Matthew Hankey12:50
Yeah, absolutely. About five years ago, I sat down with the management team here at New Energy Equity, and I think we said that by next year energy storage should probably be 20 percent of our business. We're working in distributed generation, community solar, but on some smaller scale, non-utility scale things. That 20 percent has continued to push every single year. I think we've seen a lot of growth. You hear all the headlines about all the energy storage going in, but the majority of that energy storage is going in at utility scale because that utility scale storage is able to take advantage of higher cost electricity with day-ahead markets and things like that within the larger transmission systems. I'm still not seeing that significant growth on the distributed generation side, and I think it's because there's not a ton of incentives able to bridge the benefits that energy storage brings. I agree with you, I think it could be a solvent for a lot of the problems because when you study from an interconnection standpoint, most of the issues are on the outlier scenarios that could be damaging to infrastructure, unsafe conditions, maxed out conditions. Energy storage is a great solution to solve a lot of those, but in order to get energy storage prevalent in distributed generation, it does need to be incentivized. It's not something that a developer like us is going to put on a project if it drags down the return of the project, because ultimately everybody in the food chain needs to make money along the way. I think we're starting to see a little bit of momentum. New York is a good example of providing some level of incentive for distributed generation storage. California in their recent community solar program, which they're rolling out right now, is providing a requirement but also benefit for energy storage to be installed. It's worked financially within the utility scale projects because of the ability to take advantage of very high cost energy periods to shoot the electricity out onto the grid when it's most economical. I do think that we need to look at how we can incent storage at the distributed level because I don't think there's any argument between the utilities and developers that there's a significant financial benefit of doing so, both from an electricity cost standpoint but also from a savings of infrastructure costs in terms of replacements and upgrades. I think that's what needs to happen. I'll update you: storage is not 20 percent of our business. Five years ago we thought it would be. Right now I don't think it will be next year because of some of the reasons I'm outlining. I think we're on our way there, it's just been a little bit slower than I expected. The other thing I'll note is that I do think that utilities and developers, for the benefit of the customer, need to get on the same page as to how that storage will be treated over the long term. One of the things we're concerned about, we take reputation and integrity very seriously, is promising a customer to see some type of savings or an investor to see some type of revenues from storage and then the utility changes their rate structure in order to remove some of those benefits. That's our concern: we don't want to get three, four years down the road, we've installed a ton of storage on behalf of customers, and then the rates change for them, putting them in a different financial position than they expected. I think it would benefit all parties, utilities and developers, to sit down and talk about what that looks like. These are complex discussions that have a lot of inputs and variables on both sides. While we try and get along with the utility side of the business and collaborate, not all developers do, so there is some rub there as well. How do you have that conversation fast enough to take advantage of some of the opportunities that legislation like the IRA has provided for both utilities and developers and customers? How do you have those conversations quickly and collaboratively in order to not miss out on the opportunity? But I think storage is another case where interconnection is bringing a lot of folks together and trying to figure it out in a new way with some old influences instead of using old ways on both sides.