José Ramos-Horta1:59:40
What I can say is unanimity. By the time they had reached Phnom Penh, November 2022, for the acceptance in principle, it was already unanimity. Then the question was how long. Then there was the roadmap in Labuan Bajo, and how long the roadmap will go, two years, three, five years, and so on. I had a meeting with our Prime Minister Xanana, just the two of us, we discussed. And I personally said we must aim for 2025. 2024 too soon, 2025. But he as the prime minister is the one who knows whether we can deliver. When I mentioned 2025, Malaysian chairmanship, he thought like that way. He thinks, you know, you're talking with him, nothing, he looks at the ceiling and he said, 'So in two years, two years we can do it.' So we started focusing on that. There were some differences here and there, not because of objection, because as decided in Phnom Penh and the roadmap, everyone. But many looked to Indonesia. And I understand Prabowo was very forceful. He said, 'He more or less must join now.' And the same with Anwar, Philippines, Vietnam, Cambodia, all of them. So it was unanimity. I just remember one of the ASEAN leaders, I don't mention his name, but he said like this, you know, referring to himself and many other ASEAN, 'We are too emotional.' He said, 'The Singaporeans, they are not emotional. They deal with everything with numbers.' You know, and I did mention this to Singaporeans, and they laugh. So don't try to make the Singaporeans emotional. No, present the facts and numbers to them. But some of us, you know, the wall has to be also with emotion. But then you have someone maybe let the Singaporeans be the one and call our attention back to reality. Yeah, and stop this nonsense of emotions and let's look at the figures, the facts. But Singapore also one of the countries that I remember talking with Goh Chok Tong 20 years ago. I was foreign minister. He said, 'Why do you want to join us? We don't have any money. Stick with Australia, with Portugal. They are the ones who have money.' Very practical. So it is not that they were against Timor joining, but some worried about whether we are able to deliver, whether able to respond to the agenda, which is really mind-boggling. And our people love traveling. You know, Timorese, you tell don't go here, go there, they are happy to go. But now they themselves realize that is tough. I think their enthusiasm for travel has lessened. And I hope that three, four years from now, the Timor delegation seat is not empty. If it will be empty, I will be very angry. Yeah. Because many, you go to the event in New York, how many seats are empty? Of course, if you were the American, if the American president speaks, yes, everybody, everybody badmouths the American. But then when the US president speaks, the room is packed. The moment he leaves, total chaos, no one pays attention more to the following speaker. So when I speak at the event, I always tell the protocol, 'Please don't put me next to the US. And don't put me first speaker in the afternoon. Yeah, the room is empty. Don't put me first speaker or second or third speaker in the morning.' I remember one time Obama, I think, was speaking. The president of the General Assembly was a Swiss. And he did a great favor to his president, a lady, speak after President Obama. No one listened to her, because the moment Obama finished, total chaos in the event. She was speaking shouting, and no one was listening. So I hope that a few years from now, I will look at photos, videos of the Timor desk, and it is not empty. Because the meetings are overwhelming, but very good exercise. I think it's great intellectual stimulation for our people, for our youth. And when I go through all the papers last night, our ambassador to ASEAN, she sent me a whole, I said, 'God, how did she manage to write all of this in the evening?' I was surprised, I am impressed. I wouldn't have the patience to do it. But I went through it. So that's the training, the benefit that we get from Singapore, Indonesia. Indonesia was the very first countries to... But Malaysia, I have to say, the first ASEAN prime minister leader to visit us soon after independence was Malaysia, Mahathir. The first country to give us military trucks, vehicles, because if you can imagine, during the struggle we didn't have military truck vehicles, we had all weapons. It was Malaysia that gave us the first embassy for free. And I think residence also for free of our embassy, plus some cash for day-to-day expenses and a vehicle, one or two cars. So Malaysia day one. Going back to Singapore, Singapore gave us, of course, all together since independence, 800 or more Timorese officials did training in Singapore. And in many other countries throughout the Philippines, a lot of Timorese went to study in the Philippines. Thailand, we had also hundreds who went to study there. So all ASEAN countries have been treating us as brothers or sisters. And Australia. Australia has been incredible loyalty, support. And we are reaching agreement with Australia and the oil and gas companies to explore the Greater Sunrise gas field, one of the biggest in all of the region. Hopefully, I say just hopefully, we will sign the agreement by July for the development of the pipeline with the pipeline coming to Timor-Leste. And plus, we have found two, three other fields onshore, and the investors say within two to three years we can have production. And I say this, we are one country in the world that we have very little debt. And before some years ago, some ASEAN worried, 'God, Timor is so poor, how are they going to survive?' Well, we have a sovereign fund that is considered the best managed in Asia, one of the best in the world, third best in the world. We invest in equity markets that in the last 10 years brought us 8% a year. We get more return now from our investment than from oil and gas production. In terms of debt, we have only about 14% debt, which we could pay right away if we wanted to. But the interest that we pay is less than the interest we earn from our petroleum sovereign fund investment.
Our economy is growing almost 5% this year, by the end of this year probably 5%. Of course starting from a very low level, so the country is on a big trajectory, and we're able to do that with a lot of support. Australia has been a magnificent neighbor during COVID. I don't think we would have survived COVID as well as we did without our leadership and without Australian support. During COVID Australia had massive cases in Melbourne, Sydney, and I was worried they would cancel the support because they needed it. No, they didn't. They sent experts, they gave money, and shared vaccines with us. Indonesia couldn't do much because of its own situation. I have to say personally, when I look at the figures in Indonesia you cannot but have a feeling of sadness and compassion. We had very few cases; mortality directly caused by COVID was only maybe two people. But if you count indirect cases maybe 10, but the directly from COVID, one person, one woman, maybe another one. Why? Because Timor is more than 60% below age 30, 50% below 20. They never stay inside a house. The houses are small, families are big, but you don't have 10, 20 people in a room. They are all under a mango tree, gossiping, playing snooker, always out. Plus, I was told a very high level of smoking. I once said on television, we can be proud: we beat the Indians, the Chinese, the Americans in the number of cigarettes smoked, higher than any of these countries. Motorbike accidents, we also beat the Chinese, beat Indonesia, beat every country in higher incidence of motorbike accidents. So when COVID happened, a 20-year-old boy had a motorbike accident, crashed his brains. They decided to do a COVID test on a dead person. Why bother? They did and said he was positive, so he was added to the list of victims. I protested: this is misleading. Next year the number of motorbike accidents will be less because they died of COVID, not a motorbike accident. So they started reviewing how it is counted—died with COVID or from COVID. So overall, we have been lucky.
The war in Ukraine or the Middle East has not much affected us because the government intervened right away to purchase more oil from Taiwan. We procured from Taiwan, who was able to supply. Then we found out Australia was also buying oil from Taiwan. I was surprised; I thought Australia was totally self-sufficient. The government intervened to soften the blow, and so far people are not complaining too much, except the opposition. But the common people so far no. But if the situation prolongs, it will be more difficult to sustain. Some of our economic conditions: we are not overly dependent. In the past we had budget support. We don't have any budgetary support from outside; it is all 100% funded by our own resources. Low debt, no sovereign risks, no organized crime. I say we don't have organized crime because generally Timorese are very disorganized. We have local organized crime—oh God, the police will get them the next day. A friend from Hong Kong, a great supporter of Timor, came, bought a computer to set up his business a few years ago. Two days later, people robbed him. He complained to the police. I said don't worry, in two days they will return it. Two days later the police found the property because the community police are all over the city. Our people are so naive; they steal something and talk about it in the neighborhood. So organized crime in Indonesia or wherever, they don't trust us. Timorese talk too much. That's a new way to prevent organized crime from entering the country. I know this is too tempting to stop, but let me stop here so I can open up for one more question to end with.