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Todd Sohn
Managing Director & Chief ETF Strategist, Baird Strategas

The Morning Show for July 8 - Featuring Todd Sohn

📅 Jul 08, 2025 StockMarketTV 73 MIN 2159 VIEWS 634 SEGMENTS · 5 SPEAKERS
FEATURED GUEST Todd Sohn ETF & Technical Strategist at Strategas Securities   / todd_sohn   🚨FREE RESEARCH🚨 Stock Market TV Daily Rundown ➡️ https://plus.stockmarkettv.com?utm_so... Get The Hot Corner ➡️ https://www.stockmarkettv.com/hot-corner The Strazza Letter ➡️ https://www.stockmarkettv.com/get-str... Alfonso’s Chart Of The Day ➡️ https://www.stockmarkettv.com/alfonso... FOLLOW US JC Parets https://x.com/jc_paretsx Steve Strazza, Chief Market Strategist, All Star Charts https://x.com/sstrazza Spencer Israel, Stock Market TV https://x.com/sjisrael Stock Market TV https://x.com...

Questions asked in this interview

12
  1. 28:35Todd Sohn, how are you, sir?
  2. 29:13You've been traveling a lot, have you, Todd?
  3. 29:55You want to share some information there?
  4. 33:09Oh, Todd, do corporate earnings or valuation mean anything?
  5. 37:38Was it a blue chip? Is that what it said?
  6. 40:11Like, why are we wasting any time, you know, talking nonsense when we've got some of the best charts on the planet here?
  7. 45:46Guess what stock has the highest short interest right now in America?
  8. 48:02Don't you want to do the analysis on regional banks and not the giant money center banks because they're barely lending anymore these days anyway?
  9. 54:10No, it's not compliance telling you you can't own it, is it?
  10. 57:03What are you reporting on here?
  11. 1:01:16Todd, is he the best guest?
  12. 1:04:28Anyway, uh, what's going on today?
Spencer Israel 0:16 ↗
Oh, good morning everybody. Happy Tuesday. I hit the button, Phil. Welcome to the morning show here on Stock Market TV. Spencer, JC, Steve, Alonso with you this morning. Kenny Glick was stopped by. Todd Sohn will stop by and yeah, I was just talking to Phil. I was like, you know, it's July, it's summer, there's really not a lot going on out there. I mean, there are things happening. I mean, we're near all-time highs. We're not at all-time highs anymore thanks to yesterday's epic selloff. Did you see that yesterday? That epic selloff in the indices. But yeah, it's just quiet out there, right? It's just quiet. I mean, there's tariff stuff and it's pretty much all that's going on. I mean, there's risk on, so that's cool. There's things to buy, but from a narrative standpoint, it's just super quiet, which JC probably loves, honestly, because there's just less noise and more charts. So, without further ado, let's bring on the guys. Let's see what's going on in their world today. And drop me a like, hit the thumbs up. Appreciate that. Here we go.
Epic selloff, Spencer.
Yeah. 79%.
Epic selloff, bro.
That's all right. That was a little facetious, but I did see, I'm not making this up, I did see a headline this morning that said that S&P futures were rallying after Monday's sell-off. So maybe they didn't use the word epic, but they did call it a sell-off.
Jason 2:16 ↗
Who's they?
Spencer Israel 2:18 ↗
I don't want to call anybody out.
Jason 2:20 ↗
Are these successful traders or are these professional noise makers?
Spencer Israel 2:27 ↗
Look, look, I'm just saying they use the word.
I added the word. I added epic. That was me.
Jason 2:32 ↗
Can you imagine getting an Ivy League degree just so they wake up every morning and just to make noise and distract investors from making money. Imagine that's your life.
These people suck. And people like you, Spencer Israel, coming out here talking about epic selloffs. S&Ps were down 75 basis points. Are you kidding me? Stock market's at all-time highs, bro.
Spencer Israel 2:54 ↗
Yeah. This is true.
Jason 2:57 ↗
Can you imagine? Imagine all that money getting an Ivy League education just to be a noise maker. Oh, I hope your family's proud of you.
Steve, what's up, man? Looking smart today with the specs. We like.
Spencer Israel 3:15 ↗
He actually does look smart.
Jason 3:16 ↗
You're looking smart.
Steve Strazza 3:18 ↗
I don't think I like it.
Jason 3:19 ↗
Yeah, you like that.
Steve Strazza 3:20 ↗
I don't like it. I don't like it. I like the bull market shirt, you know? Hairy, you know, like just all over the place. Like I don't know this look. I don't know.
I got a haircut. One of the tougher things I think that you have to do when you move, find a new barber.
Jason 3:43 ↗
Yes.
Steve Strazza 3:44 ↗
I think I already found one.
Jason 3:45 ↗
Good for you. I just found mine. It took me a year and a half. Based on what you're looking like, looks like you haven't found one yet. Looks like you maybe need another one.
Steve Strazza 3:53 ↗
Great job. Actually, great job. You're wrong. What I haven't found yet, though. And really, guys, I find myself missing New York this morning. We tried a bagel place down here. Rock hard. Rock hard bagels. I mean, the kind of hard you can't even bite through. Just terrible. Also, in South Florida, every Italian restaurant and bagel restaurant is from New York. None of them are from New York. I promise you, don't trust it. You can't trust it.
Jason 4:22 ↗
Interesting. That's just marketing, huh?
Steve Strazza 4:24 ↗
Yeah. It's disappointing.
Jason 4:27 ↗
Steve, can we talk about Steve Strazza's rich mahogany and some leatherbound books?
Steve Strazza 4:35 ↗
Lots of leatherbound books.
Jason 4:36 ↗
Excuse me. Somebody's a big deal.
Steve Strazza 4:39 ↗
Somebody's a big deal.
No, we're slowly getting there. The camera down again this morning. But we're working through the kinks. We're working through the kinks.
Jason 4:48 ↗
Spencer is real. You should be ashamed of yourself. I just want to reiterate that one more time. Epic selloff.
Spencer Israel 4:56 ↗
No, it was a little... I was being facetious. Spencer, I was being facetious. I was being facetious.
Jason 5:00 ↗
Was it epic for you?
Steve Strazza 5:02 ↗
Look, I have a gold calculator, too. I just thought it goes with the mahogany.
Jason 5:07 ↗
Wow. Wow. It's very Trump of you.
Steve Strazza 5:10 ↗
Yeah.
Jason 5:11 ↗
Wow. The greatest calculator ever.
Spencer Israel 5:14 ↗
That's how you know Steve was once an accountant because he actually has a literal calculator. We all use our phones.
Steve Strazza 5:21 ↗
I have a quality Casio.
Jason 5:22 ↗
That's a calculator we need you using. Don't forget where you came from, Strazza. Don't forget where you came. I know you're crushing it this year. Very successful. You're a big deal.
Steve Strazza 5:31 ↗
Yeah. Yeah. We know.
Jason 5:33 ↗
Don't forget. Don't forget where you came from. All right. Don't sass me. I'm mad at you about last night.
Steve Strazza 5:38 ↗
Well, when you look at the results, I don't think you're going to be all that upset.
Jason 5:42 ↗
All right, let's stay at some Marcus.
Steve Strazza 5:44 ↗
You're welcome. Shout.
Jason 5:54 ↗
All right, ladies and gentlemen, this morning we got the Dow futures doing nothing. Down 72 points. Is that an epic sell-off also? 16 basis points. Is that an epic selloff, Spencer?
Spencer Israel 6:04 ↗
No. No. We got S&Ps flat this morning, up two handles, 6278 for the S&P 500, coming off the highest monthly close and highest quarterly close in American history. NASDAQ 100 up 37 points today. That's pushing 23,000. We're getting close to that 23,000 mark, up 17 pips on the day. 30-year bond futures down a third of a percent, just under 113. Crude oil flat just under 68. Copper up a third of a percent, 504. Gold down a smidge, 3336. Silver flat this morning, just under 37 with the volatility index down back to 17 after that epic sell-off in the stock market last night. Over in funny money land, we got Bitcoin. Bitcoin pushing 109, up another 500 today. Highest weekly close of all time for Bitcoin, by the way, just a couple of nights ago. Ethereum up 1.4%, just under 2600 for the ETH. Over in Solana land, 151, 1.8% to the upside today. Total crypto market cap, Mr. Spencer Israel, 3.32 trillion. What stands out from this morning's futures after that epic selloff yesterday?
From this morning's futures, yeah, the fact that we've bounced and we've recovered from the epic selloff from yesterday stands out a little bit, right?
Jason 7:29 ↗
Strazza, anything?
Steve Strazza 7:31 ↗
I think that the only thing epic was the rally coming into the first down day we've seen in what, nine days. That was pretty epic.
Jason 7:40 ↗
That is indeed pretty epic. You tell them, Strazzone.
Steve Strazza 7:43 ↗
You know, it was V-shaped recovery into a nice little multi-week continuation for most things and then a reaction rally out of the continuations and now most things are back at new all-time highs, frankly.
Jason 7:56 ↗
Oh, can we talk about slide two please because we talk about one of the most important sectors in America. Me, how I grew up, industrial. You don't have bull markets without financials. Steve, how he grew up is, you know, tech. These are the best companies, these are the greatest companies of all time, right? So we grew up a little differently. So we can go back and forth about which ones are more important, but they're both making all-time highs. Strazza.
Steve Strazza 8:24 ↗
I love seeing the banks back at new all-time highs. Shout out JP Morgan. The good ones already back. I mean, Morgan and Goldman look so good. I think Citi, Wells, they're breaking out of massive bases themselves. Bank of America probably follows. But I think you go down the cap scale now, JC, because it's nothing new that capital markets like the broker dealers and exchanges and even the data companies, it's nothing new that they're working. They've kind of been driving the strength. Insurance, I feel like, is always a bull market for insurance. Now, I think you're finally going to get that rotation and that buy-in from the crappier banks, frankly, community banks, the regional banks. They've been dealing with basically lending headwinds, right? The balance sheet problems. Remember the bank scare seems so long ago now, but that's been really holding regionals back. Do we have that overlay chart?
Jason 9:14 ↗
Yes, we do.
Steve Strazza 9:15 ↗
That shows the KBE KRE. Look at how closely the big banks and the big six is just, you know, the six big ones. Goldman, Morgan, JPM, Bank of America, Citi, Wells. They've followed each other, these two lines perfectly for my whole career. Then all of a sudden during the banking crisis, look what happened, right? Regional banks really, really started lagging and underperforming in a big way. Lower interest rates fix this. They settle this divergence. I think it totally closes. And there's a huge catch-up trade to be made in the regional banks.
Jason 9:52 ↗
You know, when you look at this chart and you see these guys dancing together. So, up at the top you got the All Star Charts big six bank index. So, this is equally weighted. JP Morgan, Citi, Bank of America, Wells, Goldman Sachs, and Morgan Stanley. Equally weighted. And then down below you got regional banks. Wow. They are dancing together. So, they have recently diverged in recent years. Are you betting, you two youths, are you betting that regional banks do not catch up and that this divergence that you're seeing between the big banks and the little banks is a new normal? Is that where you're betting on a new normal or are you betting on the reversion? Strazza, I know your answer. But I'm asking like the general, you know, the audience guys if you want to weigh in in the chat. Are you betting the regional banks are not going to catch up? Is that what you're betting? Tough bet. Tough bet. Steve Strazza, tell the folks why that would be so silly.
Steve Strazza 10:51 ↗
When lending conditions improve, the same way that these guys were held back and lending was a huge headwind for the past few years, when the interest rate environment starts to improve and liquidity environment starts to improve, that's just going to become tailwind and you're going to see beta in the opposite direction from these names and they're going to become the leaders.
Jason 11:12 ↗
And then are you looking at like the bellwethers of the regionals like the Regions Financials or like do you think it's all of them like the Brozarks making moves, you know?
Steve Strazza 11:21 ↗
Bank OZK, which is what they call it now, looks fantastic. I heard you talking about it last night. Wintrust looks good. There's a lot that look really good. We're actually, JC, funny you ask, we're doing a deep dive and that'll be out probably tomorrow. Doing a deep dive on the banks.
Jason 11:37 ↗
Spencer, can you drop the link for anybody who did not attend last night's monthly chart strategy session for All Star Charts? Wow, what a call. Rachel was in there. Rachel, shout out. Rachel's in the chat. Rachel saying it's the best call ever. Best call ever. What do you think about that, Strazza?
Steve Strazza 11:56 ↗
Was it really Rachel? What the hell is that?
Jason 11:58 ↗
That was Strazza taking the under there.
Steve Strazza 12:00 ↗
Wow.
Jason 12:02 ↗
Trump Media, it could have been better, JC. Could have been better. Trump Media, by the way, always... Trump Media. What is going on? Files registration statement for crypto blue-chip ETF. That's funny. What does that mean exactly? What is a crypto blue-chip? Hold on. Custodied by crypto.com. The ETF is to launch later this year. So really, they can launch ETFs? Trump Media.
Steve Strazza 12:29 ↗
I mean, anybody can, right? I mean, these days any idiot is launching an ETF. I mean, I see idiots launching ETFs almost like on at least once a week. Like some of the worst humans I have ever seen in my life are launching ETFs.
Jason 12:43 ↗
Yeah. No.
Steve Strazza 12:44 ↗
And then they quickly get delisted when they suck. But nevertheless, there this in America. I don't know how it works in communist countries, but in this country, it doesn't matter how dumb you are, what an ass you might be, or how bad you are in this business, you can still launch an ETF in this country. Shout out to America.
Jason 13:05 ↗
But hold on. As much as I'm making fun of it, I actually love this. This is what we've been waiting for. All right. Listen to this. The Truth Social Crypto Bluechip ETF. That's just the name. Will hold Bitcoin, Ether, Solana, Cronos, and Ripple with 70% of its assets invested in Bitcoin, 15 in Ether, 8 in SOL, 5% in CRO, 2% in Ripple. Isn't this basically a cap-weighted index that we've been waiting for?
Steve Strazza 13:39 ↗
Yeah, it is.
Jason 13:39 ↗
Wow. You make a good point here. You're making a good point, Strazza.
Steve Strazza 13:43 ↗
This is a...
Jason 13:44 ↗
Is it all that rich mahogany that's giving you all this common sense? This is good.
Steve Strazza 13:48 ↗
It's hilarious. Hilarious that Trump Media is the ones launching it, but we've been waiting for this. That's probably a great vehicle and an excellent way to approach investing in crypto with a cap-weighted. It is a blue-chip ETF. Great name.
Jason 14:02 ↗
Is it like the S&P where it's buying more of the best ones and kicking out the worst ones? Is it going to be like that? Like rebalanced like that?
Steve Strazza 14:10 ↗
I would imagine.
Jason 14:13 ↗
Yeah, that's not terrible. That's not terrible. You know, people are like, 'Oh, the market is designed to go up. It's manipulated to go up.' Yes.
Steve Strazza 14:20 ↗
Yes. That's exactly right. The S&P 500 is the greatest momentum strategy of all time. Why? Because it buys more of the best ones and less or none at all of the worst ones. And it just keeps doing that over and over again for decades at a time. Hence, line go up. So, yes, it's designed to go up. So, in crypto, I could see a similar situation.
Jason 14:41 ↗
So, are you giving a shout out to the Trump Media and Technology family out there? The, you know, Orange Julius or whatever they call the guy.
Steve Strazza 14:50 ↗
I think that's a great move.
Jason 14:52 ↗
Yeah.
Steve Strazza 14:52 ↗
Why does that ETF not exist already?
Jason 14:55 ↗
High shares.
Steve Strazza 14:57 ↗
Is there... I'm waiting for...
Jason 14:58 ↗
Because they're busy launching new AI ETFs. That's why.
Steve Strazza 15:01 ↗
I'm waiting. Is there an actively managed crypto fund out there? I'm waiting for an actively managed crypto fund.
Jason 15:07 ↗
That should be a thing. We know people, limited partnerships. I don't know about ETFs though.
Steve Strazza 15:14 ↗
I'm talking about ETFs. I'm talking about stuff for normies like me, you know.
Jason 15:19 ↗
No, but you could go to companies. I think anybody, normies could go to investment managers these days and they'll take your money.
Steve Strazza 15:29 ↗
Well, sure.
Jason 15:30 ↗
Places you could go.
Steve Strazza 15:32 ↗
Yeah. I'm sure they will.
Jason 15:34 ↗
Yeah. Yeah. All right. I don't see anything else notable in terms of the newswire this morning, Spencer. I don't know if anything caught your fancy, but I don't even know anything.
Spencer Israel 15:44 ↗
Here's a great headline after JT's heart right here. What anti-woke funds and ESG have in common? I'll tell you the answer. They both suck. That's the conclusion, but I thought JC would appreciate that headline. No. There is nothing going on out there.
Jason 16:02 ↗
Dude, I was listening to Marc Andreessen last night and he was talking with that guy, Lonsdale, is that his name? The guy from, one of the co-founders, and they were at like, they were at the less communist Davos. You know how Davos turned into like this communism thing. So they're trying to do like an anti-communist Davos in America, I guess.
Spencer Israel 16:24 ↗
Sun Valley.
Jason 16:26 ↗
No, it's like a new thing. It's like a Reagan thing. And so they were talking about how impossible it is to get into good schools. Because like, you know, if you're like a white guy from the Midwest, you know, which Andre is, he's from Wisconsin. He's like there's zero chance they're going to let you in. Like they don't like white guys from the Midwest. And you know, they're talking about how, you know, you were talking about the ESG and the DEI and all this stuff. Like it's tough getting into these schools now apparently.
Spencer Israel 16:54 ↗
Oh, okay. I mean, I got... I mean, my kids' college fund, I got more money in my kids' college fund than like most... I got more money in the kids' college fund than I have in my fund.
Jason 17:06 ↗
I think...
Spencer Israel 17:07 ↗
What am I going to do with all this money if they can't get into any school?
Jason 17:10 ↗
I think even the public universities are very different today than they were just back when you and I were in college, Jason.
Spencer Israel 17:16 ↗
Yeah, it's so tough to be a straight white male. It is hard out there for people like me. So, please have sympathy.
Jason 17:23 ↗
Dude. So what was Spencer Israel or Steve Strazza for that matter? What was the best chart of the conference call last night? And Neo says, 'What is that stuff behind JC?' It's drugs.
Steve Strazza 17:38 ↗
I actually, fun fact, I've never done drugs in my entire...
Spencer Israel 17:42 ↗
Wait, I have feedback from last night's call, JC.
Jason 17:46 ↗
Well, don't ever believe me.
Steve Strazza 17:47 ↗
Yeah, I have feedback, too.
Jason 17:48 ↗
All right, give me the feedback. Go ahead, Spencer. Nobody asked you, Strazza.
Spencer Israel 17:51 ↗
Well, the theme of the call was all-time highs. There was a lot of charts, a lot of charts, okay, actually, the theme was stocks at all-time highs. A lot of charts at the beginning showing America and then a lot of charts at the end showing rest of the world. Quite a lot at or near all-time highs. But it left me wanting more. What I wanted was I wanted to see who is not at all-time highs. That's the question I was left with last night.
Jason 18:18 ↗
Well, Hong Kong is not at a new all-time high as we mentioned that.
Spencer Israel 18:23 ↗
Yeah, you mentioned that and you mentioned New Zealand off-handedly, but then... New Zealand. Yeah, I was just hating a little on Kiwi. But I'm curious who is not at all-time highs. That's my question after last night because so many... the Stockholm 30 index not quite at all-time highs. The Nifty 50 index in India not quite at all-time highs.
Jason 18:48 ↗
Tell them.
Spencer Israel 18:52 ↗
Russia, Russian stocks not quite at all-time highs yet either. You know, Mexico and Brazil hitting new all-time highs priced in local currency.
Jason 19:02 ↗
Okay.
Spencer Israel 19:03 ↗
But not... not priced in dollars.
Jason 19:09 ↗
I got one. I got one.
Spencer Israel 19:11 ↗
Which one? Which one?
Jason 19:12 ↗
China.
Spencer Israel 19:13 ↗
That's what I led off with.
Jason 19:14 ↗
I think you got to buy it here, Nick.
Spencer Israel 19:18 ↗
Nagayyama says Sweden, we suck. So Sweden, I guess... Sweden does not suck. These meatballs, bro. Notice how I have an Italian T-shirt on today.
Jason 19:28 ↗
I got to tell you, these Swedes might have better meatballs than the Italians.
Steve Strazza 19:32 ↗
That's the dumbest thing you ever said. Oh my god, they're awful. The meatballs shouldn't be sweet.
Jason 19:40 ↗
Terrible.
Spencer Israel 19:41 ↗
All right. Well, pretty good. These Swedish meatballs. Not bad. Not bad. The Norwegian is doing a nice job too, by the way. Shout out Norway. Norway. The Oslo index hitting new all-time highs, by the way.
Steve Strazza 19:51 ↗
I don't like the meatballs, but I am long. I love that base in the Krona. What about that Nikkei?
Spencer Israel 19:57 ↗
So anyway, back to the call from last night.
Steve Strazza 20:00 ↗
You don't like the Nikkei?
Spencer Israel 20:02 ↗
I am talking about the call last night. The Nikkei. It's not... You don't like that?
Steve Strazza 20:06 ↗
No, I like it just fine.
Spencer Israel 20:09 ↗
Can we throw up the new slide two there? I was thinking about this when JC was sort of... this is towards the end of the call. He was ripping through a bunch of international charts, probably at least a dozen. Like I said, most of them at or near all-time highs.
Jason 20:26 ↗
Good.
Spencer Israel 20:28 ↗
And it got a little repetitive and I was thinking about the conversation we had last week, which was that you could look at a chart at all-time highs and two people can think two very different things. One person can think that's good. The other person can think that's bad, right? And if your mindset is the latter, then there was a lot not to like on the call last night because there was a lot of charts going up and to the right. And I was just thinking about that framing a lot while JC was doing his thing because a lot of markets at or near all-time highs. And if you think that's a bad thing, then there's a lot to be fearful of right now.
Jason 21:10 ↗
Because if you think that new all-time highs are a bad thing, you suck at math.
Spencer Israel 21:17 ↗
My point was if you didn't know better and you were watching that call, there was a lot to make you worried, right? If you don't know that markets are at or near all-time highs, they're within... what is the S&P within? 10% of all-time high most of the time, right? So if you don't know things like that, then if you think markets are like gravity, to use the thing we said last week, then yeah, I mean, gosh, I can't imagine how scared you must be right now.
Jason 22:52 ↗
I just want to say how grateful I am for people who are bad at math. Like so grateful because if it wasn't for those kind of people that Spencer is talking about, people who think that new highs are a bad thing, right? If it wasn't for people like that, would we be as successful? You know, to quote the great Charlie Munger, shout out, rest in peace, Charlie Munger, one of the great closet technicians of all time. Charlie Munger turned over to Warren Buffett and said, 'Warren, if people weren't wrong so often, we wouldn't be so rich.' So, as grateful as Charlie Munger was, I'm right there with you, Charlie. Shout out, Charlie Munger.
Spencer Israel 23:34 ↗
Anyway, it was a great call last night. I did drop the link in the chat. I'll pin it there for the moment. Like 150 charts last night. It was crazy.
Jason 23:43 ↗
Can we talk about the Nikkei? Strazza really likes this one.
Spencer Israel 23:48 ↗
Yeah, I have some thoughts also just in the chat. Does... does Rit not offer crypto? Josh, we literally asked Michael Batnick about that on the guest segment yesterday. They do. It's just not in their default allocation, I guess. But they're happy... they have like a fund that buys crypto.
Jason 24:04 ↗
Yeah, they're happy to put you in crypto.
Spencer Israel 24:06 ↗
I think he just said it was not part of like the default allocation.
Jason 24:10 ↗
JC, have you seen Vietnam? I don't think we can end this conversation on international equities, right, without actually mentioning Vietnam.
Spencer Israel 24:21 ↗
Can we just talk about how much I love when Strazza calls it Vietnam?
Steve Strazza 24:26 ↗
Best country off of the April lows, actually.
Jason 24:30 ↗
Oh, dude, I don't know anybody who loves Vietnam as much as Steve Strazza.
Steve Strazza 24:34 ↗
Vietnam has arrived. It's about time. We've been waiting years for this, Sean and my friends out in Vietnam. And look at this. I mean, the performance... What the hell is this?
Jason 24:44 ↗
Oh, that's Kenny. That's Kenny.
Spencer Israel 24:46 ↗
Kenny.
Jason 24:47 ↗
That is not... There are rules. This isn't NOM. There are rules.
Spencer Israel 24:51 ↗
That's okay. Wait, Kenny's here. Wait, can we bring Kenny out because... this morning? We got Kenny Glick in the house. Then we got Todd Sohn in the house. Let's bring on Kenny.
Jason 25:01 ↗
Yeah. All right.
Spencer Israel 25:20 ↗
Kenny Glick in the house. Hello sir.
Kenny Glick 25:22 ↗
Me love you long time.
Spencer Israel 25:24 ↗
Okay great.
Jason 25:25 ↗
Are you wearing a guayabera?
Kenny Glick 25:27 ↗
Yeah. What's up?
Jason 25:28 ↗
Is that a guayabera?
Kenny Glick 25:29 ↗
Yes.
Jason 25:30 ↗
Where did you get a guayabera?
Kenny Glick 25:32 ↗
I'm on vacation every day now. What's up?
Jason 25:35 ↗
Hold on. Don't change the subject. Where did you get that guayabera?
Kenny Glick 25:39 ↗
I don't know. My wife bought it for me.
Jason 25:40 ↗
You need a pocket, by the way.
Kenny Glick 25:42 ↗
There's no pockets.
Jason 25:44 ↗
Oh, I don't... dude. I got a good guy. Little Havana. He's going to hook you up.
Kenny Glick 25:47 ↗
Nice.
Jason 25:48 ↗
Good. Because the Cubans, the Cubans, they don't wear these suits with the ties. They wear guayaberas.
Kenny Glick 25:52 ↗
I was thinking for a second, will this shirt get past you? Nice. I like it. I like it.
Jason 25:57 ↗
Come on.
Spencer Israel 25:57 ↗
So, listen. Kenny, wait. Kenny has to hop because his open house is starting in like two minutes, right? So, we want to get him off before then. So, real quick, what are you watching today? And what happened yesterday for you?
Kenny Glick 26:09 ↗
Well, what happened was, once again, I proved that you don't have to make money in the market. The company doesn't have to make money. So, WOLF is what I was talking about. WOLF, that's right, my friends. The bankrupt little chip stock that was at 40 cents on Thursday when there were takeover rumors abound. So, you know, again, momentum is your best friend in a bull market, and I love a bankrupt stock. So, again, I'm calling Enron today. Hopefully they could resurrect themselves and we'll start buying that stock. But, WOLF, yesterday we got involved at 166 and just for a goof, we held it overnight just to see what would happen. And here we are at 350. So, loving bankrupt stocks and I'm hoping NVTS comes along for the ride because the rumor is WOLF-NVTS combo taken over by Nvidia and I hope it happens because I own both. So, so far so good. So far so good.
Spencer Israel 27:03 ↗
All right, it is nine o'clock. Kenny is going live. Link is on the screen and in the chat. Open house all day today, all day tomorrow, all day Thursday. If you missed yesterday, use that link and the replays there as well. Kenny, enjoy the day and we'll have to check in on you in a little bit and see how things are going for you. Open house. So, everyone hit the bid. Go join Kenny.
Jason 27:26 ↗
Dude, the fact that you're letting everybody in there, good on you, Kenny. Good on you. Nice shirt, by the way. Well done, man.
Kenny Glick 27:33 ↗
I got another one. I'll bust it out tomorrow for you.
Jason 27:37 ↗
We got to get a pocket. I got a guy. His name is Pepe.
Kenny Glick 27:40 ↗
All right.
Jason 27:41 ↗
Great.
Kenny Glick 27:41 ↗
Of course it is.
Spencer Israel 27:42 ↗
All right. All right, hit the bid open house, guys. Link in chat, pinned to the top right there.
Jason 27:47 ↗
That's right. I got a couple of Cuban Jews, too.
Spencer Israel 27:51 ↗
Cuban Jews. They got Cubans.
Jason 27:54 ↗
Yeah. I've heard of them. Pearlman married a Cuban. Fun fact.
Spencer Israel 27:59 ↗
Did you know that?
Jason 28:00 ↗
No, I didn't.
Spencer Israel 28:01 ↗
Pearlman. Phil Pearlman. Dr. Phil is married to a Cuban.
Jason 28:08 ↗
Okay, that's wonderful. I don't know what to say to that. We got Todd Sohn in the house and he was kind enough to send over a few charts. All those charts, JC, are in the deck. If you scroll down, you'll see them. Let's bring him out. Bring him out.
JC, we've been friends for a long time. Make the call.
Spencer Israel 28:27 ↗
I mean, this is pretty professional, guys.
Todd Sohn 28:29 ↗
Nice show you got going here.
Jason 28:35 ↗
Todd Sohn, how are you, sir?
Todd Sohn 28:37 ↗
Hey, what's up?
Jason 28:38 ↗
What's up, my man? How we doing, dude?
Todd Sohn 28:41 ↗
Couldn't be better. Got too much sun. Look at this tan, bro.
Jason 28:45 ↗
That's the Miami tan.
Todd Sohn 28:47 ↗
Little bit. Little bit. Wasn't in Miami. It's too hot. Miami is too hot this time of year.
Jason 28:51 ↗
Hey, I was telling you I was there last weekend. It was disgusting.
Todd Sohn 28:56 ↗
Did you go to Little Havana like I told you?
Jason 28:58 ↗
No. No. No. Too risky, dude.
Todd Sohn 29:02 ↗
Gringos go there. They're allowed. They're welcome. Just got to know what to order. I was only there for like 13, 14 hours and then I go up to Palm Beach.
Jason 29:14 ↗
Too bougie.
Todd Sohn 29:15 ↗
Took the Brightline, which was good. Nice little train system they got there.
Jason 29:19 ↗
You think I've never taken that?
Todd Sohn 29:21 ↗
It was very nice.
Jason 29:22 ↗
Was it?
Todd Sohn 29:23 ↗
Free drinks, free food, comfortable chairs. Far better than Amtrak.
Jason 29:27 ↗
Wow. Low bar.
Todd Sohn 29:29 ↗
Yeah, low bar. It's brand new, too, so hard to screw that up. Amtrak's been there for a minute, right?
Jason 29:35 ↗
Yeah. Yeah, it was good. It was good.
Next time don't embarrass me next time, Todd. Go over to Little Havana. Ask for Maria. There's always a Maria there. Whenever you're in doubt, just go. Maria, is Maria here?
Todd Sohn 29:49 ↗
I was going to Sexy Fish.
Jason 29:51 ↗
Don't go to Sexy... If you go to Sexy Fish, go to the bathroom. You got to go to that. Dude, this is the nicest bathroom I've ever... Right. Strazza. Tell them.
Steve Strazza 28:59 ↗
Yeah, it's sick.
Jason 29:00 ↗
It's the nicest bathroom.
Who's the James Bond actor? He's in there. He watches everybody pee.
Steve Strazza 29:08 ↗
It was Daniel Craig. Roger Moore.
Jason 29:11 ↗
Yeah, that's him.
Steve Strazza 29:12 ↗
Yeah.
Jason 29:13 ↗
Yeah. You've been traveling a lot, have you, Todd?
Todd Sohn 29:16 ↗
I've been all over the place.
Jason 29:18 ↗
Wow.
Todd Sohn 29:19 ↗
Milwaukee, Miami, Louisville, Cincinnati, Palm Beach.
Jason 29:23 ↗
Wow.
Todd Sohn 29:24 ↗
Denver.
Jason 29:25 ↗
Cincinnati. What is in Cincinnati? What's your favorite city to conference in?
Todd Sohn 29:30 ↗
Well, this was not conferences. These were just meetings.
Jason 29:34 ↗
Okay. What's your favorite city to meet in?
Todd Sohn 29:36 ↗
Gosh, I don't know, man.
Jason 29:39 ↗
New York.
Todd Sohn 29:40 ↗
New York. Because I don't have to go anywhere.
Cincinnati was lovely. I did see Yankees-Reds. Nice ballpark there.
Jason 29:48 ↗
Oh, nice.
Is Ken Griffey Jr. still on the Reds team?
Todd Sohn 29:52 ↗
Yeah, I wish there were some Griffey jerseys, though, so I appreciated that.
Jason 29:55 ↗
Nice. Nice. Todd, so there's this misconception out there that new all-time highs could potentially be a bad thing for stocks, right? People who think that the stock market is like physics. You want to share some information there?
Todd Sohn 30:12 ↗
Probabilistically speaking, new all-time highs beget new all-time highs.
Jason 30:19 ↗
Okay.
Todd Sohn 30:20 ↗
Every once in a while, you get a new all-time high and you correct from there. That's how probabilities work. But I wouldn't fade them. Wouldn't fade them.
Let's see.
Jason 30:32 ↗
Is... what's the over/under on how long it takes Tony Dwyer to make a comeback? Has he already made a comeback?
Todd Sohn 30:39 ↗
No.
Jason 30:39 ↗
Wow.
Todd Sohn 30:40 ↗
He... isn't he doing something with his kids? His son is like a healthcare company or something like that.
Jason 30:46 ↗
We got to get him back. He's too good.
Todd Sohn 30:48 ↗
Something Tony Dwyer taught me a long time ago is that when your offense is on the field, call your offensive plays.
Jason 30:54 ↗
Yeah. Yeah. Exactly. Which is exactly the case right now.
Todd Sohn 30:58 ↗
Discretionary tech, financials, industrials.
Jason 31:02 ↗
Right?
Todd Sohn 31:03 ↗
Yeah.
Jason 31:03 ↗
You could just look at a performance chart and it shows you the risk appetite.
Todd Sohn 31:07 ↗
Not even yet. I mean, forget even just a simple performance chart. Just look at the charts themselves.
Jason 31:11 ↗
Yeah.
Todd Sohn 31:11 ↗
Yeah.
And we, you know, we said industrials. This doesn't include the transports, which you could talk me into them.
Jason 31:21 ↗
Yeah.
That's how Uber... Uber's a thing now.
Todd Sohn 31:24 ↗
Remember, Uber.
Jason 31:25 ↗
Yeah, with Uber. Forget Uber. I'm talking like the traditional stuff. Road and rail. Maybe.
Todd Sohn 31:31 ↗
I think that's a great way to put it, Todd. Like even the bad stuff you look at these days, at least if it's offensive and it's like, okay. Yeah. Like you could... sure. I would dabble in it. You know, airlines making new three, four-month highs.
Jason 31:46 ↗
There you go. Airlines.
Does it get worse than airlines, dude? What a wild ride they've had since the election.
Todd Sohn 31:53 ↗
I see what you did there. Wild ride there.
Jason 31:55 ↗
Yeah, wild ride.
Todd Sohn 31:58 ↗
Turbulent.
Jason 31:58 ↗
Semiconductors are back. No doubt about that.
Do you trust this though?
Todd Sohn 32:05 ↗
Yeah, I listen, I trust it. I'm a little wary that... Okay, yeah, we have new all-time highs. The offense is powerful. I wonder how long before you start to see the sentiment data flip, right? There's very early signs of that in some of the work I've been doing. But I wouldn't call it a massive risk yet.
Jason 32:28 ↗
Do you think this breaks out or are we just retesting those former highs and then it falls apart and the whole thing's a scam and it's a bubble and all those things?
Todd Sohn 32:37 ↗
I don't think it's a scam or anything like that. You could talk me into a little pause. Maybe it's a little anxiety because you got rates perking up again, but I would buy that. I'd be doing it all those semis. I mean, my Nvidia broke out, Broadcom strong, TSM and all the other ones, the AMDs, Applied Materials, Microns, Lamb Research, all those look good.
Jason 33:00 ↗
Yeah, Wolfspeed 100% yesterday for some reason, even though it almost went bankrupt.
Todd Sohn 33:09 ↗
Yeah.
Jason 33:09 ↗
Oh, Todd, do corporate earnings or valuation mean anything? Not just in this market, in any market. There's no evidence at all that these valuations mean... You know, those rules have changed for that. It doesn't matter anymore.
Todd Sohn 33:26 ↗
It seems like the rules are always changing. Seems like that's not... always the rules always change. It's market structure. Market structure changes. But even in Korea, Hynix ticker 000660, I think is the ticker.
Jason 33:39 ↗
Damn, you're good.
Todd Sohn 33:40 ↗
Tokyo Electron 8035 in Japan. Those are semiconductors.
Jason 33:44 ↗
You hear this, Strazza? Look at him rattling off these numbers. Well done.
The man knows Korean equity tickers off the top of...
Todd Sohn 33:53 ↗
Look at... Hey, look at KDEF. That's where it's at.
Jason 33:56 ↗
Korean defense.
Todd Sohn 33:58 ↗
Forget European defense. That story is... We did that story already. Korean defense.
Jason 34:01 ↗
News. You got to defend Korea, baby. They got... Yeah, you got North Korea. You got China over there. I mean... So are these the big names, Todd? Is this basically what you're getting in something like EWY? And that Korean defense fund, you're getting some... the names you're naming off, like are these big Koreans?
Todd Sohn 34:21 ↗
Oh, the Hynix is the second biggest after Samsung.
Jason 34:24 ↗
Okay, there you go.
Todd Sohn 34:25 ↗
Which Samsung I think has bottomed. So, it's pretty interesting to me that Korea has ripped without this massive move from Samsung. That's how you know underlying markets really in pretty good shape.
Jason 34:39 ↗
How come Samsung doesn't have a normal ADR? How come it only has OTC?
Todd Sohn 34:42 ↗
Yeah, believe me, that's one of... that's one of... when I wake up in the middle of the night I just ponder that. Why doesn't Samsung have a...
Jason 34:48 ↗
Why... throw up the news slide two there please and then we'll get charts. I know Todd brought some charts but since we're on the subject... talking Juan, little Juan, no big deal.
Todd Sohn 35:00 ↗
Yeah, maybe the currency helps here. But that's just part of investing in some of these international ETFs, like the currency is part of it. So as long as it's going up, okay, maybe... It's the Korea. The FX is driving it. That's like Argentina. The FX is driving it. Forget the equity.
Jason 35:16 ↗
What about Turkey? Think the FX is driving...
Todd Sohn 35:19 ↗
Korea. Yeah. Yeah. That's another one. But even if you look at the underlying stocks in Korea, okay, Samsung we think has bottomed. Hynix, the second largest, has really broken out. And then all these defense companies and robotics companies are doing really well. They're just kind of too small for us to... not necessarily for them not to matter, but they're just off the radar because they're much smaller than a lot of international stuff, but they're on fire.
This pattern, this little scoop pattern that you could see here in the Juan, that's been playing out all over the place in these emerging currencies. Like Brazilian real looked the same. Like when you see that little fail, like that little scoop, you buy it.
Jason 36:00 ↗
Love the scoop.
Todd Sohn 36:02 ↗
Yeah, love the scoop. Juan, Taiwan dollar. The yen is a tough one for me right now. Not sure what to make of that.
Jason 36:10 ↗
Dom. Yeah.
Todd, you got to go to Dom's Bogue. Spencer, can you drop the link in there on the chat for everybody when they visit New York City? Go to Dom's Bogue. My new favorite... Korean barbecue.
Todd Sohn 36:25 ↗
No. Is it in K-Town? Where is it?
Jason 36:26 ↗
He's been there one time.
Todd Sohn 36:27 ↗
K-Town, but it's off the beaten path. You have to cross Fifth Avenue. It's east of Fifth.
Jason 36:32 ↗
Yeah. Oh. Oh, you got to go an extra half a block. New K-Town.
Todd Sohn 36:36 ↗
I'm saying he's been there once and I've heard him talk about it on the morning show 10 times since.
Jason 36:41 ↗
I'm all about Grace Street.
Todd Sohn 36:42 ↗
No, I have not gone once. I've gone three times. I went once with my financial advisor. I went once with Pat and I went once with...
Jason 36:50 ↗
You brought Pat there?
Todd Sohn 36:52 ↗
I brought Pat there. Yeah. Remember when I had three dinners that one night a few months ago or two? That was dinner number one.
Jason 36:59 ↗
Grace Street Cafe. Grace Street Cafe in K-Town. That's a spot for dessert.
Todd Sohn 37:03 ↗
Dude, there's so much good food on that street. It's like this little street. It's like one block. Well, one and a half now, I guess.
Jason 37:09 ↗
Love.
Todd Sohn 37:09 ↗
So good. I'll meet you there in Dom's Bogue.

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APA

Sohn, T. (2025, July 8). The Morning Show for July 8 - Featuring Todd Sohn [Interview transcript]. StockMarketTV. CEOInterviews.AI. https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/3082401/

MLA

Todd Sohn. "The Morning Show for July 8 - Featuring Todd Sohn." StockMarketTV, 8 Jul. 2025. Transcript, CEOInterviews.AI, https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/3082401/.

BibTeX
@misc{sohn2025_3082401,
  author       = {Todd Sohn},
  title        = {The Morning Show for July 8 - Featuring Todd Sohn},
  howpublished = {Interview transcript, StockMarketTV. CEOInterviews.AI},
  year         = {2025},
  month        = {jul},
  url          = {https://ceointerviews.ai/interview/3082401/},
  note         = {Speaker-attributed transcript with timestamps}
}