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Dan Primack

Business Editor, Axios

Search every verified Dan Primack interview, podcast appearance, and on-the-record quote — each transcript cross-checked by AI and human review to confirm speaker identity. Dan Primack, business editor at Axios, has been active in public discussions on technology, finance, and policy. In early 2026, he appeared on the TBPN program to discuss Meta's new AI model, Anthropic's Mythos, and prediction markets, where he said he expects platforms like Polymarket and Kalshi to ultimately reach the U.S. Supreme Court and predicted they would likely prevail. He also commented on the IPO market, noting that despite a January uptick, filings and pricings were down over 20% year-over-year from what he called a "garbage year," and identified Databricks as a likely candidate for a public offering. In March 2026, he discussed venture capital returns, saying median returns have underperformed major public indices over 25 years, and addressed defense tech investment, suggesting that Anduril's autonomy-focused technology could benefit from U.S. military stockpile replenishment. Primack has also conducted a series of on-stage interviews at Axios events, including conversations with executives such as Sequoia Capital's Roelof Botha, Coinbase's Emilie Choi, and Blue Owl Capital's Marc Lipschultz. In these discussions, he explored topics ranging from the costs of going public to the role of active investing in public markets. He has also appeared on CNBC to analyze M&A activity, attributing a rise in dealmaking to record-high equity prices and companies seeking AI-related capabilities, such as Palo Alto Networks' acquisition of CyberArk. His commentary has consistently focused on the intersection of private markets, public policy, and technological change.

Recent appearances

Verified interview transcripts

Notable quotes

“Right now, it appears federal preemption is going to win the day. For starters, the Trump administration, specifically the CFTC, which is what regulates this. This isn't regulated by the SEC, it's the CFTC. They are all in on prediction markets. Mike Celic, who is the current commissioner, he is on the side of Kalshi, I assume, will be on the side of Polymarket when they eventually really come to the US. And it does ”

“I think ultimately prediction markets are going to go to the Supreme Court. I think both Polymarket and Kalshi thinks that. I also think they're probably going to win in the Supreme Court. The law really is on Kalshi's side. They have done a pretty good job being in step with regulators and granted they were it was a little more complicated with the Biden administration but they sued the CFTC they won that lawsuit it”

“It's slow. I mean, if you look, despite the fact there was this little boom in January in terms of both number of pricings, in terms of filings, we're down over 20% in both of those year-over-year from last year, which was a garbage year for IPOs. So, everybody is looking at the big dogs, right? Everybody's looking at SpaceX. Everybody's looking at potentially OpenAI or Anthropic. I think Databricks is another one th”

“It's not great, right? We reported the other day that median returns are under the S&P 500, they're under the NASDAQ, they're under the Russell 3000 for 25 years, and I know there's a little bit of lumpiness because you're coming out of certain things that's coming out of kind of the great financial crisis, but that was true for the public markets as well. So it's not great. Now look, top funds in those top 5%, they'”

“I think it most likely does. We don't know, for example, exactly if Anduril technology has been used so far in the strikes in Iran. We don't know that for sure, although defense secretary Hegseth did today speak at a press conference and he talked about the use of autonomous weaponry. So one can assume that Anduril technology was used or stuff very similar to that. So yeah, look, and if for no other reason, the Unite”

“The real kind of nub of Anduril is autonomy. The idea of making autonomous weapons. Some fully autonomous, some autonomous, you know, but with a human in the loop kind of. And with that, think of a lot of self-driving right now, which is self-driving, but you actually have somebody sitting in the driver's seat who can hit the brake or can grab the wheel if need be. That's really the guts of it, is what they're doing.”

Other executives at Axios

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