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Dan Sundheim on geopolitics

From Inside Dan Sundheim's Bets on Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX · · Invest Like The Best

“The thing that troubles me the most frankly is I think we are on a um collision course with China over semiconductors. And I'm not sure I think there are ways to get out of that. Um but uh you know none of them are easy and um to the extent that we don't figure that out um I think you know we're going to have something you know akin to the Great Depression. It's very straightforward in that like um um Taiwan produces 90 something percent of uh you know the most advanced semiconductors and uh everything we use is semiconductors. So I I would say like it's almost as if if you went back 50 years if there's only one country that produced oil, right? Um and oil was that important. We went to war over oil even though you could get it in all over the world. like uh Taiwan is uh produces um all the leading or vast majority of leading semiconductors and that is what powers everything and that supply chain is fragile like it's not like it's easy to replicate it's uh easy to uh destroy. If that supply chain were to get uh screwed up or uh disintermediated, we would have like a incredibly bad economy on the order of like depression type economy.”

Dan Sundheim
Founder & CIO, D1 Capital Partners
Policy Impact geopoliticssemiconductorsTaiwanChinaeconomic risk

On , Dan Sundheim, Founder & CIO at D1 Capital Partners, spoke about geopolitics during Inside Dan Sundheim's Bets on Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX on Invest Like The Best.

Inside Dan Sundheim's Bets on Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX
Watch on YouTube at 15:54
Inside Dan Sundheim's Bets on Anthropic, OpenAI, and SpaceX
Invest Like The Best
Watch on YouTube at 15:54
Patrick sits down with Dan Sundheim, Founder and CIO of D1 Capital Partners. They discuss Dan’s unique path from anonymous posting on Value Investors Club to managing one of the world's top crossover funds. The conversation covers the distinct dynamics between public and private markets, with deep dives into D1’s investments in SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic. Dan offers his perspective on the future of AI scaling laws, the evolving landscape of software, and the enduring value of fundamental short selling. They also explore lessons learned from the GameStop era, the importance of resilience, and significant geopolitical risks facing the global economy. Timestamps: 0:00 Intro 1:05 Public vs. Private Markets 9:10 LLMs as a Business Model 23:23 The Future of Hyperscalers 27:45 AI's Impact on Traditional Software 36:31 Surviving the GameStop Short Squeeze 49:54 Big Private Bets: Rivian and SpaceX 54:26 The Art of Short Selling 1:04:28 Early Career 1:17:11 Geopolitics and the Semiconductor Collision Course 1:22:05 Traits of Great Leadership 1:23:20 The Kindest Thing #investing #hedgefund #D1Capital #DanSundheim #AI #SpaceX #stocks #finance #business #privateequity Presented by Ramp: https://ramp.com/ Sponsored by Vanta, WorkOS, Rogo, and Ridgeline: https://www.vanta.com/invest https://workos.com/ https://rogo.ai/invest https://www.ridgelineapps.com/ ****** Patrick O'Shaughnessy is the CEO of Positive Sum. All opinions expressed by Patrick and podcast guests are solely their own and do not reflect the opinion of Positive Sum. This podcast is for informational purposes only and should not be relied upon as a basis for investment decisions. Clients of Positive Sum may maintain positions in the securities discussed in this podcast. To learn more, visit psum.vc
Dan Sundheim

About Dan Sundheim

Founder & CIO · D1 Capital Partners

Dan Sundheim, founder and CIO of D1 Capital Partners, has discussed the firm’s investments in private companies including SpaceX, OpenAI, and Anthropic, describing them as "some of the largest companies in the world by market cap" that are "innovating in a way that's going to change the world." He stated that he believes AI will be "the most important technology" for the next decade or two and that it will drive revolutions in areas like robotics and biotech. Sundheim also expressed concern about a potential "collision course with China over semiconductors," warning that disruption to that supply chain could lead to a "depression type economy." Reflecting on the 2021 GameStop short squeeze, Sundheim called it "the toughest few weeks of my career" and noted that his firm had not been prepared for shorts to rise 300-400% in two weeks, as such a move was not in historical data. He said the experience taught him that "risk management has to happen before the fact." Sundheim also shared that he is most proud of overcoming the adversity of that period and the market challenges of 2022, stating that "learning from that, getting better and coming back" was the most difficult thing he has had to do.

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