Back
Gilad Yavetz
Executive Chairman & Founder, Enlight Renewable Energy

Investor Conference - 19/11/12024 | enlight Renewable Energy

🎥 Nov 19, 2024 📺 Enlight Renewable Energy ⏱ 119m 👁 285 views
#stock_exchange #investorssummit #renewable_energy Renewable Energy hosted an investor conference at the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange, bringing together senior management and institutional investors. The event showcased Enlight's global portfolio and followed the Company's strong quarter and year-to-date financial performance, with revenues of over one billion shekels since the start of the year and successive upward revisions to its guidance. https://enlightenergy.co.il/info/inve...
Watch on YouTube

About Gilad Yavetz

Gilad Yavetz, Executive Chairman and Founder of Enlight Renewable Energy, spoke at an investor conference hosted by the company at the Tel Aviv Stock Exchange on November 19, 2024. He described the company's recent financial results as among the best in its history, noting successive upward revisions to revenue and EBITDA guidance for 2024. Yavetz stated that in the first quarter the company achieved revenues of $41 million, up nearly 90% year-over-year, and projected $25–26 million in combined revenue from new projects in the third and fourth quarters. He also said that the company is developing new markets in the Middle East and North Africa with significant projects. Yavetz remarked that in the past year in Israel, the priority of renewable energy has been elevated not only for climate reasons but also for national security needs, as the state requires it for confidence. He discussed the company's portfolio, noting nearly 900 megawatts of operating capacity and plans to begin construction on an additional 200 megawatts in the coming year. Regarding offshore wind, Yavetz said the company placed that initiative on hold due to high costs and low returns, but anticipated future developments in floating turbine technology could reopen the market.

Source: AI-verified profile updated from Gilad Yavetz's recent appearances. Browse all interviews →

Transcript (139 segments)
G
Gilad Yavetz1:56
Good morning everyone. Just a few days ago, Enlight published one of the best quarterly reports in our history. This quarter joined the previous one, just one quarter earlier, which was also one of the best we've published. These results allowed us, quarter after quarter, twice in a row, to raise our revenue and EBITDA forecasts for 2024. These quarterly results don't come out of nowhere; they join years of growth. We've been a public company since 2010, and year after year, we see very consistent rapid growth across all parameters. We're not here to talk about financial reports—we'll briefly go over them. We're here because this is an opportunity at this conference to go a bit deeper and try to explain how it is that the company has been growing so much for so many years, and why we are so confident that this growth will continue. To do this, we'll try to go deep into three main things: first, what our story is, what our differentiation is, what competitive advantages we have in this industry, and how we built such a giant machine that generates so much value and will continue to generate value in the coming years. To do this, we'll provide an in-depth overview of the huge portfolio we are developing at the company—a portfolio that spans many years and has many layers. There are the visible layers you see reflected in the financial reports, and there's the giant machine that all of Enlight's employees and managers work in to expand it constantly and also to execute and turn it into sales. We'll talk about it in depth, but as you know, ultimately, behind all of this stand people. I'm proud to say today, and I think I have a lot of confidence in saying, that the company's leading team, the company's managers, is the deepest and most talented team in this field. And we want to give you a glimpse today, through them, into our operations. So today, not just I, but each of the different executives at Enlight will give an overview of their area, why it's going to grow, and how their part of the machine ensures this event continues. To do this, we will briefly go through the results. To move to the financial results, I want to invite the company's CFO, Nir Yehuda. Nir has been with the company for 14 years already; he is a very, very significant part of the company's growth, of the company's ability to do what it has done in all aspects, from the successes of our projects. It's a great privilege for us that Nir is with us and helps us get to where we've gotten. I'll step down a bit, and then everyone will come up after me.
N
Nir Yehuda5:44
Good, how do you pass it? Okay, great. Thank you very much, and good morning everyone. As Gilad said, before we dive into the company's operations and where the company is headed, we'll start with an overview of the financial data for 2024 and a bit of the development of the financial results in recent years. After that, the executives will come up and give you a sense of what the results might look like in the future. I'll give you an even better spoiler. So, we'll start with revenues. As Gilad mentioned, a historic quarter, one of many milestones, a significant milestone. In the quarter, we crossed the $100 million revenue mark, an increase of almost 90% in both revenue and EBITDA. This stems from many things, including the continuation of 2024, which contributed $15 million in the quarter, $25-26 million in just nine months, and of course, additional projects that were commissioned and improved the results of existing projects. Our operational activity flows into cash flow from operations, net of interest and tax payments. Here, we see a very strong quarter of over $60 million in cash flow from operations. Cash flow is ultimately one of the most significant sources of financing to support the company's growth and the growth of its operations over the years, alongside other sources. And these are actually the most significant parameters that give an indication of the company's value. Alongside this, there is the gross profit. The core activity flows into gross profit. That is, the project results, including interest and tax, together. However, in the gross profit, there are additional characteristics. There can be one-time revenues, and there is also financing activity beyond the interest expense attributed to the project. I'll give a few examples. For example, index differences. We have revaluations of index-linked loans that finance projects that also generate index-linked revenues. They are 2.8 billion shekels. Just in the quarter, we recognized $13 million in financing expenses. Supposedly a significant amount, but you need to understand that if those financing expenses are paid over the period, while we also receive those index-linked revenues over the years, which are in a ratio of more than one to one. But in the P&L, we will see the $13 million in the quarter and the index-linked revenues over the years that served that same index-linked debt. So this is something that appears in our P&L in other places, other financing aspects that are in the P&L, which are characteristics of non-cash items and more from the world of derivatives. Our derivative activity at Enlight is geared towards economic results. We protect our cash flows, mostly because we hedge. Our hedging activity is geared towards underlying assets. In most cases, there is a match between the accounting results and the economic results. We won't see a chain of every hedging transaction in the P&L, but there are exceptions, and these exceptions sometimes flow into our P&L activity and our gross profit. For example, activity of derivatives hedging base interest rates over time. Here, you could say that significant parts of the company's financing until 2021 were hedged at almost zero interest. There is also activity of exchange rate differences, which also affects the P&L. Therefore, in the P&L, we will see a gross profit—sorry, we will see slightly different volatility compared to the very, very clear trend of the company's economic KPIs, as we also provide in the forecasts: revenue and EBITDA. These are actually the economic parameters that allow all of us to understand the company's strengths and give a valuation to the company. Gross profit is not a KPI, but for comparison purposes with parallel periods last year, we provided the gross profit excluding those non-cash items. The index is still there, by the way, but if I exclude derivative activity that flows into the P&L and gross profit, or exchange rate differences, you see that the increase in gross profit is quite similar to the increase in cash flow from operations. It's not a KPI, just to give an indication of the results for the three months and how it looks for nine months. An increase of $100 million in revenue, bringing us to almost $300 million in revenue. EBITDA of over $200 million, an increase of 150%. Again, strong cash flow from operations. We are already at nine months, with some projects generating cash flow gradually throughout the year. I remind you, the third quarter was $66 million; that's the quarterly rate. And in nine months, almost $160 million. The same thing, the same core activity flows into gross profit with the same background noises. In the quarter, we had almost $30 million in exchange rate differences, index differences, again on those historical loans. When we see all this index arriving, I remind you, it has no cash flow impact. On the other hand, even though we try very hard that our hedging activity and our swap activity do not reach the P&L, there is sometimes a mismatch between economics and accounting, and sometimes, by the way, it's also for the better. Last year, we recognized $25 million in revenue from exchange rate differences as a result of the bond issuance event. It's quite unusual, but it created a bias in the trend of the gross profit. Therefore, we made an adjustment, and we actually removed that core activity from the gross profit. And we present the results, as mentioned, the index differences, even though they are very significant, we didn't leave them out because we still see it as part of the core activity, where there is a small mismatch between cash flow and P&L. So, as you know, we provide very systematically every year forecasts for the significant KPIs, the main KPIs of the company, certainly for investors, certainly for the market. There is nothing more interesting than revenue and especially EBITDA, and we are happy that for two consecutive quarters we have improved our forecasts. This wasn't done because we were too conservative. We work in a very systematic way to build our forecasts, and sometimes we manage to surprise even ourselves. Projects, connection of projects, were brought forward during 2024. Projects performed better during 2024, and this actually allowed us to increase revenue by 4% and EBITDA by 7%, in amounts of $15 million and $17 million. And along with this, we also raised our EBITDA margin. Our EBITDA margin was around 70% and today it is around 72%, which brings us to a 2024 revenue forecast of $363 million and EBITDA, as mentioned, at a margin of 72%, totaling $263 million. Gilad spoke about financing activity; it is certainly an intensive and important activity. It's the fuel that drives the whole system. It is, of course, based on good and solid projects, and here I thank the entire Enlight financing team that makes our work much easier. When you go to all the banks, it doesn't matter where, once you have a project, once the fundamentals are good, the financing work is relatively easier. So, just in the last 12 months, we have completed a number of financial closings in the amount of $1.1 billion across all our geographic sectors: in the United States, in Europe, and in Israel. A very significant closing of the Trisco project in the United States, a closing of a project in Hungary, a closing of a project, a financial closing of a wind project in Serbia, and a closing of a storage project in Israel together with Bank Hapoalim. The average margin in all these closings, the weighted average margin, was a little over 2%. And closings were made with nine different banks, and this is an important point. One of the unique points, one of the strengths of Enlight and what distinguishes us also in relation to peer companies, is that we identify in every market we enter the relevant banks, the banks that finance the activity of that market, banks that know the structures, that know the market in depth. And this is also what allows us to maximize our financing terms in every possible aspect, not just in margin. There are also fees, structures, tenors, and so on. We actually don't bring our banking relationships with us to the markets; we create relationships with local banks, and this has proven itself over the years as the right thing to do. When you go to finance a project in any market, work with the local banks, you will get the optimal terms.
G
Gilad Yavetz16:29
Gilad. Thanks, great. So, what do we see? What do we want to show? We want to talk mainly about the future, but before we talk about the future, we want to look back for a moment and show you that this growth you saw in the last two quarters is not a coincidence. It's growth that anyone who knows the company—and most people here have known the company for many years—can say two things about: it's very, very fast, and it's very, very consistent. Since the company was founded, we've taken a very long period here from 2018. You can take any period you want. How many companies do you know whose revenues grow like this for so many years? In the background to revenue growth, the company's profitability margin increases in the same way, at 38%. Over the years, how many companies do you know where this growth is so visible on a straight and exponential line? This is something that has been happening for many, many years, and basically what we will mainly try to show today is the future. Why? What we've been doing at the company for the last 10 and 15 years is why this happened, why you saw it in the last two quarters, and why you will see it continue to happen. But I also want to show a few more parameters that have developed so beautifully over the years. Notice that the company's equity has already grown to $1.4 billion. Okay, we're talking about around 5.5 billion shekels in equity. In the background, all the time, the financial resilience of the company, the real leverage of the company, which is the debt-to-equity ratio, is going down. In the solo, the company is non-recourse, it's going down by 5% on average between the years, with all the financing activity and so on that is happening, with huge jumps. And even if you go consolidated, meaning you take all the company's debt, including the non-recourse debt in our SPVs, and you look at the company's leverage ratio, it is also going down by 4% year-over-year. Meaning, if you look at a country whose debt-to-GDP ratio is going down by 4% every year, you understand what a healthy thing this is. We are strengthening the company, we are reducing the leverage ratios, and we are also managing to do this while growing it by 40% year-over-year, and doing it in numbers that are already large numbers. It's not just two shekels anymore; we're talking about sales. You saw the numbers in dollars on sales. The guidance for '24 is $360 million, that's 1.4 billion shekels. Nir spoke about $100 million quarterly; I'm still a bit anachronistic and look at shekels. For me, a billion shekels in sales was an amazing milestone. We passed it a long time ago; we're already at 1.4 billion. But we are now exactly crossing the line of a billion shekels in annual EBITDA. So we've reached that point too. In terms of sales, this is really the stage where we will go deep. We want to show you now why this is happening and how it will continue to happen, as mentioned, even in the larger numbers. So let's look for a moment. When you look only at the company's financial results, this is what you see. You see a very, very beautiful mountain. Now, this mountain, today, if you look at our reports, is built from 2.6 gigawatts of normalized installed capacity. And these 2.6 gigawatts are generating $400 million in revenue. Meaning, what we've already connected to the grid is this mountain you see. It's generating $400 million. In 2024, we will connect 300, we will do $360 million because we already connected some during '24, so not everything was connected in January. So there's already $360 million for '24, and $400 million that we reported in the financial reports are connected and already generating $400 million. And this is, of course, not a forecast for '25, because maybe you'll connect a bit more in '25. But this is what we see now. What else do we see? If you look at our financial reports, we looked a bit earlier in terms of sales, but what generates the sales is the installed capacity, right? Because that's what we do. There is capacity that has reached commercial operation, and it generates sales and EBITDA. And what you can see, you already saw, is that it grows every year at an installed capacity level, even more, 66%. And it looks very nice on us, from 4 to 1.4 to 2.6, and it will continue to grow all the time. So this is basically this part that you see in the financial reports. But if you want to understand the company, you need to look back and understand that this mountain is just the tip of the iceberg. Meaning, the sales we generate, and you see them in the financial reports, are just the tip of the iceberg of all the activity. To generate these sales, the entire company is in the part that is below the water, in a giant machine we've built that develops these projects, pushes them all the time up the iceberg, converts them into projects that can be built, and builds them, and into projects that generate sales. And it really generates this value. Meaning, the giant machine is the machine that constantly lifts this iceberg above the water and expands it all the time. The machine itself is constantly growing, and what we will try to do today is simply to give you an in-depth look, to take advantage of the fact that this is not a quarterly report or presentation, to give you an in-depth look at what this machine does, what's in it, and what value it has. So if we look, let's start breaking it down for a second. We have, as mentioned, 2.6 gigawatts of installed capacity that today already generate sales of $400 million. Now, what else is important in these sales? They are contracted sales. This is $400 million that are locked in with agreements for 30 years ahead. Meaning, $400 million are guaranteed. Everything that is added is added on top of them. $400 million, multiply that by 20, 25 years, yes, nominally it's $8 billion, $10 billion, and so on. Now, what are the layers below? First, the closest thing: projects that are already under construction, where we've already done all the risk, we've finished developing them, and they are going to start generating revenue, some right now, some in a few months, depending on the project size. There are projects that take a year, two years. This is in the blend of these 1.9 gigawatts. They will be commissioned, in the case of Enlight, in '25 and '26, a large part in '25 and part in '26. They will add another $200 million in contracted sales. This is all things that have already happened, okay? For us, because ultimately the main event is to develop the projects to the construction stage. Of course, there are people sitting here who work very, very hard to make sure this mountain is on budget and on time, and after that, that the assets also perform as needed, as you saw in the quarter, where the assets performed operationally great. So there are people working on it, but the value is actually what makes it happen. And let's start going another layer deeper. Now, let's go to a layer we call 'near construction.' The 'near construction' layer is projects that will start construction in the next 12 months. When you look at a project we develop, it sometimes takes seven years, sometimes three years, usually more towards five to seven years. 'Near construction' means it has completed almost all its development risks, all the development milestones, and we expect it to start construction in the next 12 months. And of course, we build our forecasts from this. So you see that we are meeting this also in 2025, another 3.7 gigawatts will start construction, which means another $380 million in annual recurring revenues. Now, if you are familiar with our financial reports and our presentations, you know that we call this the 'committed portfolio.' Meaning, within this big mountain we have, this is only the mature component. Why? Because it's built from what is already generating revenue, what is under construction, and what is near construction. That means the things we've finished developing, they are post the main risk, or the main value in our business, which is the development value. So this is the committed portfolio, as we call it. You see how much more is below the water that is going to come in in the near term, how much we've already secured. But let's look another layer up, because we are greedy. So we have another layer in the portfolio, in this machine, called 'advanced development.' This is what will be built in 2026. That means in every report, we look 12 to 24 months ahead. Up to 12 is the 'near construction' layer, and 12 to 24, this layer, in our case, because we are at the end of '24, means construction start in '26. So already in '26, we are entering the machine with another 6.4 gigawatts. Think about it: the tip of the iceberg today is 11.4 billion shekels in sales, clear leader in the Israeli market. An enormous volume will join it in the near term: 1.9, and another 3.7, and another 6.4, which are projects that will only start in '26. Okay? And that means they will connect in '27, '28, and so on. But that's not all, because ultimately I said the machine develops projects from greenfield. It takes between three and seven years, usually. So we have another component in the portfolio that we call the 'pipeline component.' All the projects that will be built from 2027 onwards. Meaning, from two years onwards. Some of them will really be built in two years, some in three, four, five, and so on, usually not more than that. And there, we have another 13.7 gigawatts. Meaning, if you look at Enlight's entire portfolio, all of Enlight, when you look not just at the financial reports, it's a 30-gigawatt portfolio. What you see in the financial reports is something that, in my view, is very amazing and I'm very proud of, that has already reached 1.4 billion shekels in contracted revenue. But there are layers, and this is basically the employees and managers of Enlight, this is what they do, pushing all of this. We call it in English 'increase and convert.' We are constantly expanding this mountain. It's not a given mountain where the only role is to lift it up. We are expanding. We are constantly entering new areas and developing new projects and new countries, and this constantly expands it. But at Enlight, we are very focused on execution. We strongly believe in the track record of execution, and we are reaching execution rates that I think are the highest in our market, and I think also a global benchmark. And our goal is to constantly push the portfolio up the layers until we see it, until we see it coming out of the water, and you see it in the financial reports coming out of the water and understand the company in the top part. We want more of that today. Now, let's talk for a moment about differentiation, okay? Because this machine is also ultimately a result. There is a reason why this thing is so successful. Why, when I measure what it means to be so successful, there is one clear indicator for companies like us. One is how fast we are growing, and we are growing faster than the market, with a compound annual growth rate of 40%. But we also want to grow with higher returns than the market, and that is also happening. Ultimately, our multiple cannot be based only on something small, and it cannot be growth without returns. So the way to evaluate us is whether we are outperforming the market in both growth and returns. And the question is how we do this, because in the reports, I think you see it. So, first of all, our business model is a unique model. We invented this model, we led it in Israel, and more and more players are entering this model today. It's basically how we founded the company: we understood that the value is in the development. Okay? Ultimately, today, when you look at the return of a project in our field, a lot of the return is in the development part of the project, bringing it to construction. That's the hard part. If you buy a project that is already generating revenue, for example, like many institutional investors do, you get the project very safely but at a lower return, which is very suitable for institutional players, and that's why they do it, and it's great. Or financial players. But a lot of the return, the high double-digit returns we bring, are in development. But being only a developer is not enough, because ultimately, when you are a developer and you don't have the ability to build the projects and sell the electricity, you remain small. Meaning, people who are CEOs of private development companies can be rich because when they sell it, they can pull money out, but their companies are small. And basically, when we entered the market, what did we see? That most of the global market is private developers who know how to make money if they are good, personally, with small companies, or large IPPs that buy from the developer at more advanced stages, less advanced stages, and then they are usually companies with lower returns. And we understood that the combination is the right one, and we built this model. And today, for example, on the Israeli stock exchange, companies that entered after us entered with this model. But the question in this model is, first of all, to be in it, and we are proud that others are entering after us, also in the American and European markets. But it's how deep the model is, meaning how deep your control over the value chain is, because that is what brings the return, and in this, we are differentiated. Meaning, if you look at our geographic diversification, most developers in the world are focused on one market. They are either in the American market, or the European market, or other markets. And even in the American market, maybe because it was a large enough market, people didn't need to. So usually companies focus on one market, only in PGM, only in another market, and so on. We are one of the most unique players. We have a very, very balanced and growing activity across three large geographies, some of which are the largest in the world, and one is, of course, Israel, our home market, where we know how to be here with a large market share and grow a lot. But we are also expanding it today to what we call MENA and Africa, which are three very large and growing markets, and we have a very large depth that perhaps other players don't have. I'll just give an example: we are in 10 countries in Europe, not just one country, and in the United States, we are in 22 states. The second thing is technological differentiation. Okay? Technological differentiation complements this matrix. We looked at the market when we entered. 90% of the renewable energy market, which was $300 billion a year and has now grown to however large it is, was in wind and solar. So we understood we couldn't be only solar, and we were the first to enter wind. And today we have a very, very broad activity with huge infrastructure in wind in Europe and Israel. But very quickly, or in recent years, we understood that because renewable energy is huge, storage is also going to be a huge growth engine. Because ultimately, when you produce a lot of renewable energy, you must know how to distribute it at the right times in the grid. So we were the first to enter storage and created dramatic growth rates in storage. Today, we are one of the world's leading players in installed storage capacity connected to the grid, and this will be one of the main growth engines. So there is a matrix that covers over 90% of what happens in renewable energy, which is our real expertise, balanced between wind, solar, and storage. And this matrix is in three very large markets that are also growing, and this depth and differentiation within the IPP model is what gives us these relative advantages. But beyond that, when we understood that being an IPP gives us the size, okay, and the ability to also influence the depth of our development, we understood we also need to be competitive in access to capital, meaning in access to capital and in cost of capital. And the company was built since 2010 on the Israeli stock exchange, when there were no renewable energy players yet. When we started, you didn't know us. We created credit, and I think over the years, many players in the Israeli capital market understood and wanted the power of renewable energy and the ability to invest in renewable energy through us. And we have recently expanded this also to the American market, because the investments are in the billions, and the American market has also joined. So today we have huge financial flexibility, which is built on a huge platform with very large diversification of the leading and broadest players in the Israeli market. We added the American market. We have diversification in the ability to play at the sweet spot of each market: the cost of public debt in Israel, which may be cheaper and more attractive, the ability to produce tax equity in the United States, and so on. Meaning, we manage to create very large flexibility. Now, the company also has no controlling shareholder, so our interest in the financial structure is completely aligned with our shareholders, which is you. There isn't some controlling shareholder who invested billions and can't put in more, and then it's hard for him to dilute, and then they go to maybe more financing or higher leverage, and so on. Meaning, we are growing the company with a very, very aligned trajectory that is completely aligned with our shareholders and gives them the most value. Meaning, when we decide on the leverage ratio, we decide on it to create a situation that, on one hand, generates the most value for you, and on the other hand, generates the most resilience for the company. So this is something where we have no constraints. And the last thing, look at the company over 15 years. The company is very entrepreneurial; it constantly enters new areas, it identifies where the profit spots are in this market, and it enters them first. But the company also has amazing execution capability. The company built itself on execution capability, quarter after quarter, year after year. We are already over 50 quarters, and I think you see that when you look at these five points, each one separately and all together, they build the relative advantages and they build our model in the market over time. But ultimately, as I started, behind all of these things are people. Okay? And I firmly believe that the team we've built at the company, the management team, but also the leadership team, the people who lead the company, is the most talented and deepest team in the country today, with an amazing blend of many people who have been with the company for many years and know this market at the highest global level. Some are Israelis and some are not Israelis, but also new players, very talented managers who help us take this machine, absorb its growth, and also accelerate its growth. And what we've also done is we constantly adapt the company's management infrastructure to our challenges. So one of the things we did in the last year, and maybe this is a good time to present it, is the restructuring we did, which basically created four CEOs under me. You are used to seeing me; under me today in the company are four CEOs of activities, and another two founders in the company, which is the founder, Amit the founder, and Nir, who is almost a founder of the company, and another management team of senior managers who basically support all this growth. And these people are the ones who will present the activities to you. We have a CEO for all activity in the United States, a CEO for activity in Europe, a CEO for activity in Israel, and we have a CEO of the execution division who does all the execution. And ultimately, you need to plan, engineer, build, acquire, manage the revenue-generating assets, and optimize them to get the results you saw. People who do this, both the CEO and his VP, are sitting here at this table, and they are the ones who ensure this happens. And with us here are people, perhaps with the most experience in the market. Sitting here is Marom, who is a senior manager in the company, and a VP who is perhaps one of the people who understands the most in the country in the field of electricity, and other people who make this happen. And of course, above the company is a very stable, very professional, very business-like board of directors, with Yair, the chairman, who guides us, monitors us, and accelerates us, and gives us the ability and the optimal work environment for us to also grow without power struggles, which I see in other companies, without ego battles, but really for you, a professional body that has worked with the company for years and knows how to help it grow. And I've only shown you the first layer, which is below the layer of the CEOs and the founders. There are about 15 VPs today who are basically the ones on whose backs the company stands. These are people who understand the most in the country, in the markets, in Europe, and in the United States, each in their field, and make this happen. And really, we want to give you a glimpse today into some of these markets, but also through some of the CEOs.
U
Unknown39:27
Not to move like this uncomfortably in the chairs, and it's good for us. And there is a huge revolution in Israel that is also coming from the market. We will explain this revolution, Gilad will explain what is going to happen in Israel, which in my view is very, very exciting, and how we are going to take the biggest part of it. Gilad.
G
Gilad Yavetz39:53
Thanks. Good, good morning. First of all, I want to say that I joined the company almost two years ago. It's a huge pride to be part of such a significant company that has such an impact on the activity and also contributes, I think, to the environment. This is something that, in my view, gives meaning, and I think it's also part of our huge success because people believe very much and are very connected to what they do, and then the results come. I will start by presenting a snapshot of the activity in Israel as of today, and after that, I will go a bit and talk about Enlight's activity in Israel. After that, we will talk about what is happening in the Israeli energy market and go back a bit to the future of Enlight in Israel. So this is our snapshot. We have close to 900 megawatts of installed capacity, responsible for $150 million in revenue as of 2024. And we see on the bottom right in the slide the huge jump we've made in recent years, especially in the last year. This is, of course, the result of work. If I take you back to that iceberg, it's the result of very hard work that happened below.
N
Nir Yehuda41:19
Before the water, and made this leap forward. And you can see on the bottom left the technological diversification that Gilad also spoke about, which is a very unique technological diversification for Enlight. There are no other companies in Israel that have this technological diversification, which brings very, very strong stability to the revenue stream.
Now let's go back and talk about the energy market in Israel, the renewable energy market in Israel, and look at it from a perspective of years ahead. Because we've been dealing with renewable energy for several years and it seems like we're already well into the business. But I want to tell you that the Israeli renewable energy market is actually just at its starting point right now. That is, the business is going to grow enormously in the coming years, and the numbers are very, very large numbers.
Israel has set targets that are relatively modest, but you can see the growth. We are talking about growth in orders of magnitude of renewable energy and penetration of renewable energy into the Israeli market, compared to more moderate growth of the fossil fuel market and eventually a decline of that market. You can see on the left that the continuation towards renewable energy, the green part of the slide, is just growing.
Now if we focus for a moment on the numbers themselves, because it's ultimately important to see the numbers to understand the starting point we are at today. In the Israeli market today, there is an installed capacity of 6 gigawatts of renewable energy. By 2030, the State of Israel will be close to 17 gigawatts. That means we are going to be more than two and a half times what we are today in the next five to six years. This is the market we live in.
And when we look at 2050, and it seems very far away, but it's not that far because the whole system is being built in this direction. We are talking about being close to 166 gigawatts. These are not our scenarios, these are the scenarios of the Ministry of Energy and the Electricity Authority. And therefore, this is a market that is really at the beginning of its growth, its leap.
And basically, everything that has happened so far, to a certain extent, has been to take and build the track and put this train on the track, and from now on it's going to run forward. In the storage market, there is something that is no less interesting and perhaps even more powerful than this. The storage market is just beginning, and it is perhaps the biggest driver for renewable energy.
The storage market, at the end of 2023, had a total of 300 megawatts installed. In another five to six years, it's going to be 10 times that, 3 gigawatts installed. And later on, you will see that it's going to jump another order of magnitude. That means this is a market with enormous growth, and this is the market we are active in.
Now it's important to explain how the storage market can be so large in Israel. And you can see countries for comparison on the left. You see a table of capacity, not of energy, but of storage capacity. You see that Israel is in second place in Europe for 2030 targets, even though its renewable energy targets are very modest compared to other countries. You can see 70-100% in the storage field, its targets are very, very large, about four times relative to the population size.
Now why is this happening? In other countries, there is a much larger variety of renewable energy generation sources. There is much more wind, there is hydro, there is solar. And therefore, the generation profile of renewable energy in other countries is much more balanced. What happens in Israel? Apart from the wind we have, which is fine, and we are leading the wind market in Israel, over 90% of renewable energy generation today and in the future is solar. It depends on the sun.
And therefore, it also happens mostly at one point in the day or in one area in the day, and this creates a huge mountain of energy that is produced in the same hours, simply a very, very large peak. But the consumption, as you see in the curve on the right, is distributed over the entire day in a different way than the production. And what the state needs to do in our energy market is to take this mountain and move it and distribute it according to the consumption curve. And the way to do this is through energy storage.
And therefore, unlike other countries, in Israel this mountain is much larger, and therefore the energy storage market in Israel is simply going to leap with enormous numbers. And we chose to be there and we chose to lead this. I want to talk for a second about the competitive environment of renewable energy.
You see, in recent years, in the early years, when renewable energy, until we reached the track, and this was what we had in mind, we needed to protect renewable energy, we needed to give it some subsidies and so on. And the Electricity Authority basically held tenders, issued tenders for renewable energy to allow renewable energy to be established and advance.
But what happened over time is that a closed circle was created where renewable energy companies were basically competing only with themselves, they were not competing in the free market. And then price erosion was created. In the last year, this reached 20 agorot per kilowatt-hour and even less than 20 agorot per kilowatt-hour. In the last year, the Electricity Authority opened renewable energy to free market competition, and we saw a jump of 50% in the prices we receive for renewable energy, which is of course very, very good news for the renewable energy field and for our company.
And I'll tell you another thing. What you see here, the 30 agorot per kilowatt-hour is the market average. We manage, even though we sell our electricity with discounts to our customers, we manage to beat this price and we receive a price higher than 30 agorot by 6 or 7%. How do we do this? Because we find customers whose consumption profile is tilted towards the peak hours where the price is more expensive. And so we make a match, a kind of excellence in electricity trading that matches the best customers in the market to our production profile. And the better we do this, despite the discounts we give on the electricity tariff, we manage to receive revenues that are higher than the market revenue or the average market price per kilowatt-hour.
Now when we look ahead at the tariff forecast, we see that here too the forecast supports renewable energy. We see that considerations, a forecast by BDO that takes into account the demand and the expected supply in the State of Israel with population growth and data centers coming in and so on, and the carbon tax, by the way, a conservative forecast for the carbon tax, and all these considerations, we see that both nominally and in real terms, energy prices, electricity prices are going to rise.
Now we are again leaving a world where we are used to subsidizing renewable energy, and I tell you, not only does it not need to be subsidized, it is today competitive and it is going to be even more competitive in the coming years. And this is of course excellent news for us.
Now in the last year in the State of Israel, something happened. Many things happened, but if renewable energy until today was a story of climate, and we know that the climate story is not at the top of the priority list in the State of Israel, something happened that took and raised the priority of renewable energy in a very significant way, because it connected to the need for security.
You see, energy production in the State of Israel is very, very concentrated. There are only 10 power plants that produce 50% of the energy in Israel, not renewable energy, fossil fuel power plants. We saw in recent months, including the Iranian attack, that although they did not aim at our power plants, in the places they aimed, they hit accurately. And if you aim at power plants, this is a very, very big risk to the national security of the State of Israel. You can't do anything, no matter how much you protect it, no matter how many air defense systems and so on. When you are in such a concentrated situation, you are vulnerable.
And today, the understanding has already penetrated at all levels of decision-makers in the country that the only way to deal with this is decentralization. Decentralization of production, and the only way to decentralize production is renewable energy. It's many, many solar farms combined with storage. And when you are decentralized, you are less vulnerable. And so there is now a huge boost for everything related to renewable energy from all the official factors in the State of Israel who understand that this needs to be pushed.
The second thing that happened is the story of food security and agro-solar. The ability and intention of the State of Israel to take and develop renewable energy in combination with agriculture and not at the expense of agriculture has created a situation where one of the biggest barriers in Israel has been removed, which is land. In the end, a not-so-large country, there was competition until today where every solar field was essentially at the expense of an agricultural field. And the ability to combine them, and we will talk about this later, the place of Enlight in this combination, actually removes this barrier.
And the Israel Land Authority has released hundreds of thousands of dunams to the market in the agro-solar format, and in fact removed one of the biggest barriers for renewable energy in the State of Israel. And the last thing that gives a boost to this field of renewable energy is that ultimately, most of the renewable energy production happens in those agricultural communities, a quarter of which are located on the border. And the state, which today is looking for resources to subsidize and rehabilitate the border, understands that bringing factories and subsidies of this kind will take years and will require many resources. But renewable energy is the most available, most stable, and fastest solution to take and essentially channel money to the border communities, not from the government budget, everything through the money that exists through Israeli investors and of course foreign investors.
And this format of investing in renewable energy is what will be the driver for the rehabilitation of the border, and this too is pushing very strongly against all the official factors. Now I want to go back to Enlight within all this story. You see, we strongly believe that in the places where we operate, and we try to operate and choose the places with the strongest growth, we want to lead. So we have been operating for quite a few years in the utility-scale field. That means the large consumers, not the home installations. And we are in a situation where we have 27% market share in utility-scale, of course in renewable energy in the State of Israel, leading this market.
We understood that the storage event, as I spoke about earlier, is going to be the next growth engine. And we went and entered it first, we took risks, because in the end, the entrepreneurial thinking that Gilad spoke about is also seeing where it's going, but also being willing to take risks and enter a market that is not familiar. And today we are leading this market with over 600 megawatts of storage, and we are really a player, there is no other player that has this quantity, this capacity in Israel as a revenue-generating supplier.
And we also entered first into the story of market regulation, and here too there is risk-taking, because you need to take and build information systems, manage the energy, match production to consumption and so on, with not a few risks. And through the fact that we agreed and wanted to be first and took these risks, we are also leading this market. And today in the market of market regulation, the same bilateral sale, we are over 50% of this market, just the company Enlight.
The additional market we identified as a developing market is the type of home electricity sales. We identified a very significant player, Electra Power, who was also willing to enter this market. And this partnership today also controls over 30% of the market share in Israel. And this is also a market that is developing. We already have tens of thousands of customers who pay and are connected to electricity that we sell together with Electra Power.
There is another market we identified as a developing market, and that is the C&I market. This is the market of those systems that are small systems, not the large systems we are talking about. It can be solar roofs of municipal installations, greenhouses and so on. This market is also, it's a market of tens of percent of the entire renewable energy pie in the State of Israel. And we understand that this market is also going to grow significantly. And therefore we assembled the best team in Israel and acquired a company that we incorporated into Enlight as a subsidiary to take and grow within this field.
So if we look ahead, what is going to happen in the field of Enlight in the coming years? We are going to, we have already entered the field of agro-solar. We developed a very unique solution that models us in relation to others. We have a pilot facility that is already running in the Arava, and we are going to lead the agro-solar revolution in the State of Israel. And we are already today making very, very large deals that will create for us the land reserves for future growth.
We will continue to lead the storage field. We are aiming for a very, very significant market share in the long term in storage. We will continue to lead the home supply field and be a leading player in this market. One of the big advantages we bring compared to competitors is that we bring a company that knows how to deal with many customers, but we also bring production sources that most of our competitors don't have. And today in the electricity market, there is a shortage of production sources. And when we bring our production sources, it gives us a very strong competitive advantage.
As you understood, we acquired an excellent team in the C&I field, and we will be here in a few years, and I tell you that we will also lead the C&I market. And ultimately, in the last two years, we have been working to open our borders, and today we are already promoting the opening of new markets in the Middle East and North Africa with very interesting projects that are of course on a very significant scale, and we also expect significant support there.
Now let's look for a moment at the numbers at the portfolio level. So we see the capacity that produces, the same capacity today that is close to 900 megawatts, producing 150 million dollars annually. But we also see that in the coming year we are already entering the construction of another order of magnitude of 200 megawatts. And so we are going to see very significant growth already in the near term. But if we look ahead, and if I go back to the iceberg that Gilad spoke about, we see that in the next two years, we are going to enter the construction of another 800 megawatts, which is about the order of magnitude of what we have to date. And in the more distant future, we have another 8 gigawatts that this huge machine is also working very, very hard to push up. And so we are expected to see very, very strong growth in the coming years, with significant additional leaps in Enlight's activity in Israel and abroad.
Up to here the presentation regarding Israel. I want to invite, of course, on Zoom, Ilan Goren, who is the CEO of Enlight US. Ilan has been with the company for 14 years in very, very senior positions and has a very significant contribution to the success and growth of Enlight in Europe. And he is now bringing all that experience to the very strategic activity of Enlight in the United States. Ilan, please.
I
Ilan Goren1:00:00
Thank you very much. Good morning to all conference participants. The next presentation we will dedicate to Enlight's activity in the United States. Dan, can you move to the first slide please. The activity here is on a very large and significant scale and with a very fast growth rate. We started the year with one operational project with a capacity of 106 megawatts. Today we hold in the United States two operational projects with a capacity of 470 megawatts. These projects are the first wave of construction projects in the United States.
And recently we started construction of three additional large projects in New Mexico, Arizona, and California, which constitute the second wave with a capacity of 800 megawatts of solar and 2,000 megawatts of storage. In total, in terms of megawatt-peak, over 1,700 megawatts. In parallel, we are preparing for the start of construction of two very important and large projects, Spec and Spec A, and three additional projects in the eastern United States.
On the slide, you can see that the total megawatt-peak in construction status is already reaching 37 megawatts. The rest of the portfolio with a capacity of 15 gigawatt-peak is intended to fuel the continued growth and waves of volume in the coming years. It is also interesting to see in the middle graph at the bottom the significant growth in the mature portfolio that has been achieved in the last two years. This is essentially the mission that Gilad spoke about at the beginning of the presentation: to consistently increase the portfolio and advance projects within the portfolio towards construction.
And our portfolio in the United States is spread from east to west, from Maine to Washington. The total portfolio indicates a large, significant, and deep presence in the United States in over 20 states, and it also constitutes an additional factor for Enlight's geographical diversification, which was also discussed at the beginning of the conference.
Before we dive into our portfolio and its characteristics, a few important facts about the US electricity market. The US electricity market is of course a huge market, but it is also expected to grow at very fast rates in the coming years, mainly thanks to data centers. The AI revolution. We are talking about large consumer data centers scattered across the United States. In many places, grid connection and electricity availability are the constraints for building new data centers. And today they already consume about 4-5% of the electricity produced in the United States. By 2030, it is expected to rise to 12% of the electricity produced.
Regarding electric vehicles, they currently consume about half a percent of the total electricity. But thanks to intensive sales, in the last quarter we saw that a quarter of the vehicles sold in the United States were electric. The same revolution we see in electric vehicles, electricity consumption in 2030 is expected to reach around 3% of the total electricity in the United States.
Alongside the growth in electricity consumption, there is also the retirement of old power plants, and almost all of this new consumption we talked about earlier, which comes to cover other facilities that are no longer producing, will be covered by renewable energy, mainly by solar projects. Already now in the first half of the year, we saw that 90% of the new capacity connected to the grid comes from renewable energy. And the queue for connections gives us a very good vantage point for projects expected to connect in the coming years. 95% of it, in terms of capacity, are renewable energy projects.
In terms of production capacity, the BDO forecast talks about an increase from 230 gigawatts of solar connected today to 500 gigawatts in 2030, of which over 70% are large-scale projects. And we intend to be a large part of this growth. In storage too, the growth rate is sharp, even sharper. The forecast is to rise from 30 gigawatts of storage facilities connected today to 100 gigawatts in 2030.
We see significant demand for electricity from sectors that are important for the growth of the American economy, and this demand is being met mainly by solar projects. On the capacity growth side, a local industry is also developing in the United States with government support, which includes large factories, some of which are already operating, battery factories, panels, trackers, and other components in the solar and storage field. In our projects too, we see more and more locally produced equipment. By the way, these factories are themselves large electricity consumers that also contribute to increasing demand.
Another spotlight is on activity in the West. The United States is divided into several electricity regions, and within them there is also internal division. One of the largest regions is the West, it includes 14 states in the western United States, and about 70% of our portfolio is in the West. In some of the states in the West, there are also important environmental targets. In New Mexico, for example, there is a target for the government to reach 100% renewable energy already by 2045.
The West is characterized, as mentioned, by large consumption volumes, about 300 gigawatts, which is about 20% of total production in the United States. Large consumption of 900 terawatt-hours per year, serving 90 million residents. And in the next 10 years, there is an expectation of installing about 170 additional gigawatts, of which about 150 gigawatts are from renewable sources.
Also in the West, we see many initiatives for building data centers, with one of the main hubs being in the Phoenix, Arizona area. Another activity supporting all this growth is new connections within the West, building transmission infrastructure and connections to other markets, which also opens up possibilities for future merchant sales.
Another characteristic that is very typical of our portfolio, but is unique, is the solar irradiance. On the left map, you see the irradiance of the United States and on it the border of the West. And as you can see, in the southwest of the United States, with the highest irradiance, in the open areas, these are the large open areas. We see deserts at high altitudes, areas with excellent irradiance and vast areas that allow for the construction of very, very large projects, like the same projects we are promoting.
I'd like to connect these two background data points and talk about the PPA structure. When we sell electricity in the United States, all the PPAs we have signed to date are basically behind-the-meter PPAs. Behind-the-meter is a very important component that supports the stability of our revenue stream and essentially fixes it over the years. When I use the term behind-the-meter, I mean the physical point where electricity is transferred from the generation facility to the grid.
In a behind-the-meter PPA, the connection point is the same as the electricity sales point, unlike a front-of-the-meter PPA, where there are two different locations. The electricity is delivered behind the meter and sold between these two points. Sometimes there is a large geographical distance, and therefore there can be price differences and volatility in the electricity price. So the PPA price can be fixed, but the facility's revenue can be very volatile. As mentioned, in a behind-the-meter PPA, the electricity price is known in advance and preserved over the years.
Another important characteristic of our PPA agreements is the long term. The agreements we signed are for a period of 20 years, and in some projects even more. This is in contrast to agreements with commercial companies, where many of these PPAs are for shorter periods of 10, 12, or 15 years. Here the term is very long, and the combination of long-term agreements, fixed electricity price, and high capacity factor is very attractive to us as facility owners, to the lenders who finance us, and to tax authorities. And the result of all this is attractive debt margins compared to the market average.
And continuing to the previous slides, the characteristics of our projects, and I think they are important and unique. The first is, as mentioned, that these are very large projects, some of them hundreds of megawatts, already similar in scale to gas and coal power plants. Another characteristic is that most of the projects are in very attractive locations that enjoy high irradiance. In our projects, there is also a very large storage capacity, and this capacity is important for the grid. We sell the electricity, it stabilizes the grid and allows matching the production profile to the consumption profile. But it also has a very significant contribution to us and the project's economics.
For example, in the Trico project we recently connected, about half of the construction cost comes from the storage component. And often we see that in the NPV calculation, the storage component even contributes more than half of the project value. That is, a project with combined solar and storage needs to be looked at as a whole, and the NPV is derived from it.
Another characteristic of our projects is co-location. This is true for our activity in Europe and also for our activity in the United States. The Trico project, which we just started construction on, is an example of this. It is a continuation of the Trico project, it uses the same connection point, the same infrastructure. This unique infrastructure sharing saves costs, shortens development times, maximizes relationships with landowners, planning authorities, and other project partners.
The result of these three components is essentially very large projects with good economics that give us good visibility for continued growth and expansion in the coming years. If we dive into our operational projects, as mentioned, there are currently two projects. The first is the Trico project in New Mexico and the Apex project in Montana. Two projects with a capacity of half a gigawatt and 1.2 gigawatts of storage, generating annual revenue of 50 million dollars.
Alongside these projects, the same two initial projects that have already started, we see the next waves of projects. The second wave consists of three projects whose construction has started and are expected to reach commercial operation during 2025 and 2026. These projects include the Punch project and others that will create revenue of over 130 million dollars per year.
The third and important wave of projects includes two giant projects in Arizona, the Spec project and the Spec A project, and alongside them three more projects in the eastern United States. If you can go back one slide, thank you. The revenue of these three waves is about 500 million dollars, which we will see in full from 2028, and annual revenue of 400 million dollars.
Our portfolio, as mentioned, includes a group of projects, some operational, some under construction. Of the projects under construction, Snowflake is a very advanced project. We will elaborate on it shortly. In terms of a weighted average development score, we estimate it at about 85%. The development score is an internal metric we use within Enlight to assess the project's advancement pace. Each project advances in four main verticals: land rights, grid connection, PPA, and permits. This metric reflects how close we are to completing development and starting construction.
Snowflake has currently completed about 85% of its development milestones. You can also see the color of the other projects, the same three projects on the east coast have completed about 75%. In total, a significant color of about 6 gigawatts of storage and 6.5 gigawatts of solar. Part is operational, part is under construction, and part is planned to start construction next year.
Regarding the three projects that are starting construction, the leftmost project we see is in California, the Carter project with a capacity of 400 megawatts and 700 megawatts of storage, a project that has started construction. A large, interesting project. Gilad Feld mentioned earlier the agro activity, and also in this project, in cooperation with the University of California Davis in California, we have a research area where we are examining several types of crops under several configurations of solar fields. Interesting sites that help feed the findings from the activity in Israel, help feed the activity in the United States, and vice versa.
The Punch project, as mentioned, the younger brother of the Trico project, a project of 120 megawatts of solar and 400 megawatts of storage that has also started construction. And the Vanda project, the first project we are building in Arizona, and as mentioned, following it are two more large projects that are expected to start construction during next year.
A bit of emphasis on the Snowflake project, it is really a very large and very important project. The Snowflake aspect is essentially divided into two. The phase we are starting to build today is Snowflake A, a project of 600 megawatts of solar and 190 megawatts of storage. Enormous scales by any measure, both in the American market and the global market. Snowflake is essentially a huge land tract, the A phase is on an area of 12,000 dunams, and the continuation project will essentially double that, Snowflake B.
In total, projects with excellent irradiance at a desert altitude of 1,600 meters, generating annual revenue of about 100 million dollars. An advanced project, the site control has already been secured and completed, signed a PPA agreement for both the storage component and the solar component, signed a grid connection agreement, and construction is expected to start in the middle of next year.
Alongside these projects, as described at the beginning of the presentation, there is the iceberg. The large iceberg that is under the water, and it will essentially fuel the next waves of growth. In terms of the projects we define as advanced development, there are 11 projects with a capacity of 3,000 megawatts of solar and 8,000 megawatts of storage, with a weighted average development score of about 67%. And an even larger pipeline of projects spread across the United States, 36 projects, 7 gigawatts of solar and 8 gigawatts of storage, 34% development maturity, and they will fuel the fourth and fifth waves for us in the coming years.
In summary, we see a large portfolio of 20 gigawatt-peak. The 20 gigawatts we are building and advancing includes 14 gigawatts of solar and 22 gigawatts of storage. The first part is operational, the second part has started construction, part is already expected to generate revenue during 2025, the third wave, and all the projects under the iceberg, under the water, in the development stages, will continue to fuel the large growth of Enlight in the coming years.
And I think here I will stop regarding the review of the activity in the United States. From here, with your permission, I will pass the floor to Marco.
N
Nir Yehuda1:18:17
Nir and I have been with Enlight for almost 14 years. Marco has also been with us for many years. Marco essentially led our significant deals in the eastern United States, then in Southern Europe, and then in Central and Western Europe. And today he manages all activity in Europe.
M
Marco1:18:51
So, my name is Marco. I've known the company for more than 10 years. I was one of the, actually I was the first non-Israeli employee of the company when I joined. I started as a business development manager, as Nir said, back in Eastern Europe, and then my responsibilities have grown over the time. After 2021, I was appointed as head of business development Europe. My team is basically making sure that we grow and we convert our portfolio even further in Europe. And today, very honored and pleased to be able to show you what have we done in Europe, what we are doing in Europe, and what we are going to do more importantly in Europe over the next years.
So, a short snapshot. This is a snapshot of where we are today. So today in Europe, we have the strongest portfolio in the company. It's more than 1.2 gigawatts of operating capacity. As we speak, we are putting into operation additional capacity. So by the end of the year, Enlight will have more than 1.3 gigawatts of operational capacity in Europe, consisting of majority wind, a big chunk of solar PV projects, and some storage.
Over the next 12 months, Enlight is generating almost 200 million of revenue in Europe. The mature portfolio has grown significantly. And this is going to continue. These achievements are going to continue, this growth. Enlight has been present in Europe for almost 10 years. It is present in 10 countries, and it will grow and it will go for four key reasons.
First reason, there is an opportunity in Europe. So in Europe, there is a growth of capacity in both generation and battery storage. On the battery storage side, the renewable generation segment in Europe is predicted to grow for more than 1,000 gigawatts over the next decade. This means that Europe has been very committed to renewables, and Europe will continue to be very committed to renewables in the future. Today, more than 50% of all Europe's electricity is being generated by renewable capacity, mostly being solar PV and wind generation. And in the next decade, this capacity will steadily grow at a pace of almost 10%.
So one can maybe think of Europe as being like a ship which is navigating very consistently towards the direction of energy transition, and it's a ship which is very committed to continue navigating in the same direction. So this presents a huge opportunity for us as a company who is already established in order to grow even faster.
Renewable generation segment is driving another segment to grow exponentially, and that's the storage segment. So basically, the more renewable generation is being built, and we see this across all the European markets, there's more volatility on the pricing side, there is more demand for balancing the consumption and production, which really amplifies the need to build more storage.
N
Nir Yehuda1:22:52
Storage, so that means total utility-scale battery energy storage capacity in Europe will grow even faster than the renewable generation capacity. So today, until end of 2023, there was a little bit more than 7 GW of installed capacity of battery storage in Europe, and we predict that within 5 years, until 2030, this capacity will grow ten times.
We have focused on some of the markets where we, as a company, see the most profitable and most high growth, combined with our unique position and expertise in terms of infrastructure in Europe. And that's the third key reason we think we're going to grow and we're going to expand our portfolio in Europe.
Even more growth so far and even more revenues than we are bringing so far. The first reason is that we have a strong team developing projects in Europe in terms of origination of new capacities, of new projects, in terms of development of the new portfolio, and in terms of managing those portfolios.
We have a healthy blend of employees which are Israel-based, Europe-based, myself being Europe-based as well. And then, not less important, we have an infrastructure or ecosystem of project development partners, project origination partners, advisors, engineering companies that help us execute on our plans.
How are we going to do this? What are we going to do over the next years in order to address this market opportunity? First, we will continue and even accelerate growth of our portfolio on core markets. And what are core markets? You have seen in the map in one of the previous slides, it's the southwest Europe, so places like Italy, Spain, Portugal, where you have a lot of infrastructure growth of renewable markets and a lot of renewable resource, a lot of wind and a lot of solar.
Then it's the Nordics, where we have built a quite substantial and large operations of wind energy over time, which we expect to grow substantially in the future. And Central and Eastern Europe is a market where we have been very successful.
Picking the profitable projects and managing all the risks enabled us to really harvest revenues and profitable growth over the last six years.
On the other hand, our track record in the markets of Israel and the US, being a little bit faster in developing the storage market, gives us a unique position.
This track record diversifies us from our competition in Europe. We have more track record, we have more experience, and we know how to execute on these projects better than most of our competitors in Europe. And this is where we see the opportunity to grow the portfolio and utilize that track record and experience that we already have.
Besides pushing a lot of resources in growth of our storage portfolio, we see also some low-hanging fruit in terms of utilizing our existing operating portfolio. As you've seen, today our existing operating portfolio is the largest right now compared to other regions that Enlight operates in.
What we believe is that we can utilize that operating portfolio and the infrastructure that we built around this operating portfolio in a very efficient way. If you look at the average wind or solar project, their capacity factors range between 20 to 40%. That means that the infrastructure around them is utilized 20 to 40%. So why don't we then add additional PV to existing wind, or additional battery storage to existing PV or wind, or do all like we are doing it in Spain?
Our biggest project currently in Spain is a hybrid project combining wind, more megawatts of PV capacity, and 200 megawatt-hours of battery storage capacity, which will really make this project unique on the Spanish market, but I would say unique also on the European level market, with more than 500 MW of capacity on a single connection point combining all technologies.
This will really enable us to provide our customers with a very nice profile of supply of energy, which will be at the same time very competitive compared to our peers. We can do the same with most of our other projects in Europe. So we can do the fast-track hybridization of operating assets in Sweden, PV assets in Hungary, and also in Central and Eastern Europe. And that's what we are doing.
At the same time, we want to grow the new portfolio. When I'm saying a new portfolio, just in Italy we have more than 2 GW of portfolio coming up. I will show the numbers just in terms of both early, advanced, and mature portfolio. What we want to do is to leverage our existing infrastructure to increase our presence, and what we want to do is to increase our activities both in Nordics and West Europe while maintaining profitable Central and Eastern Europe operations. So these are the four pillars on which we are focused.
Let's go a little bit deeper around this iceberg. Both Gilad and Nir talked about the iceberg, it exists in Europe as well. So the tip of the iceberg is the 200 million EUR of revenues we're going to generate over 2024 in Europe. And below the tip of the iceberg is pretty much some of the projects that we have already talked about and that we have already announced, like the Pupin wind project in Serbia, which is now just nearing COD or commercial operations.
It's the battery storage projects in Italy, which we are looking to start constructing in 2025, and that consists of our mature portfolio. But then there's even more beyond that mature portfolio, and the advanced and the development portfolio which we have been growing over the years in order to fuel this growth in the next coming years.
I'm showing the operational capacity of 1.2 GW and the operational and under-construction capacity, so basically all the capacity that will be online by end of this year, which will be beyond 1.3 gigawatts. And hybridization initiative, as Nir discussed about, and then there is a storage initiative already mentioned.
Key drivers for 2025: that means that by the end of 2025, our mature portfolio will grow from 1.3 to 1.75 GW. And going into advanced development phase, we see that there is more than 2.6 to 2.8 GW of advanced and development projects in the pipeline. We are growing that pipeline as we speak. Every year we add between 500 and more than one gigawatt of new greenfield or mid-stage projects into the pipeline.
What is our mantra in Europe? It is to grow and convert. So basically to grow the overall portfolio and then convert the early and advanced pipeline into our mature portfolio. And this is what you're going to see over the next years. Already next quarter, I expect that the advanced portfolio, there will be a few conversions coming from early-stage portfolio, so that it is going to be, I would say, significantly larger than what I'm showing today. And the early-stage portfolio is being built on a quarter-by-quarter basis, and this is consistent growth in terms of numbers of megawatts.
And then to wrap it up, I would just like to show you or put a spotlight on a showcase that we wanted to present on how we are implementing our strategy in Europe and what are we doing in terms of making happen a showcase of standalone battery storage portfolio in Italy that we have built over the last couple of years.
A couple of years ago, when we sat down all together and looked at what is the opportunity, what is the big opportunity in Italy, what we saw is that there are a couple of key success drivers in place in order to stage in Italy.
We identified Italy as the immediate market after the UK, the second immediate high-growth market after the UK for storage in Europe. There is a clear need for battery storage which has been articulated by the transmission system operator. And then, based on all this analysis and needs by the transmission system operator, the Italian government, in a very clear regulation scheme, has put in place a regulation that enables for very high growth, which means 71 GWh to be auctioned by 2030.
When I say auctioned, that means that the transmission system operator will procure this capacity. And besides having a very strong and bankable long-term contracts, each investor based on its risk profile can decide whether they can also take merchant exposure, which provides great upside in terms of revenues.
The dynamic auction scheme will be placed in the first half of next year and it will continue in coming years gradually. So there is a market, there is regulation, and that regulation is supporting the market over the medium to long term. And then maybe the most important ingredient or key success driver is capabilities. So with time, we built infrastructure and team in Italy which is able to address those challenges.
We have cherry-picked the right sites, we have cherry-picked the right projects and the right development partners, and an in-house team which resulted in building a portfolio which can really address those market needs. And then maybe more importantly, or most importantly, track record from Israel enabled us really to be competitive here. So we know what does it mean to pick the right site, we know what does it mean to have the right grid connection, and we know how to engineer and design a project to be competitive and to have a low cost which will yield in high returns.
So all these success drivers combined resulted in a portfolio of more than 2.5 GWh and still growing, consisting of various projects very strategically situated across south Europe, south Italy, while south Italy has been recognized as the region with the most need for battery storage, with short connections on high-voltage grid, with connection substations either existing or approved.
This shows our revenues from battery storage in Europe all the way from 2026, 2027, and going towards 2029, 2030. So for us, this is a model that we would like to apply on other markets. I've already shown that we have in focus Italy, Poland, and Spain, and it's a model that we intend to implement and a success story that we will be showing in the years to come. So that's a little bit about Europe. Thank you very much. I give the word back to Nir to wrap up the session.
G
Gilad Yavetz1:38:01
We really want to move as quickly as possible to the Q&A session. We really hope you have questions. So I'll summarize very briefly. We showed you, okay, what did you see here? You saw that first of all, the renewable energy market is a huge and growing market. It's a market that I think very few people have the opportunity, like we had, to enter a market that is simply going to replace the entire electricity generation configuration in the world. And this thing is only at its beginning. It will happen until 2050 and after that it will replace itself.
So we really had a rare opportunity, and we exploited this opportunity until today to become from a small company to a large one. I think our challenge today, as you see, is to become from a large company to a great company. That's what we want to do, and what we tried to show you is why this is happening and what is the insight into the machine. So you saw that there is a very clear and precise business model with six pillars on the value chain in this field, which allows us to both grow and bring returns.
But within this model, to ensure the advantage and differentiation, we created very deep geographic and technological diversification. We understood that in terms of financing, we need to be the best. And today, our cost of capital and accessibility to capital is better than the benchmark. When I say benchmark, it's American companies much larger than us. Our cost of capital is lower than theirs, and therefore we are also more competitive than them.
And ultimately, this entire company is built on very great entrepreneurship. You saw the managers; these are people who understand the most, are the most talented, and also have the most passion in their field. They know where to go within the market, which is very, very important. They know how to understand where the next thing is going to be, and they know how to aim for it. And the company has the courage to enter there. And basically, you saw the numbers. We are doing amazing numbers relative to the Israeli market, which is just 10% of this machine today.
There is another very mature portfolio of 8%, which is 20-something percent of this machine, and there is a huge machine behind it that will continue to push this forward. So ultimately, what you see is what we like to call, and we invite you to continue doing this with us, which is running a marathon but in a sprint. So we really hope you will continue this journey with us. We'd be happy to hear questions.
U
Unknown1:40:48
Yes, two questions. The first question is about the US market. How do you see the US market?
G
Gilad Yavetz1:41:12
Yes, so regarding the US market, I think the most important thing is to look at the trend and understand where we are going. In the US market, over the last 20 years, there was a decline or flattening in electricity consumption, in demand for electricity. And in the last two years, we see a sharp increase in demand for electricity. When you look at data centers, which are the source of the increase, we are looking at racks that are not measured today in megabytes as we would think computers are measured, but in megawatts, because it's about electricity, that's the constraint.
I think when data centers started, it was a 15-kilowatt rack like this inside a huge data center. Today, I think it's already 150 kilowatts, and we hear that the big companies are already planning racks of 500 kilowatts because of their chips. This creates enormous demand for electricity. To supply this electricity, you need to build projects. What we also showed is that 90% of the capacity up to 2030 in the United States, as mentioned, are projects that take a long time to finance, built from renewable energy projects. By the way, all over the world, these are the projects that work.
We see that in the end, when they try to create an economy on non-competitive projects, they don't happen. The competitive projects come from this field. Now, it's definitely possible that there will be a policy that says it's less interesting to me, the climate. I assume what this administration is trying to say is that the climate is not interesting to them, the economy is interesting to them. So maybe they will exit the Paris Agreement, maybe they will exit emissions commitments, global warming is not that important to them. But what is important to them is the economy, economic growth, and fighting inflation.
Our way in the end to supply the projects is what will make these projects happen. I think an excellent way to look at this is the first term of Trump, between 2016 and 2020, when renewable energy grew a lot. And by the way, even then the terminology was against it, and Texas was the state that grew the most in renewable energy during this term, more than California. We look at our states, our states, like most of the dollar in the United States, where renewable energy is, are actually Republican states.
So we estimate that certainly there will be policy changes. It's possible they will also try to promote as much electricity as possible without environmental sensitivity, also gas, coal, everything is fine. The demand for electricity will dictate that the projects that know how to connect to the grid at the best prices will be built. And therefore, we, like others in the American market, are optimistic about this.
Regarding storage, what's important to say in the end is that every new market is usually a profitable market when you enter first. You have the profit pool there and you create competitive advantages. We see today that in storage, where it's needed in various different needs in Europe, the need comes more from grid support services, from the ability to stabilize the grid, because it's 27 countries connected together. In Israel and the United States, it comes more from peak shifting. So we are entering the right places.
We are entering today in Poland on grid shaping, Sweden grid shaping, Israel and the United States on peak shifting, on moving the peak that Gilad spoke about. And we know how to make the best returns there. We will present to you our performance in terms of storage and in terms of generation, combined into one number so that you get more or less the order of magnitude. And of course, our goal is to bring the highest returns, which I think you see we are bringing.
Yes, so first of all, let's talk about base costs. We are in perhaps the best environment we've been in since we founded the company. Today, the cost of a panel is 11 cents per watt. It's unbelievable. One of the things panel manufacturers need to do today to lower the cost of the panel is to find a way to lower the cost of the frame, because the silicon inside has already reached such low costs. But more than that, batteries. When we look today, we are veterans in the industry, but what is happening today in the storage field with batteries is what happened with panels in the early years: there is a dramatic drop in battery costs.
It was just two years ago $300 per kilowatt-hour. Today we are already well below $150, we are already in the area of $110-$130, and I think it will very quickly reach $60. So first of all, the base asset is in excellent condition. In the end, what determines in this world is the cost of equipment, the price of electricity, and the cost of money, right? That's the interest rate. In the end, that's the equation. So equipment costs are dropping dramatically, electricity prices are high because there is demand for electricity, and the cost of money, the cost of money is also gradually dropping in most of the world.
So first of all, in this context, our position is good. Now, the Americans, and in this matter, in a very consistent way between Democrats and Republicans, maybe the only thing they don't fight about is the issue of the trade war with China. They are interested in fighting the dumping prices coming from China through tariffs, and basically encouraging production in the United States. I'm not sure, for example, that this will hurt. It's possible there were various things in the Trump administration. I'm not sure that the issue of encouraging American production raises the prices of setting up renewable energy in the United States compared to setting up renewable energy in Europe and Israel.
The way to do this is tax incentives. So there are also tax incentives that encourage renewable energy in general, and within that, encourage American production, what are called 'adders'. So we believe this will continue. Now, if in certain areas there is an increase or decrease in one of the two sides of this scale, meaning either more tariffs or, say, fewer incentives, there is another component in the equation, which is the price of electricity.
We saw in the last two years, and reported to you, that when the Democratic government dramatically increased tariffs on Chinese production and then on four additional countries that the Chinese moved to produce in, and all this, the utility companies had to take the electricity from us to meet demand. They agreed, without any legal discussion or anything, simply agreed to open our PPA agreements before construction, in the order of 25%. By the way, the price of the PPA, even 25% higher to us, was still lower than the market price that is rising due to demand. So they were still in a win-win and they got the projects.
So I don't know what will happen, what Trump will do, etc. I know the market knows how to balance this. I'm not sure he will want to create inflation, but if there are more tariffs and less tax credits, or more tax credits or not, in the end there is something that balances this against the demand for electricity, which is the price of electricity.
U
Unknown1:47:45
Yes, how much equity do you need to reach 2 GW annually, beyond the...
G
Gilad Yavetz1:47:53
Yes, so look, first of course we need a lot of equity. Today in the United States, we reach a net equity ticket of about 15%. When the setup of each gigawatt is about a billion dollars, okay? Meaning for each gigawatt we need to invest about $150 million net from the company. And the company has created very great financial flexibility. Meaning what it knows how to do, it supports this with many sources. First of all, we have a growing cash flow. In the quarter, we created cash flow from projects of $66 million. In nine months, if I'm not mistaken, already $160 million. This is already money that creates very, very good internal capability.
Second, we said we are an 'IPCO' company. Meaning our size will always come from the fact that we hold most of our portfolio, and it will grow the company and create balance sheet and create for us the capabilities to develop more assets and to buy and do M&A. But still, to create fuel for growth, there is no problem to occasionally realize assets, whether it's minority stakes, whether it's... and we are in the market, we reported to the market that we will do this. We started doing it already last year in a small way. This year we will do it even a little more, and I assume you will be happy to see at what equity multiple we are selling the assets.
Why? First, I think our assets are very high quality. And second, I think many players want to be partners of Enlight in assets, and we remain either in minority or sometimes in majority in these assets. And therefore we will receive a very, very large equity multiple. And this will also be a way for you to see the value of the portfolio I talked about, because you will be able to see this component, what its equity multiple is. But we won't do this on the entire portfolio. We will do this to create fuel for growth. And of course, you saw we also know how to raise debt when needed. We just did an expansion, we expanded debt at a spread that I think is excellent, around 1.6% above Israeli government bonds.
Again, I don't think there are European or American players who know how to raise debt at these prices. So we have another tool. And of course, we also have the equity tool. The equity tool, again, it can be private, as I said before, it can be public when we feel you have earned it, meaning when we are at multiples. These are things we have done. So we have very great flexibility in where to bring the money from. We have project financing ratios that don't require a lot of equity, but of course require relatively a lot. And I think you saw that the company knows how to do all this in large numbers and to go down in leverage.
Yes, North Africa will become the silicon of solar energy? It's very possible. North Africa is an amazing wind. Why is it an amazing wind? If we look at Morocco, which is a country we already operate in, you saw the development. You didn't even see the base development, that's another layer in the portfolio that you didn't even see. We are doing today base development in Morocco, between the company and with a partner led by Yossi Abou.
And basically, why are we doing this there? Okay, because in Morocco there is amazing solar irradiance, but there is also amazing wind. Not everyone knows about the Atlantic Ocean, all the western border of Morocco has one of the best wind resources in the world. The combination of both knows how to produce electricity economically in a way that cannot be competed with. This electricity can be used for various things. Morocco itself is still a coal country, but beyond that, Morocco is one of the closest countries to Europe. To get to Europe, you can do it in two ways with electricity. One is cables, you build undersea cables, but that takes time. You can also produce electricity on ships. How do you do that? With green hydrogen or with ammonia.
Today ammonia is fuel for agriculture, and it's also going to be fuel for maritime transport. Nir, my partner, understands this better than me. So there will be ways. This will take another decade forward. You got a picture three years ahead. You are trying to understand where Enlight is going a decade ahead. This energy, which will cost a few cents because it is so economic, will find its way to Europe and will lower the cost of electricity in Europe. Exactly, by the way, like the move we are doing in the Nordics. Enlight is selling ice to Eskimos. Why? Because in Sweden we have very large projects, and also in Finland, in minority. Why? Because there is very competitive electricity there today from wind.
And the production of electricity in these countries is around 70%, and today there is no way to export it to Europe. It's closed more or less in the Nordics with some interconnections. And we estimate and see that they will build huge interconnections to equalize concentrations, as we call it, just like we see with LNG from the United States to Europe after the route from Russia was closed. So now they export gas and it equalizes the prices a bit. The same thing will happen with electricity. So what we are doing today in Sweden is good, but the prices we will sell in five and ten years will be higher for a very simple reason: electricity there is cheap and it's not that hard to export it to Europe. That's why we are there.
Yes, so of course every company has its own policy. I think what we are saying right now is that the company is, to a large extent, still, despite already being in large numbers, a growth company and not a dividend company. What does a growth company mean? It means that basically, when you give me a shekel today, I know how to make three shekels from it. So I think most of our investors, when we were and talked with them, we told them: listen, if you still know how to make me three shekels from every shekel, don't return it to me at 1.05 shekels, make it three shekels. The company itself is a long-term dividend company because we are an 'IPCO' company. The large scales will be dividend scales, and in the meantime, we serve you the best way from every shekel we make three.
U
Unknown1:53:47
Yes, I understand the assessment regarding your hedge, but how are you preparing in case there is some aggressive move by the administration, or how do you weigh this risk?
G
Gilad Yavetz1:53:59
First of all, we prepare through our business model. Meaning, think about it, we are the company that in the end is the best place to be in within such uncertainty, because there are no companies with such diversification. The American companies are all in the United States, and usually there are players that are sometimes only solar, etc. First of all, our diversification is huge. You saw a very large portfolio in Europe and in Israel, and this is also first of all something that helps us a lot. Part of what you see, that the results are rising all the time, we look at the reports and really, for me it's amazing to what state we've reached, that sometimes prices drop in Spain, but then solar irradiance rises in Israel. Sometimes something happens in Sweden, but it rises in the United States.
Our diversification, the differentiation, the protection, does two things. One, it smooths, but because everything in the end rises simultaneously, it usually also creates the exponent, but it also smooths a lot. That's a very good thing. Now, within the United States, what are we doing? We are building ourselves like everyone else. So in the United States, there is a way to do safe harbors already today. To be eligible for tax credits, you need to do safe harboring, you need to already start investing in the project to be eligible for four years of benefits from the tax credit. So we are doing, like everyone else, safe harboring. Maybe we'll add, there are also various other ways to protect yourself, to ensure the equipment arrives on American soil, etc. So of course, like everyone else, we will do this.
What I want to say in the end is that the economy of the United States, according to the current administration, is the most important thing to them. For it to grow, projects are needed. All the projects are renewable energy projects. Whoever has renewable projects, certainly in areas like Texas, and I'm not talking about the ERCOT base, but I'm simply talking about the fact that it's 2,300 hours of solar irradiance. You saw this huge spot of irradiance. So this allows us, in the same way, to sell electricity at a much lower price than, say, in PJM. In PJM, the price is maybe $70, and with us it's around $50. But in PJM, in some states it's like Europe, the eastern United States, it's 1,400-1,500 hours. With us it's 2,300 hours. Yes, the equation is on the same setup cost, yes, the same solar panel. So in the end, this equation allows us to be in a place that I think is a bit more protected.
And therefore I think the company is well diversified, well built, and I assume we are all a bit worried and everything. I think it's also a big advantage in the approach of this administration that no one knows what to expect, so everyone comes relatively prepared for concessions. But in the end, let's look, in another four years, you will see that the American economy must grow and it will grow, and the projects that will support this will be, among other things, renewable energy projects. And we always like competition, and we have no problem if they also promote other projects, fossil fuels, we have no problem with that.
U
Unknown1:56:45
Yes, offshore wind is growing a lot in the world, the projects are...
G
Gilad Yavetz1:56:54
Yes, yes, for a very clear reason. In the end, we build the fields we want to advance in. We want the equation of scale and returns. When we entered the offshore market, you definitely saw the numbers. Offshore grew, yes, it grew in Europe and there is demand for offshore wind in Europe. On the other hand, when offshore wind grew in Europe on a large scale, the cost of money was zero. The utilities did the right thing, they understood that if they don't build renewables, they will go bankrupt, they won't be those gorillas anymore. So in the end, they had to enter a certain field, which is a field of scale, of large engineering challenges, and they entered the field of offshore wind at very, very low costs.
They bought concessions in Europe, and then when tenders started in the United States, they bought concessions for another 10 years in huge volumes based on forecasts of zero cost of money. And this created a situation that our entry into offshore, if we wanted to do it, it would bring projects but not in the returns we want. And therefore, at this stage, we put this on hold. I think there will be some reset in this matter because many concessions will not be built at these prices. In the end, offshore wind is needed, and there is also technology developing for floating turbines, or more correctly anchored to the seabed but with cables, not with foundations. And this will open another market. So I assume that over time, Enlight will be there, but we know how to enter places where there are returns. I think we did very, very well that we didn't enter, although we were worried and concerned about the returns of the projects. We knew how to identify this as well, and therefore we put this on hold for the next stage.
Good, so thank you so, so, so much for coming, for listening to us. Thank you so much to the Enlight management team sitting here, to the Enlight board sitting here. I think you saw a small glimpse into the depth of Enlight, and you will see more and more, because this is the team that will take Enlight forward.