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Raymond Scott
President, Chief Executive Officer & Director, LEAR CORP

Lear CEO Ray Scott: AI, Automation, Vertical Integration & Other Keys To Competitiveness - AAH 777

🎥 Feb 05, 2026 📺 Autoline Network ⏱ 58m 👁 3263 views
TOPICS: Ray Scott, President and CEO of Lear Corporation, dives deep into the strategic vision driving one of the world's leading automotive suppliers. Scott discusses Lear’s multi-front strategy, from maintaining its leadership in automotive seating to aggressively expanding its footprint in the competitive Chinese market. A significant portion of the conversation focuses on the "E-Systems" segment, where Scott explains how Lear is capitalizing on the transition to electric vehicles through advanced wiring harnesses and cutting-edge zonal compute technology. Whether you are interested in man...
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About Raymond Scott

Ray Scott, president and CEO of Lear Corporation, appeared on the "Anything is Possible Show" on July 18, 2026. During the interview, Scott discussed the company's culture of leaning on each other during challenges, including the first major strike, COVID-19, the chip crisis, and tariff trade. He stated that Lear wrote a playbook for the COVID-19 situation that they could share with others. Scott also said the company has built a "defensible moat" that creates a long-term competitive advantage, and that he believes the scarcity of human capital will continue to be an issue for manufacturing, leading Lear to focus on technology innovation and automation. Scott offered advice on leadership, saying that people too often surround themselves with those who tell them what they want to hear, and that it is important to find a room where people talk candidly and give feedback on what one needs to hear. He also advised the younger generation to have patience, noting that "it's not an easy path" and that they "might be a little bit too impatient."

Source: AI-verified profile updated from Raymond Scott's recent appearances. Browse all interviews →

Transcript (129 segments)
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Host0:00
Brought to you by AlixPartners. For more than 40 years, we have helped companies and their stakeholders around the world harness opportunity, overcome challenges, and achieve outsized outcomes. AlixPartners, when it really matters.
Hey everybody, welcome to Autoline After Hours. Me here and you there, Gary. What a surprise. We're back at it again. And we got to let everybody know that we've got Ray Scott, the CEO of the Lear Corporation with us today. And Ray, fantastic to have you on the show here.
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Raymond Scott0:32
Yeah, it's great to be here. It really is special.
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Host0:35
And well, you know, the timing is great. You just had your year-end financial earnings report yesterday. That's kind of given us a lot of ammunition to ask you about what's going on in the industry here.
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Raymond Scott0:47
Yeah, it was a good call. It was good finishing up what I think was a strong year and I think gave us some really strong momentum heading into '26. You know, it's been an exciting time in the auto industry. There's always something going on, but it just feels good. It feels a little bit better.
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Host1:05
Well, last year was I mean, it was a tough year. Tariffs disrupted everything. You had all kinds of EV programs getting cancelled or delayed and yet you guys came through pretty strong.
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Raymond Scott1:18
Yeah, you're missing a couple there too. You had the copper situation with the index and the disconnect. You had the cyber security attack with a major OEM. And you're right, you had the geopolitical issues going on relative to different volumes and platforms. And so that's why I'm really proud of the team to really work through those issues and have what I consider to be a good year. And we kind of measure ourselves. What's great is we put ourselves out there. We're measuring ourselves two different ways. One is net performance, which is how do we perform above things like customer productivity, transactional changes, FX, those type of things, labor economics. And we had an outstanding year, almost $200 million of net performance. And the second one, and I think equally as important, is growth.
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Host2:07
So hey Dave, how you doing?
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David Welsh2:09
Yeah, good. Good seeing you.
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Host2:10
Good to see you. So David Welsh has joined the show here. David Welsh from Bloomberg. You missed your exit, right? Well, anyway, great to have you on the show here. I would say move that mic up a little bit higher.
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David Welsh2:24
That's good. Okay.
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Host2:25
All right. Now, now, now you look like you're ready to go here.
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David Welsh2:28
Yeah, it's all good.
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Host2:29
But anyway, Ray was just giving us a quick recap of the financial earnings that they reported yesterday.
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Raymond Scott2:34
Yeah, we had a good call yesterday and we're talking about the second part of growth and the team did a remarkable job. You know, in e-systems, $1.44 billion of new business, second record year for us in new business wins. I think it was a really good time. We pivoted from what was EV. We saw the demise or the volume reductions in EVs and now we've re-pivoted with ICE vehicles, particularly in e-systems and in seating. There were some really special awards. The onshoring with General Motors with the Orion facility, a great continuation of our relationship. Really looking forward to putting that plant up here in Michigan. So I think that just continues with our extension of the premier trucks and SUVs for General Motors. And then, you know, we talked about some conquest wins. We can talk more a little bit more about it, but right now it was a major conquest win on the truck platform that we'll be launching in the next several years. But what was exciting about that in the seating world was it was really around technology innovation in the manufacturing processes.
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Host3:44
Let's talk a little bit about that.
Okay. Wait, wait, wait, wait, wait, wait. You're assuming everybody knows what Lear is. And I think that Ray, if you would, you position the company, tell us what you do. I mean, because you know, you're more than I think people think. And so if you put that in a snapshot, it'll make the conversation better for the people who are listening.
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Raymond Scott4:02
Okay. $23 billion in revenue, 175,000 people globally, well positioned in seating. Seating really the core part of our business. Most vertically integrated seat company in the world. You know, luxury vehicles all the way around the world from, you know, the North American customers to the domestic Chinese to the German OEM. So, well positioned with the customers and then e-systems, wiring, terminals, connection systems and then electronics. And so, you know, two different product groups but doing a really nice job in each one.
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Host4:37
When you say electronics, what's in that? Because that can be some pretty basic stuff like...
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Raymond Scott4:42
So wire harnesses. So, from what are basic harnesses all the way to very complex harnesses on autonomous vehicles and so those get very complex. You can have some very simple...
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Host4:54
Three or four miles of wire.
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Raymond Scott4:56
Well, yeah, very complex with the terminal connectors and just the complexity of the harness itself from a manufacturing perspective and then terminals, connectors, more of the sophisticated T's and C's that are on the harness and then very selective specific electronic modules. You know, we just got awarded a PACE award with a zone control module and that we're going to supply with a customer launching this year. And so, you know, so we have very specific electronics business that we also do.
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Host5:26
Man, everything that you're saying is triggering a million other questions.
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David Welsh5:29
I mean, this is a fascinating thing. I mean, so you know, one of your favorite subjects is zonal computing and you guys are into that with that new development that you have.
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Raymond Scott5:37
And we got recognized for that program around our algorithm, the software and creating a really flexible software program that allows the customer to change features as opposed to changing hardware. And so the technology that is really driving what I think are much more efficient products through technology and innovation are really helping our customers and then that's what's really what it's all about. Very similar with seating with our modularity concept where we make a much more, I'll say, simpler type concept as opposed to a layered seat build. You have a modular concept where we build thermal comfort solutions into a modular component that reduction of 50% of the part numbers and significant weight reduction. The customer's preferences and comfort improved dramatically and you build it where you can actually scale it. And everything we talk about, we'll talk about volatility and changes and we just discuss all the things going on in the industry. Well, our focus is around how we can drive durability and sustainable margins given everything else going on in the industry. And so modularity and seating being very vertically integrated having the capabilities around engineering, product engineering and the importance of how that connects to manufacturing. I think historically it's been somewhat separated but the two really engage when you start talking about manufacturing technology and design changes required to really drive the next generation of products. And so doing a really good job. That's why I think the conquest win that we talked about on the earnings call was so important because it validated our strategy and how we've been positioning ourselves because we've bought a lot of different companies where we kind of have this string of pearls approach. And Intouch, the Gorawip automation, which is a software company that does AI capabilities that we develop for our own production uses on our manufacturing plant floor. Stone Shield that was just recently announced with automation. And so, you know, we've been doing and going at this for 10 years and the combination of having best-in-class product that line up with the manufacturing competencies are getting tied together and that win was all about that. So, you know, when the customer came through, they went through an audit, a process. They came in, we have a facility in Rochester Hills where it's a lights out facility. We're showing a lot of the greatest and newest technologies on the manufacturing side and they came through and they audited us. They went to our manufacturing plants. They're looking at our modular design and saying this is the type of innovation from a supply chain we want to move forward with. And so we're awarded the program based on that criteria.
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Host8:36
Out totally automated.
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Raymond Scott8:37
Well there'll be parts of it that are absolutely lights out. Yes. And when I say lights out, it's interesting. I think everyone thinks, okay, there's not a human in the place. No, no, no. You still have very technical skilled resources and capabilities are required. What we look at is the transition to software engineers. You know, we have very specific capital, you know, with dexterity or certain applications for the capital we're using in our plant for the modifications of the capital that we're using. So no, you still have people that would be very technical and very capable around the capital that's on the floor, but used in a different way. But yes, from start to finish, the capital itself is helping that product through the plant.
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Host9:22
Well, you mentioned just quickly in passing Stone Shield and that you acquired and I looked into that and it deals I think with what David was talking about, wire harnesses automation that will give you guys an advantage in terms of being able to manufacture more efficiently. No, that's been something that was difficult to do, which is why they're made in Vietnam and Mexico in a lot of cases is it's very labor intensive to make the wiring.
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Raymond Scott9:45
Yeah. So are trim covers. I mean, trim covers, harnesses, there are elements of it, yes, that are automated. But it's a very complex, labor-intensive job, but there's parts of it that technology will vastly improve the automation in the manufacturing plants. And so Stone Shield was a very important acquisition for us because the redundancy of taping and getting down to an automated, when you look at it and you see the people that are required to just tape the harness themselves, you say there's got to be a better way out there and there is. And so it's combining these type of capabilities. And what I love right now and why it's so exciting I think in the auto industry is technology is advancing so quickly. You know, you talk about AI or you talk about software, the digital changes, the capital side, the automation side and the suppliers or the OEMs that are moving fastly towards the technology are going to be the ones that are going to be successful because I think if you're five years ahead in this type of area of technology, you're really so far ahead that it's even difficult for anyone to catch up. So there's a need to move very fast. And I always look at it this way. So all of it's not solved when the harness is very complex or trim covers. But what I am seeing is what everyone used to say is impossible, it truly is possible. I'm seeing on the plant floor the problems being solved with technology and innovation. And I think there'll be a time when it will be solved. And I always look at it this way too. If we do have an area that we're trying to gap out because we haven't solved it yet, wait six months. I tell the team, wait six months. It is amazing. I was just in a facility last Friday and they talk about the dexterity, the fingers, and being able to do things like sewing or wire harnesses or other types of applications within a plant and now it's there. I mean, in medical areas where they're solving problems that were unsolvable, this is great as we look at manufacturing and the need for manufacturing going forward. There's and today in the US, there's hundreds of thousands of unfulfilled manufacturing jobs. You have to gap it out with capabilities because the manufacturing jobs and the requirements for manufacturing jobs in the future are increasing. Population growth rates are decreasing. The attractiveness to other jobs is increasing and so technology will gap that out. It is very helpful, but it's also a very helpful way to improve job satisfaction. Every time I walk through these plants, employees love what we're doing. You talk about quality, you talk about throughput, you talk about just the general overview of efficiency, the technology that's driving the new layers of what we're going to do as far as hiring new talent.
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Host12:34
So, do you have a shortage of assembly workers, manufacturing workers in your plants?
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Raymond Scott12:39
Well, that's more of a regional and I think it's more in different areas. Yes. We can find issues relative to shortage or absenteeism or other things, but that's more of our regional things. We have great areas. We have a great facility here in Detroit. We have a great facility up in Flint, Michigan. So, you know, it depends on the region you're talking about and where.
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Host13:03
You know, going back to these changes that you're seeing and better throughput and, you know, being able to automate parts of the wiring harness, which is amazing. I'd love to see more details on that. Is it changing the design of the product to go together easier or is it better automation that's able to do these things?
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Raymond Scott13:23
So it's both. You can solve problems with the products that are in place today and that's a lot of what we're doing. So we initiated IDEA by Lear about three years ago because we were acquiring all these companies. We're trying to figure out how do we pull all this together? You know, like I said, we've acquired seven, eight different companies in innovation, technology, automation, those type of things then along with the software and the digital solutions that we're bringing forward. We brought together IDEA by Lear which was, you know, innovation, it's the digital side, it's the engineered, which you're talking, the product side is an important element of this and it's automation. IDEA.
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Host14:02
Really clever, huh? It is actually.
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Raymond Scott14:04
But what it did was it got the team, you know, we have 175,000 employees in our company. So you want a culture that's built on creating innovation and driving and understanding it's okay to take a little risk and push innovation in the plant floor or in the product side. So ideally, it's the combination of the product changing like I talk about with a modular solution or a just-in-time environment, but you can also solve near-term issues that you have on a platform floor through digital changes that with a current product or automation and technology that's here today. And so it really is both if you want to hit it ideally, but you can get at it with a current product that's in place today.
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Host14:46
And I think what should be pointed out, your IDEA program saved you guys $30 million in the first half of last year. I mean, so this is just not some slogan that's out there. I mean, you guys are really making...
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Raymond Scott14:57
I think what was great about that, that's been, you know, I say when you're five years ahead, you know, so we put that in place three years ago and we're already driving modular concepts 10 years ago. And so the combination of the acquisitions we're making, it's like how do we fit them? Everyone when you go through an acquisition culturally the fit of how you can get at and scale it properly. You want to make sure you don't burn a new company that you just acquired into what you're trying to do. How do you look at the capacity that's available within their technology innovation? How do you prioritize it? So, we set up an organization around IDEA by Lear. And it was really centered on and focused on how do we optimize that? And then we started realizing, yeah, we're getting at these opportunities quickly. And when you have over 270 manufacturing plants across the manufacturing, the breadth of manufacturing that we have within Lear, how do you prioritize it? How do you, every investment dollar, how do you look at a return and how do you prioritize it? Then how do you stretch it across all your plants? And so setting up the organization. So you're giving the people the tools to do their job, but you're also giving the organization and support. So IDEA really resonated with the team. We have a great culture. Lear has a great culture of looking at innovation and driving. And I say that because I've seen other companies that, well, if it's not created here it doesn't really exist, that won't work here. We're not that, we're not built that way. We have a culture that once the grassroots within the company embrace it, it goes. So then we start tracking it. And I think the way we look at it, there's some soft and hard savings. And the hard savings are what we really want to start monitoring and letting our investors know the investment dollars we're putting in place. Here's how we're driving results. Because in today's world, especially in automotive, it's about there's going to be challenges this year. You know, last year we're sitting here and, you know, tariffs were coming out. What's it mean? And we're looking at these big numbers and we managed that very well. You know, you go into supply chain issues, you go into cyber security attacks, you got the copper issue that came out. So, we're going to be dealing with things. So, how do you create an organization that's durable that can sustain and manage change because you're going to have it, maybe it's not clear what those changes or issues are going to be today, but they're coming at us. And so building something around technology innovation that helps you scale and really allows it to connect throughout the other plants, it's very helpful. And once it's a very competitive atmosphere in some respects, too. So one plant has, I went through this fellowship program which is an AI tool that we're using through Foundry which is Palantir. And we had this absenteeism pool way to really track and define and get at what was inefficient versus driving efficiency within the absenteeism pool. And once one plant has it they all want it. And so now it's just how do you do it in a way that makes sense and it's a tremendous savings, but it's also better for the people on the floor too. It really helps out how we're bringing people in, how we're managing people, how we're not wasting somebody's time. And so I think everyone thinks about, oh, you're just looking at cutting heads. It's not that. It's actually job satisfaction. It's helping drive efficiency and the amount of wasted hours that somebody might be spending on just Excel spreadsheets and trying to get that information and having the clarity around that to drive the plants in a much more efficient manner. So, it's exciting. It really is exciting stuff. I get to sit through these projects and it helps you think, okay, we got this. We got now how do you connect the dots quicker?
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Host18:39
So, would you say that whole IDEA process is what led to you getting this big conquest deal for a full-size truck program?
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Raymond Scott18:47
Yeah. Well, I think it's that, I think it's proof of concept. I think it's the validation and the production orders we have in place. I think it's the Rochester Hills facility. I think it's a combination of a lot of different things. You know, like I said, it takes time. I mean, I've always said when you introduce a new way of thinking about, for example, in seating, a modular concept where the components come together in a design that's exactly, John, what you're talking about is you design the product differently. When you look at a seat system today, if you were to unravel it and take it apart, you have harnesses, you have thermal mats, you have foam pads, you have lumbar, you have motors. Well, they're designed individually to source individually. Well, if you look at it, you would sit there and common sense is, well, no, you design these together. Why doesn't this fit together now? Why wouldn't this just go in? Why wouldn't you get rid of this harness? Because you don't need these harnesses. And I say when you reduce a part that has been traditionally around for a long time, 50% of the part numbers, weight's cut in half. The time to sensation for a customer is changed dramatically. It's all common sense. And so looking at it and driving it. Now what's great that's going into production and I always say what's great about our industry is once you start benchmarking and somebody looks at another vehicle and they say, wait a minute, why is that so much more efficient and the cost has changed dramatically and it's much more efficient for the end consumer. Okay, that then it moves much faster.
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Host20:24
Is that because you're vertically integrated that you're able to do that or are you bringing in suppliers right at the design stage?
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Raymond Scott20:28
So we tried that. And that's very difficult to bring in suppliers because you got protection, you got IPs, you got somebody that wants to make this profit, you want to make that profit. We tried that and so yeah, we went and we acquired Kongsberg and IGB and it gave us instant credibility in the thermal comfort business. And then so we can still quote independent components. What's beautiful about what we've done is we can still quote traditional purchasing strategies, that's fine, but then you have some of the more extreme, the domestic Chinese are much more open to considering all types of options. You have Tesla, you have others that are much more open to modular concepts. And I think within the middle there's probably a hybrid of different OEMs that will look at manufacturing and modularity. And so we can quote any different solution that any one of our customers want. But what we found, and again this goes back 10 years. I remember when I was in seating. I wasn't the CEO. I was in seating and I was like these relationships are very clumsy. They're very tough. And at someday at some point somebody wants to make the money or drive it. And so it wasn't gaining any traction. And so we went and we acquired Kongsberg IGB, very selective, very strategic, went after them. And now we have engineers on the product side that know exactly what they're doing, designing products that are matched up with our foam and trim experts into a modular solution. And so that's going, that's in production. That's come a long way. And so once you have in production, it's validated, you know, the ride and drives, the validation procedures, the statement of requirements, you're through all that. It's a lot easier to take it to another OEM and say, 'Hey, look, this works.' And it's agnostic to any seat frame, too. So, you can place it anywhere, which is nice.
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Host22:25
You mentioned Palantir in passing, and it's very interesting that you guys are working with their Foundry and Warp Speed manufacturing operating system. And what I find fascinating is that when people think about manufacturing, they might think about SAP or QAD or a company like that. Tell us about how you got hooked up with Palantir and what it's providing you guys in terms of capability.
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Raymond Scott22:50
Oh boy, we've been probably working with Palantir for over three years now. And originally started off, and if you think about Lear, we've gone through all these acquisitions. We have somewhat of a fragmented IT system. And so what Palantir brings in is immediate connectivity and connection. And so their ontology and the way they look at and the way their system works, it ties our systems together in a way that we can actually take the data and use it in a meaningful application. And that's one side of it, but their Foundry tool has allowed us to look at everything and get at decisions and drive efficiency. And I'm not just talking about the manufacturing plant which we've seen tremendous results. It's in how we look at inventory, supply chain, non-procurement purchasing, what we're doing with administrative resources. What we found was we had individuals that 60% of their time was pulling together Excel spreadsheets. 60%. Could you imagine? Talk about job satisfaction. 60% of your time is working on I have to get all these Excel spreadsheets. Boom. Done. Then now they can actually now focus and reapply their efforts to something that's very meaningful in the company. And so the use cases, we had over 300, you know, 17,000 users. I talked about it yesterday. It's just expanding throughout our company. And so what started, and I love this, what I love about Lear. I talk about culture. It wasn't something I had to push in the organization. It was a grassroots. It got pulled, or more of a, the organization kind of pulled at it. And so once one plant, we kicked it off in the UK to do some work within our manufacturing plants. Immediately, every other plant wanted it. Then it went from no one was going to use this tool to everybody couldn't live without it. And so I sat through. So we had our first fellowship program, which is a very unique program that Palantir established with us. And they trained 85 employees. And these tools are, I always tell my kids, I'm like, listen, like Excel, when you had to go learn Excel, you had to learn Excel. I mean, you're going to have to learn these tools. I mean, they're going to be part of your everyday life. And so we had 85 individuals that were trained in Foundry and then those individuals are much more engaged with what we need to fix within the company. So the projects they went forward with were truly revolutionary in my mind. And I sat through the presentations. I'm listening to these going, I never even thought that way. I mean, so you have this younger generation that's coming in. They're working on problems that I always got used to just that's what you do. They don't think that way. And so they can connect the dots a lot quicker and these projects are fixing how we look at capacity.
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Host25:51
And this is mainly using AI, artificial intelligence.
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Raymond Scott25:54
It's mainly using tools and part of that is AI. Yes. And it truly is remarkable how it pulls everything together in real time.
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Host26:03
Can you take this from an AI buzzword to bottom line?
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Raymond Scott26:07
Oh yeah. Dollars and IDEA by Lear. Why we're holding ourselves accountable, which I don't know if any other company's really looking at the way we're looking at with net performance on a supplier perspective because we want to push ourselves and we believe this. So everything we're doing is net improvement to our operating performance. And so that's how we look at it. I have a whole finance team measuring this not just on the digital side, but on the hardware side too and the capital. And so, you know, I want to look back and I tell everyone 12 months I want to know exactly what our investment dollars made us and how we applied it and how we prioritized it. And that's probably the biggest issue we have right now, issue if it's an issue, is prioritizing. You know, we have hundreds of different things, how do you prioritize it based on what is the best results.
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Host26:56
How much pressure is there to implement robotics, automation, AI tools? These, your competitors who are also bidding on future business out there, is it just constant heat to do that to be able to drive down costs and stay competitive with who else is out there in the world?
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Raymond Scott27:14
Yeah, you know, here's the way I look at it. I don't spend a lot of time on my competitors in regards to what you just mentioned. I think about more in terms of our own survival that this is something that if you're not the best and you're not best in class, I do measure where we're at relative to our own industry but in some cases I have to go outside of our industry to look at manufacturing integrators, how we look at automation. And listen, you can go buy a cobot or robot. Everyone does. That's, it's the manufacturing integration into purpose-built capital for your consumption. And so like a lot of suppliers will say, 'Yes, we use automation.' Well, yeah, everyone uses automation in some respects for a certain advantage either through throughput or quality or other things, but it's how you use that particular capital for efficiency for your own consumption. And so the companies we bought are designing the parts that go on the cobots. We created a visual system and it's cameras. It's, you know, in touch with a company that we acquired that has the visual capabilities. So for quality checking, throughput, you know, where you're actually, there was a tremendous amount of cost on the end of line on the quality and how you measure and how you look. Well, we did some AI work with, and it was through the medical, we had a woman that was from the medical industry that came in and was taking medical technology and AI to help us with how we look at appearance on our seats. And she designed a program that will get appearance right first time and it checks it and it gets smarter and it gets smarter and it gets smarter as it's working. And so there's these applications that we're using. So, I always look at it as like we have to be best. We have to be the best. And we're kind of in a survival mindset of like, you know, if you're not, you will lose. And you got the domestic Chinese that are doing a great job. You got the traditionals that are doing a great job. You have to position yourself where you're creating a value...
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David Welsh29:29
proposition for your customer every single day. And so when you drive the company that way with that mentality, yeah, you can benchmark, but sometimes the benchmarks are not direct competitors. They're other competitors in our industry or they're companies outside of our industry is what I find with manufacturing integration.
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Host29:52
Hey, hold that thought, Gary. We got to take a quick break right now. Give a great shout out to our sponsor, AlixPartners.
We act, we grow, we transform, we protect, we rescue in moments that define the future. We are the partner you can trust. AlixPartners, when it really matters.
For the sponsorship. And Gary, apologies for having cut you off, but it's all yours.
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Gary30:21
So, Ray, you were talking about the survival mindset. Now, the litany of issues that came up that you mentioned last year, from the tariffs to the copper and so on. Is this mindset more intense now than it was, let's say, five years ago, or is this part and parcel of the way Lear operates?
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Raymond Scott30:43
I think it's kind of over the last several years. I think from COVID, you know, what we kept hearing is, well, let's get back to the normal. And then you have the chip crisis, and then you have labor economics and inflation, then you have materials, then you have material shortfalls, then you have labor strikes. It just became, okay, this is the new normal. This is what we live in. This is the industry we're in. This is what we choose to do. Trade policy changing, the geopolitical stuff, the policy changes, the major shifts that we've seen with EVs. And so, I think it's over time. I wouldn't say it just immediately came. And I think, John, you and I talked when you were at our place not too long ago and watching other OEs too and how they behave and how they're thinking about things. I'm thinking about the domestic Chinese when I do meet with our customers out there. When there's 200 different OEs trying to gain the same market share to be successful and you witness that and you're watching, that's a different mentality. They're in a survival mode. If they don't get that next unit out, they don't feel they're going to be around. And if they don't get the next technology or innovation out, they won't be around. Now, it's a mentality you love to push, but you don't want to create this crazy sense of urgency that people panic. And so, there's a balance there. When I say survival, it's like understanding where you need to be five, ten years from now. We have to be there. The successful companies that will be around will be there and they're going to find a way to adapt, to move through these things, to be flexible, to scale properly. The old normal's gone. You know, and can you operate in this environment? And like I said, that's why I felt so good about last year. No, we're not where we need to be or want to be by any stretch. But I felt we managed a lot of the things that came at us with a different type of mentality. And culturally, I think we're built for that. And culture is very important. I used to talk about culture way back when, and it's not very exciting when you talk to investors and they're like, 'Okay, culture. Everyone says they have a great culture.' But culture is very important because you have to have that type of drive to not panic but still know that you have to do these things and some of them are going to drive risk, but you're going to be better off for it because we're in an industry where risk is not a word we're used to using because of a quality issue or warranty issue or anything else. You avoid risk at all costs, but we're going to have to challenge ourselves with innovation, technology, and that's going to be a risk.
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David Welsh33:26
You mentioned COVID and culture, and you guys did amazing work during the pandemic in terms of making it possible for people to work safely. I mean, you guys should get big, big credit for that.
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Raymond Scott33:40
Ah, yeah. Thanks. The team did a great job. And I think from a Lear perspective and others, we saw exactly what was going on in China in November of really 2018 or 2019. And so having that knowledge and seeing what was going on and being able to share that, we're used to running off a playbook and that's what we kind of put in place.
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David Welsh34:05
Talk a little bit more about that because to Gary's point, you guys came up with a playbook of how to deal with this and you published it for the industry to be able to use and everybody I know grabbed on to that.
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Gary34:16
It was great.
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Raymond Scott34:16
Yeah. Well, I think it started internally at Lear where we're running into certain situations that there wasn't anything. If you think back to that time, it was like wear a mask, don't wear a mask, maybe you should wear a mask. There was nothing. There was no guidelines. There was no best procedures. There wasn't anything in place that would tell you here's how you treat a certain situation or here's the type of equipment you should be using to protect people. Here's the protocols or the time that you should be thinking about. And so while we're going through it, we went through it in China. We had great people on the ground in China that were going through it. So we were learning from there. We learned in Italy. So we are learning from different experiences that we're going through and I said we need to write up everything that we have, let's start benchmarking everything because it was changing so quickly. And you're right, we did write the playbook and we're going to use it for our own internal consumption. And I was like, this isn't right, this doesn't feel right. And I was also concerned, you publish something like that when no one's publishing anything, are we going to be criticized for what do they know? And so we did put a disclaimer in there, this is just what we, at this point, these are the best practices we're using. Please use them if you find them helpful. And boy, it was downloaded over 45,000 times. I mean, I didn't think anyone would download it and use it. But boy, I heard from grocery stores. I heard from municipalities. I heard from schools that that's what they used. And that was remarkable because at the time I was like, ah, should I put this out there? And boy, I'm glad I did because I really believe it saved lives. But it was really a culmination of everyone in the company pulling together what we were learning day by day. You were learning hour by hour. And so, I'm really proud of what Lear did because of that playbook and it was a lot of hard work that the team did and then I think it really helped out the industry too get back on their feet quicker.
D
David Welsh36:18
You mentioned all the challenges from COVID onward that auto industry companies have had to deal with and the change in EV policy. Now you can make seats for either vehicle, but a lot of programs out there that have been delayed or more likely cancelled because of big change in policy and tax credits and all that sort of thing. What are you seeing out there? I mean, are there a lot of programs that you were kind of getting tooled up, ready to go or that are just not happening now and it's being retooled for an internal combustion vehicle and so the interior work you guys are going to do or the wiring electronics work is a little bit delayed here? Like how much flux is there in that future product system that is your forward book?
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Raymond Scott37:05
Yeah. Well, it's regional. And so China, we've seen more of a move from EVs to hybrids, you know, in China.
D
David Welsh37:12
Yeah. In China, EV sales were down. BYD just had a really tough quarter.
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Raymond Scott37:17
Yeah. And I think there's a lot of stories that still need to be told. You know, it's...
D
David Welsh37:21
Wait a minute. That's amazing. Hybrids are hotter in China now than EVs.
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Raymond Scott37:26
Well, it's definitely changing. Yeah. We're seeing more hybrids. And then in Europe, we've seen the shift from the EVs to the hybrids.
D
David Welsh37:33
I think it was not last quarter, I think it was last month. We just had a story on it. BYD sales were down like 30%. EV sales were down like 30%.
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Raymond Scott37:43
Yeah. And I think we're going to see more of those type of shifts. And I've seen the market run up from what was 12, 13% to above 25% of the global market and maybe slightly higher. So I still think that story still needs to probably work its way through. But the big change was here in North America and we did a really nice job. We did a great job positioning ourselves with EV manufacturers and EV product both in E-Systems and Seating because you're right, in seating we're agnostic. I mean we can build ICE...
D
David Welsh38:21
It is. But if someone cancels an EV, they may still pick other seats for whatever the vehicle that's going to replace it in their lineup. And that might take them another 12 months to release the...
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Raymond Scott38:31
Yeah. So I think last year we saw and we went through that. So I think we were, what were the customers going to do relative to their product placement? And we saw cancelled programs, we saw delayed programs and we've seen volume really decreasing on EVs. And now we're seeing the shift to onshoring. We're seeing new platforms coming out, either hybrids or ICE. And so, I think we've worked our way through that. I think we're in a much more clear position. So, commercially, we worked it through with our customers. We've kind of repositioned ourselves. That's why I think with E-Systems, I was really excited about the $1.4 billion in new business win because a good chunk of that is ICE vehicles and so we're repositioning ourselves for what happened in 2024 and 2025. And so I think that's really behind us right now. To your question, if policies change in the future, we'll see what will happen, but I think we're in a much better position as far as where we're at and things are clearer than they were back in 2024 and 2025 on what was going to happen.
D
David Welsh39:45
Ray, you've brought up Chinese national car companies a couple of times in this discussion. Are you pivoting towards going with the Chinese nationals because that's where the growth is in the Chinese market and how does a company like Lear compete against the low-cost Chinese suppliers and the supply chain that they've got?
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Raymond Scott40:05
Well, so okay. Yes, we've been doing a nice job of growing with domestic Chinese. But I still think that for Lear, we still have opportunities with the traditional OEMs and we're seeing that play out. I mean, I think we've done a nice job. So, I still think we can gain market share even with the traditionals, even as the market share may increase with the domestics globally. So, we're doing a nice job with the domestic Chinese and from a competitive standpoint, we're there. So we're really good with the luxury products where you have the technology innovation that's required to produce those seats. Done a really nice job and so we're going to continue on that growth path both in E-Systems and Seating. And I think there's another element too with the Japanese OEMs that we're really doing a nice job of positioning ourselves for longer-term relationships and growth with the Japanese.
D
David Welsh40:58
In Japan or in China?
R
Raymond Scott41:01
Globally.
D
David Welsh41:02
Okay. Okay. So, not just in China.
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Raymond Scott41:03
China we've done a nice job. But I think globally we can do a really nice job. And so, from a Lear perspective, I think we have a really nice balanced approach of how we're going to grow the business across those different areas of the industry. And so, yeah, the domestic Chinese I think have grown significantly over the last several years, but so have we with the domestic Chinese.
D
David Welsh41:28
So you guys have a big focus on manufacturing excellence and it's proven out with the many awards you've won. You mentioned earlier you won a PACE award for that Zone Control Module and you guys recently introduced a new recyclable material to replace foam. So I wonder, you guys are doing R&D and manufacturing. I mean how do you balance that?
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Raymond Scott41:56
Well, so we prioritize it based on where we can create the best value for our customers. The Zone Control Module was an area where from an efficiency standpoint, you don't have to change the whole hardware all over, you get to change the software. So we saw a need where our customers needed a solution. Flex Air Foam is one of the dirtiest products that is out there. And I have a personal issue and I've been working on that for a long time. The team has been working on that.
D
David Welsh42:28
Dirty in terms of chemicals?
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Raymond Scott42:29
The chemicals and just the process itself. And so what we did was we partnered with a company. We're the only ones in the automotive industry that have this Flex Air capability. And it was baby mattresses. And so it's 100% recyclable. Much better from a chemical perspective, environmental standpoint.
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David Welsh42:51
Baby mattresses are 100% recycled?
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Raymond Scott42:53
Yeah. Breathable. So, you think about when you're in a seat, with the foam, the TDI or the current foam situation gets hot. It absorbs the heat from the occupant. But Flex Air is a breathable foam pad. That's why you guys should come out to Rochester Hills facility and see this stuff. And it's just common sense.
D
David Welsh43:16
That's where you do your R&D?
R
Raymond Scott43:18
Well, we do some of it. So you see some manufacturing R&D out there. I think it puts it together. So yes, we work on these things, but what we really try to do is look, is there a problem that we can solve and that's what we focus on. And so we've gone past trying to solve things that don't maybe never really materialize from a PO or contract standpoint. So you have to focus on where the customers need you and that's one that I thought was really big. Environmental sustainability is still something I think is very important. The customer doesn't really engage with it, they'll actually get from a comfort standpoint better satisfaction, but it's one that I think needs to be fixed from a seat perspective.
D
David Welsh44:06
Hey, I was at CES a month ago and AI was everywhere. We've talked a lot about AI, but humanoid robots was also one of the big splashes at CES. I'm just curious what your reaction is to them.
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Raymond Scott44:21
Okay. I think the manufacturing plant itself is a giant humanoid. I don't think the human body is designed for manufacturing from an optimal perspective. So I don't see humanoid replacing individuals on a plant floor. I think the plant floor itself will replace if you're going to go down that road. It'll be replaced with automation that makes more sense than a robotic for that application. And carrying material from one point to another point, no, you have other means to take that material back and forth. Now, humanoid robots, I think people feel less threatened from what the application would be in a manufacturing plant which would probably be bigger, more industrial. But I think that the manufacturing plants themselves through the capabilities will solve those issues when we talk about actual use of humanoid robots in a plant. There are applications you can do it. We are experimenting with it, but I don't see a long-term manufacturing.
D
David Welsh45:35
John wants to see C-3PO on the assembly line.
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Raymond Scott45:37
Yeah. No, he wants a giant Optimus, not C-3PO. That looks more like a normal robot. I mean I would think that if you have a giant humanoid in a factory versus a six-axis arm that could lift a car up. I mean...
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David Welsh45:51
Yeah, and we've seen those. Those are intimidating. And I think that would be probably more practical in a manufacturing setting than what a very selective humanoid robot. Now in your home for other applications. Yeah, absolutely. I think it'd be outstanding and there's other applications that might be perfect.
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Raymond Scott46:11
So what's the future of work then if we've got all these different types of robotics, AI, software taking technical capabilities around? You're going to have a lot more software engineers, you're going to have applications around AI capabilities, there's specific needs for the capital on the plant floor, there's absolutely going to be a need for humans in the manufacturing plant to take care of those capabilities. It's a kind of a transfer.
D
David Welsh46:39
We need humans working the assembly line. I mean, if someone's ambition is to just kind of clock in and do assembly work, factory work...
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Raymond Scott46:47
We're going to need those people in the... Yeah, I still think there's going to be applications under different types of product lines. Absolutely.
D
David Welsh46:56
Well, you know, I think a key to remember is the shortage of manufacturing jobs that there are out there right now, not just in the United States, but other places, too. So...
R
Raymond Scott47:05
Shortage of jobs or shortage of work?
D
David Welsh47:07
Shortage of people. Exactly. That's what I meant to say.
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Raymond Scott47:10
I think that's the missing point is there's more manufacturing jobs required than there are people. And so the gap gets solved through technology, but there's going to be jobs. There's going to be jobs. Now, will those jobs change slightly? Yeah, I think they will. Now, how, what time are you talking? Five, ten, fifteen years or longer. But the demand for manufacturing jobs, onshoring here in the US or around the world are increasing and there's not enough people. And the other thing too is there's a lot more optionality with jobs. I mean, you can take different types of jobs and do different types of things today. The attractiveness to a particular manufacturing job isn't what it used to be 20, 30 years ago. It's changed where flexibility and other things have kind of been more attractive. And I'm not saying for everybody, I'm just saying that things have changed, the environment has changed. But what we're seeing globally is a shortage of people relative to the need for manufacturing. And this, we're one industry, you got the data centers that are in need of people, you got all kinds of new technology and building of all these robots that we're going to need and everything else. So there's going to be needs for manufacturing in different types of shapes and forms of products. Here's where I'm at is that's why I think the technology is so important is that there's going to be areas where you may not have the population that can satisfy the jobs that are required.
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David Welsh48:44
You mentioned you guys are global and you have manufacturing everywhere. Does reshoring have an effect on your business as much as it would if you were less global?
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Raymond Scott49:00
Uh, yeah, let me ask that question again. Let me...
D
David Welsh49:02
Okay, so if programs are being brought to the US for manufacturing, okay, you guys have plants everywhere, US, Europe, Asia, South America. Does it matter to you or do you have a network of manufacturing where it basically is transparent?
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Raymond Scott49:25
Okay, two different ways to answer this. From a personal perspective, I love that we're bringing jobs to the United States. And I think that's great and we can support that and in a lot of applications, it makes great sense, too. One thing I realized that when you look at the US and the types of manufacturing jobs we're not familiar with, from simple apparel to things that are basic needs that we are required to manufacture as a country. It's great. And so, it's bringing attention to those areas and we can expand those. We do textiles. I would love to expand the textile business, because there's one location where we get our textiles and the chemicals for those textiles. So, onshoring of those areas, I'm all for.
D
David Welsh50:10
Is that all Mexico?
R
Raymond Scott50:11
Is that all Mexico where you're getting all your textiles?
D
David Welsh50:13
China.
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Raymond Scott50:14
Oh, it's all China. Okay.
D
David Welsh50:15
The cut and sew will, you know, we do a lot of cut and sew in Mexico.
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Raymond Scott50:18
I thought... Yeah.
D
David Welsh50:19
But you know, so I think there's absolute areas that we need to kind of reinforce and bring back and I think they're great. So but as far as our capabilities we can manufacture anywhere in the world and so it isn't such a big issue from that perspective but from a personal perspective, the Lear perspective, love to see the onshoring, love it.
A design question for you. So there's a company, CarSurg, that does teardowns, vehicle benchmarking and so forth and got a bunch of Chinese vehicles there that I was like, yeah. So I look at the interiors there and I'm looking at BYD, Shell vehicles, all different manufacturers, and I'm seeing cool blues and greens and all kinds of wild colors with the leathers and the interiors and everything. And I could go to the showroom, any brand in the United States, I get my choice of gray or grayish black, beige, or those crafty Koreans, they go with an arctic white that does look pretty cool. But that's it. That's all I got. I get a tan, some kind of grayish black. And you know, when do we, you know, will we ever see cool colors in interiors and weather in the United States?
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Raymond Scott51:26
I don't work at the design studios for the OE here. But I know they spend...
D
David Welsh51:30
I'm not saying it's your fault, like it's, you know, they tell you what they want to make.
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Raymond Scott51:33
I know they put a lot of time and effort to what makes sense for the customers in a region. And so I think there are some regional differences based on customer preferences. And I have been to China quite a bit and I've seen the products and there's a lot of wow features and some of them I think are great and some of them I'm not sure that they would sell here and that customers would really be wowed by them. But it doesn't mean that you don't push it and then you bring it back. But I think on that side I think there's an awful lot of work by our customers to make sure they're hitting the right markets they're in for those customer needs.
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David Welsh52:10
But I would add this. The design departments totally agree with what you're saying, David. Completely, totally. Here's the problem. Here's the problem. The cars at dealerships get ordered by the dealers and they don't want anything risky. They want to know what's...
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Raymond Scott52:25
Like real estate. Every wall you want to sell your house, every wall in the house has to be gray, right? So, it's not just interior colors that have been limited. I used to have a poster, I've got it somewhere here, that showed colors of cars in the US, in Europe, and in Japan. Japan was always white and black. It didn't much change. But if you look at US cars in the 1950s, 60s, and 70s, it was a wild palette of colors. And then starting in the 1980s in Europe, Europe started to get to these very monochrome, understated paint jobs. And we followed suit. And so today we don't have the wild disparity of colors that we had back then. But I'll tell you it's mainly because dealers order what they think are safe colors.
D
David Welsh53:15
David, see the interior of the 2026 Kia Telluride and your colors are there. So...
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Raymond Scott53:20
All right. Well, check... I was talking to Mike Simcoe before he retired as head of design for GM. And we were in the design studio, like the color lab at General Motors, the exterior color was pretty awesome. And they were working on some cool stuff in design. And Mike said to me, he said, 'Buyers are getting sick of red, silver, black, and white.' I'm like, 'That's good to hear because I've been buying British Racing Green Minis for about 20 years now.' And Mini does have a pretty big color palette, but it's a funky car. Jeep does, too. But for most vehicles, your basic crossover SUV, small, medium, large, you know, five or six basic colors on the exterior and the interior is like three.
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David Welsh54:04
Yeah. White, black, silver.
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Raymond Scott54:06
So Ray, are seats in China different? I mean, are they basically what we are familiar with?
D
David Welsh54:12
Uh, no. They have seats that are developed in the China market that would not meet the requirements here in the US, you know, gravity seats or certain seats that would not meet what we have to meet here in the US for validation. And so yeah, they're different. A lot of it's the same. I mean they're really pushing technology innovation but they also push to an extreme that they wouldn't meet the specifications or requirements here in the United States.
But I mean, do they look cool? And you say, 'Wow, that really looks like a cool theater.'
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Raymond Scott54:50
You know, one thing that I think, you know, I've learned post-COVID is going over to China and I've been there frequently is that the quality, the fit and finish, the innovation, the technology is a whole other level. You know, they work extremely hard. Like I said, the story still to be told. They're six days, 10 hours a day in the office. They are working and they have like I said this mindset if they're not driving the next innovation or technology that they're out of business and so they're pushed differently and they're thinking differently. But the quality and the fit and finish, they're doing a really nice job. They really are.
D
David Welsh55:34
So, 200-pound gorilla in the middle of the room here. USMCA gets renegotiated this year. The US is in all kinds of tussles with Canada, looking at some separate deals with Mexico. What do you want to see happen with USMCA for a company like you? You do some cut and sew in Mexico, you probably send some stuff over there, you send things to Canada, bring stuff over here. You're a global company with plants everywhere.
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Raymond Scott55:56
Well, I'd like to see the USMCA stay where it's at and intact and we continue with the relationship we have and we continue to bring, you know, we talked about onshoring and one thing about onshoring is that the goal is to build here and part of it is to supply parts here and vehicles here and export. How do we get the export? You have to be competitive. You have to have the parts and the supply chain that is competitive. And some of that is not all onshoring of manufacturing. Some of it is getting the best landed part here for the consumers here with a good price and you can export competitively. And so when we first went through this, I saw some of the disconnects when some of our trade agreements and I think we all have and say listen this isn't right, we got to fix some of this stuff. But some of it for the onshoring purposes you want to make sure that you have the best cost here and then you can export. But if that starts to get too different, it's going to be very hard competitively from a price standpoint to compete. And so, I would like to see it stay in place very much the way it is today so we can still have a competitive supply chain. I mean, the supply chain's been built up over what, 30 years of this global situation. Some of it needs to change. I get it. But for the most part, keeping that balance of competitiveness in the right places is good.
D
David Welsh57:28
Look, that's probably a good note to wrap things up here. On that note...
R
Raymond Scott57:33
Well, you know, hey, look, you're in favor of bringing back more jobs to the US and keeping USMCA or the North American supply chain competitive. And no, I think that's a good note to wrap it up on. But Ray Scott, thanks so much for coming on the show today. Really good discussion here. This is excellent.
D
David Welsh57:53
Yeah, David Welsh, great to have you here.
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Raymond Scott57:55
Glad to be here.
D
David Welsh57:56
And Gary, I always like being with you. And why don't you come on back again next week and I'll be here, too.
G
Gary58:00
All right, we'll do that. Okay, we'll do it. Want to thank all of you for having tuned in.
H
Host58:05
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