Gubernur BI Perry Warjiyo Paparkan Proyeksi Ekonomi hingga 2027 di Hadapan DPR RI

Perry Warjiyo, former Governor of Bank Indonesia, presented the central bank's macroeconomic projections for 2027 to the DPR RI. He projected economic growth of 5.1% to 5.9%, likely at the upper end, supported by strong domestic demand, a 1% rise in exports, and investment. He forecast the rupiah to strengthen to an average of Rp16,800 to Rp17,500 per US dollar, citing improved global prospects, capital inflows, and policies like the establishment of PT DSI. Inflation is expected to remain within the 2.5% plus/minus 1% target range. Warjiyo detailed seven measures to stabilize the currency, including large-scale intervention and a 25 basis point rate hike. He also outlined five pro-growth macroprudential and payment system policies, including liquidity incentives for banks and expanding QRIS, to support national economic growth.

Key takeaways

1. Bank Indonesia projects 2027 economic growth of 5.1% to 5.9%, likely at the upper end of the range.
2. The rupiah is expected to average Rp16,800 to Rp17,500 per US dollar in 2027.
3. Inflation is projected to stay within the 1.5% to 3.5% target range in 2027.
4. Bank Indonesia raised its policy rate by 25 basis points to support capital inflows and stabilize the rupiah.
5. Bank Indonesia will provide liquidity to banks as needed, with primary money growth targeted above 10%.

Numbers and commitments

Chapters

1. 0:002027 Growth Projection
2. 3:36Rupiah Exchange Rate Outlook
3. 7:33Inflation Target for 2027
4. 8:14Seven Steps for Currency Stability
5. 12:09Pro-Growth Macroprudential Policies
6. 14:15Digital Economy and Financial Inclusion