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Niels Frederiksen
CEO, Scandinavian Tobacco Group A/S

Q&A - Niels Frederiksen and Graham Cunningham

🎥 Nov 29, 2021 📺 Scandinavian Tobacco Group ⏱ 12m
Thank you graham and thank you nils now it's time for our first q a session a relatively short one there will be two ways to conduct ...
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About Niels Frederiksen

Niels Frederiksen, CEO of Scandinavian Tobacco Group, stated in a November 2021 presentation that the company's vision is to become "the undisputed global leader in cigars." He described the company as "the strongest company in the cigar industry" and said it is "better positioned than any other company to further consolidate the industry," citing financial strength, expertise, and intention. Frederiksen noted that the company has moved to a "new level of capacity" for acquisitions due to improved earnings and control of the business, and he pointed to the Agile transaction as an example of how regulation has created M&A opportunities. Frederiksen emphasized that Scandinavian Tobacco Group is "not a mainstream tobacco company" and avoids direct competition with large tobacco firms. He discussed the company's strategy to "premiumize" the handmade cigar category, describing it as a luxury category accessible to a broad range of consumers. Regarding new categories, Frederiksen said the company is exploring areas such as smokable hemp, with a test launch of a "Versa" product in three to five U.S. states, describing it as a niche market for a non-nicotine smoking experience. He also highlighted ongoing efforts to professionalize the business, including implementing a global SAP system and upgrading skills in digitalization and strategy execution.

Source: AI-verified profile updated from Niels Frederiksen's recent appearances. Browse all interviews →

Transcript (16 segments)
H
Host0:02
Thank you, Graham, and thank you, Nils. Now it's time for our first Q&A session, a relatively short one. There will be two ways to conduct this for you here in the room. There will be a microphone, and please state your company and your name. And then on the live stream, there will be the opportunity to go into the Slido.com app, and there you either can use the QR code or you can use the code here which is 89403, where you can direct your question and we'll take care of those. So I will leave the word for anybody here in the room any questions you might have at this early stage. And I will say there will be ample of opportunity also later on by the end, where we will have a good time for all questions you might have. So it doesn't seem as there is any questions here in the room. Yes, we have one here. So.
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Richard Garstang1:15
Uh, thank you very much. Richard Garstang from Old Field Partners. Um, I just wondered if you could actually expand a little bit on some of the comments you made around new categories and be able to expand into new things. Um, what does that sort of mean? A bit more sort of detail on that would be great.
H
Host1:30
Thank you. I think that's worth it.
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Niels Frederiksen1:34
For that question, I think what we have said over the years: cigars is our core business and where we will put most of our effort and most of our money. But we are also seeing that with the development that is taking place in the wider tobacco categories, there are all sorts of new opportunities emerging. And on the one hand, we have the view that we should not be competing head to head with big tobacco. On the other hand, we are also convinced that there is going to emerge opportunities where we can meaningfully play and win, and these will typically be, you know, niche segments where there's a higher component of an enjoyment, typically a little bit of an older consumer profile, and that's what we're looking for. We also think it's naive to think that we can, you know, live off cigars alone. We think we need to supplement it with some of these other categories, and we think we haven't seen, let's call it, the last invention in that area yet.
H
Host2:36
Okay, thank you, Nils. I hope that answered your question, Richard. Perfect. So, anyone else in the room for a question? Otherwise... Uh, yes, there's one here. Jerry?
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Jerry Gallagher2:56
Jerry Geller? Excuse me. Uh, Jerry Gallagher of Deutsche Bank. Just following up on that, Nils, could you maybe talk a little bit about whether you're thinking about these new categories from an organic perspective or an M&A perspective? And then following on to that, just the general M&A question. You've done a couple of, you know, very powerful deals in terms of return on investor capital probably from day one. Maybe not as many as you would have wanted to do. Could you just talk a little bit about how the landscape for M&A sits today, perhaps compared to where it has done over the last few years? Thank you.
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Niels Frederiksen3:29
Yes. So, if we start first around the new categories, I think that, you know, we've said before and I'm happy to say again, we are not going out and investing a lot of money in this. So we are going to explore these categories. We're going to start experimenting. And the best example is really our Versa Hemp product in the U.S. We're talking about a test launch in three to five states in the U.S. on smokable hemp, the non-intoxicating part of the cannabis plant. We think there is a niche market for consumers that wants to smoke a non-nicotine product with a nice smoking experience. It's sold at a relatively high price. We think that's a way of testing, you know, can we be in that particular segment? Now, could there emerge acquisition opportunities over time? I think the answer is yes. But I'm also thinking that we would want some level of evidence before we put a significant amount of money behind that. It is not an area where we are going to be, let's say, overly bold. So we are, you know, we are taking a cautious approach to it, but we think we need to build some of these new income streams in new areas as well. If you look at the general M&A landscape, I think the best way to describe it is that the industry is not bigger than we are in contact with everyone. So if there's anyone who is looking to divest their business, they will know that we have an interest. But this also does not mean that we can automatically, you know, generate more acquisitions faster, because it's really different things that end up triggering versus different divestments. Sometimes it is, you know, a new generation having to decide whether to step into the business or not. Sometimes it's new legislation. And sometimes it's just, you know, people not liking the risk profile of the business. What I can say is that we do believe that with the acquisitions we have made and with the progress we are making in the earnings of the company, we have moved ourselves to a new level of capacity. So we can actually afford more acquisitions today based on basically being in better control of the business, making it, making more money. Um, so from that perspective, we believe we're in a better position, or we're more ready than we've ever been for acquisitions.
H
Host6:07
Okay, thank you for that, Nils. And I'm just looking out here, and then I can see we do have a question from Nicholas Ickman at Carnegie. You mentioned that regulation has created an opportunity for M&A. Can you give some examples of this? And has the M&A activity in the industry increased since the Tobacco Products Directive in Europe and FDA deeming regulation?
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Niels Frederiksen6:41
I think that if you look at the Agile transaction, I think that transaction is a good example of multiple factors being in play. It's seldom one particular thing. But so, for Aragon, it was really a combination of the risk profile of the industry versus the alternative use of money inside their own company. They had over the years built a secondary investment vehicle into industrial products, and they wanted to take some more money from the tobacco business and move it into the industrial part. And they were feeling increasingly uncomfortable with the risk profile of tobacco. And this was especially related to a few big markets where they have a big exposure. If you go a few years further back, we did buy a Belgian company called Farrell back in 2014, and there the owners basically said, 'You know, we are not going to implement TPD2. We don't really want to bother, so we'll sell the business.' So it's a number of different things. But we are somewhat surprised that we've not seen more M&A opportunities come up from new regulations, but we are hoping that they will come in the future.
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Host7:57
Thank you, Nils. Uh, then we have another one from the live stream from a normal anonymous. You mentioned supply chain issues, and I think this is for you, Graham. Uh, in your recent results, course being dealt with by the first quarter of next year. Is that still the case?
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Graham8:19
So, I think, thank you for the question. And I think with this audience, I want to be really specific. You know, we have supply issues but into Europe, and they're driven really by three key things. One was a shortage of summer seasonal labor availability at the end of summer. That solved. The factories are fully crewed. The second one was a delay in shipments coming out of China and some of our key packaging materials. We've built extra inventory to cover that volatility, and again that issue is solved. The third thing that we spoke about in the results call was a slower than expected ramp-up of machines. Again, that issue is solved. And now we have plans in place to supply the full volume into the market and clear the issue, worst case through quarter one. And we remain aligned to the guidance that we recently communicated. Thank you.
H
Host9:19
Thank you, Graham. And then we have a question from Cern. Given the ERP implementation, would you be willing to do large-scale M&A right now? And in what areas geographies and products? So I think that's for you, Nils.
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Niels Frederiksen9:37
Yes, so obviously we are very occupied with planning as well as we can for the SAP implementation. But we also have the fundamental view that we cannot control when the big opportunities arise, and we basically have to manage our way through a situation. Again, we always remind people that just because we buy a company, it doesn't mean we automatically need to integrate it on day one. We have flexibility on how we can organize that, and we would certainly not want to let an attractive M&A opportunity pass because of the SAP implementation. So that's our, let's say, our view on the issue of priorities. When it comes to where would we prefer to see the next transaction? And here I would say that if we had to choose, we would rather do more in the handmade area right now, and especially things in the handmade area that would support further globalization. But we will take any type of transaction that we believe is right for the business long term. But that's probably where we would prefer it if we could use it ourselves.
H
Host10:51
Okay, thank you. And I see still questions coming in from the live stream, but any more here from the room? Otherwise, we'll take another one from the live stream. And that is: watching the videos, there's a great luxury goods category pitch here. So how can you best promote awareness to this? Anything beyond store rollout? So maybe also for you, Nils. Yeah, thank you.
N
Niels Frederiksen11:22
So, you know, handmade cigars is a luxury category, luxury category, but it's also a category for everyone. So the U.S. is two-thirds of global consumption of handmade cigars, and it's a category consumed, you know, from three dollars up to more than a hundred dollars. So luxury is certainly an element of this category, and we do everything we can to premiumize the handmade cigar category. And it's very appropriate that we brought along with us today Sean Williams, who is our Cohiba brand ambassador, and he'll be happy to talk to you about some of the latest initiatives we've done, which is basically placing more, you know, $250-plus cigar products out there and selling them. So we are doing as much as we can to premiumize, but it's also important to remember that it's people from all types of life that smoke handmade cigars, and it's something that actually brings people together across income barriers or boards.
H
Host12:30
Thank you. And I think with those words, we will conclude this Q&A session for now. Again, there will be plenty of opportunities later on during the day for more questions. Now we'll take a relatively short coffee break, bone stretcher, whatever that is required, and we will be back here a quarter to three. So thank you.