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Frederick Thiel
Chief Executive Officer & Executive Chairman, MARA HOLDINGS INC

MARA Q2 Earnings | Fred Thiel CEO Interview | Top AI Stocks to Watch | MARA Stock

📅 Aug 08, 2026 McNallie Money 43 MIN 518 VIEWS 47 SEGMENTS · 3 SPEAKERS
MARA Q2 Earnings | Fred Thiel CEO Interview | Top AI Stocks to Watch | MARA Stock This video was conducted on behalf of MARA Holdings Inc. (MARA), and paid for, by Power Analysis on Aug 9, 2026. Full Disclaimer available at www.poweranalysis.io. Sign Up for Our Free Weekly Newsletter: https://poweranalysis.io//newsletter Welcome to McNallie Money, your daily dose of Stocks, Investments and Personal Finance! Today we are joined by Fred Theil Chairman & CEO of MARA Holdings, Inc. ticker (NASDAQ: MARA). Mara operates as a digital asset technology company in the United States. It also provides...

What Frederick Thiel said

Written from the verified transcript and checked against it. Every figure links to the moment it was said.

Frederick Thiel, CEO of MARA Holdings, discussed the company's Q2 2026 earnings and strategic pivot from Bitcoin mining to data center development. He highlighted that after closing the Long Ridge and Madagorta acquisitions, MARA will have about 4.8 gigawatts of power and land, positioning it among the largest players. Thiel emphasized the 'three C's' (capital, compute, capacity) as constraints, and noted that data center leases enable funding unlike Bitcoin mining. He supported Governor Abbott's pause on ERCOT batch zero applications, citing phantom demand. Thiel detailed Madagorta's advantages, including 10 power supply lines and phased power availability starting in H2 2027. He stressed patience in signing leases, focusing on tenant quality and long-term creditworthiness, and mentioned the Starwood partnership for development. Thiel also discussed hash rate growth through machine upgrades, the Auradine and Upscale AI investments, and predicted Bitcoin could reach the $90,000s by year-end.

Key takeaways

  1. MARA will have about 4.8 gigawatts of power and land after closing Long Ridge and Madagorta, making it among the largest players.
  2. Thiel supports Governor Abbott's pause on ERCOT batch zero applications to flush out phantom demand, estimating 20-40% of the queue is speculative.
  3. MARA is being selective on tenant leases, prioritizing creditworthiness and avoiding concentration risk, with Starwood leading conversations.
  4. Hash rate growth has come from upgrading S19 machines to S21s, doubling hash rate with the same power, not from new sites.
  5. Thiel predicts Bitcoin could return to 'parametric norms' and reach the $90,000s by the end of the year.

Numbers and commitments

FigureWhat it refers toTypeAt
4.8 gigawatts Total power and land capacity after closing Long Ridge and Madagorta metric 1:15
505 megawatts Capacity of the Long Ridge power plant acquisition metric 3:15
20-40% Estimated phantom capacity in ERCOT queue metric 8:29
70 exahash MARA's current hash rate metric 10:35
18-24 months Typical timeline to develop a data center timeline 11:29
30% Portion of MARA's capacity hosted with third parties metric 11:29
2 gigawatts Size of the Madagorta site metric 11:29
22% Increase in hash rate over the last year metric 29:11
7 gigawatts Sites Starwood has built and operated metric 40:11

Chapters

  1. 0:00Q2 earnings and capacity growth
  2. 2:37Power versus capital constraints
  3. 7:48ERCOT batch zero pause and Madagorta
  4. 10:35Data center utilization and mining integration
  5. 13:52Tenant leasing strategy and patience
  6. 20:10Timing advantage in AI pivot
  7. 24:46Subsidiaries: HUM, Vertebra, and investments
  8. 29:11Hash rate growth and capital allocation
  9. 33:20Long Ridge acquisition and FERC approval
  10. 35:54Bitcoin price outlook and Starwood partnership

Questions asked in this interview

12
  1. 0:59We'll get into all of that, but can you give us a high-level summary of the numbers and key operational milestones?
  2. 2:37I mean, what's your take on power versus capital, you know, going forward over this next period?
  3. 4:48Well, you could, but the interest rates were so high. Remember those days?
  4. 7:48Can we get your thoughts on how this impacts the market, whether you think it's good or bad, and then how this potentially could flow through to your pipeline?
  5. 13:52Do you have any indication in terms of how far along in the process you are, expected timelines and potentially which sites or multiple sites may be in focus here?
  6. 20:10Looking back, would you say that was an advantage waiting to see how the landscape shook out or a disadvantage?
  7. 24:03Do you remember when companies started using immersion technology and you didn't get it right straight away?
  8. 24:46... these businesses going to be able to integrate into your HPC business or do you see them as more standalone businesses on their own, delivering, you know, great margins for you, you know, going forward over the next three to five years?
  9. 29:11Now, what sort of investment analysis do you do before you make that decision, Fred?
  10. 33:20Can you talk to us a little bit about what still remains in terms of the FERC approval and what's I guess possible risks as part of that process?
  11. 38:32So I wanted to ask how do you determine the value of the megawatts as your side or commitment of the deal?
  12. 40:11... got that sort of like track record of delivery more than any of the companies that we talk about on our channel on a daily basis, are they sort of in the are they got their key people in those conversations as well with potential clients?
Bryce 0:00 ↗
Hey guys, welcome or welcome back to the channel McNal Money, the official home of Power Analysis. In today's episode, Anthony Power and I are joined by none other than Fred Thiel, CEO at MARA, hot off the heels of Q2 earnings and some major announcements. We're going to get into that during the episode. Before we do, take a second, hit the like button, guys. Big help to myself and the channel. If you're not already subscribed, McNal Money, feel free to join and let us know in the comments section below what you thought about today's discussion and if you're currently holding shares of MARA. With that being said, let's get into today's interview.
All right, guys. Away we go. Final earnings interview of the week, and it's a big one. None other than the CEO of MARA, Fred Thiel, back on the channel for the first time now under the Power Analysis banner. So, Fred, a real honor to have you here and looking forward to the discussion.
Frederick Thiel 0:58 ↗
Great to be here.
Bryce 0:59 ↗
Yeah, it's been long overdue. Hey, you just came off earnings. I know there was a ton of operational updates in there, acquisitions. We'll get into all of that, but can you give us a high-level summary of the numbers and key operational milestones?
Frederick Thiel 1:15 ↗
Yeah, I think you know revenues which obviously are a function of Bitcoin price were down year-over-year. You know, the story nowadays is much more about our transition to building data centers and converting our powered land assets. And I think the real headline was more about how we've grown our capacity in the pipeline. Once we close Long Ridge and the Madagorta site, we'll have over right around 4.8 gigawatts of power and land, which means that, you know, we're amongst the largest players in the industry with that portfolio. And we're very excited about getting ready to sign our first leases and, you know, see that transition actually go through a full cycle of, you know, convert land to data center. And we're excited about what the future holds. And this is a world where power is in very short supply while the frontier model guys and the open source guys are duking it out to see who's going to dominate. The one thing that is not at all in contention or that anybody's disputing is you need a lot of power to run a lot of compute to run all of that AI regardless of what model is going to win. You need a lot of power and we think we sit on the right place and that's why it's fun to be on the Power Analysis program.
Bryce 2:37 ↗
It certainly works from our perspective. Great to have you on the show. During that letter to shareholders, I read the letter and I listened to you to reiterate that during the earnings call as well. You stated about the power and it makes you confident that that will remain the industry's scarcest asset over the next 5 years. In terms of power, we know power is a bottleneck, but would you also align the fact that, you know, capital will need to go hand in hand with power? You're not going to just be able to have all these sites without having the capital to develop them. I mean, what's your take on power versus capital, you know, going forward over this next period?
Frederick Thiel 3:15 ↗
Yeah, great question. I think I've said in the past that we operate under the rule of the three C's, right? The three constraints. Capital, compute, capacity. Capacity is think of it as a built data center. Compute being what you plug into the data center and capital being how you build it all. And that was the concept in the Bitcoin mining days when we went from, you know, asset light where there was lots of capacity everywhere but compute was scarce and capital was available. So we raised a lot of capital, bought a lot of compute, grew and that made us you know at one point the largest in the world in what we were doing. Then we vertically integrated, acquired power for less than replacement cost by buying the capacity from the people that owned it during the downturn. And now we're even buying actual power generation. The Long Ridge deal is, you know, a 505 megawatt power plant with long-term commitments, positive EBIT dollar cash flow and a lot of land to build a lot of data center capacity. So very excited about that. The capital side is always going to be a challenge. But I think for one thing, data centers which have long-term contractual leases, you can get funding for those because of the long-term contractual nature of the agreement. You couldn't do that in the Bitcoin mining world. I mean, right? It's like Bitcoin miner. No, no, no, no, no, no. I'm going to run away from you.
Anthony Power 4:48 ↗
Well, you could, but the interest rates were so high. Remember those days? 18, 19, 20% interest rates and miners were, you know, some of those big names out there were taking those loans and then when they realized in that first sort of like pullback, they were left hanging with these loans and they were selling the kitchen sink to get them down again. So, everyone's learned a lot in the space, but you're absolutely right, Fred. You absolutely.
Frederick Thiel 5:13 ↗
Yeah. I mean, that's how NYDIG ended up becoming such a big miner.
Anthony Power 5:17 ↗
They ended up having to repossess all of those miners that they had lent money against.
Frederick Thiel 5:24 ↗
So yeah, so I think you know capital is a challenge but it's a very different market. You're talking about you know the likes of Blackstone, Apollo and others who are looking to invest in these assets. It's very much a real estate play. Very different than the Bitcoin mining world which was all about being cowboys and kind of like in the oil industry they call them wildcatters. I think now as you look at traditional data center business especially around AI it's all about a capacity constraint and I think the you know if you look at the challenges people are going to be fighting about in the future whether it's model, the variety of model you're using, your cost per token etc. Energy today is such a small percentage of the cost of a data center that over time like it was in Bitcoin it will grow to be a bigger and bigger piece as the rest of it commoditizes and you know silicon will eventually commoditize software will eventually commoditize and at the end of the day the infrastructure can't. So, and even with the space stuff, while I'm not a big believer in putting data centers in space in the short term because it's a very expensive and a very hostile environment, I think longer term a lot of the larger players are viewing it as a way there's no NIMBYism, which is this American expression about not in my backyard. Government regulations are much less heavy. You just have to get the stuff up there in space and you have infinite power though you don't have a very good way to get rid of your heat but I think this is going to be a very exciting market and the latest analyst forecasts from whether it's McKinsey to whoever are showing great growth in both power demand and data center capacity demand through 2035.
Anthony Power 7:22 ↗
Yeah, you highlight in your paper the just the growth in the big four investing in HPC growing from $750 billion to over a trillion dollars literally a year later. So you know it's not stopping here but yeah thanks.
Frederick Thiel 7:40 ↗
And that's just the big four if you look at total the quantum this year is over a trillion dollars.
Anthony Power 7:48 ↗
Yeah absolutely. That's incredible. Yeah, space I guess will be the next wild west for us to conquer. Now, I want to talk about a few of these sites. First off, Madagorta County. This was the big announcement alongside earnings. This one located in ERCOT and we noticed an interesting footnote. We'll give credit to Matt Seagull there. Phase one payment is actually dependent on the inclusion in batch zero. Now, since the batch zero process came out, we've now had Governor Abbott come out with that pause or moratorium for a year. Can we get your thoughts on how this impacts the market, whether you think it's good or bad, and then how this potentially could flow through to your pipeline?
Frederick Thiel 8:29 ↗
Yeah, I think part of the reasoning behind Governor Abbott's decision is there are a lot of phantom applications in the queue process, right? It's a speculative process. If you submit an application, there's no real skin in the game. And if you get an allocation, then you can turn that around and sell it to somebody. I think part of the process here is let's really flush out how many real applications there are that have real substance and credibility behind them. And so that's the reason they're doing an audit. So this is a pause so you can audit the queue. And so we're very supportive of that. We think it's the right thing to do. There are some people estimate anywhere from 20 to 40% of the queue is phantom capacity requirements. So what you don't want to do is all of a sudden you know drive people to go build a bunch of capacity that's not needed and you know the biggest issue comes then down to things like infrastructure around transmission capacity things like that which are very expensive and long-term in nature. What's great about the Madagorta site for us is its location is adjacent to power generation. It has over 10 supply lines of power running right into the facility. So it's ready to go from a perspective of the grid infrastructure. There's the grid utilities have to do nothing to turn us on. You know, we're very supportive of what Governor Abbott's doing. We think that Texas is taking the right approach by essentially trying to flush out the phantom demand out of the queue and see what's really there. And you're starting to see that they are already releasing some I think QTS was there was some mention yesterday I think about QTS maybe being told that they were getting an allocation. So I think this will all flush itself through. You know the original date was meant to be August 7th. I think we're going to start seeing some applications be approved over the next few months and it'll flow through.
Bryce 10:35 ↗
In terms of that assembling of the 4.8 GW of energy, do you have an idea of how much capacity you ultimately intend to utilize for data centers because you know you still are one of the largest public Bitcoin miners in the world. I mean your recent earnings update, you know, over 70 exahash of mining there. You've talked about bringing these two strategies together and so maybe you can sort of articulate you know also how that works. I mean you know trying to understand from a utilization point they both use a lot of power but if you can sort of like so the followers here could understand so from a data center perspective is there sufficient downtime to make that mining work when there's power available.
Frederick Thiel 11:29 ↗
Yeah. So you have two things you have to look at. One is the timeline of how long does it take for you to develop the data center which is 18 to 24 months typically. And then how long before the power is actually turned on and energized. So in the case of Madagorta, the first tranche of power comes on next year, second half of next year. And so for us what's very convenient is we still have just under 30% of our capacity is hosted with third parties. Those agreements start falling off next year. So we'll just shift that capacity away from those hosted to a site like Madagorta. Of course, the economic cost of the power there is still very attractive because whenever we acquire power on land, we make sure it's fit for use for Bitcoin mining or data center use. So, that eliminates what would be a future concern from people is what are we going to do to get replace the capacity we're losing from our hosting agreements. That allows us to take power immediately as it's available, monetize it while we're building the site. 2 gigawatts is a very big site, but all of that power won't come on in year one. It'll be over a two-year process, possibly three years. What's exciting about the site is it lets us do multiple things. It's big enough so that we can do one or more hyperscalers. We can add potentially some neoclouds. We can do collocation and we can do even enterprise critical IT load. So you can similar to how a real estate developer develops a strip mall. You have an anchor tenant or two and then you have other and that lets you optimize the profitability of the location. Because obviously you know hyperscalers are hard negotiators and other people are not. And you know one of the benefits of the Exion investment that we made earlier this year is that they are experts at operating this critical IT load private cloud infrastructure which is a high margin business. And so we have this opportunity to take the power and allocate it according to its best use which lives up to our whole philosophy of evaluating every electron and seeing how we maximize the value of it. So very excited about that part.
Anthony Power 13:52 ↗
Hey, now earlier in the conversation you mentioned the word deals in plural there. We've heard some CEOs on the channel commit to X amount of deals by Y date. Do you have any indication in terms of how far along in the process you are, expected timelines and potentially which sites or multiple sites may be in focus here?
Frederick Thiel 14:14 ↗
Yeah. So, we've been very quiet about that because a we don't want to let's just say negatively impact deals that are in process by signaling too much. We also don't want to put undue pressure on ourselves than that. But right now, we're very focused on the quality of the tenants. You know if you were to go dig up Barry Sternlicht from Starwood did an earnings call for the public debt I believe that they Starwood carries and he commented on the high number of people that were interested in the sites that we're developing together and so I'll let you listen to that comment but essentially we've seen a lot of interest there are a lot of people vying for capacity and we're really trying to cherry-pick the best people to have the right level of brand name and good credit so that we're not putting ourselves in a position where we're suffering from concentration risk or you know being under the thumb of a single potential tenant.
Anthony Power 15:22 ↗
Yeah, we had a peer miner on the podcast yesterday and they explained they signed three or four deals up to now and they were saying you know all the companies in the space that have got power will sign deals. There's no doubt whatsoever from their understanding now they'll all sign deals. But his comment was it's not about the deals, it's about execution of the deals. Once you've got the deal, it's execution and that'll be the test then. Now you mentioned you know talked about hyperscalers in the previous comment there and everyone obviously talked about hyperscalers. They're going to open doors for funding and so maybe you know cost of capital becomes that a little bit cheaper. They are tough negotiations. We've seen that from the deals that have been announced already and you actually look at Applied Digital's three latest deals all with hyperscalers and look at the amount per megawatt and it was slightly lower than some of what we've seen in the North American miners. Now you're emphasizing flexibility. Is there a sort of like a different customer opportunity investors may be overlooking here in terms of you know what you're seeing from the picture the conversations that you're having.
Frederick Thiel 16:34 ↗
You know, a typical deal is going to be the way we look at them is a yield on cost, right? And so, you're trying to maximize that yield. But you also want to be wary of credit risk. And, you know, if I allocate capacity to a particular tenant and they're not able to complete their side of it, then that's a risk for me because I've now, you know, it's opportunity loss, right? At the same time, I need to think about, you know, the 15-year creditworthiness of somebody during the life cycle of that lease. So, it's not just I get a tenant and I'm done. I've got to get a tenant and they have to still be in business in 15 years. So, we're being very picky about who we sign up because it's a long obligation from the tenant's side and we want to make sure that they're going to be able to do it. Now that being said, when you have a big site, you have the ability to really, you know, play with the puzzle pieces and build a portfolio such that you may have some things that take multiple years to build, some things that can happen very quickly. You can scale the power as it's made available. You can do things like build capacity for colo in the kind of bits and pieces between the big blocks and really optimize your profit mix. And I think this is where being very disciplined in how one does things and not just signing one big lease with one big tenant and you're done. It becomes very important because even with the hyperscalers you know there are questions as to who's going to win the races here and who's going to be left you know there is no guarantee necessarily that Google Amazon Microsoft or Meta is going to be in 20 years the leading cloud provider who knows right so you really have to be very careful and I think it's all about being very prudent and looking at the long-term aspect of this because that's certainly how our shareholders look at it and you know we're obviously trying to maximize the benefits here but what I think the great thing about this transition for us and for our peers is that you're taking an asset that before was ignored which was you know curtailable power and power in the hinterlands of Texas and places like that and now all of a sudden you're generating great value with it and you know my only desire is that the people in the communities who are afraid of data centers think a little bit about the fact that while data centers don't create huge numbers of jobs, many of these communities benefit hugely from the property taxes that these data centers play and they will be long-term property taxpayers. And for some of these smaller communities, the property taxes are of such a quantum that, you know, you're talking about high schools can be funded, first responders can be funded, all sorts of resources can be funded just by the taxes alone. And that, you know, to look beyond just the fear of data centers. You know, these aren't nuclear power plants people are building in the backyards. They are huge contributors to the communities and we certainly pride ourselves in being a very big contributor to the communities where we operate and we hope that everybody else is as well.
Bryce 20:10 ↗
And we've seen that firsthand when we visited the site very involved a lot of local jobs the community sponsorship. Now one more question kind of on your patience topic there looking back obviously hindsight 2020 a lot of your peers migrated over to AI sooner than maybe MARA did. Since then, we've actually heard a lot of the other CEOs saying the deal economics are improving, the designs are getting better. You're able to fit more critical IT. Some of these companies are now going public like the Anthropics, the Open. So, a lot's changed since that initial pivot. Looking back, would you say that was an advantage waiting to see how the landscape shook out or a disadvantage?
Frederick Thiel 20:53 ↗
Well, I think here's an analogy, right? If you are a startup and you're going into a market, if your timing in going into the market is wrong, you can spend all your resources launching a product and the only thing you're doing is educating your competitors. Because the market's not ready for it, right? And you know, go back to the internet 1.0. You had all these companies build all these internet companies that were fully vertically integrated, Webvan, etc. and they all failed because the market wasn't ready. Now look at how Apple enters a market. Apple is never first into a market, right? They will innovate with something new, but they know very well when they go into a market that there is enough demand to make that product successful. And when we started looking at AIHPC originally back kind of three years ago, if you look at the economics of AIHPC, inference is where the money is made by the operator. You don't make money necessarily in training. So training was just a real estate rental model where inference is where you really make the money. And so we felt that inference was the place that as inference became hit its inflection point that would be the trigger for us to come in because there would be enough people with enough business models earning money that there would be enough demand so we could maximize the value of the amount of power and land that we had. Had we just had one site, yeah, it would have made sense convert it to the first attractive person. But we had enough capacity that it made sense that we should wait to ensure that there would be smart operators which there are now were before there weren't. Where there are people who have capital, people who understand how to build these things, understand what it is they want built so that you can actually execute, right? And to be fair, and I've said this publicly many times, three years ago, if I'd gone to Google and said, 'Hey, my name is Fred from MARA. We've got all this land and power. We want to build a data center for you.' They would say, 'You guys don't know how to build tier 4. You have no idea how to build to our specs. And why in the world would I ever want to work with you?' Right? That market's changed. And so it's the timing is, you know, all about market maturity, customer maturity, process maturity, and technology maturity, right? I mean, today, if you look at and if you talk with Wes at Applied, you know, he's been at this a long time. Look at some of the first design stuff they were building to originally with their first sites. I mean it was a moving target right now it's a lot easier. So I you know sometimes not being first is an advantage. And in the technology industry there's an old saying about you know pioneers get arrows in their backs. Fast followers are the ones that become successful.
Anthony Power 24:03 ↗
I think the same analogy Fred can be said when in the mining business go back years ago. Do you remember when companies started using immersion technology and you didn't get it right straight away? And I've yet to see any studies suggesting how well immersion cooling benefited the organization. They're all saying we'll let you have the data. We'll let you have the data. It never came out. So I suppose waiting that time to see, you know, how the market sort of like, you know, evolves. And it is certainly evolving. And you know, we've had, you know, the likes of BitNile not rushing into deals because they know from what they're seeing at the moment that, you know, it's worth waiting for the right deals. And, you know, I think you're in a strong place.

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APA

Thiel, F. (2026, August 8). MARA Q2 Earnings | Fred Thiel CEO Interview | Top AI Stocks to Watch | MARA Stock [Interview transcript]. McNallie Money. CEOInterviews.AI. https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/1172937/

MLA

Frederick Thiel. "MARA Q2 Earnings | Fred Thiel CEO Interview | Top AI Stocks to Watch | MARA Stock." McNallie Money, 8 Aug. 2026. Transcript, CEOInterviews.AI, https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/1172937/.

BibTeX
@misc{thiel2026_1172937,
  author       = {Frederick Thiel},
  title        = {MARA Q2 Earnings | Fred Thiel CEO Interview | Top AI Stocks to Watch | MARA Stock},
  howpublished = {Interview transcript, McNallie Money. CEOInterviews.AI},
  year         = {2026},
  month        = {aug},
  url          = {https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/1172937/},
  note         = {Speaker-attributed transcript with timestamps}
}