Back
Olivier Peuch
Chief Executive Officer & Director, Schlumberger NV

Slb NV ($SLB) Q3 2025 Earnings Call

🎥 Oct 16, 2025 📺 Castify Earnings Call ⏱ 62m 👁 3 views
SLB - Earnings call Q3 2025.
Watch on YouTube

About Olivier Peuch

During Schlumberger's Q2 FY26 earnings call on July 24, 2026, Olivier Peuch discussed the company's outlook and strategy. He stated that final investment decisions for long-cycle projects are expected to increase by approximately 30% year on year in 2026, supporting higher exploration spending and upstream capex growth, particularly in Africa, with a more meaningful impact expected in 2027 extending to Latin America, the Mediterranean, and Asia. Peuch noted that North America land activity will remain tied to short-cycle market dynamics, while the impact in the Middle East is viewed as largely transitory, adding that restoring production to prior levels will require higher service intensity and equipment demand. He described the outlook for Schlumberger's business into 2027 as "compelling," citing exposure to international deepwater, exploration and production recovery, and digital solutions. Peuch also highlighted growth beyond the company's core business. He said that Schlumberger's data center solutions are expected to exit 2027 at an annualized revenue run rate exceeding $2 billion, describing the company's ambition to become an industrial technology partner to the data center industry. He added that the company's expanding role in design and integration provides a platform to add adjacent capabilities, including decarbonized power and cooling solutions. Regarding the Middle East, Peuch stated that it would not be prudent to assume that conditions will restore in weeks, noting that security issues in some countries, specifically Iraq, and production capacity in Kuwait may not allow a quick return to full production.

Source: AI-verified profile updated from Olivier Peuch's recent appearances. Browse all interviews →

Transcript (62 segments)
M
Megan0:00
Good morning. My name is Megan and I'll be your conference operator today. I would like to welcome everyone to the third quarter SLB earnings call. At this time, all participants are now in listen-only mode. After the speakers' remarks, there will be a Q&A session. If you would like to ask a question during this time, simply press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. You may remove yourself from the queue by pressing star two. As a reminder, this call is being recorded. I will now turn the call over to James R. McDonald, senior vice president of investor relations and industry affairs. Please go ahead.
J
James R. McDonald0:36
Thank you, Megan. Good morning and welcome to the SLB third quarter 2025 earnings conference call. Today's call is being hosted from Houston following our board meeting held earlier this week. Joining us on the call are Olivier Le Peuch, chief executive officer, and Stephane Biguet, chief financial officer. Before we begin, I would like to remind all participants that some of the statements we will be making today are forward-looking. These matters involve risks and uncertainties that could cause our results to differ materially from those projected in these statements. For more information, please refer to our latest 10-K filing and other SEC filings which can be found on our website. Our comments today also include non-GAAP financial measures. Additional details and reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures can be found in our third quarter earnings press release, which is on our website. With that, I will turn the call over to Olivier.
O
Olivier Peuch1:40
Thank you, James. Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us on the call. I'll begin today by discussing our third quarter performance. Then I will describe the near-term outlook for oil and gas markets. And finally, I will share our guidance for the fourth quarter. Stephane will then provide more details on our financial results and the structure of our new digital division. After that, we'll open the line for your questions. Let's begin. Our first quarter unfolded in line with expectations as we achieved sequential revenue growth driven by the addition of two months of activity from ChampionX, our digital business, and the resilient performance of our core. In the international markets, revenue rose 1% sequentially with notable increases in several countries across the Middle East and Asia. Across this region, sequential growth was seen in Iraq, the United Arab Emirates, Oman, Egypt, China, East Asia, Indonesia, Australia, and India. Alongside broader improvements in offshore activity across Guyana, Sub-Saharan Africa, and Scandinavia. Meanwhile, revenue in North America grew 17% sequentially. This was driven mainly by the contribution of ChampionX followed by higher offshore activity, which more than offset a decline in US land activity as US shale operators focused on further efficiency gains and cash preservation during the quarter. We also experienced strong growth in our data center solutions business, expanding our reach with hyperscalers to a new market for SLB. This quarter marks the first time we have disclosed our data center revenue, which has more than doubled year on year. Looking ahead, we foresee expansion beyond the US along with the onboarding of new customers.
Next, let me discuss the performance of our digital. I'll begin with digital as this is the first quarter where we're reporting digital as a standalone division. As you have seen in our release this morning, our digital business is comprised of four categories where SLB offers solutions that help unlock productivity for geoscientists and engineers, that have step change in efficiency and safety in operations, and help our customers in delivering better wells and higher producing assets. These solutions embedded in platform and applications, digital operations, digital exploration, and professional services, each of which Stephane will describe in more detail a little later in this morning's call. Specific to the third quarter, digital revenue increased 11% sequentially. This was driven by 39% increase in digital operations, which enables digital services and automation capabilities, augmenting our offering from our core divisions. Of note, automated drilling footage increased by more than 50% year on year. This was also supported by the addition of new connected assets from ChampionX. Following the integration, we now have a combined total of more than 20,000 connected assets deployed in the field, providing additional digital insights and optimization for our customers. One of the reasons digital operations is such an exciting area of growth because it presents the opportunity to enhance every service and piece of equipment that we deliver by embedding digital capabilities that enhance performance and unlock the power of autonomous operations, creating an adjacent and fast-growing digital market that strengthens our core offering. In the earnings release published this morning, you will have seen a good range of examples of platform and application being adopted by customers across all basins, customer types, and life cycles. These examples demonstrate the global reach of our digital brand, the impact of our platform strategy, and the emergence of AI as a transformative force in our industry. This quarter, for example, we secured key contracts awards for our OptiSite production suite, which enables customers to process comprehensive data streams through cloud-based applications to drive productivity and efficiency across assets and facilities in the field. I also announced a collaboration with AIQ to deploy its Energy AI agentic AI solution for ADNOC, powered by SLB Lumi data and AI platform. These are meaningful milestones that speak to the momentum behind our digital business, and you can expect to hear more announcements in the weeks ahead that further demonstrate the impact and scale of these solutions. Turning to the financial performance of this business, we expect our digital revenue to continue growing at a rate that visibly outperforms global upstream spending and that exceeds the growth rate of our core business by double digits. At the same time, we expect digital to continue delivering accretive margins to the company.
In the quarter, I was very pleased with the resilient performance of this quarter given the challenging macro environment. Excluding the impact of the ChampionX contribution, the core divisions of SLB's performance, well construction and production systems, were essentially flat sequentially. This demonstrates how our global footprint and broad portfolio helps us to navigate regional uncertainties and offset localized headwinds. Specifically to our production system division, we're already benefiting from the addition of ChampionX, which delivered revenue growth and margin contribution ahead of expectations. We're very pleased with the integration so far, and in addition to the strong delivery of the team, we continue to receive positive feedback from our customers. For example, we recently delivered a combined ESP string using a ChampionX pump with an SLB induction motor for a major operator in the Permian Basin. By bringing together these two best-in-class technologies, we improved performance for unconventional wells and enabled faster installation, reducing downtime and strengthening project economics for our customer. And in the Middle East, we have received several contract awards for our artificial lift, well testing, and production chemical technologies that leverage the combination of SLB and ChampionX solutions and engineering capabilities. Moving forward, in the context of tighter industry economics and mounting pressure from production declines, our customers are placing greater emphasis on production recovery solutions to unlock additional value at the lowest possible cost and with maximum capital efficiency. This presents an exciting growth opportunity for companies who can offer solutions and technology to optimize production and maximize recovery from maturing assets. And technology will be the key. This is where SLB has a distinct advantage and why we have made production and recovery a strategic focus for our business. By combining our deep subsurface expertise, the industry's broadest lift, intervention, and chemical technology portfolio, with unique integration and digital capabilities, we offer a differentiated value proposition to our customers. This offering now includes ChampionX, which brings unique technical capabilities and strong track record of customer success from production chemicals to artificial lift, enhanced with digital capabilities. And we continue to develop our portfolio with strategic investments, including our recent acquisitions of Resman Energy Technology and Streamline Digital. Altogether, our production recovery offerings add another level of growth to our business with combined exposure to CapEx and OpEx spend, complementing our leadership in upstream exploration and development.
Now, turning back to our quarterly results and considering the market conditions we faced during the past few months, I'm pleased with our performance. We achieved resilient results across the core divisions, delivering early success with ChampionX, and continuing the momentum in digital. And there are several bright spots on the horizon. Thank you to the entire SLB team, including our new colleagues from ChampionX, for your excellent contribution this quarter. Next, I will discuss the ongoing macro environment and the near-term outlook for oil and gas markets. In an environment with increasingly challenging commodity prices and uncertainty on the demand supply balance, the industry has so far proven to be disciplined and most long cycle and international activity demonstrating resilience. While it is difficult to predict the exact outcome of further production increases and ongoing geopolitical developments, the fundamentals for oil and gas remain constructive. Global inventories still reside at multi-year lows and the need to offset natural production decline accounts for nearly 90% of annual upstream investment. These dynamics create a supportive environment for stable investment in the near to mid-term buying a dramatic shift in commodity prices. Against this backdrop, with the exception of three to four well-known markets where activity has recessed, global activity has stabilized with many locations still on the rise. To touch on international markets, many countries remain poised for investment growth tied to long-term capacity expansion plans and assurance of energy supply, particularly for gas. Notably, while OPEC plus production release are currently being filled using capacity behind the pipes, additional release will eventually require new infill drilling or new development to meet the higher supply output from these countries. This presents a positive catalyst for activity in member countries and reinforces the potential for higher activity in 2026. Specific to deeper water markets, the pipeline market remains very healthy with favorable economics. We expect further investment in countries across the Atlantic supported by oil and in Asia driven by gas. And while short-term scheduling uncertainties have resulted in white space, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, we expect these to progressively disappear as there are a number of FID planned for 2026 and early 2027. Meanwhile, in North America, operators continue to prioritize production maintenance as a result of commodity prices. Underpinned by efficiency improvements leading to muted activity in the near to mid-term. In this context, considering the current industry dynamics and commodity price environment, we believe the conditions are set when the supply demand rebalances for the international markets to lead the future activity rebound and SLB is well positioned to benefit from such an event.
Now that we have discussed the market condition, let me describe how we see the fourth quarter unfolding for our business. We expect that we would achieve a sequential step up in results in the fourth quarter of high single-digit top line growth as we report the full quarter of ChampionX and generate seasonally higher year-end digital and product sales. With the third quarter results, to be honest, we're now in a position to confirm that second half revenue will be within the midpoint of our previous guidance range of 18.2 billion to 18.8 billion. We also expect the fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA margin to expand 50 to 150 bps sequentially. This will be driven primarily by increased earnings contribution from both digital and production system end-of-year sales, including a full quarter of ChampionX results and fully restored operation on our APS equal assets. Specific to the digital business, we expect a significant increase in the fourth quarter on seasonally higher sales across the portfolio. As a result, we believe our digital division will be able to achieve double-digit growth year-on-year with EBITDA margin reaching 35% on a full year basis. Overall, SLB continues to demonstrate resilience in navigating the challenging market environment. And our strengths in digital, coupled with our growing presence in the production recovery space, will expand our leadership in the sector and help us drive positive outcomes for our customers. I will now turn the call over to Stephane to discuss our financial results in more detail.
S
Stephane Biguet13:54
Thank you, Olivier, and good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Third quarter earnings per share, excluding charges and credits, was 69 cents. This represents a decrease of 5 cents sequentially and 20 cents when compared to the first quarter of last year. We recorded 19 cents of charges during the third quarter. This includes 12 cents of merger and integration charges, largely related to the ChampionX acquisition that we closed during the quarter, as well as approximately 4 cents related to workforce reductions, and 3 cents related to the impairment of an equity method investment. Overall, our third quarter revenue of 8.9 billion increased 382 million, or 4% sequentially. I recognize that there are a lot of moving pieces this quarter, so let me bridge our Q3 revenue to Q2 at a high level. 579 million of the sequential revenue increase comes from the two months of activity we recorded this quarter from the acquired ChampionX businesses. This increase was partially offset by the loss of approximately 100 million of APS revenue due to production interruptions arising from a pipeline disruption in Ecuador, and the absence of approximately another 100 million of revenue following the divestiture of our interest in the Palliser APS project in Canada at the end of the second quarter. In other words, after considering the revenue contribution from ChampionX and the impact of the lower APS revenue due to the two factors I just mentioned, revenue was essentially flat on a sequential basis. Our pre-tax segment operating margin declined 32 basis points sequentially to 18.2%. The impact of the two months for ChampionX was accretive to these margins as ChampionX contributed 579 million of revenue and 108 million of pre-tax income in the quarter. Company-wide adjusted EBITDA margin for the third quarter was 23.1%, representing a sequential decrease of 92 basis points. The effect of the pipeline disruption in Ecuador negatively impacted our EBITDA margin by approximately 60 basis points. In addition, the divestiture of our interest in the Palliser project resulted in a further 30 basis points reduction. I will now go through the quarterly results for each division.
And let me begin by sharing more detail about our new digital reporting structure. As Olivier described earlier, digital is a fast-growing business and SLB is at the forefront of this industry transformation. We expect our digital business to grow faster than our core business for the foreseeable future with margins visibly accretive to the rest of the company. As such, our intent is to increase transparency around our digital business and better highlight its strategic value. To do this, we are now reporting digital as a standalone division. At the same time, our APS business is now being reported in the all other category together with our data center solutions and SLB capture businesses. To provide you with better insights into these reporting changes, as well as the impact of ChampionX, we have included supplemental pro forma financial information going back to the first quarter of 2024 as an exhibit to the form 8-K we filed this morning for our earnings press release. Getting back to digital, revenue is captured and will be reported across four categories where SLB offers solutions for our customers: platforms and applications, digital operations, digital exploration, and professional services. Let me briefly describe each of these categories. Additional details can be found in question 11 to the FAQs at the back of our earnings release. The first category is platforms and applications. Platforms and applications include SLB's cloud technologies, such as the Delphi and Lumi platforms, along with a suite of specialized domain-focused applications, such as Petrel and Techlog, offered as SaaS subscription or perpetual licenses. These platforms and applications automate complex models, unlock data, and utilize AI and machine learning to reduce cycle time and improve efficiency of workflows. This allows our clients to make better, faster decisions to improve their project economics and reservoir performance. With the exception of one-off license sales, revenue in this category is recurring in nature, underpinned by a globally installed software base built over four decades, and complemented by growing adoption of cloud-based capabilities and IoT-enabled solutions. As a result, platforms and applications have high retention rates and very limited churn, as illustrated by the fact that the net revenue retention rate was 103% at the end of the third quarter. This represents the percentage of recurring revenue retained from our existing customer base over the last trailing 12 months relative to the prior 20 trailing 12 months. The second category is digital operations, which combines the unique strength of SLB's core oil field services and products with advanced digital technologies to deliver more reliable and more efficient field operations. By integrating connected solutions with performance labs, digital service delivery centers, customers gain real-time monitoring, remote decision-making, and automated execution across their workflows from autonomous drilling to automated well internal intervention. Revenue in this category is generated from the same client base as our core divisions and is therefore repeatable. Additionally, a portion of the revenue is recurring in nature. To incentivize the three core divisions, well construction, reservoir performance and production systems, and digital to develop and promote this offering, the resulting revenue is recognized in both the respective core division as well as in the digital division. This revenue is then eliminated in consolidation. The third category is digital exploration. Digital exploration represents our exploration data business. Our differentiated library of seismic surveys and over subsurface data covers key exploration and producing basins worldwide. These licensed data sets are refreshed and reprocessed to benefit from the latest imaging algorithms and AI technologies enabled by high-performance cloud computing. Revenues are generated from one-time, non-transferable license sales and are therefore non-recurring in nature. Professional services makes up the fourth revenue category. This includes consulting and all other services required to support our clients' digital transformations. These services include transition support from on-prem to cloud-based digital solutions, data clean-up and migration, and workflow automation. Including deployment of solutions built using our global network of innovation factories. Professional services revenue is largely project-based and repetitive engagements with the same customers are common. These services generate pull-through opportunities across the overall digital revenue streams. In addition to reporting revenue across each of these four categories, we will also share annual recurring revenue, or ARR, on a quarterly basis. ARR represents the annual value of recurring subscription and maintenance revenue from platforms and applications along with the recurring portion of digital operations, providing a measure of predictable revenue over the next 12 months. Now that I have described our digital reporting structure in more detail, I will walk through our first quarter digital results. First quarter digital revenue of 658 million increased 11% sequentially and adjusted EBITDA was 215 million, reflecting a margin of 32.7% up 123 basis points sequentially. First quarter sequential revenue growth was driven by robust sales of digital exploration coupled with increased digital operations. It also reflects two months of activity from ChampionX, which contributed digital revenue of 20 million. Annual recurring revenue stood at 926 million at the end of Q3, representing year-on-year growth of 7%, highlighting our ability to continuously expand our offerings in platforms and applications and digital operations, as well as secure new customers.
Turning to the core divisions, reservoir performance revenue of 1.7 billion declined 1% sequentially as higher activity in Europe and Africa was more than offset by lower revenue in the Middle East and Asia, primarily in Saudi Arabia. Pretax operating margin of 18.5% was essentially flat sequentially. Well construction revenue of 3 billion was flat sequentially as higher revenue in offshore Guyana and North America were offset by lower drilling activity in Saudi Arabia and Argentina. Margins of 18.8% were essentially flat sequentially. Production systems as reported revenue of 3.5 billion increased 542 million, or 18%, sequentially. This reflects two months of activity from the acquired ChampionX production chemicals and artificial lift businesses, which contributed 575 million of revenue. Pretax operating margin of 16.1% declined 66 basis points sequentially driven by an unfavorable geographic mix in completions and lower subsea margins. This decline was partially offset by the accretive margin contribution from ChampionX. On a pro forma basis, production systems revenue of 3.8 billion was flat sequentially with lower completion sales offset by increased sales of valves and production chemicals. While it is still early days, we are quite pleased with the performance of ChampionX, which recorded a number of quarter of year-on-year revenue and margin growth, demonstrating the resilient nature of this production and OPEC-based business. Going forward, these results will be further enhanced by the 400 million of annual pretax synergies that we expect to generate within the first three years after closing. We remain confident that we will be able to realize 70 to 80% of the synergies within the first 24 months of the transaction. As a result, we expect the transaction will be accretive to both margins and earnings per share on a full year basis in 2026. Now turning to our liquidity. During the quarter, we generated 1.7 billion of cash flow from operations and 1.1 billion of free cash flow. These amounts include the payment of 153 million of acquisition-related items during the quarter. Capital investments, inclusive of capex and investments in APS projects and exploration data, were 581 million in the quarter. For the full year, we still expect capital investments, including the impact of ChampionX, to be approximately 2.4 billion. We expect that, following our historical patterns, free cash flow will increase in the fourth quarter on the back of lower inventory as a result of year-end product sales as well as higher customer collections. The extent of the sequential step-up in free cash flow will largely depend on cash collections in certain countries. And finally, we repurchased 114 million of our stock during the quarter, which brings our total stock repurchases to 2.4 billion on the year-to-date basis. When combined with our 1.6 billion dividend commitment for the year, this will result in us returning a total of 4 billion to our shareholders for the full year. I will now turn the call back to Olivier.
O
Olivier Peuch28:36
Thank you, Stephane. Megan, I think we are ready to open the floor for the questions.
M
Megan28:43
We will now begin the Q&A session. If you would like to ask a question, please press star followed by the number one on your telephone keypad. Your first question comes from the line of Dave Anderson with Barclays. Dave, your line is open.
D
Dave Anderson28:59
Hi, good morning. So, good morning. On the IEA, uh good morning. On the IEA, put out a report highlighting increased global decline rates and and the need to spend capital just offset these barrels each year. You now have ChampionX in the fold and you've created really what looks to be the largest production-focused business in services. When you think about chemicals, lifts, subsea, something like 40, 45% of your revenue. Can you talk about how you see this part of your business growing? I I it's a little confusing when I think about your core business cuz this is seems a little bit different, but how are you thinking about this part of your business growing? Particularly with deepwater development ramping up. And I'm just wondering, are you thinking the production should outpace upstream drilling part of your portfolio through the end of the decade? Is that the right way to think about it in terms of the opportunity set?
O
Olivier Peuch29:46
I think the right way to about it first is what the customer are looking for. And I think as you pointed out, I think it's clear that the the natural decline that winning on the on the industry that have to be offset not only by infilling and new developments, but there is a increased recognition by the customer in the customer that pollution and recovery is a new theme that needs reinvestment, that needs technology, that needs innovation, that needs integration, analytical ability to lift and increase production and hence recovery through technology, through disruptive solution that I think they need to lead. So, we are positioning ourselves with this acquisition Schlumberger X to not only address both the OPEX and the CAPEX market as a larger market and hence as a larger share of the wallet of our customers, but also as a more resilient space as the OPEX is indeed growing as as we know growing at a at a higher pace than CAPEX lately and will continue to do so, but more and more more is more important believe is that we are able to unlock new solution because we have a the broadest portfolio with this acquisition. We have the broadest lift portfolio where we have the largest intervention portfolio in the market and we have now sounds in chemistry and capability industry that not only touch the production from the wellhead to the process, but also the reservoir. And I think when combining this established integration capability of digital, I think we have something that I think the industry is is what it was looking for and I think
The customer feedback we are getting is actually extremely good because they are all focusing increasingly on production recovery as a way to add to their production target. It's an 'and', not an 'or'. The end of upstream exploration development will be going to be production recovery. It's a market that will expand long-term and this market we believe we have a leadership position that we have established.
D
Dave Anderson31:57
So, shifting over to digital, throughout this year of the breakout here, I have a million questions here. I'm going to try to keep it to a handful of things to focus on. Stephane, you have the four different segments here. I was wondering if you could kind of just talk a little bit about how we should be thinking about those four segments and where they should be trending, kind of what the drivers are for those four segments. I guess the exploration part, but kind of the rest of it. And then secondarily, you highlighted 900 million in recurring revenue year-to-date, up 7% from last year. I'm just curious, are you expecting this to accelerate? Did you think it was going to grow more or less this year and how should we think about that going forward?
S
Stephane Biguet32:38
So, thanks for all the questions. Indeed, it's a lot of additional info. So, the ARR above 900 already, yes, it's growing and we clearly anticipate this to continue growing as we not only offer more to our existing customers, but also secure new customers. So, probably going into Q4, we can be looking probably at high single digit growth for ARR and with the kind of number you see now, we are not too far, I believe, from getting into next year getting to 1 billion dollars of ARR which really provides a very good baseline of revenue. For the rest of your questions, I will pass it to Olivier.
O
Olivier Peuch33:25
Yeah, no, thank you, Stephane. No, Dave, clearly I think yes, there's a different dynamic for the four buckets, but I think if you have to look at the platform application, this is where the customer adoption and expansion of our offering will give us the opportunity to continue on our journey to accompany our customers across the subsurface, across the production drilling and across their data and AI capability. So, the expansion of AI into that space and you have seen several announcements in the earnings press release this morning showing that this is the early innings will be a driving force for further growth. The deployment of cloud, both hybrid and public cloud, continuation of our platform transition that we have seen and the continuing adoption of the capability we keep adding to our offering, the application you have seen. So, this is all about customer adoption driven by the technology transition from desktop to cloud AI. Secondly, the digital portion is all driven by adoption of for every well we touch, for every product equipment we deliver, we continue to add digital services, automation, autonomous capability to complement this offering. So, this would be added to the core. It's jointed to the core, but it's an exciting adjacent space to the core that we grow and fast paced growth ahead of the core. You have seen this quarter, you have seen the year-on-year, we are talking about 50% year-on-year growth. This is remarkable. The digital exploration is linked to exploration market, but it's increasingly becoming digital because our customers recognize the need to use more digital insights before they drill the first well and it will be linked and it will be up and down, highly viable from quarter to quarter, but yet trending in our opinion positively. And finally, the professional services, I think I have to support the three buckets and I have the capability we put inside the customer office ahead of the large engagements or consulting engagements or during transition of that data space into our offering. This is what drives this. So, it's different driver, but all together, we believe over time this will all be positive leading to each other to create sustainable growth going forward as we say out pacing the CAPEX spend.
D
Dave Anderson35:55
Appreciate the insight. Thank you.
M
Megan36:01
Your next question goes to line of James West with Wells Fargo. James, your line is open.
J
James West36:11
Thanks. Good morning, Olivier and Stephane.
O
Olivier Peuch36:15
Morning, James.
J
James West36:17
So, curious on two key markets here for you guys where you have a nice dominant position. I'd love to get your thoughts on. First is deep water. As we look out into '26, obviously that it's been very resilient although some white space, but it looks like we're going to kick off a lot of campaigns next year and I'd just love to hear your thoughts on how we should think about that unfolding and Schlumberger's position or SLB, excuse me, its position.
O
Olivier Peuch36:51
No, first and foremost, I think deep water remains is here to stay and is here to grow as a market. It has several economics and it is seen as a place to invest to unlock new resource. You see it's not only development FID, but it's also exploration. Deep water is going on and is steady and is going. So, now if we look at the activity and the schedule of the rigs that we foresee going forward, actually, we are foreseeing that the white space that developed in the last 18 months are starting to dissipate and we are at, we believe from a rig activity, drilling activity, we may say that we are at bottom this quarter in Q4 of 2025 and we expect, although very gradual, we expect strengthening of the rig activity to support this both exploration and development FID coming in the pipeline with gradual strengthening and an uptick in the later part of the year that is currently scheduled and strengthening further in 2027. And we see it from the call from our customers to prepare the subsea pipeline that correspond. We are happy with our subsea position. We'll be closing the year with a growing both our booking and backlog to be ahead of last year and to place us to a position where subsea should grow not in 2026, but naturally in 2027 as a consequence of this pipeline. So, we are confident that it's on our horizon and I think we'll start to see the strengthening happening step by step.
J
James West38:33
Got it. Okay, that's great. Thanks for that, Olivier. And then the other market, the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia, has gone through some gyrations here in recent quarters, but it seems to me like at least we may have found somewhat of a bottom and maybe looking to add to activity next year. Is that consistent with what you're seeing in that market? I know it's a sizable market for yourself.
O
Olivier Peuch39:01
Now, with comments on the activity, I think it is our assessment indeed that we have reached a stabilized activity. It's not bottom in the current level of activity we see and we are anticipating a likely rebound in near to mid-term and directionally, we are anticipating that we should expect increased activity in the first half of 2026 for both gas and oil for different drivers. Gas continue to support the expanded capacity commitment to 2030 and non-commercial offshore and other assets in country. And for oil, in relation with supporting the extra supply that is delivered to the market, and assurance of supply through intervention, and possibly to some additional oil drilling as well.
J
James West39:56
Great. Thanks, Olivier.
O
Olivier Peuch39:59
Thank you, James.
M
Megan40:02
Your next question comes from the line of Scott Gruber with Sanford C. Bernstein. Scott, your line is open.
S
Scott Gruber40:11
Yes, good morning. I want to ask you about the solutions business. Morning. So, the data and analytics solutions business is growing pretty quickly here. It's actually becoming really sizable. Can you talk about the strategies for the business? Is there any here to develop a skill set and take it global, you know, as data center construction goes global? And overall, how do we think about the growth for the data center solutions business in 2026 and beyond?
O
Olivier Peuch40:42
Yeah, I think it's early days, and what they preached is the market position we gained in very fast pace. I think based on our first relationship and partnership that SLB gave us the opportunity to step into that market, building on our manufacturing engineering process technology, and global supply logistics that I think we have put to make it a reality. Now, going forward, yes, the ambition is to expand beyond the US footprint we have established, and we already have a pipeline of expansion here in Asia that has been agreed, and to also expand to more customers and diversify our hyperscalers and colocators, as we call them, to complement our offering. But yes, we will add technology. We will add the critical technology that make it unique to go beyond the first step we have. So, yes, we have an ambition to grow it, to expand customers, to expand geography, to broaden our offering. And remember, this is clearly not driven by oil and gas customers. It is driven by hyperscalers partners that reach out to us to help them respond to this AI boom, and data center growth that I think will last beyond this decade, clearly.
S
Scott Gruber42:04
Got it. No, very interesting. It's a little bit different business. Is the data center business a little capital intensive and balance sheet commitment with the business, or is there an investment needed to grow that business?
O
Olivier Peuch42:15
Absolutely. No, the investment is competencies that I think we have at scaling organization. It's technology creating repeatable, scalable, modular solution that differentiates for faster payment. And but it's not CapEx, no. I think we are not. This is a very low CapEx intensive business that we have set up here.
S
Scott Gruber42:45
Excellent. Well, we'll continue to watch. Thank you.
M
Megan42:53
Your next question comes from the line of Josh Silverstein with UBS. Josh, your line is open.
J
Josh Silverstein43:02
Yeah, hi everyone. Thanks for the new digital details here. You highlight the 7% growth in the annual recurring revenue. Is this growth predominantly coming from new customers or growing the existing customer base? Obviously, the 100% net retention rate shows how sticky the revenue is, but I'm curious about if you need to keep adding customers to drive that growth going forward.
O
Olivier Peuch43:28
I think we already have 1,500 customers, and I think we have a lot to grow with each customer we have. But yes, we are adding new customers in every new space where we develop technology. I think the digital operation is a discovery for many customers, and we are doing it every day. The platform application, the new offering, Lumi data and AI platform, I think is being delivered fresh from launch last Q4 to new customers, and as adoption has been already more than 50 customers in less than a year. I think it's remarkable. So, I think we are very proud of this. So, it's combination of enhancing the adoption within customers, developing enterprise solution, and enhancing the consumption, and delivering more to an existing customer set, and also expanding and broadening customer access for part of our offering that were more confined to a few customers in the past. So, I think we are broadening our offering with more access across all our customers, and we are strengthening for existing large customer. And you have seen announcement in the last time, and you'll see more announcement coming soon on customer adoption, large customer adoption, that reflect our success with those customer.
J
Josh Silverstein44:51
Great. And then just as a follow-up, I wanted to go back on the EBITDA margin comments that you guys have made. You highlighted that it was around 32% for the first 9 months, but I think you said you expected to reach 35% for the full year, which implies a very large jump towards 45% in the fourth quarter. So, I wanted to just make sure that was right, and then where you think margins can kind of go to if we look at 2026 versus 2025.
O
Olivier Peuch45:17
Yes, yes, we confirm we did say that we think we can reach 35% EBITDA margin for the full year. And yes, it's a step up for the fourth quarter. If you look at actually at the pro forma statements we provided which include the digital division by quarter back to 2024, this variability in T&C is quite common, actually. We always start very low in the first quarter, and margins as well as revenue, by the way, grow quarter after quarter. So, Q4 is always the best revenue quarter, and is always the best EBITDA quarter as well. So, we are pretty confident we can get there. And if you look into the future, 35% EBITDA margin is a good baseline to start from, basically.
S
Stephane Biguet46:12
By the way, if I can add something we've not discussed before on the EBITDA margin, except for the digital exploration part of it, is a very good proxy for free cash flow. There's obviously no CapEx in the digital business, again, excluding exploration data.
J
Josh Silverstein46:36
Great. Thanks, guys.
M
Megan46:42
Your next question comes from the line of Arun Dhingra with JP Morgan. Arun, your line is open.
A
Arun Dhingra46:50
Yeah, that was my question on kind of digital margins and kind of the capital intensity of that segment. So, you know, I was just wondering about as you think about, you know, longer term growth from that segment. I mean, you mentioned that you think that it could outstrip the core business by double digits. Just wondering if you maybe elaborate on that commentary on growth from digital.
O
Olivier Peuch47:19
I think that I have two comments on it. One, as I said, is the adoption of our customers, existing and new customers we developed in the last question. I think the market expansion itself, the digital is being seen as mission critical for many customers to transform the way they operate, to add productivity, to add efficiency to their geoscience engineer and asset team. And I think this trend is here to stay, and we are leveraging our market leadership to continue to grow our market position into that supporting our trend. But secondly, and I think more importantly, or equally importantly, is our ability to continue to add digital operation capability, digital growth, and hence this one will outperform the core because the principle we are setting here is essentially for every service we provide, for every well site we touch, for every equipment we deliver, we will progressively add, building on our platform and connecting to our live performance center, will add a set of digital services that enhance this offering, that enhance their operation, the performance, and get differentiation, get the customer to create more value. So, this will ultimately and mechanically be growing at a higher rate than the core because of the market penetration of digital into our core business. So, you add this to the underlying trend of digital transformation with the early innings that we have witnessing in AI, I think you get a combination that gives us the confidence that we will clearly outperform the market growth of CapEx and outperform the core as a combination.
A
Arun Dhingra49:11
Great. And one follow-up, Olivier. I wanted to see if you could elaborate on your commentary on what would happen in the recovery. Your commentary suggests you expect that international would lead in a recovery. Historically, it's been North America. So, I was wondering if you could maybe just elaborate on that thought behind that commentary.
O
Olivier Peuch49:34
Yeah, I think we believe that the tight economics that we are under and we believe you don't see them necessarily changing very much. We see them improving slightly as soon as the demand supply rebalance. But under those condition I think we believe that the situation in North America is such that we don't anticipate significant gain of activity based on the efficiency tactical based on the I would say the challenging economics of some basin and also of the continuing consolidation happening in this market. By contrast, in international you have several trends that are here to stay. I think the deepwater has a very solid pipeline that drives the international growth. You have gas and other security of supply that has led to capacity deployment, exploration, capacity expansion and unconventional development internationally. And you still have the commitment to oil capacity expansion if not the necessity to offset the decline in many international location and aging basin that combined to make international I would say getting better outlook and the first leg for the rebound as activity strengthen.
A
Arun Dhingra50:54
Great, thank you.
M
Megan51:00
Your next question goes to line of Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs. Neil, your line is open.
N
Neil Mehta51:08
Good morning, Olivier and team. Thank you for taking the time. So, I was wondering your perspective on the oil macro and this is more of a near term question. Certainly the market has flipped into oversupply and I think what a lot of market participants are trying to figure out which you have unique perspective on is what is the rebalancing mechanism to get the market back into balance. And there are a couple of different levers. Certainly the US could be part of it and part of it could just be time and demand can grow into it. But how do you guys see the market rebalancing from this current period of oversupply?
O
Olivier Peuch51:50
Yeah, I think first you have to assume that the release of supply that are happening will align and moderate and all be managed to not create a further stretch to the demand supply or to the oversupply market. You have to assume this first and I think that's an assumption we are making. Certainly we are making the assumption that indeed the demand will over time and we are not talking years but talking months will catch up and hence we believe that with the buffer of supply being beyond us or the decline of this excess of supply being beyond us we believe that sometime next year I think that's what our hypothesis is that demand supply will be sufficiently rebalanced to allow the market to have the investment incentive to indeed consolidate from this steady situation which we are today to start to rebound. So there are some plus and minus of this increase. There is some China adding some silos of liquid inventory. There are some OPEC countries that currently are not fulfilling their quota despite the release and I think there is some US shale production anticipation that could also be starting to create a deficit of supply on the horizon. So you combine this and you get a situation where the demand supply will rebalance itself in the future and under those conditions we believe that the drivers of activity will prompt reinvestment and rebound of activity first in the international market.
N
Neil Mehta53:50
Yeah, thanks Olivier. You have a unique perspective to what's going on in the oil market. The follow-up is just on M&A ChampionX. I think in retrospect really helped to balance out the portfolio on the production side. I'm just curious to the extent we are in a period of softness do you see there an opportunity for SLB to continue to be a consolidator or given the softness in the equity do you feel like a more organic approach is the right strategy?
O
Olivier Peuch54:24
I think we first we are focusing on executing the strategy ChampionX realizing the benefit of this unique addition to our portfolio to consolidate and execute production recovery strategy and you have seen we have done two more bolt-on strategic acquisition Hasman for the tracer technology use chemistry actually to enhance recovery development and Streamline digital which is a digital technology addition to our portfolio application cloud application that helps to plan and execute well intervention for customers. So all of this pertains to the production recovery portfolio and this is one focus that we have and we believe that aside from bolt-on acquisition we don't see any further need for consolidating this but executing through integration through our unique capability set and expanding internationally getting the full benefit of this that's our current focus.
N
Neil Mehta55:30
Okay, thanks Olivier.
M
Megan55:34
Thank you, Neil. Your last question will go to line of Steve Richardson with Evercore ISI. Steve, your line is open.
S
Steve Richardson55:45
Thank you. Thanks for putting me in. Good morning. I was wondering if you could talk a little bit about the addressable market in digital. I think you just talked about the longer term growth but how should we think about the addressable market? I mean I think we've seen consultants talk about a mid $30 billion for total revenues in 2030 or should we think about it as a proportion of total upstream spend? You know how do we think about the total pie here? And I appreciate that it's very subjective in terms of how you define what is digital and what is not.
O
Olivier Peuch56:20
It's very subjective but I would consider it unconstrained. I would consider that the digital solution will create the space for the own and I believe that the scale of offering the capability and the opportunity we have I don't see constraints into the market. So I believe that the growth potential we have from both the digital portion today if you compare the digital portion if you were to do the math we could say that this represent 1% of revenue for core why not 50% of revenue for core in the future? So that's the way you could look into it. We have 1,500 customer. Only a few portion of them adopted the platform. We are in early innings of AI. You have seen handful of announcement on Lumi and AI in this quarter. Why not 1,000 customer using Lumi and AI in the future and using Atlantic AI to supplement and get companions to help them execute their workflows with digital capability. So this is digital is a new oil line I could say. So I believe that you should consider this unconstrained for now and it's only limited by our ability to create the right solution that I think the customer are keen to adopt because it has a net impact on their productivity for the geoscientist that a net impact on their effectiveness and decision making and it creates value and they recognize value. So one on one we continue to work and partner for customers continue to develop and use our platform to both address the official workflow the back office workflow and the digital operation to expand the offering and we will use the technology portfolio we have at our disposal both on premise public cloud hybrid cloud edge and obviously accelerate our GNI and Atlantic AI for the future. So it's unconstrained and I would not want to put a constraint. I'm just willing to keep supporting our customers into their digital journey and we believe we are the partner of choice in this regard and we continue to lead the industry with our technology our solution and get the benefit of it.
S
Steve Richardson58:44
That's great, Olivier. Thank you so much. I mean I think the quick follow-up if I may on the commercial push here. Do you find that you are is it fair to assume that you're coming in to your customer and providing a new solution that's outsourcing or replacing something that they're doing internal? Are you finding that you're bidding against a competitor? And then as a follow-up there how much of digital would you think right now is bundled with something that comes out of the core? So does that create the commercial entry to then make the digital sale or should we think about them completely separately? Thanks.
O
Olivier Peuch59:24
No, I think it's all in. I think we are the leader in the space and it's recognized by our customers. And I think they work with us, they desire to work with us and partner to understand how they can get a better use of the product, the few product they have. Most of the customer have one of our product, one of our application. And they are then sitting with us and we are partnering to see how we can expand and help them go along the journey to adopt more of our offering. So, it's sometime it complements because we have taken an approach of an open strategy for platform. It complements what they have and we are able to preserve and build on what they have developed internally. Sometime it sits side by side with competing competitive offering that is integral part of their workflows and we are not here to push everything out to be perceived as the platform integrator in our industry. And yes, it builds on the core because whenever we are delivering a new drilling operation and we can offer autonomous geo steering as an option, I think it's always we have a mutual pull through on the digital to sell this value added geo steering capability and pull through of our hardware services that get the benefit of better performance with these digital services. So, it's all in and I think that's the reason why we are optimistic that it will continue to grow at the same pace as the industry global spend and hence it's a bright future ahead of us.
S
Steve Richardson1:01:10
Okay, thank you.
M
Megan1:01:15
I will now turn the call over to SLB for closing comments.
O
Olivier Peuch1:01:21
Thank you, Megan. Ladies and gentlemen, as we conclude today's call, I would like to leave you with the following takeaways. First, upstream oil and gas investment remains resilient with pockets of growth in many international markets. SLB's unique global footprint and portfolio provides us with leading exposure to many of these regions and enable us to deliver steady financial results through all market conditions. Second, the addition of ChampionX is already making a meaningful impact as customers remain focused on increasing production from existing assets. Our expanded portfolio positions us to capture a larger share of their spending and deliver greater value across the production life cycle both in OPEX and CAPEX spend categories. And finally, our digital business is a true differentiator for SLB. This is the fastest growing part of our business and I look forward to showing the continued growth of this business through our new digital division. With these strengths, SLB is exceptionally well positioned to continue delivering for our customers and our shareholders. I look forward to delivering a strong fourth quarter to close the year. With this, I conclude today's call. Thank you all for joining.
M
Megan1:02:32
This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.