CEOInterviews.AI
Start App
Vladimir Tenev
Co-Founder, President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board, Robinhood Markets

Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets | Bloomberg Talks

📅 Aug 20, 2026 Bloomberg Podcasts 14 MIN 38 SEGMENTS · 3 SPEAKERS
Robinhood co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev says clearer, more permanent crypto rules would give investors confidence that ...

What Vladimir Tenev said

Written from the verified transcript and checked against it. Every figure links to the moment it was said.

Robinhood CEO Vladimir Tenev discussed the company's prediction markets business, regulatory clarity, and political engagement. He praised the alignment between the president, SEC Chair Selig, and CFTC Chair Atkins, saying they are working for the benefit of the country. Tenev said he hopes the House can pass its bill in September after some representatives return from recess, and that the company has been engaging with lawmakers, though he declined to name specific members. He argued that Robinhood is not near a ceiling from regulatory uncertainty due to its diversified businesses, including Trump accounts, Robinhood Chain, and private company initiatives. Tenev said prediction markets are the fastest-growing business line, with 6 billion contracts in July, up 20x year-over-year. He expects the Supreme Court case over state cease and desist orders to be resolved with some line drawn, not a complete ban. On AI agents, he said it's too early to change rules, but they could democratize sophisticated trading capabilities. He said the company's political donations go to both parties, supporting candidates who back broadly distributed ownership of American assets.

Key takeaways

  1. Robinhood did 6 billion prediction market contracts in July, up 20x year-over-year.
  2. Tenev hopes the House passes its bill in September, with Patrick Witt spearheading the effort.
  3. Tenev believes the Supreme Court case over state cease and desist orders will not end prediction markets, only draw a line.
  4. Robinhood's political donations support both parties, based on support for broadly distributed ownership of American assets.
  5. Tenev says it's too early to change rules for AI agents, which could democratize hedge fund capabilities.

Numbers and commitments

FigureWhat it refers toTypeAt
6 billion Prediction market contracts in July metric 6:47
20x Year-over-year growth in contracts metric 6:47

Chapters

  1. 0:00Oval Office meeting and government alignment
  2. 1:34House bill timing and September passage hope
  3. 3:36Regulatory uncertainty as a growth ceiling
  4. 6:14Prediction markets growth and state legal fight
  5. 9:22Gen Z trading behavior and AI agents
  6. 12:26Political donations and bipartisanship

Questions asked in this interview

8
  1. 2:06Well, to that point, can you give us any update or insight into if negotiations are happening?
  2. 2:32Have you been talking to anybody in this process?
  3. 3:13Can I ask you any specific members that you've been eyeing that maybe you think could get over the finish line, keeping in mind that Democrats have to get on board in order for this bill to pass?
  4. 3:36At what point does regulatory uncertainty, whether it's on digital assets or prediction markets, become a hard ceiling on Robinhood's growth?
  5. 6:14The CFTC chair told me that this is probably going to go to the Supreme Court, right?
  6. 6:45It's the fastest for you, right?
  7. 9:02How are you thinking about that, particularly for some of those younger users?
  8. 10:25Do the rules need to change to that point?
Narrator 0:02 ↗
Bloomberg Audio Studios. Podcasts, radio, news.
Tyler also spoke with Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev, whose company has made prediction markets one of its fastest-growing businesses. He says customer mind is clear, and that whatever happens in the legal fight, these markets are not going away.
Vladimir Tenev 0:22 ↗
The president, I think it was very, very clear that the president, Chair Selig and Chair Atkins are in lockstep working for the benefit of the country and the American people. And it's just a huge improvement in what we've been used to because I think everyone is just aligned and on the same page that America has to be the best place for investment, and we also have to lead the financial services industry.
So, we went into the Oval afterward, which was a lot of fun. And the president actually just asked us how the government could be working better, how we can be working more cohesively. He said, you know, that there's a room with a lot of smart people, so I'd love your feedback. And I thought that was very nice, too, because it just shows that, you know, he's taking feedback, and it's a good testament of the public sector, private sector collaboration that I think has been missing in this country for so long.
So, there was a lot of talk about, you know, what it would take for clarity to get over the line. Some chatter about, you know, the timing being not ideal because maybe a lot of representatives are vacationing. But, yeah, the hope was that, you know, we control what we can control. We can get some people who have maybe been sort of reluctant to take a stance to get over the line and hopefully execute the passage in September.
Tyler Kendall 2:06 ↗
Well, to that point, can you give us any update or insight into if negotiations are happening? Because as you mentioned, right now the Senate's on recess. So, if talks are happening, they're probably not happening here in Washington between the lawmakers at least.
Vladimir Tenev 2:20 ↗
Yeah, I think that's a challenge, but, you know, even if folks are on recess, there's always the possibility of 3:00 a.m. phone calls and things like that.
Tyler Kendall 2:32 ↗
Are you conducting any of those? Have you been talking to anybody in this process?
Vladimir Tenev 2:35 ↗
Um, yeah, we have been. You know, we've been engaging throughout and of course Patrick Witt, who's been doing a great job kind of spearheading this, everyone has just been telling Patrick, you know, he's doing yeoman's work, just wrangling everyone together and he's been incredibly motivated to get everything across the line. We just said, 'Hey, if you need more conversations, if there's anything we could do, we can of course, we're working together as an industry for the benefit of ownership of this industry for the American people.'
Tyler Kendall 3:13 ↗
Can I ask you any specific members that you've been eyeing that maybe you think could get over the finish line, keeping in mind that Democrats have to get on board in order for this bill to pass?
Vladimir Tenev 3:22 ↗
Yeah, I mean, I don't know if I should call out specific members. Yeah, I think there are some folks that have been more recalcitrant, but I think we'll get them over the line.
Tyler Kendall 3:36 ↗
At what point does regulatory uncertainty, whether it's on digital assets or prediction markets, become a hard ceiling on Robinhood's growth?
Vladimir Tenev 3:46 ↗
That's a good question. I don't think we're near that point just because Robinhood is in so many businesses. You know, we've got our more traditional businesses, which includes Trump accounts, which we're doing in partnership with Treasury and BNY for spreading ownership of equity markets to American children starting at age zero.
And I think that's incredibly important. Getting children to buy into this economy and this country and giving them a stake in the benefit, I think is not just great financially, but for their civic duty and for their financial literacy.
So, we've got a lot of businesses. We've got Robinhood Chain, which is working to spread ownership of high-quality US equities worldwide. We've got initiatives for private companies. And so, I think the business is very diversified.
But, if I look at what makes individuals confident to participate in an industry and to have exposure to crypto as an asset class, I think Bitcoin has been relatively safe for some time. You know, we have, there's broad acceptance of Bitcoin in a way that there wasn't maybe three or four years ago even.
But for some of these other crypto assets, I think regulatory clarity will very much help because customers also want to know that they're protected and that the rules aren't going to shift every four, eight years or so, and, you know, suddenly make what they're holding covered in a cloud of uncertainty. So, I think it's going to be good to give it that durability, but I think in terms of Robinhood as a business, we're a resilient, diversified business and we've gone through many cycles starting with, you know, the company began in the Obama era and went through Trump one, Biden, now the second phase of the Trump administration.
So, we have to always focus on serving customers regardless of what the political environment is. And I think our mission is one that appeals to both sides.

11 more exchanges in this transcript

Sign in free to read the rest of this interview. No card required.

Sign in to read the full transcript

Cite this transcript

APA, MLA, BibTeX
APA

Tenev, V. (2026, August 20). Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets | Bloomberg Talks [Interview transcript]. Bloomberg Podcasts. CEOInterviews.AI. https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/1231748/

MLA

Vladimir Tenev. "Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets | Bloomberg Talks." Bloomberg Podcasts, 20 Aug. 2026. Transcript, CEOInterviews.AI, https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/1231748/.

BibTeX
@misc{tenev2026_1231748,
  author       = {Vladimir Tenev},
  title        = {Robinhood CEO Vlad Tenev Talks Prediction Markets | Bloomberg Talks},
  howpublished = {Interview transcript, Bloomberg Podcasts. CEOInterviews.AI},
  year         = {2026},
  month        = {aug},
  url          = {https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/1231748/},
  note         = {Speaker-attributed transcript with timestamps}
}