Ritesh Agarwal6:16
Namaste, everyone. The first time Rajiv ji called me about getting together, he said there will be a few people. It will be a great evening. And it's a full house. Thank you so much for coming out in such numbers and for giving the love. I hope I will be well worth this evening. Already Rajiv ji has put me on a pedestal saying that I hope he'll bring great things on the table. So I'm already thinking what value will I add in a room full of stalwarts in so many businesses. Walking the floors here is very challenging because every corner you find one storied corporate after another which has supported everything from the boardroom to various conference room including this room, which is called the Singhania Hall. Yeah. Ragupati Singhania Hall. So let me talk a little bit about... Let me start my story from there. I grew up in the southern half of Odisha. How many of you been to Odisha ever? Oh, big group. Thank you. Our state's getting popular. So in Odisha, southern half, there is a town called Rayagada. How many of you have heard about this place? Not bad. There's 10%. This has been my big effort in life to make sure my hometown is known by more people. So many years ago it would be 1% here. 10% is already progress. And the little village used to be called J.K. Pur because the town had a paper mill, which was started by the Singhania family back in the day. It just tells you the great impact industry has in people's lives. Often industry is seen as, you know, just business, commerce, taxes, and maybe jobs. But businesses change lives, and that's true not just in India, but around the world. So, growing up from there, life was actually very simple because you have very little identification or knowledge about capitalism, business, numbers. But come knowledge with the NC circle. Hindi is fine in between little bit. Yeah. So, for me my life's dream was, at least my parents' dream was, dad used to have a small shop. Mother was a homemaker. Father's dream was that I grew up and work in his shop. Mother's dream was I do everything but be in the shop. As most mothers have, right? Like they have a perspective of you should leave this town and go somewhere else to do something new. And father was also of course okay with it, but he of course wanted to spend more time. And as did I. I enjoyed spending time with him as well. Long story short, my eldest sister, we are four siblings. I am youngest of the lot. The eldest sister in our many generations became the first woman to get a graduate degree. She got an engineering, you know, university degree. And that changed all our next three siblings' life. Because she came home and said, 'I got a job.' We were not used to like anybody getting a job around ourselves. Let alone somebody getting a job in an urban city. And in one of the days in her university she talked about they had an entrepreneurship fest. That's how I learned the word entrepreneur for the first time. I went to the dictionary. I searched what's an entrepreneur. Because business person to businessman look at commonly. The entrepreneur I read at least what I remember faintly the definition said somebody who solves a problem and creates a business around it. I was always a contrarian person, rebel. You have to just look at what you have to do. So that's it. In classrooms also people would ask what do you want to do? I would say I want to be an entrepreneur. The reason I'm explaining this is life is full of serendipity. There is no simple path to entrepreneurship, no simple path to pursuing a business. But whenever opportunity knocks, what do you take out of it matters more than anything else. And I tried to take everything I got. Now how did my life change? How did somebody from Bismark at Odisha get to be a technology entrepreneur? My life changed the biggest due to the Thiel Fellowship. How many of you heard about Peter Thiel? Smaller. How many of you watched the movie The Social Network? That's bigger, right? Like that's almost half the audience. So movies I'm a big fan of. School kids used to watch all kinds of movies, right? So one of the movies I went to watch was The Social Network. In which I see this person called Peter Thiel who gives $100,000 to 20 people under the age of 20. He's a founder of PayPal, early investor in Facebook and various other companies. I looked at him and I thought that I want to be an entrepreneur. Because why would somebody invest in a teenager who's just out of high school? Naivety. But the most important reason I want to share it is naivety is bliss. Because today I know about capital, IRR, implications. Hence, I'm far more conservative. But back then I had no idea. And I had the youthful conviction of saying that I can do anything. There was no constraint in life. So, next time I went to a cyber cafe, I searched online about the Thiel Fellowship and applied to his program. What attracted me the most about the program were the questions. What is the one thing you believe in that nobody else believes in? What is the one thing you... You all ask somebody in your family who's a teenager, who's in their 20s. One question was, if you had infinite capital, what would you change in the world? Because often as a young teenager or a 20-year-old, if you have an ambition, you think I don't have capital. But if you remove that constraint, what will you dream? The reason why the dream is very important, and that's been my biggest experience, is the cost of thinking big is cheap. It's free. I got so shaky. To connect the 50% chance. I got so shaky need to 100% chance of failure to be trying to connect. And similar other questions. There was another question which said, what is the one contrarian thing you believe in that nobody else believes in? I believed in the promise that a company which is built in India with the power of digital and technology can become a global market leader in the world of travel and hospitality. Most people would not make sense. Entrepreneurship is being contrarian. If you believe in what everyone else believes in, then I'm sure there'll be other people doing it. You have to believe in something that others don't when you're starting. So that changed my life. One day I get a call saying that you're among the top 40 candidates and please come to the US. I was the most happiest, not because I wanted to become a fellow. Thank you, but I'll tell you this, I was genuinely not excited because before me no Asian resident was a fellow. But I was excited because in my family for the first time in many generations someone was going to the US and I was going to sit in a flight. Both of those were life-changing for me. I landed to the US. For those of you who will relate, I landed in San Francisco on the day of the Pride Parade. That is as much of a culture shock as you can imagine going from South Odisha to Mission District on the day of Pride Parade. The whole place smells funny. People are wearing all kinds of clothes. And when you've not seen outside of that place anywhere, you think the whole country is like this. So but you know, as we all do, we all learn. I learned. I was there for a year. But I wanted to build my business back here in India. And there was a professional reason and a personal reason. Professional reason was I knew more people who I could align with my value system here than I could find there. And the second is my mother was unwilling to move. So both of those made sense for me to come back to India. So 2014 I returned back and set up this business initially called as OYO. Our business model is very simple. We provide clean, comfortable room at an economic price at scale in every city. Can we... We a reasonably predictable hotel experience. The first hotel we signed up was in Gurgaon the South City area. It was a 20 room guest house owned by a dear now friend of ours named Rajesh by Rajesh Gupta but we call him Rajesh by. He had a factory in Rajasthan as a side thing of investment he had a guest house in Gurgaon. Only during wedding season it used to get full rest of the time was empty. So I pitched him I told him that I want to provide my brand to you and provide higher revenue growth for you. Rajesh he said I was 19 years old he looked at me and said up to take a look at any of our property about that I said revenue but I got it. But then he also said I would get in the situation of sitting in the garden. So he was pragmatic. So he was kind enough to say that I'm happy to give you my property to run but I have only one condition. My condition is I'll brand be easy. Software be easy. But tell I am the only way to do it but I have no idea what I can say what you need to know. So I said I don't have a place to live. It's a double benefit. I will become somebody who will run the hotel and it was at that point of time it was a choice but now when I look back it was the best decision I made. So 25 room property went from 20% occupancy to 80% in the first 3 months. A lot of you will listen to it and think how. I will give you a quick 60 second context of online business in this. A lot of you would have booked a hotel online. Typically on online website there are three ways of sorting rankings. Sort by price, sort by popularity and sort by ratings which is quality of the property. So I realized very quickly that you have to be in the middle of the top of the line. So I started by saying that the first room I will sell for the lowest. So I will be at the top of the sort by price. The most other online big time is two rooms you become popular. So, after two rooms I would increase the price by around 30 to 40% so we get popularity sales. But the highest revenue you get for the quality. So, the entire staff of the hotel including myself whoseoever name came in the review with a five-star rating got a 150 rupee incentive. So, we become eventually the sort by rating. And the online website became our billboard. So, people started talking to each other that if you go to OYO you get a good experience right price point. The summer cos I made that all the Gurgaon companies that hire summer trainees they started moving to us and a few months you're full. And in India as they say in three years there's a very popular dialogue which says that I'm feeling good I am the one I need to get that. But those first I got it. The whole thing could be what do you think? So, as soon as Rajesh G's property started getting a lot of taxis driving in and dropping guests people around started calling me. And the call used to be how maybe a Yoyo gets that attached to that. The people couldn't say OYO so they used to call us Yoyo back then. And then you know, fit a business until I got karma until I got between 2014 to 2018 we could do no mistake which is the period that you know, you heard us sir as well Mr. Mehta and I think it was such an incredible honor that I had it was just a year that I had started the company. My mother used to say to me go to the same way I put it there. To make it new say open degree karate. And I used to tell her I have a contract that I can't go to university. It's not that I am not capable to go to university. I have just chosen to pursue entrepreneurship. Like you know, one of these times some of us technology founders some of whom have created multi-billion dollar companies today. I won't name them, but Bangalore's companies which have sold their businesses for many billion dollars. Sometimes my mother used to see them with me and used to tell her that you've found all the wrong friends beside you. Understandable, right? Her perspective was that, you know, everybody around me just has to have at least a graduate degree or a post-graduate. That day when the Prime Minister said on television, so Prime Minister said on the inauguration of Startup India that when I see Ritesh, I feel like why did a tea seller not start a hotel chain? And he didn't have to say it, but I think listening to that, my mother's mind certainly changed. And not just her mind, the minds of millions of other mothers and fathers who typically told their children that startup is too risky and we don't do it, that changed. I was speaking to my friends who run matrimonial business now. The number one highest-ranked probability for a match on matrimonial sites is being an entrepreneur today. Which wasn't the case two decades ago. At least when I was growing up, my parents told me IT job. When I talk to my parents, they tell me in their generation, government jobs. I think it's rapidly changing with entrepreneurship and starting your own company becoming the most popular thing. 2018, you know, we started sort of moving upscale. We launched a brand called Sunday Hotels which is now becoming very popular, which is our upscale four-five star brand. And we also started going global. These are the two things we started. Just by the time we started both of this, COVID hit. And you know, for those four-five years, we used to be celebrated a lot, but I see in my conference somebody came and told me that Ritesh, you know, you're seeing all the good times now. You can make no mistake, but there will come a time when you can make no good decision, everything will go wrong. And that will be your test of character. If you see that through, you'll be in a great place. And the biggest thing to do is just stay the situation. Don't run away. I said, 'Sure.' Man I don't know. Man may note here and then moved on. There were other things. COVID was my first twist with destiny in that format. Because we were investing or growing our revenue at three and a... Because the revenue was growing this quickly, we were also investing two and a half times more every year in the pursuit of that growth. The revenue, forget three and a half times growth, got eliminated by 70% overnight. But the cost was already committed, two and a half times expansion. So, by these two maths, a company which had cash for around three and a half years suddenly had cash for four months. That was the total balance sheet size at that point of time. And naturally, that's not the time you would imagine new investors picking your telephone calls anyway. Even your old investors would not, but new ones certainly would not. In my mind, that was the best... Now, when I was telling it was the most painful, but now the best training year for me in my entire corporate career or my entrepreneurial career. Because I realized who were the closest friends to me. I realized how to run a business when you have no resources purely on the back of your abilities of execution. Your business partners care about you as much as you do because you're on the same boat. And last but not the least, people will help you if you just ask them for it. I just got a message from one of my friends on... we have a small group called the India startup group and he messaged he's here. I can't see him yet. But one of the things that that happened is one of the newspapers, global newspaper without reality announced that Oyo has filed for bankruptcy. Right? What's the meaning of startup group? I shared saying key you news fell out. And unfortunately our employees, their families, they're all getting worried because and that is COVID time. So people think it should make sense travel company went through trouble. And every single person in that startup roughly 150 people separate people reached out, shared about it on social media saying this is incorrect and I think I can do make it selective amnesia. The same publication has gone ahead and said it is the prism of the most transformative company in the last 2 years, the most profitable in the sector. But will take it that is their job, right? Like the most killer that I will skip out of it and I will take out of it and I will take out of it. But the reason I share this is to say that you will all go through and your families, your children, they'll all see significant challenges. But I have learned that if you just see it through and fight through circumstances, life is always greater on the other side. There were so many companies that shut down during COVID, but every travel company that has survived is printing more cash today than they could ever have. Now my relationship with Rajiv ji, I want to talk about that. We'll talk about it more later, but first time I met him when we were just coming out of COVID. Just to remind. FY 2021 and 2022 we lost a sum total of 1,000 crores. Which is the COVID time I was saying. Terrible. 23 was our first positive year. Which was 300 crores EBITDA came in. That is the time period when I first around the time period is when we met for the first time. With some of you because people had seen our two or three years of challenges, most people said Ritesh is extremely competent, bright guy, but not sure if he can build a good business. And I was projecting next year almost 800 crores EBITDA. As entrepreneurs do, I was also projecting. I'm looking for partners who can support us. We spent I think two hours or so. I think probably a combination of Rajiv, few other friends, some of you may have heard of Ashish Kacholia who was a famed investor, A.J. and a couple of others. They were the first ones who backed me coupled with Khazana. Coming right out of COVID. And I feel having friends like him and others is probably the most special one and I don't tell this to him as a shareholder. We are true friends and family rather than that of people who discuss investments is extraordinarily valuable because when the chips are down, you want people who don't judge you. And with him I call him and I only tell bad news. When things are going well, I rarely call him. But when I have a really troublesome decision to make, I'll call him. And I'll give an example of that. I Rajiv we were all together. So 300 crores to 800 crores that year. And he was happy. He said, 'Very good. You did your plan and you keep executing.' Then I said, 'If things are going well, we should double down and do more.' But I'm in a huge question ki hamari EBITDA 800 crore ki hai. But there is an incredible company I have thought of buying. The cost of that company is 5,000 crores. And I don't have that cash. I have to go raise this capital, but it is going to be very challenging if you don't perform. So, we spent, I think, 3-4 hours or something like that one of those evenings discussing that. And we went through extraordinary level of detail. Kis pro- kitna aaj ke din mein profit hai? Kitna badhaenge? Technology kaise invest karenge? Renovations kya hongi properties mein? Property owners kaun hai? Just for quick context, the company ka naam Motel 6 hai, which is the largest economy hotel brand in the United States. Lagbhag unke 2,000 hotels in US mein. Aur majority property owners hamare Indian Gujarati bhai hai. Jo Bharat se US gaye hai and they're running all these hotels. Aur hamara thesis tha ki hum usse woh flat ho gayi thi business kai saalon se. Hamara context tha ki hum uski profits ko aur revenues ko significantly badha payenge 30, 40, 50% se by applying our technology. I think beyond all the numbers, eventually he said is, 'Ritesh, end of the day, the logic you say makes sense. But the big question is twofold. The first, will you put your neck behind it? Because end of the day, it is the entrepreneur's belief and execution that will matter. And the second is, be conservative in the leverage you take. Do not ever go beyond the two to and a half times.' Even though going in, the leverage was higher, the leverage was almost four times when we went in. I'm happy to share that now we are at 2.4 times, which is closer to what you had liked. And that has been the most transformative acquisition we've ever done. I think last year that 300, which became 800, is now over 2 and 1/2 thousand because of the continued momentum we've seen. I just want to end by three last things and then we'll talk informally for that. The first one is the impact of AI in every business around ourselves. I will tell you a few things that I'm doing in my company. I'm sure you all are doing others in yours. The first one is I have become a resident AI teacher. So, I run classroom sessions every month for between 100 to 300 people where I train our own talent. So, I learn myself of course from everyone around me and then I train our colleagues. The reason why it is essential is that it's rare to find a combination of business context and technological context in one person. If you hire somebody in AI, they will not have the business context as an entrepreneur you have. And if you don't learn AI, you will not be able to explain it to others. So, I have figured that as an entrepreneur if I was living in the like Rajiv was saying agriculture time moving from cottage industry to industrial revolution, I would have need to learn machines myself. In the modern generation the AI foundational models and small models are the machines. If you don't know our machine, how will we run our factory? How will we make the returns from it? For those of you run factories, you know if you don't know your machine it's not easy to be able to maintain your production, your quality, your cost and so on. So, my first suggestion to you all would be that this is a new technology that nobody really knows too much about. So, you are not missed anything. Just in Shuru Karengi was in the opportunity bought. So, please do not be worried and please invest 30 minutes hour every week if not day or by bi-weekly. To just try and experience, you know, first generation technology systems yourself. That's a first suggestion. And I'll give examples of things that AI is doing today. In our company, for instance, our ability to ensure deal underwriting, which deals we should sign, lead underwriting, which is what leads we should get, being able to ensure that we leads can how do we sign them quickly, who do you recruit locally, which consultant you should hire in a remote village in Germany to be able to sort of get your registrations done, how to reach your client, what the client proposal should look like, what the marketing advertisement should look like, is all being done by AI. And there's probably a lot more which I'm missing. That's a first suggestion. Second, I think in the world of AI, we have an incredible advantage. There is more engineers in India I was doing the maths than all other countries combined ex-China. That's the number of engineers we have. So, if we can't take advantage of such incredible talent and create value, we will be losing out on massive opportunity. And the last but not the least, please do not consider AI as an unknown animal. The reason I say all of this is because we missed the industrial revolution in some way as a country. We won the digital revolution but a part of it through services. In the world of AI revolution, the first effort was the infrastructure. You build the servers, chips, data sets, which is the Nvidia and equivalent. The second one is the foundational models, which I think it is settled that there are few foundational models that become very big. We have our own Indian foundational model which will do very well. But the big opportunity which is lying, which is our specialty, is the application layer. It is a fully untouched environment. It requires application-oriented engineers, and we have more of them than any other country. But for that you have to take a swing at the challenge. And I'd encourage you all do it. Second is India for the world. We run a global business. Out of our over 35,000 crores of bookings a year, over 25,000 would come outside of India. Right? We are the largest vacation rental brand in all of Europe. Whether you go to Saint-Tropez, the city of Paris, we are the largest apartment and villa managers in all of these cities. We are the largest economy brand in US. Could see the same Motel 6 acquisition. We now run more luxury hotels in Europe than we run in India with our Sunday brand. The reason I say this is we found that we are constantly often afraid of taking a global expansion opportunity, understandable because of capital allocation risk, challenges, and so on. But what you'll find, especially for technology businesses, is outside of India people are almost waiting for India style of problem-solving, service delivery, and technology, which no other country can provide. And one simple way to do it is what our board did with me. Our board gave me 1 crore rupees in 2016 to try and do something in international. And that is what has translated to this 25,000 crore of orders. So my recommendation would be that please give it a go. And last but not the least, this is an occupational hazard. Is, please try and support young Indian startup founders in whatever manner you can. You're all leading very successful enterprises. And I hope some of you have seen Shark Tank or met entrepreneurs who've been on Shark Tank. These kids, they are just so incredibly smart and motivated and driven. But they need the ability, like I look at myself, if I knew everything I know from friends around me who were Indian business owners, most of my early capital came from foreign investors. It's only recently that people like Rajiv G and various others have taken a bet on us as domestic capital. I think what they bring far more than capital is context of how to run a business in India. The do's, don'ts, what goes well, what could be painful and things like those. If you all can find, and you know, most often than not, even if you're not providing capital, just give time. That'll be more than enough. You'll find people, like I would have gone and spent time with anyone who'd give me time who was running a successful business. So, please try and do that. I think it'll be greatly beneficial to our country if we truly want to become a global economic superpower. We cannot do it just by us. I just came, by the way, I'll just end with this. I was in New York just now. I New York office I have a meeting. The last dinner I had was with, you know, actually a pharma company. I have my MNL Pharma at Chintu Bhai. So, he was hosting us for dinner. And the dinner was essentially 30 entrepreneurs from New York. Essentially saying how Indian-American budget to US may have only get some other way. That's such an incredible thought. That is how do like they all took time. They all put capital with a simple goal. That Bharatiya logo US may arrive how do we support them so that they can become successful. We can certainly do it here and of course I think a lot of you are already doing it but my encouragement would be that anything more we can do for our young Indian boys and girls who come from the Odishas from Uttar Pradesh is who are trying to create their enterprise. If we can support them I think we will play a big role in the outcome. I'm trying to do my part but I'm sure you all will. But thank you again. I hope we will have more questions and we'll keep it conversational and I hope that you know there'll be more entrepreneurs who will say from this discussion they created even large enterprise. Thank you. Thank you so much.