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Kevin Gordon

Head of Macro Research and Strategy, Schwab Center for Financial Research, Charles Schwab Corporation

Search every verified Kevin Gordon interview, podcast appearance, and on-the-record quote — each transcript cross-checked by AI and human review to confirm speaker identity. Kevin Gordon, head of macro research and strategy at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, has recently commented on Federal Reserve policy, inflation, and market conditions. In October 2026 appearances, he said that dovish comments from Fed officials including Jefferson and Williams had helped tamp down market expectations for an October rate hike, despite recent inflation data. He also described the housing market as being "effectively in its own recession" for several years, noting that mortgage rates above 7% have contributed to weakness in pending home sales and homebuilder sentiment. Gordon discussed a disconnect between consumer sentiment and economic strength, attributing persistent gloom to expectations for inflation and labor market conditions even as the misery index remains relatively low. Gordon has also addressed the concentration of market gains in AI-related technology stocks. He noted that the average S&P 500 member has experienced a maximum drawdown of 14% since August 2026, while the cap-weighted index remained near all-time highs, driven largely by tech. He said that AI-related capital expenditures from major companies like Alphabet, Amazon, and Microsoft will be a key metric to watch in upcoming earnings, suggesting that any reduction in those budgets could disrupt the earnings picture. He also discussed fiscal concerns in Europe and the U.S., stating that larger deficits and debt concerns are not unique to Europe, though nominal growth conditions differ. In prior August comments, he argued that the economy and inflation are unlikely to crack unless the labor market cracks, and he noted that earnings estimates for the S&P 500 have risen from 15% growth at the start of 2026 to 35% as of the third quarter.

Recent appearances

  • Inflation & Housing's Seesaw Effects on Fed; Mag 7 & Neoclouds Prove Me Story

    October 22, 2026 · 📺 Schwab Network

    Recent dovish comments from some Fed members tells ‪@CharlesSchwab‬'s Kevin Gordon that the Fed is becoming more aware of market attentiveness to forward guidance on interest rates. While the housing market remains frozen as mortgage rates stay above 7%, Kevin points to signs of strength he believes won't influence the Fed's hawkish tilt. Nathan Peterson discusses how AI volatility has forced investors' hands in finding the "safest" stocks in the trade. CapEx from Alphabet (GOOGL), Amazon (AMZN), and Microsoft (MSFT) earnings will be the most important metric he's watching next week. Nate also…

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  • Consumer gloom CLASHES with economic strength

    October 10, 2026 · 📺 Fox Business Clips

    Schwab Center for Financial Research’s Kevin Gordon joins ‘Making Money’ to analyze the disconnect between consumer sentiment and economic strength and more. #fox #media #breakingnews #us #usa #new #news #breaking #foxbusiness #makingmoney #makingmoneywithcharlespayne #economy #economicstrength #consumersentiment #consumerconfidence #consumer #finance #markets #wallstreet #investing #economicgrowth #business #kevingordon #schwab Subscribe to Fox Business: https://bit.ly/2D9Cdse Watch more Fox Business Video: https://video.foxbusiness.com Watch Fox Business Network Live: http://www.foxnewsgo.…

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  • Third Quarter Market Outlook: The Fed, Housing, AI & What’s Ahead

    October 07, 2026 · 📺 Cutler Investment Group

    Chief Investment Officer Erich Patten sits down with Kevin Gordon, Head of Macro Research and Strategy at Charles Schwab, to discuss some of the biggest forces shaping the economy and markets. Topics include the Federal Reserve’s changing policy, the housing market, AI’s impact on the job market, and how investors can think about the year ahead.

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  • Morning Call Sheet: Europe, Fed policy and AI test markets

    October 05, 2026 · 📺 CNBC Television

    Kevin Gordon of Schwab, Jose Torres of Interactive Brokers and Geoffrey Yu of BNY discuss Europe’s fiscal risks, Fed policy, AI productivity and U.S. market strength.

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  • AI Stocks Drive an Increasingly Divided Market

    October 04, 2026 · 📺 Bloomberg Podcasts

    Schwab Head of Macro Research and Strategy Kevin Gordon tells Bloomberg This Weekend that AI-related technology stocks are supporting the broader market even as many individual companies have suffered significantly larger declines, highlighting increasingly narrow market leadership. Speaking with hosts David Gura and Christina Ruffini, Gordon says a gradual Federal Reserve tightening cycle and a labor market that avoids widespread layoffs could support stocks, while investors are increasingly focused on whether companies sustain their enormous AI capital spending. -------- Watch Bloomberg Rad…

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  • Schwab Center strategist offers outlook for inflation, jobs and stocks

    September 01, 2026 · 📺 InvestmentNews TV

    Kevin Gordon, head of macro research and strategy at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, sits down with InvestmentNews anchor Gregg Greenberg to highlight his outlook for the economy and stocks heading into the end of 2026.

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  • Head of Macro Research & Strategy at Schwab Center for Financial Research Kevin Gordon Talks...

    August 21, 2026 · 📺 Bloomberg Podcasts

    Following a turbulent stretch for the US bond market, and a bond buyback announcement by Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, questions remain about what Secretary Bessent’s next move will be. Kevin Gordon, Head of Macro Research & Strategy at Schwab Center for Financial Research, discusses the bond buyback announcement and its impact on the market. Gordon spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Isabelle Lee. See omnystudio.com/listener (https://omnystudio.com/listener) for privacy information. Bloomberg Talks curates top interviews from around Bloomberg News. Hear conversations with the biggest n…

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  • Young Americans Living In 'Treat Economy': Kevin Gordon

    August 21, 2026 · 📺 Bloomberg Television

    Kevin Gordon, head of macro research & strategy at Schwab Center for Financial Research, joins Scarlet Fu and Tom Keene on "Bloomberg Money." They discuss how young Americans are 'treating' themselves as the typical American Dream is harder to achieve. -------- More on Bloomberg Television and Markets Like this video? Subscribe and turn on notifications so you don't miss any videos from Bloomberg Markets & Finance: https://tinyurl.com/ysu5b8a9 Visit http://www.bloomberg.com for business news & analysis, up-to-the-minute market data, features, profiles and more. Connect with Bloomber…

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  • The 'Illusion of Calm' in Markets

    July 30, 2026 · 📺 Schwab Network

    Kevin Gordon of ‪@CharlesSchwab‬ says the lack of movement in cap-weighted indexes is masking major moves beneath the surface, with a breakdown in momentum and a rotation away from megacaps and semiconductors. Gordon says the fact that the market has held up is a positive sign and also analyzes the bond market's reaction to this week's FOMC meeting. ======== Schwab Network ======== Empowering every investor and trader, every market day. Subscribe to the Market Minute newsletter - https://schwabnetwork.com/subscribe Download the iOS app - https://apps.apple.com/us/app/schwab-... Download the…

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  • Navigating Today's Market: Insights from Charles Schwab's Kevin Gordon | June 17, 2026 Webinar

    June 18, 2026 · 📺 Boulay

    What's really driving the markets right now — and what should investors be paying attention to? Join Michael Johnson, Boulay Wealth portfolio manager, and Kevin Gordon, head of Macro Research and Strategy at the Schwab Center for Financial Research, for a candid discussion on today's economic landscape, key market trends and what it all means for your portfolio. 00:00 Introduction 2:21 Economic Outlook & the Iran Conflict 6:51 The Unemployment Rate & Why This Cycle Is Different 10:42 Tariffs & Inflation 13:50 Treasury Yields & Equity Markets 17:00 Gold & Traditional Diversification 19:36 Inve…

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  • Kevin Gordon, Head of Macro Research and Strategy, Charles Schwab, Talks May Jobs | Bloomberg Talks

    June 05, 2026 · 📺 Bloomberg Podcasts

    Kevin Gordon, Head of Macro Research and Strategy for the Schwab Center for Financial Research at Charles Schwab, discusses the equity reaction to May jobs. Gordon spoke with Bloomberg's Tom Keene and Paul Sweeney. See omnystudio.com/listener (https://omnystudio.com/listener) for privacy information. Bloomberg Talks curates top interviews from around Bloomberg News. Hear conversations with the biggest names in finance, politics and entertainment. On Bloomberg Talks, we round up interviews with Fortune 500 CEOs, government officials, well-known investors and business leaders. Listen to more…

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  • Schwab's Gen Z Market Expert Lives by 3 Rules | Kevin Gordon | Market Miles™ by Schwab

    May 22, 2026 · 📺 Charles Schwab

    No trivia. Just a mile with one of the smartest people we know. This episode of Market Miles™ by Schwab is a little different. Rachel laces up with Kevin Gordon, Schwab's resident Gen Z market commentator, for a one-on-one run and a real conversation about investing. Kevin traces it all back to his mom. From there he built a career interpreting markets for everyday investors. On the run he breaks down his three Ds: discipline, discernment, and diversification. He also shares why running and investing aren't so different, and his outlook for 2026. If you want to go deeper, Schwab posts new r…

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Verified interview transcripts

Notable quotes

“It's tough for housing because, you know, in so many ways that you slice it, it's really just been absent from this economy for the past several years. Really, since the pandemic, you just haven't seen housing as part of this cycle. It's been very disjointed. It's effectively been in its own recession for the past, you know, 5 to 6 years, depending on how you look at the data. You know, pending home sales, new all ti”

“I think a lot of the fed speak, especially from two of the three members of the troika, from Jefferson and from Williams, their relatively dovish comments lately have done a lot to kind of overpower some of the heat that you saw in the inflation data for September. So it does speak, I think, to the power of fed speak and how, you know, some form of forward guidance that we're getting, at least from two of them, has b”

“The earnings backdrop is pretty wild. I know that's a technical term, but wild in the sense that, you know, when we started this year, the outlook for earnings for the S&P 500, the estimate was 15% earnings growth for the calendar year of 2026, which is pretty great. Um, especially after a string of years where you're seeing, you know, strong growth. Um, as of now, the or when we wrapped up second quarter reporting s”

“I'm not very optimistic on housing. I think for residential there's a lot of different angles to housing. So you've got the rates picture, you've got home prices themselves, and then you've got income growth and all three of those are struggling. So if you just kind of break it down, rates of course the rapidity with which mortgage rates went up and then the level ultimately that they've settled at which is now hover”

“A lot of that swing came post jobs report because of how soft the headline number was relative to expectations and the continued deceleration in earnings growth, as Jose was pointing out. But I do think that that to me is not a swing factor in the Fed's decision making right now because it wasn't before. Inflation has been in the driver's seat. I think it still will be in the driver's seat. That's why I think this ne”

“I do think this is a good example of, you know, fiscal concerns and social pushback kind of maybe melding into into one crisis and particular, you know, it's not something that's terribly unique to Europe. I mean, we're seeing it very much in the US in terms of larger deficits, you know, structurally high deficit spending, concerns about debt growing over time. But I think the difference and the important distinction”

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