted businesses. Now the first building block in our growth is our regulated growth. The bedrock of NextEra and 70% of our business. Historically that has meant FPL which has grown regulatory capital employed at 9% per year. Now, we expect to grow regulatory capital employed at a compound annual growth rate of 10% across NextEra's regulated businesses.
And we have many ways to achieve this growth. We have our traditional growth at FPL driven by diversified load growth in one of the fastest-growing states in the nation. We have a large load at FPL based on a competitively priced tariff, speed-to-market advantages while protecting customers. We have a national technology-enabled electric transmission utility that we are building much bigger and we have a strategically positioned natural gas transmission business. We believe that our disciplined approach to regulatory capital deployment creates a repeatable model for long-term shareholder value creation.
And Armando has mentioned this before, but we have a simple earnings equation that underpins our regulatory growth strategy. Capital employed times our adjusted equity ratio times our return on equity equals net income. It is that simple. And FPL's allowed equity ratio is 59.6%. With a return on equity upper bound of 11.95%. Our transmission businesses have similar allowed equity ratios of 50 to 60%. And they generally achieve FIRK regulated equity returns of 10% or higher. And this formula has driven our ability to deliver consistent long-term value for shareholders and customers.
And for our long-term contracted business, there is a simple equation as well. Our market opportunity times our market share equals our development expectations. And the market opportunity is massive. The golden age of power demand is creating the need for all forms of generation. And we see a generation market opportunity of over 500 gigawatts across renewables, storage, and gas-fired generation. To put this in context, it represents a nearly $1 trillion investment opportunity across the United States. And this comes at a time when our development advantages have never been more pronounced.
NextEra Energy is the only company with a national scale and the ability to take full advantage of this opportunity. Just look at our capabilities. It is not one single thing that gives us an edge, but all of them combined. They build on top of each other, allowing us to build great projects with solid returns. We achieve levered equity returns between 13% and 20% plus on our projects. And we have a positive spread to WACC of 350 to 450 basis points. These are projects that create significant shareholder value under any measure. And over the last 12 months, we've moved more projects to the high end of our ranges, increasing our average returns by over 250 basis points or nearly a 20% increase in earnings power.
And when we look at what drives our growth in the future, we again need to look at our past. Historically, we've had a 15 to 20% market share in renewables, a 20 to 30% market share in storage, and we have built more gas generation than anyone. To grow our earnings through 2032, we fully expect to do the exact same thing. Same renewables, same storage market share, a 5 to 10% market share in gas-fired generation and having multiple channels to originate. We will continue to work with utilities, municipalities, and cooperatives to provide load growth solutions. We will continue our work with commercial and industrial customers to meet their needs. And we are leading the way in bring-your-own-generation with hyperscalers.
When we combine our competitive advantages and the opportunity set in front of us, this is what it looks like. 80 to 110 gigawatts of new generation through 2032. More than doubling our current generation capacity. Now, we've made a few changes to the layout of our development expectations as we provide more customer solutions for our customers. We've added gas and nuclear generation and we've included repowerings in the wind category. And John mentioned this earlier, but what's not included explicitly as a category in our development expectations is large load. Large load is an important origination channel and it is included in our development expectations across storage, across nuclear, across natural gas and renewables.
And while our 2026 and 2027 development expectations have decreased by about 2 gigawatt, this is offset by the increased capex per gigawatt that we're investing in and the higher returns we are achieving on our projects. Recall we've seen the earnings power of our investments increase by 20% over the last year alone. Now in 2028 and beyond, we see robust market demand with a pull forward of renewables through 2030 and strong growing demand for storage. We expect that our gas-fired generation pipeline, including the announcements today with Comtock, Exxon, and Basin to become the backlog for our gas-fired generation expectations as we sign definitive agreements over the next 12 to 24 months. But don't expect us to wait until quarterly calls to make those announcements. They will come as soon as we sign the deals.
On the nuclear side, Duane Arnold is expected to come online in 2029. And although not in our expectations, small modular reactors could deliver growth through 2035. We are also focused on optimizing the value of our existing portfolio. We have the opportunity to recontract approximately 7.5 gigawatt through 2032. 1.5 gigawatts of nuclear and 6 gigawatt of renewables. And our existing PPAs were set at prices much lower than the current pricing environment. And we believe that our recontracting on a renewable fleet can be done at ranges of $15 to $30 in excess of where they were contracted 10 years ago.
As Brian mentioned, customer supply is an important business for us. It is at the center of the energy value chain and helps provide comprehensive energy solutions for our customers. To maintain these competitive advantages, we'll maintain customer supply at roughly 10% of NextEra Energy's adjusted EBITDA. And through ReWire, we have a unique opportunity to grow our industry-leading technology while reducing costs. And we expect to achieve pre-tax cost savings at Energy Resources of $150 million per year.
Now with over 12 ways to grow, we have multiple levers that can drive outperformance. We can increase our regulatory growth through additional large load at FPL or we can accelerate the build of our national transmission utility. In our contracted business, we can increase market share. We can increase returns and we are aiming to do both. One area to focus on is gas-fired generation. It moves the needle. It provides roughly two times or more the capex opportunity per gigawatt than renewables or storage. And based on the conversations that we are having today, it provides mid-teens to 20% levered equity returns.
Now, we only have 4 to 8 gigawatts of gas-fired generation in our expectations through 2032, but we have a current pipeline of over 20 gigawatts. And I know there it can be confusing, but that pipeline excludes everything in our data center hub strategy. And if we executed on that pipeline, it would create an additional $30 to $50 billion of investment opportunities in excess of our expectations.
In addition, our data center hub strategy demonstrates the power of our platform. We combine our capabilities and scale with hyperscalers that need power nationwide. The result, a repeatable platform for attractive investments. Our base case is 15 gigawatts by 2035, but our upside case is 30 gigawatt by 2035. Executing on our upside case would be an additional $30 to $40 billion of investment opportunities. When you combine that with our gas-fired generation opportunity, that creates an additional opportunity set of $60 to $90 billion or a 20% increase to 30% increase to our capital investment expectations. Our expectations also do not include small modular reactors, project M&A, nor potential revenue opportunities from our Google partnership. We have a differentiated platform which allows us to be first movers in an evolving market and invest in new opportunities before others can see them.
Turning now to our financing plan where we start with our focus on credit quality. We match high-quality regulated and long-term contracted cash flows with financial discipline to drive superior ratings. And the numbers speak for themselves. NextEra Energy has the number one ranking amongst S&P utilities for adjusted equity ratio, adjusted FFO to debt and debt to adjusted EBITDA. And a strong balance sheet creates shareholder value. It provides access to global capital markets. It provides unfettered liquidity and it provides customer confidence that we can deliver. NextEra Energy is the partner of choice.
Now our funding plan is centered on these stable cash flows and access to large liquid markets. We believe that this balanced approach supports accretive investments which drive shareholder returns and we access diverse markets which makes our plan resilient to market disruptions. And as we invest in our long-term contracted assets, they produce stable contracted cash flows for 20 plus years. And they support an investment-grade capital structure that is based on prudent corporate finance principles of matching long-term assets with long-term advertising liabilities. When contracts end, there are no surprises or bullet debt waiting to be paid. We combine this conservative financing structure with our corporate cash flows to fund 96% of our capital investments. The result is a diverse set of predictable cash flow streams and we use that cash flow to fund growth in accretive investments and as a result NextEra's expected equity issuances average only $2 billion a year. That's in line with our historical practice and represents approximately 1% of our market cap and 1% of our average daily trading volume.
Now, because of these attractive growth opportunities, we are adjusting our dividend per share growth expectations. We're maintaining 10% growth through 2026 and adjusting '27 and '28 growth to 6% all off a 2026 base. We believe that this will allow us to make accretive investments while keeping any equity needs to a minimum and we believe in diversifying all of our financing sources. Equity is no different. So, we are putting in place a $4 billion at-the-market issuance program which will allow us to issue small amounts of equity in the open market. We'll access this program periodically over time, but I do want to make two things clear. First, we expect to utilize equity units as our primary means of issuing equity and two, we will not be issuing equity in 2025.
Now, in 2025, almost 40% of capital holdings debt issuances were raised internationally. And not only does this mitigate market risk, but allows us to access the most efficient capital. We estimate that our financing strategy saves us 5 to 10 basis points on every dollar that we raise. And while 5 to 10 basis points may not seem significant, with up to $150 billion of planned issuances through 2032, this could save us up to $150 million per year in interest expense. And our access to liquidity is unmatched. We partner with over 85 banks globally providing two times more liquidity than our next closest peer. This provides us with the flexibility to move quickly and the raising of capital has never been a constraint.
And when you have a 25-year track record of building projects with investment-grade offtakers and 15 to 20-year PPAs and you build them on time and on budget with top-decile O&M and conservative investment-grade metrics, investors want to partner with you. They understand the difference in quality and adjust their returns accordingly. The result increases our project levered equity returns by 100 to 200 basis points versus our peers.
So now that you have the building blocks and our financing plan, I'll pull all this together and answer what it means for shareholder value. Now, I've said this before, but is worth repeating. We have 10 years of growth visibility. We expect to grow NextEra Energy's adjusted earnings per share at a compound annual growth rate of 8% plus through 2032. We are targeting that same growth rate through 2035. All off a 2025 base. And our 10-year visibility is not only related to earnings. We expect that our growth in operating cash flow will meet or exceed our adjusted earnings per share compound annual growth rate through 2032. And we are targeting that same growth in operating cash flow through 2035. 10 years of visibility across earnings and operating cash flow and significant upside potential.
That's why NextEra Energy stands in a category of one. One company with a two-decade track record of execution. One company with a national footprint and over 12 ways to grow. All driven by one core key strength, building America's energy infrastructure. And we have one goal, to deliver shareholder value. Thank you for being here this morning. This concludes our prepared remarks.
Narrator 2:03:47 ↗
You're witnessing something extraordinary. Every second of every day, the need for power is growing at a rate we've never seen before. And it's not just growth, it's acceleration. The demand for more power is only getting more demanding. Communities are expanding. Technology is advancing. Industries are evolving. And not meeting this demand is not an option. NextEra Energy is here and there from coast to coast and ready to make it all happen. Always building not just power plants but the infrastructure needed to move that power from point A to point anywhere. Stable, secure, scalable. Revitalizing communities with more than just new ideas, new investments, new jobs, new purpose. Every generation inherits a moment. And this is ours. The beginning of an extraordinary era, America's golden age of power demand. And we've only just begun building, advancing, innovating. And we won't stop. Because the future won't wait and neither will we. NextEra Energy powering today, building tomorrow.
Mark Idleman 2:05:27 ↗
The NextEra Energy Executive Management Team will now host a Q&A session. If you have a question, please raise your hand and a member of our investor relations team will provide you with a microphone. So, good morning again and thank you so much for joining us. In just a moment, we'll begin our Q&A session with the NextEra Energy Executive Team. We appreciate your patience as we set up the stage here. Joining us this morning will be John Ketchum and Scott Boyt who you heard from this morning. Then FPL CEO Armando Pimentel will also join us on stage along with Brian Bolster and Mike Dunn. Again if you have a question please raise your hand. There are different investor relations personnel in the back. They'll come forward to you. I see you already have a question. You just need to wait for executives to get on stage. So we'll start with you. When you ask a question just please say your name before you're asking the question. So I'll ask the executives to come join us then.
Analyst 2:07:01 ↗
Good morning. It's a sharp with Wells Fargo. Just quickly just on the Comtock and Basin Electric deals, lots of opportunities around gas as we wait kind of for those deal announcements. Any sense on how we should think about pricing especially versus the clean energy attributes of nuclear? We do have some pricing points with nuclear. Then maybe how should we think about risk mitigation including like kind of gas hedging and execution risk with contracted deadlines, right? So some things could be out of your control like labor. So just maybe how do we think about that?
John Ketchum 2:07:34 ↗
Yeah. So, you know, when we look at our gas opportunities, you know, I think we've said before, you know, we're kind of targeting Mike, you know, had it in his presentation, you know, 15 to 20% levered equity returns, you know, in that business. A lot of progress on the gas side, you know, not only with Comtock, with Basin, with Exxon, with the CCS opportunity as well. And then all these data center hubs opportunities, right? That 15 by '35. A lot of those will get started with what I call bridge power solutions, which might be renewables, it might be storage, it might be aerodynamic that first phase of that buildout for the data center, we're going to go ahead and build along with them. So we're also at that same time planning for the gas to come behind it and that creates, you know, as Mike said, you know, a big upside opportunity, you know, for us going forward and so as we think about, you know, what the future of that business, you know, looks like in terms of labor supply, the ability, you know, to contract with EPC contractors to be able to work with GE Vernova to get access to turbines we mentioned the four gigs we've already got reservation rights, you know, in place on comes back to scale and buying power. Shark. I mean, you know, when you think about the EPC contractors that we would do business in that space, they're the same folks that we've been doing business with for 20 years. And, you know, we will, you know, I think have front of the line, you know, commitments from those folks. So, I really don't worry about the labor supply. I don't worry about getting our hands on turbines. I think the returns are going to be very strong. I think the capex opportunity is substantial. I think it's well beyond I do think, as I said in my remarks, we're being conservative on the 15 by '35. I'll be disappointed not to be at 30 by '35 just given what we've seen. We already have 20 hubs already in motion. Expecting to have another 40 hubs in our pipeline by the end of 2026. So in great position there and not concerned about labor, access to equipment, all those things. We're in great shape.
Analyst 2:10:04 ↗
1 gigawatt of Point Beach remains open, you know, and that's obviously excluded from your deck post the PPAs. Any sense on sort of how the conversations are going with the counterparty and just from your messaging today around BYOG should we assume a hyperscale deal there would be a little bit more challenging or there options there it's an existing site so I guess how does that hit on your additionality point?
John Ketchum 2:10:27 ↗
Yeah, it is a terrific site and a really attractive site to the hyperscalers and so one of the things that we highlighted today is the WIPPA PPA for example, you know, I think that's for about 175 megawatts that would take us for, you know, another 20 years basically through the second license extension in the 2050s and, you know, just that 14% of the capacity that they have is 3 cents of EPS on a full plant basis that would be 21 cents of EPS but just think about the possibilities on the other 85% or so of that plant in an area of the country that is really attractive for hyperscale buildout. I mean, it's really an opportunity that could create in and of its own a data center hub, right? You're, you know, you may initially start with renewables. You may combine it with, you know, the remaining 85% of Point Beach. You could bring in, you know, a gas solution as part of it. That's exactly what we're talking about with data center hubs. You start with one gigawatt to get them up and running. You remember why one gigawatt? One gigawatt because the hyperscaler, you know, wants that first phase in place so they can go sign up customers for their cloud capacity and then it takes them time to be able to expand from maybe a thousand-acre campus that has one gigawatt of compute capacity to a 5,000-acre campus that has, you know, five gigawatts of compute capacity but that five gigs of compute capacity comes with six gigs of generation upside opportunity. So we grow along with them as they're acquiring more customers to sign up for cloud capacity. We're going side by side and building out the energy infrastructure required to do it.
David Arcaro 2:12:32 ↗
Thanks so much. Dave Arcaro with Morgan Stanley. I was wondering if you could maybe elaborate on how you're serving data centers with battery storage. We've heard a couple of applications. If data centers could be flexible and disconnect from the grid and use batteries as kind of a peaking option there or even load leveling to handle the spikes in data center power use. Wondering if that's an application. I didn't see too much detail on it in your presentation, but could that be a...
John Ketchum 2:12:58 ↗
Yeah, absolutely. That they actually I'm not going to give the name of the one of the ones that we talked about on here...
Because I can't for confidentiality reasons, but it's actually an enabling factor on one of those transactions. Because what happens is when you have a hyperscaler, the first thing that they're trying to do is get that initial phase built, right? That one gigawatt, they need a load interconnect. And the LSE is saying, look, you have two choices: get in a long line, like four to seven years, to get a load interconnect done because I'm going to have to go figure out how to build a generation to accommodate, or bring your own generation solution. If you bring your own generation solution, I'll throw you to the front of the line, right? And batteries is a way to do that. So, what we do with the hyperscaler, we say, look, let's figure out a battery storage solution that can actually help us jump the line, get a load interconnect immediately so we can work on those additional phase buildouts. But what's really interesting, David, for us is that don't just limit your thinking to batteries. Batteries is one way to do it. We could do it with wind. We can do it with solar, aeroderivatives, recip engines. Another way we're doing it is the customer supply business. For example, we're able to go out and do a firm and shape three-year product or a five-year product that can accommodate the load interconnect to get these data centers off the ground. I'll hit you with even another one. Our transmission business. There are pockets of the country, we already have a couple of deals in the pipeline right now that are part of those 20 data center hubs that we talked about where transmission solutions. So, if we go to grid lines, right, and grid lines can say, 'Hey, I have an idea. We've been able to use our tools and we can free up a gigawatt of transmission capacity that didn't exist there with an upgrade.' Maybe it's a transmission solution. Maybe it's just a battery that's being used as a grid solution as well. But we can use our transmission business also to free up that initial gigawatt. So when it comes to bridge power solutions, we can cover the waterfront. And that's what is so unusual about the platform that we have and one of the huge benefits of being part of every aspect of the energy value chain. And David, I think you were also asking when you have a load that can now change its needs in a very short amount of time and since it's one large load that can actually change what the grid needs, how do you have generation source that can match that? And batteries obviously provide that in spades because they are the quickest to move. And so therefore, if you did have significant fluctuations on your data center and what it did in terms of what its need of load were, you could match that with a battery as another application that we're seeing people really look at as something that they need.
Jeremy Tet 2:16:12 ↗
Hi, good morning. Jeremy Tet, JP Morgan. Thank you for all the details today. Just want to come back to the guidance and clearly tenure guidance is very impressive. Very few in the space are able to do that, but wanted to focus maybe a little bit more on the front end of that, the 8% plus as you outlined there. And just curious, I guess recently you've been able to achieve numbers higher than that 10%, a bit over 10%. So maybe digging into that plus a little bit more. Is there anything that holds you back from kind of hitting the levels that you have recently? What could that 8% plus look like?
John Ketchum 2:16:42 ↗
Yeah, you want me to start, Mike, and then I'll turn it over to you. But I look at it very simply. You look at our track record, first of all, and I think it speaks for itself. I mean, we've got last decade over 10%, you go back 20 years, similar numbers. And the forecast that we've been able to build to, to put together, and like I said, we've spent a lot of time on this going through the 10-year forecast is built around 8% plus plus, right? And then you have to turn your attention to all the upside opportunities that we have and that we've always been able to find as a company. And so when you think about, I'll just take the renewable business, if we're able to do better, right, improve the market share that we have in the renewable business, that based on that what's in those slides, all the storage opportunities with 190 gigawatt pipeline, having large load for the first time ever in Florida, having the rate case outcome that we had with a top-end 11.95% ROE. And then you move on to the energy resources side of the business. The data center hub strategy for example, right? Just going, we said 15 to 35, somewhat conservative. We're really shooting for that 15 by 35. That 15 by 35 is upside. A lot of that comes with gas. Mike gave you the numbers. 60 to 90 billion dollars of capex if we just hit our, you know, do a little bit better on the gas forecast that we've laid out for you combined with being able to go from 15 to 35 on that data center hub strategy. So many different ways for us to be able to accomplish what we've set out to do and that plus is there for a reason. Mike, anything you'd like to add to that?
Mark Idleman 2:18:39 ↗
No, I just say this is a management team that looks to outperform each and every day. But if you look at everything we put together, we are talking about investing today for the 12 ways to grow in 2028 plus. And if you look across each and every one of those, large load at FPL, Scott told you 2028 plus. We went through the transmission side at NextEra Energy Transmission and if you look at when those reach COD, tomorrow 2031, you see our partnership with Exelon for 2031. When we talk about our large load and like you see 4 to 8 gigawatt in the 2030 time period, we are building a company that is built for long-term financial success. And when you look at where those upsides should come and when they really come together to create the full value and power of this platform, it really is as those three ways to grow move to 12.
John Ketchum 2:19:35 ↗
Yeah. And get ready. I mean, like I said before, those announcements we put up today, it's like two quarters of work. I think that's the other key piece. Two quarters. Just think about what's to come. Other key pieces you will get visibility into that growth earlier, right? Because we'll be winning the projects. We will be having the analysis. We'll be having those definitive agreements. So, we will be telling you because of the investment time period well in advance of 2028 or 29 or 2030 what we're winning and how that translates into growth. So although the earnings growth can be when we have the 12 ways to grow, the knowledge of that, the knowing of that, the catalyst of that will be far earlier.
Jeremy Tet 2:20:24 ↗
That's very helpful. Thank you. If I could just ask a quick second one unrelated as it relates to SMRs. Just curious if there's any technology that has caught your eye so far and what would you need to see to believe one of these technologies is commercially viable. Thanks.
John Ketchum 2:20:39 ↗
Yeah. So, we have done a lot of work on SMRs. I talked to a lot of you, I think at EEI about this. Brian had a slide on it as well. We started with 96 OEMs who claim to be SMR manufacturers or in the SMR business. We kind of called that down to 12 and we've done a very deep technical and commercial dive on those 12. We've taken that down to three. We're more focused on Gen 3 than Gen 4 right now, just for obvious reasons. I think it's just how far along they are in the technology and then also a lot of the Gen 4s rely more on a HALU, which isn't quite there with the LEU fuel types. So, we're more focused on the Gen 3s and what we're looking for ultimately is, I like to say there's four wallets, right, that come to the table in building successfully an SMR project. That's the OEM, it's the federal government, it's the counterparty, right, it would be a hyperscaler, and it would ultimately be us as a developer. But I also haven't been shy in saying that look, we're going to be smart about it, right? That's why we're going to do our homework on commercial and technical viability and we're not going to take uncapped risk, right? We're going to be smart about capping our financial exposure that we would have here. But if we could find the right opportunity, there is a lot of demand from the hyperscale community for them and there could be a smart way to make these work and that's why we're focused on it.
Hi, it's Bill from UBS. Just a question on FPL. You had talked about the large load growth opportunities. How much of that is embedded in the 90 to 100 billion of capex that you laid out today and how much would sort of be upside?
John Ketchum 2:22:39 ↗
Yeah. So, of the, I'll call it the roughly 20 gigawatts of pipeline that I talked about, we have six gigawatts baked into our expectations through 2032. So, using the simple math I threw in there, think about that as about 12 billion of capex or a little more than 10% of our capex that we're going to spend through 2032.
Okay. And then following up, what should we assume or what's embedded in the plan for the earned return? Right, you've got the rate stabilization mechanism. So should we assume that you can achieve the high end throughout the forecast period?
Mark Idleman 2:23:12 ↗
I think you should think about it in the same way you looked at prior rate agreements, right? The rate stabilization mechanism was framed up instead of taking cash for really years three and four. I highlighted Rewire and we are going to have to focus on improving the business and cost productivity just like we have through Momentum, Accelerate, Velocity. And so I think looking at our historical performance under multi-year settlement agreements is probably a good benchmark to think about how we'll perform going forward.
Okay. Thank you.
John Ketchum 2:23:40 ↗
One other thing I want to make so that you understand on the regulated side is that the power of the diversity of our platform. Because when you look at the energy resources regulatory businesses, they will grow capital employed by about $15 billion between now and 2032. That $15 billion is greater than the large load expectations included within FPL. So when you look across these different pieces, we have multiple ways to grow our regulatory capital employed and the large load at FPL becomes an upside that creates that real earnings power across the company.
Ryan Lavine 2:24:30 ↗
Hi, Ryan Lavine with Citi. Given the announcements this morning around Google and Meta, can you speak to how you're managing customer concentration risks as the hyperscaler data center market evolves?
Mark Idleman 2:24:44 ↗
Sure. I mean, first of all, we have amazing diversity across our portfolio. I think we put some of those... and when you're looking across with over 400 different offtakers or 400 different projects, over 300 different offtakers, the amount of diversity that we have amongst our assets is substantial. When we've looked across this and I think this is a number of conversations we've had with all of the credit agencies, is that any one project is so minimal that we could remove that project and it would not impact our corporate cash flows. So our broad side is that we are a very, very diverse set of cash flows that come to us.
Ryan Lavine 2:25:26 ↗
Okay. And then on terms of your dividend policy as you look out beyond the forecast time horizon, are you assuming that that growth rate continues to be less than the EPS growth rate?

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Ketchum, J. (2026, January 28). $NEE NextEra Energy Investor Day 2025 [Interview transcript]. EARNMOAR. CEOInterviews.AI. https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/679483/

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John Ketchum. "$NEE NextEra Energy Investor Day 2025." EARNMOAR, 28 Jan. 2026. Transcript, CEOInterviews.AI, https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/679483/.

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@misc{ketchum2026_679483,
  author       = {John Ketchum},
  title        = {$NEE NextEra Energy Investor Day 2025},
  howpublished = {Interview transcript, EARNMOAR. CEOInterviews.AI},
  year         = {2026},
  month        = {jan},
  url          = {https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/679483/},
  note         = {Speaker-attributed transcript with timestamps}
}