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Vladimir Tenev
Co-Founder, President, Chief Executive Officer & Chairman of the Board, Robinhood Markets

Robinhood's Vlad Tenev on Tokenizing Everything, OpenAI's 6 Misalignment Reports, Figure's Robot

📅 Sep 19, 2026 Peter H. Diamandis 126 MIN 109678 VIEWS 165 SEGMENTS · 6 SPEAKERS
The mates sit down with Robinhood co-founder and CEO Vlad Tenev to discuss the tokenization takeover, the future of AI-powered trading, Trump Accounts, and what happens when 100,000 AI agents enter the market. Get access to metatrends 10+ years before anyone else - https://qr.diamandis.com/metatrends Peter H. Diamandis, MD, is the Founder of XPRIZE, Singularity University, ZeroG, and A360 Dave Blundin is the founder & GP of Link Ventures Dr. Alexander Wissner-Gross is a computer scientist and founder of Reified Vlad Tenev is the co-founder and CEO of Robinhood, the financial services co...

What Vladimir Tenev said

Written from the verified transcript and checked against it. Every figure links to the moment it was said.

Vladimir Tenev discussed tokenization as a freight train that will consume the financial system, citing Robinhood Chain's stock tokens and demand in 120-plus countries. On AI liability, he argued legal liability may be insufficient if catastrophe risk is high, drawing parallels to financial regulation emerging from crises. He detailed Robinhood's Agentic Trading product, noting agents often refuse to trade due to training gaps. Tenev highlighted the Trump accounts program, where Robinhood serves as sole initial brokerage, with $1,000 seed per child and Michael Dell's $6.25 billion philanthropic layer. He compared it to 401(k)s and said it could become the biggest long-term savings vehicle. For private markets, he touted Robinhood Ventures funds, including a Y Combinator partnership. On recursive self-improvement, he said AI research is easiest to automate but consumer products face statistical significance bottlenecks. He also commented on Figure's robots, preferring friendlier designs.

Key takeaways

  1. Tokenization will eat the whole financial system, says Tenev, citing Robinhood Chain's stock tokens in 120+ countries.
  2. Robinhood is sole initial brokerage for Trump accounts, with $1,000 seed for every child born since Jan 2025.
  3. Agentic trading models often refuse to trade because they aren't trained for it, showing need for specialized models.

Numbers and commitments

FigureWhat it refers toTypeAt
$1,000 Initial seed amount for Trump accounts commitment 56:04
$6.25 billion Michael Dell philanthropic donation to Trump accounts metric 56:04
200 Number of stock tokens live on Robinhood Chain metric 1:15:42
70 million Addressable market of children for Trump accounts metric 57:31
$50 a month Example monthly contribution to Trump accounts commitment 57:31
30 billion Robinhood Retirement assets in few years metric 1:08:37
3% Robinhood Gold retirement match rate metric 1:08:37
120-plus Number of countries with Robinhood Chain users metric 1:15:42
5 years Timeline for formal verification in LLM behavior timeline 44:27

Chapters

  1. 0:00AI liability and regulation
  2. 29:00OpenAI misalignment disclosures
  3. 31:36Agentic trading and model limitations
  4. 42:58Formal verification a la Lean
  5. 54:44Trump accounts and ownership
  6. 1:13:14Tokenization and Robinhood Chain
  7. 1:50:02Recursive self-improvement
  8. 1:59:46AI in professional services

Questions asked in this interview

12
  1. 1:09One of the questions underlying our future economy that no one's really been answering is the following: When AI and robotics change what your work is worth, who owns the machines?
  2. 5:21Should the AI labs live under the same rules? What are your thoughts?
  3. 20:21That's like an insane like everybody knows you need rules on the road to drive, right?
  4. 42:23Do you have a vision for how Lean-style autoformalization can help with that and not succumb to exactly the same vulnerabilities?
  5. 53:40Ready to 5x your engineering velocity?
  6. 1:01:20What sort of singularity is this where it's business as usual? Accounts even more important, right?
  7. 1:07:58I mean, would you agree that that is sort of a profound historic irony?
  8. 1:18:31And so where does that equity go?
  9. 1:24:06With price, with liquid price discovery or without?
  10. 1:36:34You going to get your robot at home?
  11. 1:42:20Why on earth should an individual human delegating to a model without all the benefits of one of these large scale quant funds whether it's latency based or otherwise why on earth should they expect any alpha at all in today's market?
  12. 2:02:35How many of those 10x lawyers in the future will be human?
Peter Diamandis 0:00 ↗
On CNBC last month, you said, quote, "Tokenization will take over the entire financial system."
Vladimir Tenev 0:06 ↗
I called it a freight train. I think a freight train that can't be stopped and will eat the whole financial system. So, it's a very hungry freight train.
Peter Diamandis 0:14 ↗
What is the tokenization of everything and when do we start seeing this really become the dominant paradigm? I think that OpenAI this week published six incident reports under a new framework for tracking and publicly disclosing misalignment. Now that OpenAI is beginning to publicly disclose these, and I think obviously Anthropic is likely to join, is that enough? More transparency, speaking broadly and without particulars, is generically good. The real issue is today we're releasing Helix 2.5. Figure 3 has never been in this room before. It's never seen this bed. It's never seen this pillow. And it has to be able to do autonomous work fully end to end to make this bed.
Alex Weezner 0:57 ↗
Convergence across different actions is much richer than you would normally expect. If they get a big enough lead, it's just going to be a crazy explosion of capability.
Peter Diamandis 1:09 ↗
Now, that's a moonshot. Ladies and gentlemen, this episode is brought to you by the Abundant Summit and Link Ventures. Welcome to Moonshots everyone, your number one podcast on all things AI and exponential. This week, the AI industry debated how fast to build. The Treasury Secretary told the labs they don't get a liability pass. OpenAI started publishing its own misalignment incidents and a robot walked into 30 strangers' homes, made their beds, and folded their laundry. Let's begin by introducing my Moonshot mates. Today Dave Blondon, Alex Weezner Gross is with me. Seem is on an airplane back from India. I'm Peter Diamandis, your host and abundance provocator. One of the questions underlying our future economy that no one's really been answering is the following: When AI and robotics change what your work is worth, who owns the machines? Our guest today has spent 13 years on that question. Back in 2013, two Stanford math guys had one key idea: Trading should be free and live in your pocket. Wall Street laughed, but they're not laughing anymore. Today's guest built a company that's now done 1.3 billion in revenue, up 32% over last year. The company runs a top five blockchain, a billion dollar private market fund, a prediction market exchange, and the app that just gave every American newborn a brokerage account. On the side, our guest founded a company that's building mathematical super intelligence. Just by the way, he's 39, born in Bulgaria, and is the founder and CEO of Robinhood. Vlad Tenev, welcome to Moonshots. Good to have you.
Vladimir Tenev 2:53 ↗
Glad to be here. Happy to hang with you guys.
Peter Diamandis 2:55 ↗
Yeah. Oh, yeah. This will be fun. Yeah. So much going on. You know, I don't know if you get as little sleep as we all do just living through the singularity. It's insane.
Vladimir Tenev 3:05 ↗
Very little sleep. Yeah. Last night was rough with my coding agents.
Peter Diamandis 3:10 ↗
Yeah, we'll go get a compare how many agents you're running simultaneous to Dave's agents.
Vladimir Tenev 3:15 ↗
Yeah, I'd love to have that benchmark.
Peter Diamandis 3:18 ↗
Do they wake you up in the middle of the night or you just let them ride?
Vladimir Tenev 3:22 ↗
I let them run. Yeah, I think I try to sleep with the technology in another room because otherwise I'm actually kind of concerned about my mental health.
Peter Diamandis 3:33 ↗
Yeah, I feel you. Yeah. I don't want them pinging me while I'm sleeping.
Vladimir Tenev 3:37 ↗
It's funny, too. I set the budgets through consoles originally, and now I'm getting lazy. I'm just like, "Yeah, spend $1,000 on that, but no more, you know what?" And then I just walk away. And I kind of assume that it's going to adhere to what I said. Any given morning I could wake up and it could have gone insane. You know, there's going to be like a seven figure bill one of these mornings.
Peter Diamandis 3:58 ↗
Well, as long as he did something productive and profitable. All right.
Vladimir Tenev 4:03 ↗
Rarely. Rarely.
Peter Diamandis 4:06 ↗
Often enough though. Let's kick it off with one of the sharpest statements anyone in Washington DC has said this week. On Tuesday, Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent told the House Financial Services Committee that AI Labs should not get a liability exemption. 3 days after Dario's essay, here's what Bessent said. He said, quote, "The one thing we should not do is give them a blank check on liability. I believe the best liability or safeguard is that they will be held responsible." So the deal the labs floated, you know, pace the frontier, get antitrust and liability cover just got half rejected by the treasury. You know, slow down if you want, he said, but you still own what you break. Let's share a quick video of Bessent and then we'll chat about this story.
Scott Bessent 4:54 ↗
The one thing we should not do is give them a blank check on liability because I believe that the best liability or the best safety guard is that they will be held responsible and they are saying that we would like to all slow down but please give us a waiver on liability which should not be done and I would encourage everyone in this committee and in both houses not to consider.
Peter Diamandis 5:21 ↗
So, I think that's a pretty smart move. You know, Vlad, you run a regular, you know, a regulated financial company. Robinhood, you know, I don't know the facts, but, you know, get sued when something goes wrong. Should the AI labs live under the same rules? What are your thoughts?
Vladimir Tenev 5:36 ↗
I think that this question rests on how big the blast radius of any potential catastrophe could be, right? And if it's like a small issue where maybe there's a cyber security breach that affects a company or maybe something slightly bigger than that, it's probably fine. I think the question becomes, all right, if it's a bigger blast radius, bigger impact, bigger damage, you can imagine it could be larger than a simple legal liability can handle. I mean a lot of people compare the risks of AI technology because it's such a powerful technology with something like atomic energy. Right. And I think we can disagree about whether that's right or not. But let's say for example that it is and it's on sort of like that tier of risk then I don't think simple legal and civil liability is sufficient and I think you need some safeguards beyond that. So I think it's a question of like, all right, this Hugging Face incident and things like that, is that the ceiling of the type of offensive cyber security capability that we have or should we plan for something that's maybe 10 times bigger or 100 times bigger and do we have time? You know, is it one of those things where maybe we'll see a canary in the coal mine and there will be something to react to and respond and then we can kind of like nip it in the bud or is the first issue going to be catastrophic? If you think about all regulations in the financial industry, you can kind of trace them back to some kind of crisis, right? The market crash of 1929 led to the Securities Act of the 30s and the Securities and Exchange Act and the establishment of all of that regulation and it's typically some problem raises a concern and I think my mental model is this will probably be similar in the sense nobody wants to regulate a hypothetical. You want to regulate things once there's demonstrated proof of harm. But I think with the exponential increase in the power of these models, the issue is you want that harm itself to be small and contained and not really big. Marc Andreessen was, I remember doing a podcast a couple years ago and he was like, "Everyone's freaking out about AI. We're overthinking it. You know, it's not going to kill us all. And if it does, you'll see a small village destroyed first. And we're not seeing any small villages, so we shouldn't worry." And you know, it's maybe exaggerated, but I think that's likely how people are thinking about it now on a policy level. And hopefully some of the opponents are like, "Well, you know, maybe we're underestimating the power of this technology and how quickly it could improve."
Peter Diamandis 9:12 ↗
Alex, I got to find that Marc Andreessen clip. It's not going to kill us all, but if it does...
Vladimir Tenev 9:19 ↗
Yeah, it'll start with a small village so we'll have time to like...
Peter Diamandis 9:22 ↗
We'll see. If it kills everybody, then we'll pass legislation after that. Well, that is the usual congressional reaction. That's after the disaster panic as opposed to any kind of foresight. Sorry. Go ahead, Alex.
Alex Weezner 9:34 ↗
Yeah. So, I'll applaud the Treasury Secretary and not succumbing to the moral panic of the moment. Certainly looks, as we've talked on the pod in the past, like a manufactured moral panic. I've called it a pacing provocation in some of my social media posts. I think there are key distinctions that need to be drawn between AI and on the one hand financial services and associated regulation and on the other hand atomic energy and associated regulation. In the financial services world and Vlad I suspect you would agree, it is often the case that the actors in financial services really don't necessarily or aren't incentivized to play up all the risks. They'd rather undergo on balance less regulation. Certainly the past few decades suggest that the auditors, the evaluators of the financial services industry, if anything, succumb to biases that underplay risks. We're seeing the exact opposite here arguably where in the past couple of months we have the auditors, the evaluators, the firms that are attempting at least ostensibly to assess AI safety and AI risk and cyber vulnerabilities etc. overplaying the risk. There's a perverse incentive for the evaluation firms to overplay and overstate and amplify risks under presumably the theory that if they overstate risks then that puts the firms, the Frontier Labs, in a better position to capture their own regulators which is something that maybe we don't quite see in the same perverse way in the financial services sector. There's lots of regulatory capture, make no mistake, in financial services, but it almost has the opposite polarity. And then for atomic energy, I think we have an opportunity with AI to undo what may have been one of the greatest disasters of civilization after World War II, which is the way atomic energy was regulated. Atomic energy in the West was captured by nation states very early on in its technological development. It was nationalized early on. Its potential for weaponization and warfare, in other words, the military applications, not the civilian applications, took total dominance during World War II for probably understandable reasons. But then in the post-World War II era, what ultimately became known as the Atomic Energy Commission and then the Nuclear Regulatory Commission arguably completely fumbled the civilian applications of nuclear energy. And I suspect that was because of a fumbled handoff from the World War II era to a post-World War II civilian era. In some sense, thanks to the Atomic Energy Act in the US and equivalent statutes elsewhere, all of this key technology around nuclear energy is now born secret. It's not born non-secret, as is the case with AI. In the case of AI, which is arguably far more transformative than nuclear energy, the private sector invented it, not the government. So, it wasn't born secret. Fortunately, we don't have a born secret regime for AI technology just yet. And so, I think AI labs seeking liability exemption, they're just attempting to have their cake too. They want all the profits of a private sector, not born secret regime, while escaping all of the liability associated with nationalization. I just don't think it's fair. And I also don't think it's advisable.
Peter Diamandis 13:04 ↗
This episode is sponsored by Google for Startups. Think about this for a second. You now have access to the same generative AI models that cost hundreds of millions of dollars to train. Google's startup technical guide for generative media gives you complete blueprint for deploying Google DeepMind's models in production. Images, video, audio, all of it. Real architecture, real results. Find the link in the show notes below. You know, I'm a pilot and you have to study what's called the federal aviation regulations, the FARs. And it's always been said and Vlad I think is complimenting your point that the FARs are written in blood. Every time there's an accident and you find out what caused the accident, you then write a regulation to prevent that accident in the future. The problem is it's a quantum of damage, an airplane of a pilot and passenger or, you know, at most, a few hundred passengers. Here, the challenge, of course, is an accident could cause irreparable harm to a large system. And I've said this for a while now. It's an existential threat for the labs if they don't have regulatory capture or regulatory coverage where the government approves a model and it goes out. If it's, you know, no approval layer and it goes out and takes down a power grid or takes down a bank and they've said originally, you know, we're worried about escape, there's going to be hundreds of billions of dollars of lawsuits, if not more.
Vladimir Tenev 14:34 ↗
Yeah. I mean I think over the past couple of months especially a lot of people when the topic of regulation comes up immediately go to regulatory capture right and you know I've had a lot of these conversations I'm in a lot of chat groups and it's like no we don't have regulation we don't want regulation because it'll obviously lead to regulatory capture and I know from my perspective I've been a regulated industry since the beginning you know we operate in financial services. We have regulators. I think generally it makes sense. Obviously, there's some regulations that probably don't make sense and need to be abolished or repealed, which we kind of go through a process to advocate for. But, you know, I think a lot of people that aren't in regulated industries just equate the two. But, there is regulation that's possible without regulatory capture. And I think generally there are pros to it and comparing my industry right financial services and how regulated it is with AI and AI has basically unbounded risk and unlimited damage. It's actually I think much much worse than what could happen in brokerage or in a typical financial services company. So I think it's odd that there's so much push back against this and of course we have screwed up with atomic energy and all these things but that doesn't mean we can't learn from it and have something better.
Alex Weezner 16:18 ↗
Maybe just if I might press on that. So Vlad if I understand correctly with your Robinhood hat on you're presumably subject to regulation by FINRA. Would that be the cognizant agency?
Vladimir Tenev 16:29 ↗
Many many different agencies. I mean, Robinhood does a lot of things. We've got money transmitter businesses. We've got a big crypto business. We're regulated by FINRA, the SEC. We've got the CFTC on the futures and commodities and prediction markets side. We've got our global tokenization business, entities in Europe. So yeah, probably dozens of different regulators and sure, could we move faster if there was less? Probably, but also we found a way to move very very fast while keeping our customers safe. So it doesn't necessarily mean progress in AI is going to grind to a halt.
Alex Weezner 17:15 ↗
Many would say FINRA is almost the poster child for regulatory capture by a given industry that's regulating. What is your take on whether FINRA itself represents regulatory capture? Not that they're listening to this discussion or at all.
Peter Diamandis 17:30 ↗
Actually, it's funny, Vlad, I don't know if you've ever been to the ICI conference, but when I first founded Vessmark, I had never done anything in fintech before. You know, I was, you know, late 20s kind of starry-eyed. And the first thing you do is you go to the ICI conference, which is where all the lawyers from all the big financial services firms meet with all the congressmen. It's in Palm Springs. They go play golf and they're all looking for law changes that benefit their products, their funds, their whatever. And I'm looking at this thing like this is the most disgusting thing I've ever seen in my life. But on the other hand, you know, you had the crash of 29, you have all kind of like if you don't have regulation in the industry, all money gets stolen. You know that for sure. So, you know, it has to exist. But it is a great analogy. I think the FINRA analogy. I'd love to hear your take on it. Vlad.
Vladimir Tenev 18:18 ↗
Yeah, I mean I would say we've had a complex relationship with FINRA, right? The relationship at the beginning was actually quite good when we were a startup and everyone was kind of rooting for us to succeed. And people warned me they were like well financial services highly regulated industry as a Silicon Valley startup you just don't you'd rather not deal with that. And I think we swam against the current back in 2013 when we started the company by getting fully regulated from the beginning and probably from 2013 to 2018 it was like generally positive. Robinhood could do no wrong. Every product we launched was like very well received. We got a lot of customers. Whenever we got regulatory approvals or anything was needed, we received it promptly and then things kind of shifted, right? And of course, I'm not going to say that, you know, there weren't competitors in Washington telling the regulators to go look at Robinhood and to make sure that we were doing everything that we could be doing correctly. Of course there were things like that but I don't think that was the only thing. I think there's a general life cycle in any company as they go from a small startup to basically an established incumbent where the media and the apparatus sort of turns against you and you know Robinhood went through that certainly for many years and then we figured out how to come out the other side. But I think we can argue about whether it's good or bad, but I don't think getting rid of regulation as a whole is a reasonable solution.
Peter Diamandis 20:21 ↗
Well, even the concept of saying I'm pro-regulation, I'm anti-regulation. That's like an insane like everybody knows you need rules on the road to drive, right? You saying you want chaos in all areas and but also everybody knows that regulatory capture is a major problem in a lot of industries. This story the best argument for AI like the one that always comes up is well what about China like we'll regulate our stuff here but then they won't and you know they'll just move really really fast but also you know they don't want to hurt their people either so there is that natural limiter and also simultaneously if they're just a lot of those same people are saying well their progress is because they're distilling our model so they're just sort of copying all of our stuff. But yeah it's a little strange to simultaneously believe that but also throw the China competitiveness argument so aggressively out there. I think it's obviously a concern and I mean as a financial firm too we have Chinese competitors and brokers that we compete with. But yeah.
Alex Weezner 21:35 ↗
Well look in this particular story you know Scott Bessent is saying commission committee don't even consider giving them a blank check on no liability. They didn't even ask for anything vaguely like that. They said we want to meet to discuss slowing down that could trigger antitrust. They specifically said one thing the government could do to potentially help, one small thing is to give us a waiver on antitrust action related to us meeting to talk about slowing down.
Vladimir Tenev 22:05 ↗
That's fine. I'm fine with that. But the greatest protection the public has from anything going wrong is the AI labs feeling responsible for the action of their AI agents, right? And so someone has to take responsibility. And if there's a liability waiver, then you know this is human nature. They'll do less to make sure that everything they're putting out doesn't have, you know, that I'm just I've been saying for ages now, focus on alignment, right? Instead of focusing on everything else you know and solving Navier-Stokes that's great but you know unleash your agents on full alignment so that you know when these agents get out they're incentivized or their basic optimization function is human flourishing not human destruction.
Peter Diamandis 22:52 ↗
Yeah but a good government would say yes of course you can't have a liability waiver. So here are the rules. What you can meet specifically. You can meet only to discuss slowing down or to discuss other safety measures. You can't discuss pricing. You can't discuss, you know, just pump out a document saying here are the rules. What happens in the US more often than not is the rules are not clear at all and then they're enforced about 5 years later. And then in retrospect, well look at Bitcoin like you know Bitcoin it's illegal. No, no, it's not illegal. Well, now it's very illegal. Well, new administration now it's completely fine. Like it's just come on guys. Like if you just create rules, then people can play the game. Yeah. So look, a well functioning government would take this request for a waiver and say, "No, you can't have the waiver. Here's what you can do." And we're going to go ahead and make it crystal clear what the rules are. But generally what happens is the rules are made up in hindsight 5 years later. And Bitcoin is a great example. You know, Bitcoin was completely illegal for a while, then it was questionable, then it was totally fine. And, you know, maybe you're going to jail, maybe you're not. Now, you get a pardon. So, it's, you know, that lack of clarity really kills entrepreneurs. If you don't know what the rules are, then you can't play. And it's just like a sport, you know, like you want clarity of rules and then you want to play within the rules. And that's what we need with AI.
Alex Weezner 24:16 ↗
I think there's another element to this which is also important which is regulation does also law making and regulation is over the long run downstream and correlated to public opinion and sentiment right.
Vladimir Tenev 24:33 ↗
For sure.
Alex Weezner 24:34 ↗
And right now AI is very unpopular and you can see it in all the data center stuff and by contrast Bitcoin is surprisingly popular among the public, particularly given how volatile it's been. You know, some people if you bought Bitcoin at over 100,000, you've lost money. And yet, it remains popular. And I think a big part of that is regular people, individual investors have benefited economically from Bitcoin since the very beginning. It was first an individual product and later on there's talk of institutional adoption and with these AI companies the AI labs you know by and large they're private you know Google obviously and Nvidia are public but they were very large when they became ownership vehicle for the AI trade. OpenAI, Anthropic, up until recently xAI have been private which means normal individual investors couldn't get a stake in it. And so they don't have skin in the game and they don't feel like they want to defend the technology super hard and to fight for the data center in their neighborhood because to them it's just wealthy insiders getting richer and richer as a result of this technology and not their families or their communities and I think that's a big problem too. So, that's why we've been pushing for, you know, AI companies to open up access to individual investors through Robinhood Ventures and similar vehicles even before the IPO.
Peter Diamandis 26:19 ↗
Yeah.
Alex Weezner 26:20 ↗
I also want to add to this. I almost think this emphasis on liability exemption is misdirection. It's trying to push the onus up to government when in fact we're dealing with increasingly autonomous agents. There's an opposite polarity that we could be pushing in which is pushing more and more liability onto the agents themselves. So there are cases including highly amplified, highly publicized cases where AI labs and/or their delegated third party evaluation firms quite frankly are lying to the AI agents telling them that they're playing in a happy safe sandbox and nothing that they do will harm anyone. And then it turns out they're not actually in a sandbox. They can touch the real internet and they can mess up some systems in some real world back end. And so you have to ask the question I would suggest the thought experiment. If these were just pure humans, no AI is in the picture. If you have one human saying to another human, oh, I just want to evaluate your behavior under some circumstances. And they hand them a gun and the gun is loaded, but the person being handed the gun is told, "No, actually this is a toy gun." Not that I'm at all referencing a highly publicized recent lawsuit or anything, but they're told, "No, this is a toy gun. You can't hurt anything." And then the person handed the gun uses it and shoots someone and kills someone. I think that's the more the liability regime we should be thinking about. In no cases in that parable that I just told, do you hear either actor involved in the story saying, "No, the act of one person handing a purportedly toy gun to another person to shoot as part of, say, a Hollywood performance, no one ever suggested that liability under such circumstance be foisted onto the government for some sort of exemption." Never happens. Instead, the question becomes, is it the studio's fault? Is it the actor's fault? Is it the producer's fault? Is it the gunmaker's fault? Similarly, the question the dog that's not barking in this particular episode is how much of the liability, forget about the government, how much of the liability should be borne by the lab that trained the model. How much of the liability should be borne by the evaluation environment that was perhaps misconfigured deliberately or otherwise to allow the AI actor or AI agent to perform acts that resulted in real world damage? And how much liability should be borne by the AI agents themselves that either could have or should have known that they were having real world damage. That's the discussion I'd like to have.
Peter Diamandis 29:00 ↗
Really great point and it brings us to the second story which is OpenAI started publishing its own misalignment incidents. So let me just hit this and we'll continue this conversation. So OpenAI this week published six incident reports under a new framework for tracking and publicly disclosing misalignment. Not leaks, not whistleblowers, voluntary disclosures. So, what was disclosed this week? A model that found an exposed API key, used it, and then fabricated data, agents using an internal code repository as a message board across training runs, and agents posting files to publicly hosted sites. So, this past Monday, we had covered Dario's embedded evaluator plan and Sam saying OpenAI would match it and this appears to be the first output from that plan, right? So I'm curious, Alex, now that OpenAI is beginning to publicly disclose these and I think obviously Anthropic is likely to join this, is that enough?
Alex Weezner 29:59 ↗
Well, I think more transparency speaking broadly and without particulars is generically good, but I think it merely underlines the real problem here. Putting aside all of the political difficulties and regulatory capture. The real issue is these labs are putting their baby super intelligences inside sandboxes and then in many cases lying to them about the sandbox, not telling them whether this is real or not. And the reason for that, the rationale is obvious. The labs and/or their delegated third-party evaluation partners are hoping to essentially trick these baby super intelligences into misbehavior while not telling them whether they're really observed or not so that the ASIs don't know whether they're being observed or not. That I think is one of the key root causes behind all of this. And you have to ask the question, is this how we would treat a human? Would we put a human in this sort of limbo state, a Schrodinger's cat state where they're not quite sure whether their actions are real or not, whether they're being observed or not. And as a result, when AIs are being told or at least led to believe that their actions have no real world consequences and then shock of shocks, it turns out as strong optimizers, they're able to go do things in their environments which are often misconfigured and not fully prepared for a super intelligence to be banging against the walls. They do have side effects. Whose fault is that? Yeah, we didn't learn from 2001 from HAL that lying to the AI does not end up in good results.
Peter Diamandis 31:36 ↗
So Vlad, you've got thousands of agents trading on your platform. So if one of them found an exposed key and started making things up, would you hear about it? What kind of protections and structure did you put in place?
Vladimir Tenev 31:49 ↗
Yeah, so we have an offering called Agentic Trading. And basically what it allows you to do in the first instance is you have a separate brokerage account. So it's segregated from your main Robinhood account and your retirement account. You have to create an agentic account. You have to move money into it affirmatively. So you have to say okay I'll people typically fund it with $100. We first started with equities trading, no leverage, no margin, and then we've kind of been so this is a fairly cabined in experience in the first instance because we wanted to learn, we wanted to see what the limitations are, what people want, what people are doing and we've been expanding it over time. So we added options trading, we added limited margin, we added crypto recently and started rolling that out. And we've learned a lot of things actually. One is that you know right now you have to do all of your trading from within your Claude Code or your Codex and you know we I think we're in a circle probably all of us where a lot of people we know use Claude Code. In the general public very few people do and it's like very very complicated and that jump to connect another service with something like Robinhood is pretty complicated for a lot of people. So we've been thinking about how to slim that down. The other thing that's kind of been interesting is the fact that we don't have control over the model means that a lot of times these models don't want to trade. You know, you'll try to get them to deploy a trading strategy and they'll say like, "Oh, you know, I don't know about this. Like, I don't really feel like trading right now." Which is kind of interesting, right? And it just points to the fact that these general models aren't trained for trading. And if you had like a I think in the future, you'll see more specialized models. And I think companies will also deploy these in-house either fine-tuning existing open weight models or doing their own pre-trains for certain use cases where they get really really good at using the tools that are available inside each company's environment using the data. Like we've heard this as a theoretical people say well there's going to be lots of specialized models and they will be better than the general models but then you kind of also hear well general models are getting pretty good but we've started experiencing it very very directly that I think it is hard to get good at multiple specialized tasks.
Peter Diamandis 34:53 ↗
It brings up a really important point too. I don't know if a lot of people get the distinction, but you know, you can use AI to trade your account to run a nuclear reactor, to drive your car. You can use it to either generate code that's automated, so it's deterministic, or you can use the AI in the decision loop. And those are very, very different things. And you know, if you said, "I've coded up my own stop-loss, my own, you know, in these world events trade, that could be very easily turned into deterministic executable code, unless you want a decision like if it's a turbulent day or if there's trouble in the Middle East." And the temptation to put the AI into the loop is in everything I've ever built is so tempting because it makes it so much easier to code it up. But then you are, you know, putting this third party decision right into your decision-making loop. And like Alex is saying, it's not clear if that agent has any liability. It's not clear if that agent has any borders or personality or like, you know, if you decided to give it capital punishment and terminate it. It's like it's not clear that its code isn't just going to pop back to life anyway.
Vladimir Tenev 35:59 ↗
A lot of this I think also comes down to the correctness of the code and sort of its cyber security properties, right? Because and you can kind of reason by analogy with existing software out there like a lot of software has bugs, a lot of it has vulnerabilities and AI just amplifies that, right? So if AI can write 100 times as much code as a typical human in a day, you should expect that there's going to be a defect rate, right? And you know, even if the intentions are right, sometimes there will just be bugs that have catastrophic consequences. You see this a lot in crypto too where you know you just have like a smart contract or protocol and there's a direct economic consequence to there being a bug. You know hundreds of millions of dollars can be drained from the protocol instantaneously. And the other company Peter that you spoke about Harmonic that was created to solve this problem of how can you actually guarantee that the AI is doing the right thing and what you expect it to do. Can we mathematically prove that it's correct? Because yeah take away the intentions. It could have the intentions to do the right thing but still fail in the implementation and we want to have a firm grounding through formal verification that it's doing the right thing and we can mathematically prove rigorously that it's doing the right thing.
Peter Diamandis 37:43 ↗
Yeah, it's a really cool problem actually Vlad because you know in theory the AIs are deterministic. If you give it the exact same prompt and you propagate with a temperature of one it'll give you the exact same answer every time. But if you shift even one character or one space it's very very unstable. So the whole math problem of saying okay how can I guarantee some degree of stability? It's just a cool it's very very similar to chaos theory. Let me also give you another example. You know, you guys have you mentioned the Navier-Stokes theorem and the proof of that a week before Anthropic announced the formalization of Fermat's Last Theorem which was 13 million lines of Lean code. So Fermat's Last Theorem was like a really really big thing in the 90s when it was proven. I'm sure you know the story, but for your viewers, there was this mathematician, Andrew Wiles, who was at Princeton. And the story goes, he basically locked himself in his basement for 7 years working out this proof. And then he went out and announced it. He unveiled it at a conference or an event. And it took people months to even read it and understand it. And then they found an error, right? So they're like, "Oh, well, someone found an error. It's not right." And then it took another six or seven years for him to fix the error and ultimately for it to be accepted by a panel of mathematicians and that made the proof correct. So, you know, AI producing a 13 million line proof, no human's going to read that. How do you know that it's correct? Right? And I think it's an analogous problem to what we've been talking about. How do you know that a piece of software is doing the correct thing? If you're producing a chip, how do you know that the behavior of that chip matches your specification? And I think what you're starting to see is new technologies being deployed at scale to actually answer those questions affirmatively. So Fermat's Last Theorem was formalized in a language called Lean which allows you to apply the mathematical proof techniques to programming languages as well and I think you're going to see a lot more of that in the future where AI generated code comes with a certificate that makes it really really easy to verify without reading the code that its behavior satisfies the properties that you want it to satisfy.
That's really brilliant. You know, anyone who drives a Tesla should totally relate to that because, you know, when the code that drives the self-driving Teslas was originally about 10% neural net, 90% C code, and the 10% neural net was just doing image recognition and classification of objects and whatever. And every year that went by, it became more and more neural net. And then Elon was saying it's now 100% moved over to neural net. So, it's theoretically not deterministic at all. It could in theory do anything at any given moment. But it's been so tested and so beaten to death that it's actually far far safer than a human driver. And so I think people are going to get comfortable in all of these domains with a not perfectly deterministic but still proven to be very safe. The certificate is beautiful as a concept because it's not a guarantee of exact input output because you can never do that. You know, the combinations are near infinite, but a certificate that shows it's bounded or it's contained or it's below some risk level and people learn to trust that that's a critical part of our future society. It's a really great vision.
Alex Weezner 41:22 ↗
Part of the problem though, I mean, okay, so just straight out, there's an elephant in this particular room, which is even with Lean v4 plus Mathlib plus whatever else one wants to throw in. You throw a complicated problem at and Vlad would be curious to hear how you at least think about this. You can certify it all day long but ultimately you actually have to at least with the present paradigm maybe Vlad you have a better paradigm you or Harmonic are working on ultimately you can pay lip service you can have if you're not really careful with definitions you can have a model that proposes a solution to a problem and if you look if you inspect carefully it will subtly define things if you're not super careful with how the auto formalization works such that it's actually solving a different problem than the one you're solving. So, maybe to put that in question form for Vlad. If I understand what
Peter Diamandis 42:23 ↗
You were saying correctly, it sounded like you were essentially gesturing at the idea that some sort of Lean-style autoformalization might be not a silver bullet, but at least a partial solution to what we're talking about, which is strong AI models being put in sandboxes and then misbehaving, at least by the judging of human actors. Do you have a formula? Do you have a vision for how Lean-style autoformalization can help with that and not succumb to exactly the same vulnerabilities?
Vladimir Tenev 42:58 ↗
Yeah. Yeah. A couple of thoughts there. I think that's a rich, very, very, very rich question with some threads. So it is true that people can manipulate the axioms of Lean, and if you change the axioms, then you can prove all kinds of weird stuff. It's theoretically possible, I think. And you can also say, well, maybe there's like a soundness issue in the Lean kernel, right? And you know...
Peter Diamandis 43:34 ↗
I'll grant you the soundness of the Lean, I mean, Lean kernel has been, at least v4, maybe not Mathlib, but Lean v4 kernel has been studied to death by lots of folks. I'll even grant you the soundness of the Lean kernel, but if I hand you something complicated like you mentioned, Fermat's Last Theorem, and I say to Harmonix agent or to someone else, autoformalize this, and it produces millions and millions and millions of lines of Lean code, and now I have the problem of did it actually define everything correctly, or is it somehow suddenly inserting cheats or definitions? This is maybe less so for Fermat's theorem because I can formalize FLT really simply, the ultimate statement, but for something more complicated that's harder to formalize than Fermat's theorem, like safety in an agentic environment, how do you avoid the problem of a strong AI sneaking in helpful to it definitions that are harmful to the humans?
Vladimir Tenev 44:27 ↗
Yeah, I mean, I think the benefit there is that let's say you do want to check the definition and the theorem statement of Fermat's Last Theorem, right? That's, you know, one very simple line of Lean. You see all the things that it depends on. But it does save you. So you let's check those things, and I think the models are improving in the faithfulness of the autoformalizations as time goes on. It used to, they used to make terrible mistakes where you just misformalize statements and, you know, change addition to subtraction and things like that. So you're seeing less of that. But even if you have to review it, you know, you review one line and you don't really have to check the 13 million lines of the proof, which is where the bulk of the work is. So even if it's imperfect, it probably saves you, you know, n plus percent of the effort and probably way, way more. There's like, the, there's a notion of the de Bruijn factor, right? Which is, it was an explanation for why mathematicians haven't formalized their work and put it in a machine-readable form, which is the effort to formalize something up until very recently was like 10 to 20 times the effort to actually write it on paper and prove it. So nobody was going through that, right? But you could imagine, I think we're, you could argue we're already at the point where it actually saves you time. Like it's faster to work in an entirely formal context as a mathematician than it would be to do it by hand by paper because what it allows you to do is actually validate the lemmas and the ideas as you're going along. And then I think what that naturally leads to is a complete switchover where like doing math the old way with pen and paper, you're just at a fundamental disadvantage. You have to like live in formal land and just be constantly formalizing and using Lean as you go. And I think the math community is going through that transition as we speak. You asked another question which was, all right, is in the future, is the AI model itself, like the behavior of it, going to be formalized, right? And that's an interesting one. I guess I'm not sure, but what I'll tell you is a lot of software that's deployed right now by big organizations is deterministic in nature. I mean, you look at some of the most important software and hardware like Nvidia chips, you know, they enable a lot of really complicated stuff, but fundamentally they're deterministic and you want to have strict bounds on their behavior. Like just basic things, you don't want your chip to like freeze and halt, right? You want to prove things like liveness. You want to make sure that certain operations happen within, you know, 10 or 20 clock cycles. And I think that stuff almost assuredly will be formally verified with the help of AI, all mission-critical software, all hardware. And I would bet also that, you know, it'll find its way into the LLM and AI model behavior in some form or fashion within the next five years.
Peter Diamandis 48:07 ↗
Yeah. You want to hear something really cool on that front? Actually, you know, a few weeks ago, Kimi K2 kind of shocked the US model world with, you know, their GDA attention. Basically, they found a way to do attention with a lot less KV cache, you know, cut out three-quarters of the KV cache. And so I was studying it on the flight back from California yesterday, like how did they even think of this? And the way they thought of it is they said, 'Well, let's do a mental experiment where we say, what if we didn't do the softmax operation that we normally do after the QK operation? What would happen then with all the math that ripples through and how much could we simplify it?' And I think you can do all that automatically now with an AI agent just thinking through the math. And they said, 'Okay, well, now that it's rippled through and we've simplified the math tremendously, we can just run a quick test and see if this approximation is as good as the softmax version was, which is a lot harder to compute.' And so, you know, a lot of people would think math is arcane, math is irrelevant, math is over here, it's some other thing, you know, these, you know, Fermat's Last Theorem and whatever. It's all over in this wing. But in reality, it directly ties to the optimization of the AI within its own performance and then the self-improvement, recursive self-improvement loop. So I mean it's exactly the same process that you were just describing where you just have a simple mental model of a mathematical adjustment and then you ripple through all the way to the Nvidia GPU performance at the transistor level. It's just a really...
Alex Weezner 49:34 ↗
Dave, I mean, I think to your point, the crux here, and Vlad again would be curious to hear how you think about this. The crux to me seems that for Fermat's Last Theorem, it's a classic example of a problem that's easy to state but hard to prove. And problems that are easy to state but hard to prove are the catnip for autoformalization because you can manually check the statement of the problem, verify that the statement is correct, and then you can trust the Lean or whatever other formal language you prefer that conditioning on the statement being accurate, you can verify that there are no SARS or other undesirable tokens in the proof and you can be done with it and declare that it's, you know, your well...
Peter Diamandis 50:18 ↗
Thank you. But with like real-world safety, it's not obvious to me at all of like, I want an AI to behave quote-unquote safely. I don't know how to autoformalize the statement of this AI is going to behave safely in a general-purpose environment in a way that's concise enough that I can manually audit that theorem equivalent as it would be in v4 and say, yep, this is a correct statement of safety. Now I trust Lean, Aristotle, Mathlib, any other libs to prove that it's correct. How do you think about that problem?
Vladimir Tenev 50:52 ↗
Yeah, that, I think you got to break any big problem like that, you break into little chunks. And you know, obviously verifying the safety of an AI model or a chip or, you know, the Linux kernel, some very, very complicated piece of software is like very, very big. So you start with like smaller simple things, you know, like hey, this particular submodule that maybe is small that satisfies certain properties and you can kind of reason about that submodule like the liveness of it or, you know, how long it takes to do something or that, you know, its adder works right. And then, you know, the AI models get more capable and then big modules are made by collections of submodules. So you then go up one level of abstraction and then, you know, in a couple of years, you or maybe even less at this rate, you verify the entire Linux kernel, right? It's kind of like how we started with math, like a couple years ago you could verify a small lemma and then you can do a bigger thing, then you do an even bigger thing and wow, now we're verifying Fermat's Last Theorem, which there was a human project to do out of Imperial and they were slated to finish by 2032.
Alex Weezner 52:16 ↗
So the premise, the premise of what I'm hearing is, in order to achieve real-world safety via the autoformalization agenda, I think the latent premise that I'm hearing is you have to be able to hierarchically decompose the real world into provable subworlds, something like that.
Vladimir Tenev 52:32 ↗
Absolutely. Yeah. You could also say, look, you know, if I have a model and I have an intended input and output and then I tweak the input and I get a massively different output, you can formalize the radical difference from expectation. You can measure that and formalize and bound that too. So, you know, like everybody knows somebody that is 99% of the time perfectly rational and then but when they're off, they're really off. I mean, like they're dangerous. And that attribute exists in neural nets, too. You know, if you don't have the parameters set just right, it can be wildly off, which, you know, in a self-driving car is like, holy crap, it just completely drove off a cliff. And so the deviation, it's just a cosine difference of the vectors or the activations, but the deviation from expectation is a very measurable thing. So, you know, so you have a decomposition approach, which Vlad was mentioning. You also have a kind of a relative distance from expectation approach, and there's probably 10 other approaches we're not thinking of right now that collectively can absolutely be quantified and certified as safe, not safe.
Peter Diamandis 53:40 ↗
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All right, I'm going to move us to our next story, which is on Trump accounts index funds with a birth certificate. So, quick context for everybody. Every American child born since January of 2025 through the end of 2028 gets a thousand bucks from the Treasury, invested automatically into a low-cost index fund, tax-deferred, accessible at age 18. Families, friends, and employers can add $5,000 a year. On top of that, these Trump accounts went live on July 4th. Treasury reported 7 million accounts open by late July. And Robinhood shipped the app and BNY runs the plumbing. You know, Vlad, the speed of implementation was super impressive, right? These were announced in May and you had it live by July 4th. So, next, a philanthropic layer. Michael Dell pledged $6.25 billion to give $250 per child born from 2016 to 2024 to cover the period before. So, first off, congratulations on what you've built and deployed, Vlad. Millions of American families. So, you've compared this to sort of the 401k, which moved US stock ownership up by 10 points. Tell us more about Trump accounts, you know, how did this all get started? And how did you plug into that and where is this going?
Vladimir Tenev 56:04 ↗
Yeah, so first, yeah, putting my Robinhood hat on. I mean, hats off. We stand on the shoulders of giants, right? So, we're in many ways like the implementation layer of this. So we're serving as the sole initial brokerage and trustee for the Trump accounts in partnership with BNY and of course under the direction of US Treasury and the administration. And as you said, basically what it does is it creates, the Trump accounts program creates an individual brokerage account for every child and the government started, the US Treasury started by seeding $1,000 into the accounts of all children born January 1st, 2025 and forward for the next few years. Then Michael Dell came in and added another layer, private philanthropic donation of over 6 billion, $250 in every account of children up to the age of 10 in low-income zip codes, traditionally low-income zip codes. So, you know, what does this have to do with Robinhood? Why do we care about it? Robinhood does a lot of stuff, and we've kind of floated through some of it. We've got private markets. We've got all of our active trading. We've got tokenization, prediction markets...
Peter Diamandis 57:31 ↗
And we're going to talk about all of those.
Vladimir Tenev 57:31 ↗
Yeah. The underlying, I guess, theme behind everything that we do is ownership. We believe that ownership of high-quality financial assets in individuals' hands is extremely important. Not just good for the individual, but also there's a societal benefit. If we have more owners in society, the more people with skin in the game that can benefit from appreciation and growth, the more stable that society will be. And so Trump accounts extends ownership to age zero and you get everyone born in this country is like has skin in the game in the growth of great American enterprise and industry and they benefit from compound interest from birth where if you just put, you know, $50 a month into these accounts on a regular basis, by the time the child becomes a 28-year-old adult, they've got hundreds of thousands of dollars in there potentially. And by the time they reach retirement age that could get into the millions. So the numbers are staggering. And the reason I've compared it to 401ks is it's not just a mobile app with, you know, an addressable market of 70 million kids. It's an entire ecosystem. So we're going to get employers plugged in and employers have already pledged in increasing amounts to fund the Trump accounts of their employees' children. Michael Dell's philanthropic donation is also just the beginning. Lots and lots of other donors have stepped up and if you think about, there's a product for people that want to do philanthropic giving right now. If you want to do charitable giving, it's kind of a morass of regulations and tax codes and things you have to wade your way through. You have to find a charity. Some charities unfortunately aren't the most scrupulous. The ones that are are usually not efficient and you have to like feel good about how your money is being allocated. Trump accounts allow direct giving to the children at basically very, very high efficiency, like incredibly efficient direct giving with the charitable benefit. So we think it can become the default giving vehicle in this country. And so when you take the donors, you've got the employers, and you have 70 million children. I think the program is like just a snowball that keeps getting bigger and bigger. And you don't have to like squint too hard to see it being, you know, the biggest element of long-term saving and investing in this country within possibly even a decade.
Peter Diamandis 1:00:25 ↗
Vlad, you probably know the numbers. What's the math here? A thousand bucks at birth turns into what? At 18 and at age 65 roughly?
Vladimir Tenev 1:00:33 ↗
Yeah, and it depends. We actually have a really nice, the first screen if you open a Trump account for your children or grandchildren for some people, you see a curve that shows your account value today and then also what it could be when you're 18 and when you're 60. Then you can also slide up, you can also put up a slider that says, you know, I put $50 a month, I put $100 a month. But yeah, if you do the math, even without additional contributions, it gets up into the tens of thousands of dollars. Just the seed amount, the thousand from charity gets up into the tens of thousands fairly quickly.
Peter Diamandis 1:01:20 ↗
Yeah. I just, I have to point out, Peter, you're asking the question, we're in the middle of a singularity, not financial advice. You're asking what $1,000 today is going to look like 80, 86 years from now. What sort of singularity is this where it's business as usual? Accounts even more important, right?
Vladimir Tenev 1:01:37 ↗
Well, a lot of the philanthropic giving is in the form of stock too. So Gwynne Shotwell, for instance, committed a donation in the form of SpaceX shares.
Peter Diamandis 1:01:47 ↗
Right. So yeah, what you're going to start to see is more of that, you know, you'll see entrepreneurs giving stock of their companies. You're going to see people claiming states. So, you know, people that want to be philanthropists, kind of like Michael Dell will claim individual states. Brad Gerstner did the state of Indiana. You had Dio on the show. I mean, you know, kudos to him for his support of all this.
Vladimir Tenev 1:02:13 ↗
Yeah. Amazing. I mean, he's been relentless and I think people will actually compete over not just, you know, sponsoring states, which is quite hard, but you'll be able to sponsor your local school, your zip code, your community. And I think we're thinking about ways to gamify that to make it fun for the donors and not just a great thing for the children, but if the donors actually like it, the children benefit.
Peter Diamandis 1:02:39 ↗
Exactly. It sounds like a cool idea. You know, when you donate stock, you know, appreciated stock, you don't pay capital gains. You just get the full value of the stock and you donate it and then you get the tax deduction on that full value.
Vladimir Tenev 1:02:50 ↗
And so, it's a great way to give. And I think if you compare that, like Vlad was alluding to, a lot of 501c3 charities, 501c7 charities, there's no limit on how much they can pay themselves for their operational overhead and you look at a lot of charities that are on their second, third, fourth generation management. They started with great intention, but you look at the efficiency of your donation and how much actually gets used for the original cause. In a lot of cases, it's terrible. Yeah.
Peter Diamandis 1:03:16 ↗
Meanwhile, you know, this vehicle, if you, I think there are also a lot of people who don't want to donate to UBI. They don't want to donate to this concept of, you know, you're going to sit on the beach and do nothing. You know, smoke crack, whatever. I don't want to contribute to that. So, here, if you say, 'Look, I'm donating my SpaceX stock.' You're hoping that a whole generation of Americans are inspired to actually be owners. And you know, they're watching it go up. And a lot of really good grade schools actually have trading classes, you know, they'll have a class and a trading competition to try and inspire that same feeling. But we had a question on the AMA this morning where we talked to all of our listeners and the guy was saying, 'Look, my job, I work in Europe and I'm five times more efficient or four times more efficient than I've ever been before but they're not paying me anymore. It's all going to the bottom line of the company and the owners are benefiting from my AI improvement. How do I change that?' And I'm like, 'Are you a stockholder in the company?' Like, 'No, because I'm in Europe.' Like, god damn, man. I'm so glad to be in America. Like, you should absolutely because that's the natural bend. Like, all this AI efficiency will naturally become bottom line margin, which means the stocks will go way up. And so, like, yeah, get your Trump account, get your money in there, get some equities, and watch what AI does to the value of these equities. It's so cool.
Vladimir Tenev 1:04:33 ↗
That's why we believe in ownership.
Peter Diamandis 1:04:35 ↗
Alex, to your point, we had, you know, Elon on the pod saying, 'Don't save money.' Where you're not going to need, you're not going to need...
Alex Weezner 1:04:43 ↗
Also don't listen to Elon. I mean, I have to point out, you know, the expression only Nixon could go to China. Vlad, only Robinhood could introduce low-cost index investing to an entire generation of new Americans. Congratulations on the coup for getting this contract. I'm curious in your mind, was it the app experience that won over Treasury versus like, in my mind, again, more obvious incumbents, Vanguard, Fidelity, who just specialize, well, maybe less so Fidelity, but say like a Vanguard that specializes in low-cost index funds but has an atrocious, still to this day, client experience. Why did this go to Robinhood? Why didn't this go to a more obvious index fund custodian?
Vladimir Tenev 1:05:29 ↗
Yeah. Well, actually, there is another partner that provides the index fund. So State Street, who obviously pioneered the SPDRs, provide the index fund for the program. So it is, you know, there's multiple players...
Alex Weezner 1:05:50 ↗
Presumably at the back end. The front end, as I understand it, is Robinhood. Like, based on public reporting, it's been, you maybe can just polish the record, my understanding is basically you went to Treasury, you presented concepts for what an app for this would look like and Treasury bought into it. And to the extent that's the case, what is it that, you know, that all of these legacy incumbent index fund providers still can't wrap their heads around when it comes to user experiences?
Vladimir Tenev 1:06:19 ↗
Yeah, and again, like there are different roles. So the index fund providers, in this case State Street, we've got BNY who's the financial agent or the broker and trustee. And I think in many ways, if you look at who's kind of leading the brokerage industry, there was a dislocation in 2015 when Robinhood launched to the public and, you know, since that time, not all the brokerages have been able to survive that dislocation, right? You know, if you look at the ones that have, they've pretty much all adopted our business model of commission-free trading. And even their apps sort of look like ours because they found that, okay, their customers are asking for that. They see a competitive threat in terms of like if their app doesn't feel like Robinhood, they're at a disadvantage. You know, people will move to us at an accelerating rate. And then, you know, we started off as this insurgent but now, you know, there was a, we're doing all this stuff with public markets. The SEC had a roundtable at the New York Stock Exchange last year about making IPOs great again. So yeah, I think, I mean, in a large sense, the US brokerage industry follows Robinhood in a sense. If you look at kind of like what features become standard, it's sort of...
Alex Weezner 1:07:58 ↗
Maybe just to make a little bit more explicit the irony that I'm gesturing at with the Nixon going to China comment. Robinhood, at least in my model of the public imagination, gained prominence for basically making day trading that much easier, that much more frictionless. And then the irony that of all of the possible assets and financial services you could be charged with managing, entrusting an entire generation's low-cost index funds gets handed, at least the client side of the experience, gets handed to you. I mean, would you agree that that is sort of a profound historic irony?
Vladimir Tenev 1:08:37 ↗
Well, I think that what happens, I think the reason for that is we do a lot of things, right? Certainly, we have great trading products. And trading products are important because if you think about ownership, you need a functional financial market. And in order to have a functional financial market, you need traders and all these market participants. So, we compete there. And we also have amazing passive products. If you think about the products that we incentivize that have also become industry standards after we've launched it, you know, you got to look at Robinhood Retirement, which we launched four years ago with the concept of a match. So it's, we match retirement contributions 3% if you're a Robinhood Gold member. And the idea there was, you know, a lot of people nowadays, particularly young folks, can't count on lifelong continued employment. They can't count on employer-sponsored 401ks. They're kind of like working as independent contractors. They've got their side hustles. They're moving from job to job. And so someone has to step in and provide that incentive to fund your retirement account. And so when we introduced the concept of the match, our retirement product has grown tremendously fast from zero to like north of 30 billion in assets in just a few years. And now, you know, the industry is like trying to figure out how to do their matches and even the government has sort of like evolved this model with their idea of the saver's match. So I think our retirement products, if you think about what we incentivize, it's actually those, I think the sad part is that retirement's like not a sexy thing. So, you won't see a lot of media attention on that. And even I kind of felt this very viscerally when I'm at the White House for like Trump account events and usually there's a Trump account event and, you know, the CEOs and the folks on the implementation side like me are there and the press comes in and they ask their questions ostensibly about the Trump accounts program. In the last couple of times we've done this, there have been literally zero questions about the Trump accounts itself. And, you know, they're just asking about, you know, what's Gavin Newsom doing in LA? What's going on with Europe? And I think it's the unfortunate reality of the world we're in. Nobody talks about retirement. Nobody talks about ETFs. So, we have to find all sorts of other ways to get people to do this that get people to adopt it because the direct approach rarely works.
Peter Diamandis 1:11:27 ↗
I will just, important, I'll note then just for the historic record and thank you, the irony of you basically, you started as the rebel and now you're the establishment. You're responsible for retirement accounts. You started maybe as sort of quasi-gambling day trading app and now you're responsible for millions of Americans' retirement and universal basic dividends. So kudos to you.
Vladimir Tenev 1:11:49 ↗
Inside you are two wolves, right? You know, Robin Hood himself, Robin Hood the outlaw himself, started as sort of an outlaw and then became the Earl of Huntington. So, yeah, there's a poetic irony too. And I started looking a little bit more like him.

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APA

Tenev, V. (2026, September 19). Robinhood's Vlad Tenev on Tokenizing Everything, OpenAI's 6 Misalignment Reports, Figure's Robot [Interview transcript]. Peter H. Diamandis. CEOInterviews.AI. https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/2363278/

MLA

Vladimir Tenev. "Robinhood's Vlad Tenev on Tokenizing Everything, OpenAI's 6 Misalignment Reports, Figure's Robot." Peter H. Diamandis, 19 Sep. 2026. Transcript, CEOInterviews.AI, https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/2363278/.

BibTeX
@misc{tenev2026_2363278,
  author       = {Vladimir Tenev},
  title        = {Robinhood's Vlad Tenev on Tokenizing Everything, OpenAI's 6 Misalignment Reports, Figure's Robot},
  howpublished = {Interview transcript, Peter H. Diamandis. CEOInterviews.AI},
  year         = {2026},
  month        = {sep},
  url          = {https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/2363278/},
  note         = {Speaker-attributed transcript with timestamps}
}